The Shortlist 24th October 2013

shortlist11/1 into 13/2, 10/1 into 11/2, 10/1 into 2/1 fav (!), but still it's only woodwork rattling for The Shortlist. Bowstar actually drifted out to 7/1, and was just nutted on the line by the equally well-handicapped Cape Samba. Frustrating, but proof positive of the value-seeking ability of the Race Analysis Reports.

There's an interesting race at 9.10 Wolves. The favourite, Muthafar, could well win, but he was beaten eight lengths last time, and could make for a bit of value on a couple of other nags. Then again... 😉

Today's racecards are here.

3.35 Sou - Hollow Penny - 7/2 bet365
4.30 Car - Billy Cuckoo e/w - 8/1 BetVictor
7.10 Wol - Unknown Villain - 7/2 Seanie Mac

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My 'also considered' list comprises:

5.20 Lud - Western Approaches e/w - 17/2 BetVictor
9.10 Wol - Corn Snow e/w - 10/1 Hills
9.10 Wol - Soul Intent e/w - 7/1 PP
9.10 Wol - 3 x 5 reverse exacta

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.

That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don't already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you'll also - more importantly - always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It's just daft not to.

Here at geegeez, we've got a special software tool which takes the hard (and dull) work of opening accounts, and makes it easy. You fill out a single form, and our software does the rest, opening up to twelve accounts for you with all the major bookmakers.

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1 reply
  1. chris says:

    My early morning form study agrees with your main choices other than that the RP pick in 430C of Newdane Dancer is worth a bet at a bigger price with ideal conditions. Not that I’m putting anyone off Billy!
    I made Soul Intent an EW bet, so your approach to the race give me another bet that I had not considered.

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