TV Trends – 24th Sept

Dare To Dance

Dare To Dance Fits Plenty of Cambridgeshire Trends

The Betfred Cambridgeshire takes centre stage this Saturday, but did you know that 8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or LESS - Great news for the well-fancied Dare To Dance (8-9), however, are all the trends in his favour? Andy Newton looks at ALL the Live C4 races this weekend....

 

Newmarket (C4 and RUK)

2.05 - JUDDMONTE ROYAL LODGE STAKES (GROUP 2) (COLTS & GELDINGS) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £56,710 CH4  Good To Firm 1m

3 of the last 10 went to the favourite
8 of the last 10 returned 9/1 or SHORTER in the betting
50% of the last 10 won their previous race
ALL 10 recent winners were placed in their last race
A certain FRANKEL won this 12 months ago
Aidan O’Brien won this in 2001, 2006 and 2009 – WROTE, TENTH STAR, DADDY LONG LEGS
Richard Hannon has a +£34 level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds here - ROCKINANTE
John Dunlop is only 1 from 40 with his juveniles at the track - FARHAAN
Robert Winston is 0 from 13 when riding 2 year-olds here – SWING ALONE
Richard Hills has the best strike-rate (185) on offer among these jockeys on 2 year-olds at the track - FARHAAN

2.35 - JAGUAR CARS CHEVELEY PARK STAKES (GROUP 1) (FILLIES) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £92,721 CH4 Good To Firm 6f

5 of the last 10 winners were won by the favourite
7 of the last 10 returned 4/1 or SHORTER in the betting
8 of the last 10 won their previous race
ALL 10 came either 1st or 2nd in their last race
Richard Hannon won this in 2006 – BEST TERMS
Brian Meehan took the prize in 2004 and 2005 – SHUMOOS
Mick Channon won this in 2001 – QUEEN’S LOGIC
Richard Hannon has a +£31 level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds here – BEST TERMS

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3.10 - KINGDOM OF BAHRAIN SUN CHARIOT STAKES (GROUP 1) (FILLIES & MARES) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £98,902 CH4 Good To Firm 1m

9 of the last 10 were placed in their previous race
40% of the last 10 winners won their last race
3 of the last 10 won a Group 3 last time out
2 of the last 10 went to the favourite
6 of the last 10 winners returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 3 years-old
NO winner aged older than 5 years-old – bad news for SAHPRESA
SAHPRESA has won the last 2 renewals
Aidan O’Brien won this in 2008 – TOGEHTER
Mick Channon took this prize in 2007 – MUSIC SHOW
Sir Henry Cecil has a 26% record with his older horses here – TIMEPIECE and CHACHAMAIDEE
Mick Channon is only 2 from 35 with his older horses at the track – MUSIC SHOW
Tom Queally has a +£38 level stakes profit when riding older horses at HQ - TIMEPIECE

3.50 - BETFRED CAMBRIDGESHIRE (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £99,600 CH4 Good To Firm 1m1f

ALL 10 recent winners had 5 or more career runs
ALL 10 were trained in the UK
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or LESS
8 of the last 10 were drawn in a double-figure stall – note: With the stall changes, low number might be favoured now
7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 4 in their last race
60% of the last 10 were aged either 3 or 4 years-old
60% were drawn in stall 17 or higher - note: With the stall changes, low number might be favoured now
5 of the last 10 winners ran at Newbury last time out
2 winning favourites in the last 10 renewals
Only 1 of the last 10 won their previous race
John Gosden has the best recent record, winning the race in 1994, 2007 and 2008 - QUESTIONING

Chester (C4 and RUK)

4.10 - BEST FOOTBALL PRICES AT VICTORCHANDLER.COM HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) CH4 Good To Soft 1m2f

5 previous runnings
1 winning favourite
ALL 5 carried 8-12 or LESS – Bad news for top-weight BELLE ROYALE
4 of the 5 returned 4/1 or BIGGER in the betting
4 of the last 5 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3 of the last 5 race at Doncaster in their previous race
4 of the last 5 came from stall 7 or HIGHER
William Haggas won this in 2009 – GROOMED
Richard Fahey took the prize in 2008 – CALAF
William Haggas has a 23% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds here - GROOMED
Darryll Holland is 4 from 14 (29%) when riding 3 year-olds at the track – IVAN VASILEVICH

Haydock (C4 and RUK)

3.20 - SPORTS360.CO.UK LESTER PIGGOTT "START TO FINISH" HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £19,407 CH4 Soft 5f

2 of the last 9 went to the favourite
4 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
ALL 9 carried 9-4 or LESS
8 of the 9 were aged older than 3
8 of the last 10 came from stall 12 or LOWER
7 of the last 9 finished UNPLACED last time out
40% of the last 10 ran at Ayr last time out
NO winning 5 year-old in the last 9 renewals
Richard Price’s CHEVETON won this 12 months ago
Kevin Ryan won this in 2009 – DICKIE’S LAD, FALASTEEN and RACY
Eric Alston won this in 2002 – FOXY MUSIC
In-form Roger Varian has a 33% (5 from 15) record with his 3 year-olds here - STEPS
Kevin Ryan is only 1 from 38 with his 3 year-olds at the track – DICKIE’S LAD
Michael Dods is 9 from 46 (20%) with his older horses here – RAIN DELAYED
Richard Price has a 21% (7 from 34 and +£37) with his 4+year-olds at Haydock - CHEVETON
Kieren Fallon has a 21% (4 from 19) when riding older horses here – ADICTIVE DREAM
Eddie Ahern is 0 from 35 when riding 4+year-olds at the track – HAZELRIGG

Market Rasen (C4 and RUK)

2.20 - TOTESCOOP6 "PRELUDE" HURDLE (HANDICAP) (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4
Good To Firm 2m1f

Only 3 previous runnings
No winning favourite
ALL 3 returned at a double-figure price
Last 2 winners were 8 year-olds
Martin Keighley is 4 from 31 (31%) with his hurdlers at the track – TRI NATIONS
Tony Carroll is 3 from 11 (27%) with his hurdlers at the course – KING OLAV
Tim Vaughan is 13 from 51 (25%) with his hurdlers here - ERDELI
Felix De Giles is 3 from 12 (25%) when riding hurdlers at Market Rasen - TATISPOUT

2.50 - TOTEPOOL "PRELUDE" HANDICAP CHASE (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good To Firm 2m6f110y

7 previous runnings
NO winning favourite
3 of the 7 returned a double-figure price
5 of the 7 carried 11-0 or LESS
NO winner older than 9 years-old
NO winner younger than 6 years-old
3 of the last 7 were aged 6 years-old
Peter Bowen won the race in 2007, 2008 and 2009 – NO PANIC, RIO GAEL, NORTH ISLAND & SUNDAY CITY
Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 30% record with his chasers here – MAD MOOSE & SWINCOMBE ROCK
Donald McCain is 7 from 27 with his chasers at the track – ALDERLEY ROVER
In-form Charlie Longsdon has a 27% record with his chasers at Market Rasen - OSTLAND
Felix De Giles has a 27% record with his chasers here - OSTLAND
Graham Lee is just 2 from 47 with his chasers at the course – PEACHY MOMENT

 

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2 replies
  1. Ian S
    Ian S says:

    I backed the winner of the Cambrigeshire yesterday and got it at 50/1 ;). Everyone asked how I picked it out. My logic was simple: I was looking for a 3-5yo, carrying 9-2 or less, drawn very high and showed some decent form of late… step forward Prince of Johannes 🙂

    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Well done Ian. I think the trends were spot on. I was looking at 4-6yo, first four last time out, and below 9-02. Bingo for both winner and second. But I passed the race… Doh!

      Matt

Comments are closed.