The Shortlist, 13th November 2013

shortlist

Gosh. Is anybody winning? It seems nigh on impossible to find a consistent stream of winners just now, but we'll persist, all the while thankful that the good stuff is back this weekend... There is at least a bit more to go at on Wednesday.

Today's racecards are here.

12.50 Ban - See What Happens - 8/1 SkyBet
1.50 Ban - Quartz De Thaix - 7/1 Seanie Mac
2.00 Lin - Bouyrin e/w - 5/1 bet365
3.10 Exe - Highway Code e/w - 11/2 Hills

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My 'also considered' list comprises:

7.45 Dun - Queen Of The Sand - 4/1 Boylesports
9.15 Dun - Prospectorous e/w - 5/1 PP

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.

That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don't already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you'll also - more importantly - always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It's just daft not to.

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9 replies
  1. Mike Course says:

    Hi Matt, I have been using the race cards to create my own shortlists since they started, i’m so far sitting on 80pts profit. They are amazing!! Thank you. Is there any chance you could make the horses names available to copy and paste please?

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Mike

      Great to hear of your success with the racecards.

      Regarding copy and paste, I’m afraid not. It’s the way the pages have been coded that doesn’t allow that, and it would involve a complete re-write to change things. Not on the agenda just now.

      Best,
      Matt

  2. Ken Jones says:

    Hello Matt

    I am having a good run having made 47.42 points @ betfair SP, not as great as Mike’s but I was a late starter. Great Stuff

    Best regards Ken

  3. JP says:

    i think its early season stuff Matt, I certainly made enough money from the shortlist when it first came out and many thanks for that. I am sure it will get better results as season and ground settle down. Regarding the cards, which are an excellent tool, is it possible to improve them to be even bettIr Matt. I am thinking that the winning class of the horse in particular as it may not have shown the horse won in the class of the race it is entered in for today but it may have won in a higher class previously and therefore may become a more viable selection? Just a thought and not sure how possible it is too tinker.JP

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi JP

      The problem with class, and specifically flagging all classes above and including today’s, is that you get all the losses in as well.

      So, for instance, Dobbin has 3 wins from 6 runs in Class 5 (50%). He has won once at Class 4 as well, but from 8 runs, and he ran 6 times in Class 2 or 3 as well, without winning.

      In that example, instead of showing 3 / 6 / 50%, we’d have to show 4 / 20 / 20%

      That doesn’t properly illustrate the fact that Dobbin is in his right grade today. Using the full form filters tab, and clicking on ‘Wins’ or ‘Wins and Places’ will give you a wealth of information, and specifically what you requested here, for any individual horse. It’s an excellent – and under-used – tool.

      Best,
      Matt

  4. JP says:

    thanks matt, forgot that we were are working in % here. I guess i am looking for an indicator that the horse is capable of winning in this class from the analysis part of the race card but it cant be shown unless you do a bit more digging in the form I guess. looking at win/place is not something I had looked at so thanks I will try and utilise that in the future. JP

Comments are closed.