The Shortlist 11th October 2013


No good from the one main pick yesterday, but a bit more to go at this afternoon.

Today's racecards are here.

Here is today's Shortlist, along with the best odds (all best odds guaranteed prices) at the time of writing.

2.45 Car - Simply Ned - 11/2 SkyBet
8.50 Dun - Woodsophiesmile - 8/1 Hills


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My 'also considered' list comprises:

3.30 NA - Wayward Prince - 6/1 Boylesports
4.15 Yor - Chancery e/w - 12/1 Ladbrokes
5.20 York - Green Howard e/w - 8/1 Coral
6.40 Wol - Going French e/w - 14/1 Betfred
9.20 Dun - Bint Nayef e/w - 7/1 BetVictor


The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter.

Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this:

the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive. That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race).

So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will.

You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don't already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you'll also - more importantly - always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It's just daft not to.

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5 replies
  1. Avatar
    martin says:

    Hi Matt…I’ve only got one runner (Vodka Moon) showing in the RAR for the 17.30 @ Crl? Am using Google Chrome and all the other cards render as usual.


    • Avatar
      Chris Worrall says:


      None of the other horses have run before, so there are no stats to show.


  2. Avatar
    David says:

    Matt, A query re the “last time” handicap figures. I can’t find the piece that you wrote about how they worked, sorry. Is this supposed to be the last race they won or the last handicap? I had assumed the latter but looking at Ask Dad in the last at York it seems to be the former? Thanks David

  3. Avatar
    David says:

    Thanks Matt; couldn’t understand why Raydari *hint* had an LT of 92, then found it was in a hurdle race. Still think it is overpriced at 10/1.

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