Trainer Stats – 8th Dec 11

More trainer clues this week as Andy Newton highlights which handlers are in red hot form, while there are two names on the cold list to look out for........


SHEENA WEST (3 wins from her last 7 runners, 43% strike-rate): Not a name your everyday punter will be familiar with but she can do little wrong with her runners at the moment and anything they send to post should be noted. Golan Way is their stable star and Marc Goldstein gave him a fantastic ride to win a Listed Chase at Sandown last Friday, and although he’s been a bit of a character in the past his front running tactics and slick jumping could see him mop up a few more decent races before the season is out. In terms of numbers we are not even at Christmas yet and this is already their best-ever tally of wins over the sticks with 12 victories. Those successes have come from just 50 runners so the yard are operating around the 24% mark, while if you’d backed all their runners this season you’d be sitting on a nice +£23. The final pointer is that of their 12 winners, 10 have come over hurdles, with Golan Way their only chase victory so far and the other in a bumper last week.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Huntingdon (4 from 24, 17%)

TIM WALFORD (4 wins from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Right, this stable doesn’t have any entries on the horizon, but they fired in another 4/1 winner at Hexham with their only runner on the day and, therefore, it could pay to keep an eye on their entries over the coming weeks. That win followed up another success at Sedgefield on Tuesday and a lucrative prize at Sandown last Saturday with Ubi Ace.  With 10 NH wins so far from just 50 runners and 25 of the 50 finishing fourth or better then you certainly get a run for your money backing their runners, and with a +£48 level stakes profit then their followers will also be sitting pretty too.
Upcoming entries and track stats: No entries in the next few days

TIM EASTERBY (5 wins from his last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate): With 87 flat wins so far in 2011 the yard will be pushing hard to try and match last season’s haul of 98, or even break the 100 mark for the first time. That said, with only all weather flat action to take us through to the end of the year it will be a massive achievement if they can pull it off, but they couldn’t be in better form – you never know! However, it’s not only runners on the flat to note as they’ve also bagged three winners over the sticks in recent weeks and are currently 6 NH wins from 46 runners. Looking ahead they’ve only AW engagements over the next few days, but they do boast an impressive +£40 level stakes profit with their runners at Wolverhampton so make a note of anything they send there in the coming days.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Wolverhampton (14 from 81, 17%) & Southwell( 8 from 78, 10%)

MARCO BOTTI (3 wins from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): The yard drew a blank on Wednesday, but prior to that they had three winners and a couple of seconds from just 6 runners. Looking ahead entries are a bit thin on the ground but they do have an interest at Kempton on Thursday and at this stage another three engaged at Wolverhampton on Saturday. With 42 winners so far in 2001 they will be aiming for another 4 to better their best-ever total of 45 which they managed back in 2008. Of their 42 victories it’s interesting that over half (23) came on the all weather surfaces – suggesting that despite only three weeks of the year left there is a very good chance they will bag those much-needed four successes.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Kempton AW (37 from 246, 15%), Wolverhampton (44 from 249, 18%)

EVAN WILLIAMS (6 wins from his last 21 runners, 29% strike-rate): Deep Purple gave the yard their first winner at Sandown in the last 5 years and now that connections know he stays that far then a possible tilt at the Grand National could be on the cards. Of their recent winners it’s actually quite surprising what prices some of them have returned with 10/1, 9/1, 8/1 and 11/1returns – suggesting sometimes their runners can be a tad overlooked. Jockeys Paul Moloney and Adam Wedge get the bulk of the rides, while with 50 wins already this campaign then that’s their first target reached. Like I said last week they are still to break the 100 winners in a season, so that will be firmly on the agenda, and if they keep rolling in the winners at this rate then they should have no trouble making this their best-ever season. 
Upcoming entries and track stats: Ludlow (42 from 258, 16%), Taunton (14 from 70, 20%), Cheltenham (5 from 83, 6%), Lingfield NH (2 from 13, 15%) & Hereford (22 from 174, 13%)

CHARLIE LONGSDON (6 winners from his last 22 runners, 27% strike-rate): After being in top form for the best part of a year, I thought a few weeks ago, when they actually went onto the cold list, that the good times were coming to an end. How wrong I was. It was merely a minor mid-season mini blip, or maybe the yard were just taking a breather – as with six winners from their last 23 runners they look to be back in business. The sent out 44 winners last season and need only 6 more this term to equal that – then anything else beyond that will surely be a bonus. In four of the last 5 seasons they’ve ended the campaign with a positive level stakes profit, and although they are currently showing a negative figure it’s only -£6. Finally, keep an eye on their bumper runners – they’ve had 8 successes in that sphere from just 26 runners this term.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Huntingdon (11 from 63, 17%), Taunton (1 from 22, 5%), Ludlow (3 from 32, 9%), Kempton AW (0 from 3), Cheltenham (1 from 37, 3%), Doncaster (2 from 16, 13%) & Hereford (6 from 30, 20%)

DONALD McCAIN (14 wins from his last 53 runners, 26% strike-rate): The Grand National-winning trainer got a mention last week and he certainly didn’t let us down. Okay, only three actual winners, plenty have finished third or better and Cinders And Ashes, who was very impressive at Aintree, looks a horse to follow through the season. Jockey Jason Maguire is riding at the top of his game and looks to have one of the best jobs in the game at present. It’s amazing to think they’ve already sent out 71 winners this season and need to just 30 more to surpass last season’s 100 winner mark and make this their best-ever campaign. They are also sitting on a cool +£27 level stakes profit from all their runners this season, and despite winning the Grand National last season they actually do a lot better with their hurdlers – of their 71 winners 48 have come over the smaller obstacles.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Huntingdon (2 from 21, 10%), Cheltenham (3 from 67, 4%), Doncaster (5 from 45, 11%) & Hereford (8 from 54, 15%)

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KIM BAILEY (4 winners from his last 17 runners, 24% strike-rate): This former Gold Cup winning handler has sent out two winners from just 2 runners this midweek, but with three previous successes since the end of November then the signs were there. Yes, they don’t have the string they used to have but that doesn’t mean they’ve forgotten how to train winners. Last year then ended with an impressive +£54 level stakes profit and it looks like things are continuing in the same vein this term – they are currently operating around the +£40 mark, not made from just 14 winners!
Last term they fired in 38 winners, their best tally since the 1998-99 season, while this season a massive 54% of their runners have finished fourth or better.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Huntingdon (3 from 42, 7%), Ludlow (5 from 35, 14%), Cheltenham (0 from 28), Lingfield NH (1 from 9, 11%), Doncaster (0 from 7) & Hereford (4 from 49, 8%)

JAMES EWART (4 winners from his last 19 runners, 21% strike-rate): Yes, they’ve not had a winner since Nov 25th, but from their last 20 runners they’ve ALL finished seventh or better, which is a clear sign their runners are still in fine form. One of their stable stars Sa Suffit was a decent third up at Kelso on Sunday and providing the handicapper isn’t too harsh on him he is one to keep an eye on next time out. They are currently on 10 winners for the season, but looking back over the past 5 years they’ve steadily improved and will be hoping to better last season’s tally of 16. Finally, with 1 NH Flat winner from just 3 runners then this could be another area to look for any runners.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Doncaster (2 from 8, 25%)


This Week’s Cold Trainers........

EVE JOHNSON HOUGHTON (66 days and 32 runners without a win): Okay, so with 27 winners in 2011 the yard has already had their best ever season no matter what happens over the next few weeks. However, with over two months without a winner maybe the stable have started celebrating their excellent campaign already. They had another two go astray on Wednesday (both unplaced), and with a few entries at Kempton and Southwell over the next few days the advice is to tread very carefully if you fancy any of their runners until there are clear signs of a return to form.

GAY KELLEWAY (63 days and 33 runners without a win): Another of the lady flat trainers that is not exactly having a good time of it at the moment and despite one of theirs finishing third at Kempton on Wednesday, like the Johnson Houghton team, they are now over 2 months without success. In terms of numbers they’ve not had the best of seasons with just 16 wins to date, five short of last year and way short of their best-ever tally in 2008 of 48. They tend to do better with their older horses and that shows this season with just three 2 year-old winners and only one 3 year-old success. On the horizon they’ve actually got a jumper entered at Doncaster on Friday, while they’ve got plenty more at Wolverhampton and Southwell too – However, in the last 5 seasons they’ve only had 8 winners from 107 runners at Southwell!

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6 replies
  1. Ian - SP2A Owner says:

    As usual an excellent feature this week highlighting some of the smaller yards in cracking form – a MUST READ every week in my humble opinion. Keep up the excellent work!

    • Andy Newton says:

      Good stuff – thanks Ian, I’m glad you find the hot trainers weekly feature useful – it’s certainly thrown up plenty of decent-priced winners over the months!!

      Have a good Xmas


  2. Ian - SP2A Owner says:

    Andy, there are sometimes trainers that seem to be in fine form that dont quite make it – thinking recently I’d suggest Reg Hollinshead and Sue Smith have had good runs but overall its very useful – especially as this week when there are trainers in there that as you point out some will be very unfamiliar with.

    You cant always back the Hannons,Gosdens,Nicholls and Hendersons blind due to quantity but it is as I keep repeating (LOL) excellent for the smaller yards…

    • Andy Newton says:

      I agree Ian – Sue Smith and Reg Hollinshead are certainly in cracking form too, but I had to draw the line somewhere – the other name to look out for on the all weather in the coming weeks is David Barron. Yes, I’m not telling you anything new here, but he fired in a couple of winners in midweek and often does well at this time of year.

      Have a good evening and thanks for the comments – they are always a big help


  3. Mark says:

    I am a big follower of this and once again this week has seen many a good winner with a 66/1 from the Longsdon team which I got 100/1 on the exchanges and this afternoon a 33/1 winner from Sheena West, that I got 41/1 on the exchange, all very useful extra points from the industry SP’s.
    Great work!!

    • Andy Newton says:

      Thanks for taking the time to comment –

      Yes, a great week with some huge-priced winners! I’m glad you were on!!!

      Have a good week

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