The Shortlist 9th October 2013

shortlist

Back in the groove with a 12/1 second (small rule 4) and a 9/2 winner, returning 11/4 having been available as big as 7/1 on course (bizarre plunge), and a non-runner from our three main picks.

Today's racecards are here.

Here is today's Shortlist, along with the best odds (all best odds guaranteed prices) at the time of writing.

3.10 Lud - Buck Mulligan e/w - 6/1 bet365
4.40 Lud - Emily's Flyer - 9/2 BetVictor
4.50 Tow - Halucha e/w - 9/2 PP
7.40 Kem - Saoi e/w - 14/1 Ladbrokes

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My 'also considered' list comprises:

3.00 Not - Sleepy Sioux e/w - 4/1 BetVictor
5.40 Kem - Limegrove - 10/1 bet365
8.10 Kem - Claim The Roses - 5/2 Hills

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter.

Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this:

the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive. That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they're using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race).

So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will.

You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you're backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you've got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don't already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you'll also - more importantly - always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It's just daft not to.

Here at geegeez, we've got a special software tool which takes the hard (and dull) work of opening accounts, and makes it easy. You fill out a single form, and our software does the rest, opening up to twelve accounts for you with all the major bookmakers.

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2 replies
  1. David says:

    Matt, the one area I have a problem in the Sortlist is with class. If a horse is running in a Class 4 today with no wins in that class but has won two Class 2’s it would be shown as 0 wins. But if you add all higher class runs it could dilute a good performer in today’s class. is it possible maybe to use a different colour if the horse has won in a higher class, whilst only reporting today’s class figures?

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi David

      As before, I’m afraid the answer is no. The RAR was never designed to be the alpha and omega of one’s form study. Rather, it is a (surprisingly effective) blunt instrument from which to derive a shortlist. If you have a horse which looks good on all bar one element, I urge you to use the Full Horse Form filters to drill down on such as class. That’s what it’s there for. 🙂

      Best,
      Matt

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