TV Trends – Sat 1st Oct

 

 

Marcus Tregoning

Marcus Tregoning Has A Great Record in Ascot's 2.40

Can Derby winning trainer Marcus Tregoning land Ascot’s 2.40 for a sixth time this Saturday? Andy Newton continues with his weekly C4 TV trends..........


Ascot (C4 & ATR)

2.05 - JAGUAR XJ CORNWALLIS STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 Good 5f

2 of the last 10 renewals were won by the favourite
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or SHORTER in the betting
50% of the last 10 won their previous race
7 of the last 10 finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8 of the last 10 winners ran over 5f last time
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the Flying Childers (Doncaster) in their previous race
8 of the last 10 came from stall 9 or lower (note –high stall numbers are now low)
Mick Channon landed the prize in 2006 – MISS LAHAR, BETTY FONTAINE & SIGNIFIER
Peter Chapple-Hyam won the spoils in 2005 – MY PROPELLER & CHUNKY DIAMOND
Jockey Martin Dwyer won the race in 2001 and 2006 – ROYAL AWARD
Tom Dascombe is 0 from 20 with his juveniles at the track – PYMAN’S THEORY
Mick Channon has a +£18 level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds at the course - MISS LAHAR, BETTY FONTAINE & SIGNIFIER
William Buick is 0 from 19 when riding juveniles at Ascot - MY PROPELLER
Martin Dwyer has a 20% strike-rate (+£19) when riding 2 year-olds here – ROYAL AWARD
Ted Durcan is 0 from 17 when getting the leg-up on 2 year-olds here – PONTY ACCLAIM

*Note* - the 2005 renewal was run at Salisbury


2.40 - GROSVENOR CASINOS CUMBERLAND LODGE STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4

Good 1m4f

70% of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
60% of the last 10 ran at Doncaster in their last race
4 of the last 5 winners were aged 4 years-old
4 of the last 10 winners returned odds-on in the betting
7 of the last 10 won their last race
9 of the last 10 were placed in their previous race
7 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group race last time out
ALL of the last 10 winners returned 7/2 or SHORTER in the betting
Marcus Tregoning has won this race in 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2009 – YASEER
Marcus Tregoning has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds here – YASEER
John Gosden is 8 from 38 (21%, +£40) with his older horses at the track – ARTIC COSMOS


3.15 - JOHN GUEST BENGOUGH STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £39,697 CH4

Good 6f

Your first 30 days for just £1

Only 3 previous runnings
No winning favourite as yet
2 of the 3 winners returned a double-figure price
2 of the last 3 ran in the Group 3 Reniassance Stakes last time out
Chris Wall won this in 2009 with ROYAL ROCK
ALL 3 recent winners were aged 5 or YOUNGER
William Buick has a +£50 level stakes profit when riding 3 year-olds here – DINKUM DIAMOND
Kieren Fallon is only 1 from 39 when riding older horses at Ascot - GRAMERCY


3.50 - TOTESCOOP6 CHALLENGE CUP (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £93,375 CH4

Good 7f

2 winning favourites, including last year, in the past 10 runnings
9 of the last 10 winners ran in a handicap last time out
7 of the last 10 winners returned a double-figure price
8 of the last 10 carried 8-12 or LESS
ALL 10 recent winners were aged 6 or YOUNGER
8 of the last 10 were aged either 3,4 or 5 years-old
8 of the last 10 DIDN’T win their previous race
8 of the last 10 winners came from stall 11 or LOWER (note –high stall numbers are now low)
Dandy Nicholls won this 12 months ago – NASRI
Kevin Ryan won this in 2009 – PARISIAN PYRAMID
Mick Channon landed the prize in 2002 and 2003 – ATLANTIC SPORT
Kevin Ryan has the best level stakes profit (+£21) with his older horses amongst these trainers - PARISIAN PYRAMID
Kieren Fallon is only 1 from 39 when riding older horses at Ascot - HAWKEYETHENOO
Liam Keniry is 0 from 22 when getting the leg-up on 4+year-olds here – JOE PACKET

 
Newmarket (C4 & RUK)

2.25 - £300,000 TATTERSALLS MILLIONS 2YO FILLIES´ TROPHY (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £162,330 CH4
Good To Firm 7f

Only 3 previous runnings
1 winning favourite
None of the 3 won last time out
The 3 winners were drawn 7,8 and 11
Tom Queally and Clive Brittain team up with a 20/1 winner 12 months ago – WAHYLAH
The Kremlin House (Jarvis/Varian) stable took this in 2008 – BUZKASHI
Richard Hannon has a +£30 level stakes profit with his juveniles at the track – TINA’S SPIRIT, ROEDEAN, GLEE & COPLOW (Hughes)
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 44 with his 2 year-olds at Newmarket - ARSAADI
Dane O’Neill is 0 from 33 when riding 2 year-olds at the track - GLEE
Johnny Murtagh is 5 from 28 (18%) when getting the leg-up on 2 year-olds here - ANISEED


3.00 - £500,000 TATTERSALLS MILLIONS 2YO TROPHY (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £270,550 CH4

Good To Firm 7f

Only 3 previous runnings
2 of the 3 winners returned double-figure prices (33/1 & 66/1)
ALL 3 finished either 1st or 2nd last time out (2 won)
2 of the 3 came from a low draw (2,4) – (note –high stall numbers are now low)
William Haggas won the race 12 months ago – ENTIFAADHA
Richard Hannon has a +£30 level stakes profit with his juveniles at the track – TELL DAD & COUPE DE VILLE (Hughes)
Andrew Balding has a huge +£88 level stakes profit at the track with his 2 year-olds – DANCE WITH ME
Johnny Murtagh is 5 from 28 (18%) when getting the leg-up on 2 year-olds here - TALWAR
Shane Kelly is only 1 from 27 when riding juveniles at the course - MEHDI


3.35 - 32RED HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £12,450 CH4 Good To Firm 1m4f

2 of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
ALL 10 recent winners were aged 5 or YOUNGER
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or LESS
6 of the last 10 were placed last time out
3 recent winners won their last race
50% were drawn in stall 10 or HIGHER (note – high stall numbers are now low)
7 of the last 10 ran at either Kempton, York or Doncaster last time out
40% of the last 10 winners returned a double-figure price
None of the trainers on show today have won the race in the last 10 years
Richard Hills has a 17% record when riding 3 year-olds here - JAMEEL
Michael Hills is 6 from 27 (22%) when getting the leg-up on older horses at the track - GREYLAMI
Richard Hughes is only 8 from 62, but does boast a +£34 level stakes profit on older horses here – WARLU WAY
Shane Kelly is 0 from 29 when riding 4+year-olds here – BIG CREEK

Redcar (C4 & RUK)

4.00 - TOTEPOOL TWO-YEAR-OLD TROPHY (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £117,787 CH4
Good To Firm 6f

Only 1 winning favourite (2010) in the last 10 years
50% of the last 10 winners returned a double-figure price
8 of the last 10 finished third or better last time out
5 of the last 10 won their previous race
60% of the last 10 ran in a Listed or better race last time
2 recent winners came from stall 1
5 of the last 10 won from stall 14 or HIGHER
Stan Moore won this in 2007 and 2008 – EVERVESCENT, IMELDA MAYHEM & THE PENNY HORSE
Bryan Smart took this in 2005 – BOP IT & FREE ZONE
Silvestre De Sousa won this in 2006 and 2010 – BANNOCK
Saeed Bin Suroor has a 42% (5 from 12) record with his 2 year-olds at the track – GOLD CITY
Stan Moore is 3 from 5 (60%, +£46) with his juveniles at the course - EVERVESCENT, IMELDA MAYHEM & THE PENNY HORSE
Brian Meehan is 2 from 7 (29%) with his 2 year-olds at Redcar – HIDDEN PASSION
Paul Cole is 2 from 3 (67%) with his juveniles here - SILVERHEELS
Champion jockey Paul Hanagan has a 21% record when riding juveniles here - SILVERHEELS
Philip Makin is 9 from 42 (21%, +£14) when riding juveniles at the course - BOGART

 

Your first 30 days for just £1