The Shortlist, 1st May 2014

shortlist

April ended with a break even day as Doctor Kingsley - advised at 2/1, returned 6/4 - covered two losers. Wise Old Owl was given an exaggerated waiting ride, and travelled very well until blowing up on his first run for two years. He may be getting targeted for the Galway Plate, in which he was 2nd in 2011 off 138. He'll likely run off circa 130 there this year, and Ger Fox may again take the seven pounds off, meaning he'd effectively be a stone better off than when second three years back. Seemed to retain plenty of ability.

Here's what Thursday has for The Shortlist followers.

Today's racecards are here.

1.35 Lin - Touch The Clouds - 11/2 bet365
4.45 Tow - Monderon e/w - 25/1 PP
5.30 Pun - Bog Warrior e/w - 12/1 PP
6.40 Pun - Felix Yonger - 8/1 bet365
7.05 Tow - Sparville e/w - 10/1 BetVictor
7.55 Ffo - Quaddick Lake e/w - 20/1 PP

REMINDER: THERE IS NO SHORTLIST ON SUNDAYS

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.

That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

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