Trainer Stats: 30th April 2013

HaggasAndy Newton’s got six more yards to look out for this week on his ‘Hot Trainers’ list.......

WILLIAM HAGGAS (6 winners from his last 12 runners, 50% strike-rate): The 1996 Derby-winning trainer looks to be heading for another big season and as we enter May he could not have his string in much better form. At the time of writing the Newmarket-based yard have sent out 13 winners from only 41 runners (32%), and will have their sights firmly set on bettering the 83 victories (their best ever) that they managed in 2012. They’ve also broken the £1million total prize money mark in each of the last 5 seasons. They are using Adam Beschizza a lot more this term, plus are another of the ever growing yards that are giving Graham Lee the leg-up too – he’s been on two of their 6 recent winners. They are 1-from-1 with their 2 year-olds so far this season, but looking at the last 5 years they do by far the best with their 3 year-olds (20% strike-rate). As the turf season progresses look for anything they send to these tracks – Beverley, Brighton, Chepstow, Chester, Ffos Las, Hamilton, Musselburgh, Newcastle and Southwell AW – all venues they’ve got 30%+ strike-rates at.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Ascot (12 from 104, 12%), Redcar (3 from 18, 17%), Lingfield AW (19 from 92, 21%), Chepstow (5 from 9, 56%), Newmarket (16 from 124, 13%), Thirsk (5 from 25, 20%), Goodwood (5 from 46, 11%), Salisbury (3 from 23, 13%), Hamilton (4 from 8, 50%), Doncaster (12 from 67, 18%)

WARREN GREATREX (3 winners from his last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): The Lambourn-based yard are now into their fifth season, and I think this campaign could be their best yet. 21 is the most they’ve managed (2011-12), so last season’s 16 was a bit disappointing as they have been billed as one of the up-and-coming yards. That said, 46% of their 123 runners last season finished 4th or better, so they were close on many occasions to bettering that total. In the last month or so leading conditional Brendan Powell Jnr and the more experienced Wayne Hutchinson are the jockeys they’ve used the most, while in the past they’ve been no strangers to using AP either. It’s a shame both Hereford and Folkestone are now closed as they did particularly well at both venues, but of the tracks still open Worcester, Sedgefield and Southwell runners are always of interest. Their recent Huntingdon winner, City Press, could be out again soon as he’s entered at Fontwell and Uttoxeter this week.
Track stats and up-coming entries:  Taunton (0 from 15), Fontwell (1 from 15, 7%), Uttoxeter (0 from 13)

HENRY DALY (4 winners from his last 9 runners, 44% strike-rate): In fact their last 3 runners have all won and at odds of 14/1, 16/1 and 13/2 then they are another yard that are showing a great return at present for their followers. They ended last jumps season (finished on Sunday) with 20 winners, which is about what they get these days. Yes, 43 was their best finish in 2003-04, but they’ve not really got near that since. Richard Johnson gets the bulk of their rides and has been on three of their four recent winners, but they are using Jake Greenall a lot more now too. They have a lot of runners at Ludlow, but their strike-rate is not great there – it could pay to look for runners at tracks like Stratford and Market Rasen.
Track stats and up-coming entries:  Bangor (5 from 40, 13%), Uttoxeter (4 from 32, 13%)

JOHN MACKIE (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): Three winners recently, but with returns like 10/1, 12/1 and 14/1 then the returns have been high. Add in that they’ve had two seconds and a third from those last 8 runners too then it’s clear to see the form their horses are in. With 7 winners so far they are already well on their way to bettering last season’s tally of 12 and their best ever total of 14 (2004), while because of these recent big-priced winners they are also sitting on a nice +£24 level stakes profit. They do best with their 3 year-olds based on the last 5 years, but with not a single 2 year-old winner in that period then you might want to keep that in mind.  They have most of their runners at tracks like Haydock, Doncaster, Nottingham and especially Wolverhampton, but note anything they send to Newbury, Yarmouth and Warwick – all courses they’ve done well at from their limited runners. They also have a few NH runners, but have only had 2 winners this season and 7 from 2010 over the sticks.
Track stats and up-coming entries:  Sedgefield (0 from 2), Redcar (1 from 6, 17%), Taunton (0 from 1), Uttoxeter (4 from 59, 7%), Goodwood (0 from 2)

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SUE SMITH (3 winners from her last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): Last month’s Grand National-winning trainer continues to have a fruitful time with another winner at Kelso this week. They ended their eventful 2012-13 campaign with 31 winners, but more importantly £822k banked in total prize money. You can expect their main jockey and GN-winning pilot, Ryan Mania, to get a lot more outside rides now he’s more of a household name – he’s been on all their three recent winners, but they do use Jonathan England a fair bit too. Over the last 5 season’s they’ve done a lot better with their chasers (92 winners) as opposed to their hurdlers (49).
Track stats and up-coming entries:  Sedgefield (20 from 147, 14%), Bangor (5 from 42, 12%), Uttoxeter (7 from 67, 10%), Hexham (18 from 114, 16%)

NIGEL HAWKE (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): The Grand National-winning jockey (rode Seagram in 1991), has not really hit the heights he’d have expected since turning his attention to the training ranks. He’s been going now since 1995-96, with 2006-07 (12) their best finish so far, and if it wasn’t for their late flurry would have ended last season with just 3 winners – as it turned out they got 6 in the end. In the last 5 seasons they’ve sent out 15 chase winners compared to 6 over hurdles, but are 0 from 22 with their NH Flat runners.  Jockey Mark Quinlan, who claims a valuable 3lbs still, is used a lot by the yard (been on 5 of their last 8 runners). In the coming week they’ve got a few entered up at Uttoxeter – a track they’ve interestingly got a 20% overall strike-rate and an even better 36% record with their chasers.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Uttoxeter (5 from 25, 20%)

 

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