The Shortlist, 6th November 2013

shortlist

A non-runner, an under-performer, a short odds winner yesterday. Incredibly, I missed Bowstar, and she was only a nose away from winning at 12/1.

Today's racecards are here.

2.30 Not - Fulbright - 13/2 BetVictor
4.10 Not - Choisan e/w - 14/1 BetVictor
6.30 Kem - Entitlement e/w - 10/1 PP
7.30 Kem - Horsted Keynes - 6/4 Betfred

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My 'also considered' list comprises:

2.10 Chep - Un Bon P'tit Gars - 13/2 Coral
3.05 Not - Steel Rain - 11/2 BetVictor

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.

That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don't already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you'll also - more importantly - always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It's just daft not to.

Here at geegeez, we've got a special software tool which takes the hard (and dull) work of opening accounts, and makes it easy. You fill out a single form, and our software does the rest, opening up to twelve accounts for you with all the major bookmakers.

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3 replies
  1. john purnell says:

    Hi Matt, thanks for yesterdays winner. Do you intend to interpret these results on the shortlist into some sort of system as it seems to me that some tracks, especially on the a/weather, produce better results. Are there any patterns showing yet? Also is it possible to use trainer form alongside the excellent racecards to give them a more complete feel to the analysis? JP

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi John

      There are LOTS of things that ‘could’ be done with this, but as I say in the blurb accompanying every post, the idea is to keep it deliberately open-ended.

      I want people to visit the racecards and make their own minds up – as hundreds are now doing. I flag a few that are of interest to me, and hopefully people go and have a look themselves and see if they agree.

      Regarding trainer form, do check out the brilliant (though I say so myself) Full Form tab, and click the ‘Trainer’ radio button. Then you’ll be able to get a feel for how the trainer (and jockey) is going right now, and how they fare generally at that track/in those races/etc.

      Best,
      Matt

  2. john purnell says:

    Yes Matt i can see what you mean but I would have thought some form of analysis on the results from the racecards could prove to be profitable if someone had the tools to do that. Also I was hoping that the trainer form could be added to the actual analysis section- call me lazy, I know!!! Once again though thank you for a great feature which will become even more valuable as the season setles in. JP

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