TV Trends – Sat 20th Aug

Saturday's TV Trends

Saturday's TV Trends

Did you know that 8 of the last 10 Ebor winners carried 9-1 or less and returned at double-figure odds? Andy Newton gives you his weekly dose of big race trends and stats from Saturday’s main TV races.....

York (RUK & C4)

2.00 - DEBENHAMS CITY OF YORK STAKES (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £23,680 CH4 7f

YA WAYL took the race 12 months ago
2 of the last 10 renewals went to the favourite
8 of the last 10 winners were aged either 3 or 4 years-old
5 of the last 10 returned 5/1 or SHORTER in the betting
3 Course and Distance winners in the field – DREAM EATER, REGAL PARADE and YAA WAYL
7 of the last 10 came from a single-figure draw
7 of the last 10 winners finished 4th or BETTER in their last race
Andrew Balding won this in 2009 with DREAM EATER (Balding also won the race in 2003)
William Haggas landed the prize in 2002 and 2004 – DAFEEF
Richard Hannon took this in 2001 – KING TORUS
Richard Fahey is +£27.50 with his 3 year-olds at the track – MAJESTIC MYLES
Dandy Nicholls is only 8 from 145 with his older horses at York – REGAL PARADE
Frankie Dettori has a 22% record when riding 4+year-olds at the track – YAA WAYL
Richard Hughes is 5 from 18 (28%) when getting the leg-up on 3 year-olds at the course – KING TORUS

2.30 - BETFRED MELROSE STAKES (HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) Winner £42,049 CH4 1m6f

3 of the last 9 went to the favourite (1 co-fav)
ALL 9 recent winners returned 10/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the 9 carried 9-0 or LESS
6 of the last 9 winners were NOT placed in their previous race
8 of the last 9 were drawn 8 or LOWER
John Dunlop has taken the prize in 2005 and 2009 – MASARAAT
Luca Cumani won the race in 2004 and 2007 – LYRIC STREET
Sir Michael Stoute landed the spoils in 2001 – KINYRAS
Jockey Richard Hills won this in 2005 and 2009 – MASARAAT
Kieren Fallon took this in 2001 and 2004 - LYRIC STREET
John Dunlop has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at York - MASARAAT
William Haggas is 6 from 22 (27%) with this age group at the track - THUBIAAN
Sir Mark Prescott Bt is 2 from 6 with his 3 year-olds here - MOTIVADO
Mahmood Al Zarooni is 3 from 5 with his 3 year-olds at the course – PARLOUR GAMES
Mark Johnston is ONLY 3 from 82 when running 3 year-olds at York – HALIFAX and THE BELLS O PEOVER
Eddie Ahern has a 24% record when riding 3 year-olds here - HALIFAX
Richard Hughes is 5 from 18 on the this age group at York - KINYRAS
3.05 - WEATHERBYS INSURANCE LONSDALE CUP (BRITISH CHAMPIONS´ SERIES) (GROUP 2) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £79,394 CH4 2m

4 of the last 9 went to the favourite
6 of the last 9 winners returned 9/2 or SHORTER in the betting
4 year-olds have the best recent record, winning 4 of the last 9 renewals
7 of the last 9 finished fourth or BETTER in their previous race
Some small field in the past, but all 9 were drawn 7 or LOWER
NO horse older than 8 years-old – bad news for BLUE BAJAN (9)
NO 3 year-old in the last 9 runnings – a negative for HIGHLAND CASTLE
David Elsworth won this back in 2001 – HIGHLAND CASTLE
Frankie Dettori took this race in 2006 and 2010 – OPINION POLL
OPINION POLL won this for Michael Jarvis 12 months ago and tries again, this time for Godolphin
Andrew Balding is only 1 from 17 with his older horses at the track – CHIBERTA KING
Frankie Dettori has a 22% strike-rate when riding 4+year-olds at the track – OPINON POLL
Kieren Fallon has a +£35.00 level stakes profit on older horses at York – ELYAADI


3.40 - BETFRED EBOR (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £130,725 CH4 1m6f

Your first 30 days for just £1

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 renewals
8 of the last 10 were drawn in stall 14 or higher
8 of the last 10 were trained in the UK
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or LESS
8 of the last 10 winners returned a double, or even TRIPLE figure price
5 year-olds have the best recent record, winning 6 of the last 10
5 of the last 10 were placed in their previous race
3 out of 10 ran at Goodwood last time out
3 out of 10 ran at Ascot last time out
2 out of 10 ran at Galway last time out
NO horse older than 6 years-old has won in the last 10 years
John Dunlop (40%) has the best strike-rate on offer with his older horses here – HARLESTONE TIMES
Frankie Dettori is 12 from 54 (22%) when riding older horses at York – LOST IN THE MOMENT
Mark Johnston is only 2 from 66 with his 4+year-olds at the track – FOX HUNT


4.15 - JULIA GRAVES ROSES STAKES (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £14,800 RUK 5f

1 winning favourite in the last 9 years
Only 1 double-figure priced winner in the last 9
6 of the last 9 returned between 7/2 and 7/1 (inc)
Bryan Smart took this in 2007 – EXCELETTE
Tim Easterby landed the prize in 2001 – LAST BID
Despite having a 15% strike-rate with his 2 year-olds here, Richard Fahey is also -£26.00 - CITYBELL
Paul Hanagan boasts a 19% record at the track with his 2 year-olds - CITYBELL
Eddie Ahern has a 21% strike-rate with his juveniles at the course – FACTORY TIME
Silvestre De Sousa is 5 from 26 (19%) when getting the leg-up on 2 year-olds here - VOCATIONAL

4.50 - BETFRED BONUS KING STAKES (NURSERY) (CLASS 2) (2yo) Winner £9,704 RUK 1m

No previous runnings
Despite having a 15% strike-rate with his 2 year-olds here, Richard Fahey is also -£26.00 – HOLY ROMAN WARRIOR
Silvestre De Sousa is 5 from 26 (19%) when getting the leg-up on 2 year-olds here - COMICAL
Eddie Ahern has a 21% strike-rate with his juveniles at the course – WOLFGANG
Michael Easterby is only 1 from 43 with his 2 year-olds at the track – RISKY ART

5.20 - TYREGIANT.COM STAKES (HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-100) Winner £12,938 RUK 5f

2 of the last 9 went to the favourite (1 joint)
7 of the last 9 winners returned at double-figure odds
7 of the last 9 winners carried 9-0 or LESS
Jockey Graham Gibbons has won this in 2007 and 2009 – THIRTEEN SHIVERS
Richard Fahey has a 15% strike-rate and a +£27 level stakes profit with his 3 year-olds here -
Tim Easterby is only 3 from 48 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track - BERBERANA
Eddie Ahern is 7 from 29 when riding 3 year-old at York – THE THRILL IS GONE
Richard Hughes has a 28% strike-rate on 3 year-olds here – QUALITY ART
David Allen is only 2 from 31 on 3 year-olds at the course – COCKTAIL CHARLIE

*Note* - York % strike-rates could alter slightly after Friday's racing


Sandown (C4 and RUK)

2.15 – VARIETY CLUB STAKES (HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £27,390 CH4 1m2f

Only 2 previous runnings
Richard Hannon took the prize last year – CHAIN LIGHTENING and CAI SHEN
Both won by a 3 or 4 year-old
Both winners carried 9-5 or MORE
Sir Michael Stoute has a 26% record with his 3 year-olds here – ARCH FIRE
Richard Hannon is only 13 from 143 (9%) with his 3 year-olds at the Esher track - CHAIN LIGHTENING and CAI SHEN
Luca Cumani has an impressive 28% (8 from 29) record with his older horses here – FORTE DEI MARMI
Jockey Jimmy Fortune is only 3 from 75 (4%) when riding older horses at the course – BEAUMONT’S PARTY
Andrea Atzeni is 3 from 10 (30%) when riding 4+ year-olds at Sandown – RAMONA CHASE

2.45 - SUNSHINE COACH SOLARIO STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £19,849 CH4 7f

3 of the last 5 went to the favourite
Jimmy Fortune has won this race in 2001, 2002 and 2007 – TALWAR
John Gosden took the prize in2002, 2004 and 2007 – EASTERN SUN
TALWAR is the only Course and Distance winner in the line-up
Richard Hannon won the race in 2001 – TRUMPET MAJOR
Jeremy Noseda is 2 from 8 with his 2 year-olds here – TALWAR
John Gosden has a 25% strike-rate with his juveniles at the track – EASTERN SUN
Richard Hannon is the only trainer showing a level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds here (+£15) – TRUMPET MAJOR

Your first 30 days for just £1