Trainer Stats – 15th Dec 2011

Plenty of huge-priced winners from last week’s batch of trainers – but who is on Andy Newton’s radar this week?

 

SHEENA WEST (4 winners from her last 8 runners, 50% strike-rate): I’m hoping readers of this feature had the West stable on their radar after last week’s mention as they fired in a monster 50/1 winner with their only runner on Tuesday. That made it 4 from just their last eight runners and although the bookmakers might now start factoring their current good form into the prices it’s still worth keeping their runners on side.  That 50/1 success also means the yard’s runners this season are sitting at a cool +£72 level stakes profit, while with 13 winners from just 52 sent to post then this is already going to be their best-ever season (previous best tally in a season 10). Looking ahead their entries are thin on the ground with Christmas on the horizon, but with the fixtures set to come thick and fast from Boxing Day onwards then you can expect to see more in action.
Up-coming entries and track stats: None

JOHN WADE (5 winners from his last 11 runners, 45% strike-rate): Okay, so the Wade camp didn’t have a great day on Tuesday, but the County Durham-based yard are still operating on a decent strike-rate. Interestingly it’s worth noting if their runners are well-fancied in the market as 3 of the last 4 to be sent off as favourite have won, and the one that didn’t unseated! James Reveley takes most of the rides, while for those that aren’t aware his local track is Sedgefield - a course his famous colours are often seen running at. He, therefore, loves to have winners at the course and with a meeting on the 22nd of this month then keep this in mind too. In terms of numbers they have only had 6 winners this NH season, but you can expect that number to hit double-figures before long as they aim to better their best ever haul of 19 – achieved back in 2007-08.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Newcastle (4 from 51, 8%), Haydock (2 from 6, 33%) & Carlisle (0 from 21)

MARCO BOTTI (5 winners from his last 15 runners, 42% strike-rate): Another winner on Wednesday at Kempton cemented his place on the hot trainers list this week to take his tally to 5 winners from his last 15 runners. The yard need just one more victory to equal their best-ever tally of 45, which they achieved back in 2008. They’ve also banked £625,000 in total prize money this season, meaning things are certainly looking rosy at the Botti camp ahead of next year’s flat campaign. It’s also worth point out that 25 of their 44 wins this season have some on the AW and with plenty of meetings before the year is out then I fully expect them to make this their winning-most season.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Kempton (38 from 248, 15%), Wolverhampton (44 from 252, 17%) & Lingfield (19 from 151, 13%)

KIM BAILEY (5 winners from his last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate): This former Gold Cup and Champion Hurdle-winning trainer has been highlighted in recent weeks as a trainer to follow and a double last Thursday means he maintains his current excellent strike-rate. Yes, he’s not got the string he used to have back in the nineties, but that doesn’t make him a bad trainer and hopefully, like Cecil did on the flat, some bigger owners out there can get behind him again. They are currently sitting on a cool +£46 level stakes profit with their 16 winners this term, and will have last season’s haul of 38 firmly in their sights. It’s with their chasers that then tend to do slightly better, but keep a very close eye on any bumper runners – so far this season they are 3 wins from just 9 runners (+£69).
 Up-coming entries and track stats: Towcester (12 from 64, 19%), Exeter (3 from 27, 11%), Uttoxeter (17 from 103, 17%), Ascot (1 from 11, 9%), Haydock (1 from 7, 14%), Bangor (2 from 30, 7%) & Taunton (1 from 13, 8%)

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TIM EASTERBY (5 winners from his last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate): The Easterby yard got a mention last week and with a Wolverhampton double last Friday then hopefully some of you were on. Like I said last week, you can expect to see their runners over both codes at this time of year, but it is worth pointing out 4 of those recent 5 victories did come on the all weather. Looking at their AW track stats, they don’t often send many to Lingfield or Kempton – but they are 2 from 5 at those two tracks combined in recent years. Southwell runners should be treated with a bit of caution as they are only 8 from 103, but it’s at Wolverhampton were they have most success with 17 from 109, but more importantly a nice +£27 level stakes profit.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Haydock(3 from 27, 11%), Lingfield(1 from 2, 50%), Newcastle (6 from 38, 16%) & Carlisle (0 from 25)

STEVE GOLLINGS (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): A double last week was followed up with a decent win at Fakenham on Monday, while their only runner on Tuesday finished a close second at 20/1. You can expect to see most of their runners over the sticks, but one of their recent successes came on the level at Kempton. They’ve only had 29 NH runners so far this season and 4 winners, but a recent interview I saw with Mr Gollings suggests they will start to have a few more runners over the next month or so and by all accounts they have some nice ones ready to be unleashed.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Uttoxeter (3 from 19, 16%), Wolverhampton (6 from 61, 10%) & Carlisle (0 from 3)

KEITH REVELEY (5 winners from his last 14 runners, 36% strike-rate):  I guess a Catterick treble on Tuesday was on the cards with three seconds and two wins with their five previous runners before that trio of victories and, for me, this up-and-coming yard are really starting to make a name for themselves. Of course, many of you will remember Mary Reveley  - Keith’s mother - as a leading northern trainer that had plenty of success back in the 80’s and 90’s, but with son James also establishing himself as a jockey going places then they really do have a recipe for a big future. From their 78 runners so far this season they have a very healthy +£35 level stakes profit, and with 17 victories they are already over halfway to bettering their best-ever tally of 32 wins in a NH season.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Uttoxeter(2 from 20, 10%), Newcastle (15 from 92, 16%) &Carlisle (6 from 54, 11%)

NICKY HENDERSON (19 winners from his last 55 runners, 35% strike-rate): It doesn’t get much better than three Cheltenham winners on your birthday – something the Seven Barrows boss managed last Saturday. Those high-profile wins meant he closed the gap in the trainers’ title race behind Paul Nicholls to around £200,000 in win prize money won, and although that might sound a lot a few big wins at Ascot on Saturday and then the King George on Boxing Day will chip further into that deficit. With 70 wins so far from 235 runners they are firing the winners in at a rate of 30%, but with 42 of those successes coming with their hurdlers then it could pay to focus on this sphere. That said, like I’ve mentioned before, they also do very well with their bumper horses – so far they are 10 winners from just 28 runners (36%).
Up-coming entries and track stats: Exeter (6 from 20, 30%), Towcester (13 from 45, 29%), Uttoxeter (14 from 50, 28%), Ascot (39 from 126, 31%) & Haydock (8 from 55, 15%)

STAN MOORE (4 winners from his last 12 runners, 33% strike-rate): Four of their last 7 have gone in, including a 20/1 shot at Kempton a few weeks ago. They are limiting their all weather runners at the moment, but 18 of their 31 winners this flat season have come on the sand surfaces and with plenty more AW meetings over the next few weeks then you can expect to see a fair few of theirs in action. The other thing to note is that 17 of their 31 winners have been with their juveniles, including another at Kempton on Wednesday night. Lingfield, Kempton and Wolverhampton are where they send most of their AW runners, but be slightly wary of their Southwell entries as they’ve only had 2 winners there from 26 runners in recent years.
Up-coming entries and track stats: Kempton (21 from 198, 11%), Wolverhampton (23 from 160, 14%), Lingfield (49 from 368, 13%)

 

This Week’s Cold Trainers...................

 
HENRIETTA KNIGHT (25 days and 24 runners without a winner): Yes, the yard had a second at Newbury on Wednesday, so they could be about to turn the corner, but that runner was still beaten 11 lengths. The yard do still have Somersby as their stable star, but he’s no Best Mate and if you take him out of the mix then their current string is nothing really to get too excited about. I know they are a yard that like to take their time with their horses, so all is not lost as they are bound to have one or two potentially smart youngsters, but as punters all we really want to know about is the present and based on their recent figures then a word of caution is advised surrounding their runners unitl we see a sign of better things. Oh, and did you know they only managed six winners for the whole of last season, and are currently on just 3 this campaign – a long way away from their best-ever tally of 58 in 1995-96?!?

FERDY MURPHY (15 days and 30 runners without a winner): This is not a trainer to take on too heavily despite being over two weeks and 30 runners without a winner. That said, I still thought it was worth bringing to your attention being one of the higher profile handlers. They will have plenty of chances to end this slight barren spell over the busy weekend ahead, but with just 8 winners (from 172 runners) for the season then they are still to get going and although we’ve still got 3-4 months of the main season left I’m sure they wouldn’t have thought they’d have less than 10 victories heading into Christmas.

 

 

 

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2 replies
  1. Avatar
    Ian says:

    Another excellent week Andy -WELL DONE!

    It is great to see Kim Bailey back amongst the winners after a few lean years – a thoroughly decent bloke who deserves to get back in the lime-light…

    • Avatar
      Andy Newton says:

      Could not agree more – It feels like only yesterday that I backed Master Oats and Alderbrook at the Festival!!

      Happy Xmas

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