Trainer Stats: 15th Aug 2012

Tregoning Horses Are Hitting The Mark

See who is on Andy Newton’s ‘HOT TRAINERS’ list this week.......

 

MARCUS TREGONING (3 winners from his last 5 runners, 60% strike-rate): This former Derby-winning trainer that doesn’t quite have the string of old but certainly has his horses in cracking form at the moment. Winners last Friday, Saturday and Sunday backed this up and although this only puts them on 15 winners for the season they generally don’t get many more than 25 these days anyway. Hayley Turner gets the majority of their rides, and was on two of their three recent winners, while if there is one word of caution is that they are still looking for their first 2 year-old winner of the season.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Ripon (0 from 4), Salisbury (2 from 27, 7%), Newmarket July (4 from 18, 22%), Pontefract (1 from 11, 9%), Newbury (9 from 72, 13%)

 

PETER CHAPPLE-HYAM (5 winners from his last 10 runners, 50% strike-rate): Yes, one of his recent winners was sent off at 1/25, but if you add in a 16/1 success too then followers of this former Derby-winning yard are well in front at present. In fact all of their last 14 runners sent to post have finished fourth or better, but, I guess, what is surprising is that they are only on 16 winners for the season. That said, they’ve only had 103 runners and with 55 of those finishing 4th or better then at least we know the ones they are sending to post are running well. Buick and Havlin are used in the saddle the most, but they also use 3lb claimer Ashley Hamblett when they can. Looking ahead make a note if they send anything to Chepstow this Thursday – they are currently 2 from 5 at the Welsh track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Salisbury (1 from 11, 9%), Chepstow (2 from 5, 40%), Newcastle (1 from 9, 11%), Newbury (5 from 71, 7%), Doncaster (9 from 57, 16%), Newmarket July (2 from 61, 3%), Lingfield (1 from 6, 17%), Pontefract (4 from 19, 21%)

 

JAMES GIVEN (3 winners from his last 7 runners, 43% strike-rate): Ticking along nicely with 17 winners so far this season, but with 30+ successes in 8 of the last 9 seasons then they will be hoping for a few more during the second half of the year. That said, the three winners they’ve had of late have all returned at very nice prices (8/1, 10/1 & 16/1) and the fact they are not one of the more fashionable yards could see a few more being sent off at decent odds. Of their 17 winners this term 12 have been on the AW tracks, while they’ve sent out 3 juvenile winners from just 17 sent to post. In terms of jockeys they try and use Graham Lee when they can, but if not also look out for James Sullivan and Frederik Tylicki – they’ve both ridden winners for the yard in recent weeks.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Beverley (4 from 51, 8%), Nottingham (8 from 140, 6%), Newcastle (2 from 44, 5%), Kempton AW (22 from 146, 15%), Newmarket July (2 from 24, 8%), Catterick (4 from 61, 7%), Doncaster (7 from 113, 6%), Ripon (2 from 44, 5%)

 

ROGER VARIAN (7 winners from his last 16 runners, 44% strike-rate): With 18 of their last 19 runners finishing fourth or better, including 9 winners in that period too, then all is looking well at the Varian yard. This puts them now on 43 winners for the season and just 10 shy of their debut term in 2011. Most have been with their 3 year-olds, but their juveniles are forward too – they are 8 from just 21 with their youngsters, while a massive 86% of that age group have finished fourth or better. Neil Callan gets most of the rides, but also look out for Dominic Fox – this promising 3lb claimer has ridden two winners for the yard of late. In the coming days also look out for anything they send to Newcastle, Doncaster, Ripon, Newbury and Salisbury – all tracks they've got very decent strike-rates at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newmarket July (4 from 34, 12%), Salisbury (3 from 12, 25%), Newbury (6 from 27, 22%), Newcastle (2 from 3, 67%), Nottingham (3 from 17, 18%), Kempton AW (3 from 31, 10%), Catterick (0 from 1), Doncaster (6 from 20, 30%), Chester (1 from 11, 9%), Ripon (2 from 5, 40%), Pontefract (0 from 4)

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SIR MICHAEL STOUTE (4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Been supporting both Ryan Moore and Richard Hughes with their quests to be leading jockey this season after supplying them both with winners recently. After a very poor start to the season they are now on 44 winners and need just 9 more to better last season. That said, they are still way off the glory days that saw them getting nearer to 100 successes in a season, but they’ve not really had the best bunch of 2 and 3 year-olds over the past few seasons and, therefore, this takes it toll. In terms of prize money they have so far banked just over £700,000, but that is less than half what then managed in 2011, while the two seasons before that they topped the £3million mark – mainly thanks to Workforce’s Derby and Arc wins. Of their 44 winners a monster 39 have been with their 3 year-olds, while they are still looking for their first 2 year-old winner from 16 runners.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newmarket July (17 from 124, 14%), Salisbury (9 from 64, 14%), Newbury (20 from 122, 16%), Nottingham (10 from 56, 18%), Newcastle (3 from 12, 25%), Kempton AW (20 from 128, 16%), Catterick (0 from 5), Chester (12 from 52, 23%), Pontefract (5 from 24, 21%)

 

DAVID SIMCOCK (7 winners from his lat 20 runners, 35% strike-rate): Having a really good spell of late and when I saw they were already on 42 winners for the season I must admit I was a bit shocked – I thought they would be on much less. Anyway, that means they are just 4 shy of their 2011 total and only 7 away from equalling their best-ever tally of 49 in 2010. Okay, so they are still some way off their total prize money hauls of recent seasons but the bulk of that was due to their star sprinter Dream Ahead, who is now retired. With seven 2 year-old winners from just 29 runners then things are also looking good for the future, but of their 41 victories it could pay to know 22 have been with their 3 year-olds. Over the next few months keep a close eye on anything they run at Brighton, Thirsk, Hamilton and Ffos Las as these are all tracks they boast very good strike-rates at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newmarket July (8 from 95, 8%), Chepstow (3 from 20, 15%), Nottingham (2 from 16, 13%), Newbury (2 from 24, 8%), Newcastle (1 from 18, 6%), Catterick (0 from 2), Kempton AW (25 from 210, 12%), Ripon (2 from 14, 14%), Doncaster (2 from 35, 6%), Chester (3 from 51, 6%), Lingfield (4 from 27, 15%)

 

JOHN GOSDEN (6 winners from his last 20 runners, 30% strike-rate): Having a cracking season with already six Group One victories in the bag and with a very strong St Leger hand they might fancy their chances of upsetting Camelot in the final Classic of the season next month. They are sitting on 77 winners for the season, but with over £2.3 million in total prize money already banked then they only need around £200,000 to make 2012 their best-ever in terms of cash won. With 9 juvenile winners, and around 50% of their 42 two-year-olds finishing in the top 4 this season, then things are looking bright for next year too, but with 39 successes the bulk of their victories have been with their 3 year-olds. William Buick is obviously their main man in the saddle, but keep a look out for Robert Havlin too - the veteran pilot has always had a good association with the Gosden team and he’s been picking up a few decent rides when Buick’s not available.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Salisbury (7 from 49, 14%), Newmarket July (37 from 214, 17%), Newbury (24 from 146, 16%), Nottingham (11 from 74, 15%), Kempton AW (52 from 260, 20%), Doncaster (28 from 135, 21%), Chester (9 from 46, 20%)

 

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3 replies
  1. Josh W says:

    hey Andy,
    great info as always, i was just wondering what had happened to listing those trainers on the cold list?. I always found it most useful to see who had had no winners recently as it always highlighted who to avoid, almost as useful as looking at the hot trainers.

    Josh

    • Andy Newton says:

      No probs Josh – I’ll add 2-3 cold trainers back from next week. Hope that helps and anything else let me know

      Andy

  2. Josh W says:

    thanks andy, much appreciated – this is what marks this site out, helpful, responsive people such as yourself and the rest of the contributors,
    thanks again,
    Josh

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