Tix Picks, Wednesday 18/09/24

Wednesday's UK placepots can be played via Tix at Beverley, Kelso, Sandown & Yarmouth...

But, what is Tix?

A video explainer can be found here.

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A few more pointers can be found in these articles:

https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-1/

https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-2/

Today's pools

Today's meetings, pools and minimum guarantees are as follows...

...so let's head to Sandown, where the going is expected to be good to soft, but better in places on the round course for....

Leg 1 : 1.50 Sandown, a 6-runner, Class 5, 3yo+ handicap over 5f

Harb won this race last year off a mark 3lbs higher than today and comes here off the back of a win, having scored over course and distance here less than three weeks ago, as did Secret Handsheikh nine days ago. Soul Seeker was third last time out but is winless in 12, whilst the consistent Media Guest has a win and four runner-up finishes from his last eight starts.

Harb looks the lost likely to succeed based on Instant Expert...

...but low drawn runners (Secret Handsheikh & Soul Seeker) appear to have the edge...

(2) Secret Handsheikh is the likely pacemaker here and I'll take him along with (5) Harb from this one.

Leg 2 : 2.20 Sandown, an 11-runner, Class 4, 2yo maiden over 1m

Three of the field have never raced before, Prince of The Seas and Wild Nature were both runners-up on debut with the other six runners failing to make the frame in nine combined starts. Even if all of them improve this time out, it's hard to see any of them dislodging Prince of The Seas and Wild Nature from the frame. Of the newcomers, Almeric would be of interest if the market got behind him, but for me it has to be (6) Prince of The Seas and (11) Wild Nature.

Leg 3 : 2.50 Sandown, a 7-runner, Class 4, 2yo novice stakes over 7f

Rock Doro was slowly away on debut at Chelmsford three weeks ago, but still managed to get going enough to finish second, three quarters of a length behind 4/9 fav Bay City Roller, whose next/latest outing was a win in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster last weekend. I'm not say Rock Doro is that good, but any similar run to last time out should be more than enough here.

Of the others, Keble Spirit interests me. He's by Too Darn Hot and the Gosdens have a good record with debutants...

So, I'll take (4) Keble Spirit and (6) Rock Doro here.

Leg 4 : 3.23 Sandown, an 8-runner, 3yo+ Listed race over 1m

This looks a wide-open affair and unusually for a Class1 race, none of the field come here off the back of a win, although Checkandchallenge and Imperial Quarter both finished third and Elnajmm had finished 222111 in his first six races before a 3.5 length defeat at York last time out was only good enough for 9th place in a competitive 18 runner handicap at York.

A higher draw would be preferred here, which would benefit Beshtani (in first time cheekpieces), Checkandchallenge and Cash...

with the pace/draw heat map backing this up and adding the consistent Elnajmm back into the mix...

From a stat perspective, Elnajmm might benefit from an excellent trainer/jockey partnership...

And based on the above, I think I need to take (5) Elnajmm forward, along with (3) Checkandchallenge, whilst (2) Cash is interesting. he's well drawn, won't have too much traffic to pass and if running like he did in Class 1 races last year, could well spring a surprise here, so I have to take him too!

Leg 5 : 3.55 Sandown, a 10-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ fillies handicap over 1m

Windcrack is likely to be popular after a course and distance win last time out, whilst Fleurir was a runner-up and won three starts ago. Own Accord was also a runner-up last time and has won two of her last five. Powdering was last home of 11 at Ascot on her last outing, but had finished 131114 in her previous six starts, so a return to form can't be discounted. Crystal Casque made the frame in two of her last three but has 2 wins and 5 further places from 12 runs here at Sandown and her recent place stats stack up well...

...whilst higher draws (Fleurir & Dreamrocker from above?)

...and frontrunning seem to be the order of the day

...ticking another box for Fleurir...

So, Instant Expert, pace and draw all point to (4) Fleurir, so she's a pick here. I like (3) Crystal Casque from Instant Expert and also due to her great record at this venue (a win & 4 places from 7 over C&D) and whilst I could make a case for a few of these, I don't want to go too deep, so I'll just take (6) Dreamrocker who ticks boxes on Instant Expert and the draw, plus she has a win and two places from her last four outings.

Leg 6 : 4.25 Sandown, an 8-runner, Class 4, 3yo handicap over 1m2f

Carnival Day is the only one to have won last time out, but plenty of these have some good recent results. High Point is two from three, LTO runner-up Salamanca Lad has three wins and two places from his last six, Miaswell has two wins and a place from four and the sole filly in the race, Niloufar has four wins and a runner-up finish from her last seven and is one to consider on form at what might be a big price.

Front runners have done well in similar past races here and that will be good news for the likes of High Point & Salamanca Lad...

...and Salamanca Lad's team love it here at Sandown...

...whilst Miaswell's jockey, Jason Watson is riding really well right now...

And I'm taking (1) High Point (pace/form), (2) Salamanca Lad (pace/form/stats) and (4) Miaswell (form/jockey) here for the finale.

All of which gives me...

Leg 1: horses 2 & 5

Leg 2: horses 6 & 11

Leg 3: horses 4 & 6

Leg 4: horses 2, 3 & 5

Leg 5: horses 3, 4 & 6

Leg 6: horses 1, 2 & 4

...and here's how I'd play them, whilst trying to stay close to a nominal £20 total stake...

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• Tix Picks, Thursday 03/10/24
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• Tix Picks, Tuesday 01/10/24
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