See which batch of trainers have made it onto Andy Newton’s ‘hot-list’ this week.......
ROGER CHARLTON (3 winners from his last 4 runners, 75% strike-rate): Winding down a tad in terms of actual runners at the track, but the ones they are sending to post certainly mean business with 3 of their last 4 going in. Those three were also all sent off as favourites, so look out for any money for their runners, while in terms of jockeys the yard are the latest to start using Graham Lee – he’s been on two of their last 4 runners, with George Baker on the other two. They are now on 40 winners for 2012 and need just 3 more to equal last season’s total, but won’t better their best ever of 56 (2002 and 2003). The bulk (25) of their 40 winners have been with their 3 year-olds, and looking at their AW track stats despite having the most runners at Kempton, but it’s at Wolverhampton they’ve got the best strike-rate (21%).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (3 from 40, 8%)
HARRY FRY (3 winners from his last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): Paul Nicholls’ former number two is making a real name for himself and he even got the better of his old boss with a 20/1 shot (Opening Batsmen) at Plumpton on Monday. Still in his 20’s he’s made the leap into training at a young age, but he’s got a decent set of horses to go to war with, most notably the current Champion Hurdler – Rock On Ruby – who should be in action at his beloved Cheltenham at their December Meeting. Noel Fehily is their main man in the saddle – he’s been on all-bar-one of their last 6 runners, with Ryan Mahon getting the leg-up on the other. With this being their rookie season then there will be a lot of focus on them, but with 6 winners and a +£27 level stakes profit from just 23 sent to post so far then things are certainly looking good.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Hereford (no runners), Exeter (1 from 1, 100%), Chepstow (0 from 1), Sandown (no runners), Warwick (no runners)
WILLIE MULLINS (14 winners from his last 29 runners, 48% strike-rate): It’s hard to keep the Mullins team out of the hot trainer’s list at present. With another 9 winners since we last spoke then there seems no let-up, while with Zaidpour and Arvika Ligeonniere big Fairyhouse winners on Sunday then we are starting to see some of their ‘big-guns’ on the track. Talking of ‘big-guns’ a certain Sir Des Champs is set to be in action at Punchestown on Sunday in the John Durkan Memorial and with the exciting Flemenstar also engaged in that race at this stage then we could be in for a mouth-watering clash. One negative (for me anyway) is that Willie has openly said that Quevega will not be targeted at the World Hurdle and Big Buck’s, with the easier Mares’ Hurdle, a race she’s dominated in recent times, the plan yet again – oh well! Maybe Zaidpour will take that route, but he’ll need really soft ground to be seen at his best and, for me, is still not in the Big Buck’s league over 3m. Despite coming second I was also impressed with Champagne Fever, last season’s Cheltenham Bumper winner – he just needs to be stepped up to 2m4f (or further), while in the coming years he could make into a really exciting chaser.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Wexford (13 from 55, 24%), Clonmel (27 from 90, 30%), Dundalk AW (5 from 42, 12%), Navan (35 from 116, 30%), Punchestown (100 from 402, 25%)
DONALD McCAIN (6 winners from his last 13 runners, 46% strike-rate): Yes, Cinders and Ashes was a disappointment for the team in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle on Saturday, but the yard are confident that better ground and with that being his first run then he will be a lot better next time- we’ll see. Despite that, however, the stable still had a good time last week with 6 winners, and with those coming off the back of a tiny lean spell then it looks as if the McCain horses are back in business. Obviously stable jockey Jason Maguire get the bulk of the rides for the yard, but it’s interesting that they’ve used AP McCoy twice (1st and 2nd) in the last week too. With 76 winners now they are currently winning that battle with Nicholls (56) and Henderson (48), but trail (£420k) by some way to them both in the all-important prize money stakes – Nicholls (£892k), Henderson (£563k). Woodpole Academy and Dreams Of Milan were two decent winners to take out of last week and with that winning experience now under their belts should progress.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Towcester (5 from 63, 8%), Catterick (17 from 78, 22%), Hereford (9 from 55, 16%), Market Rasen (13 from 87, 15%), Leicester (6 from 29, 21%), Sandown (3 from 23, 13%), Exeter (5 from 20, 25%), Aintree (13 from 133, 10%), Wetherby (26 from 109, 24%), Chepstow (5 from 40, 13%), Kelso (16 from 98, 16%)
KEITH DALGLEISH (5 winners from his last 11 runners, 45% strike-rate): Having broke the 50 winners barrier on Monday with three successes at Wolverhampton then he’s become the first Scottish-based yard to get a half-century of flat winners in a season for a long time – a great achievement considering this is only his second season operating. In fact, that treble puts them on 51 for the season, and with their horses in rude health then you suspect they will get very close to the 60 mark. With 36 of their 51 winners coming with their 4+year-old then it’s with other people’s cast-offs that Dalgleish has been excelling, but you get the impression that it won’t be long before some of the bigger owners start to fire a few horses their way - I can see Dr Marwan Koukash as a likely candidate. In terms of their AW stats they are certainly not afraid to travel to Kempton (14%) and Lingfield (29%), but you will find the bulk of their runners at Wolverhampton (21%, +£50).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield (6 from 21, 29%)
MRS K BURKE (4 winners from their last 9 runners, 44% strike-rate): Ticking along very nicely with 42 winners, 4 better than they managed in 2011, but from a punters point of view they are also showing a very healthy +£55 level stakes profit for the year too. Jockey Martin Harley has been getting the bulk of their rides of late – been on 3 of their last 9 and ridden 1 winner. With 14 juvenile winners then they’ve also got plenty to look forward to for 2013, while looking ahead they’ve got 2-3 entered down at Lingfield on Friday, a track they do well at with their 3 year-olds (23%), but you might want to steer clear of their older horses at the course as they are currently 0-from-12 in that age bracket.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (3 from 26, 12%)
JAMIE OSBORNE (4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Three of their last 4 runners to go off favourite have gone in, and with 49 winners now for the season then they need just one more winner to make this their second best ever campaign in terms of successes (best-ever 61, 2007). They are also showing a decent +£27 level stakes profit this term, and have banked £289k in total prize money so far. Their Marmot Bay has been in great heart of late with two recent wins at Wolverhampton and could be one to look out for if turned out again soon, while the way Corporal Maddox flew to win at Lingfield last week from an impossible position suggests he could be one to watch too. They've got a few heading to Lingfield later this week, but be cautious of their 2 year-olds at the track as they are currently 0-from-33 there in that age range.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (17 from 173, 10%)
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