Battered and bruised, dear reader, from a protracted bout of self-flagellation, I now return to the blogging fray with my mind set squarely to the task of finding winners, reporting on racing systems, and generally justifying the few daily minutes you spend in my virtual company.
I'm very sorry for the slackness of recent posts. And now, humility not being my forte, let's proceed, non-stop, to the sunny side of the street.... (with apologies to the late Francis Sinatra).
Winners To Losers is a simple enough laying system and, as with all systems, it's very important to get the qualification criteria correct. I had misread one of these prior to heading South and now see that only a subset of those geegees I flagged actually qualified.
Alas for the system thus far, that subset contained the winner (and, therefore, a loser for the system) but not so many of the losers (and thus winners for the system).
The true current state of play is:
|Date||Course||Horse||Odds||Result||P/L to £20||P/L|
|24-Sep||Redcar||Pride of Northcare||11||5||£19||-£135|
So, just past the half way stage in the trial, and W2L is currently about six points down, and has it's work cut out to make the grade - on the evidence of the trial fortnight at least.
But don't write this one off just yet. I've got a sneaking feeling that it'll come up trumps in the end...
There are no runners today.
A system that may or may not give me that same warm feeling is one that you've almost certainly received emails advising you about, and that is the Football Loophole system, due for release this Saturday.
I'll be reviewing it on the blog over the weekend, so my advice is keep your money in your pocket for now and await the results of the Geegeez review.
In the 3.30, a fillies' nursery, the topweight, Maid For Music, looks like she'll go well. She had no chance against much better oppo when running in Listed class the last twice and, upped in trip to a mile, she might just see it out better than her lower weighted (and less able?) rivals today.
In the 4.00, the short priced favourite has a very wide draw to overcome and looks solid lay material to me at anything shorter than 5/2. Although clearly on the upgrade, Kevin Ryan's inmate has had extremely supportive draws for his two wins at Beverley and Hamilton. He also likes to lead in his races and, from box 15 with plenty of speed inside him, he might just get overwhelmed. Not for me.
Top weight Hotham, from an inside position, looks much more worthy of each way support. A track specialist with two wins and two further places from just five runs here, and a winner last time out, he must go well. Incidentally, he also won the corresponding race last season.
Tough and consistent Make My Dream is about the best supported horse in the race, so keep an eye out for him too. But for me, it's lay the jolly and back Hotham to bring home the sizzling bacon (hot ham, geddit?!)
In the Apprentice Handicap that closes the card, Jamie Kyne is on a hat-trick, having brought his last two rides home in front at odds of 12/1 and 9/1, and his mount, Paradise Walk, might give the favourite most to do. If they were all professional jockeys though, I'd say that Princess Flame was nap material. They're not, so each way on the Paradise for me.
Also look out for Brendan Powell at Fontwell and Nigel Twist and Shout (or Twiston-Davies if you prefer) at Perth. I'm expecting winners... I'm just not sure where and when!
Finally, it's Thursday, so in the brave new world of Geegeez that can only mean one thing - it must be time for some Fursday Fun!
From the makers of Family Guy, this is exceedingly off the wall, and ever so slightly not quite right....