Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th September

27th August to 2nd September

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th September

This time of year is one of my favourite periods on the racing calendar, especially as this week we have Doncaster’s St Leger meeting to enjoy.

I have arranged trainer lists from various areas of the country regarding how the handlers have fared at Doncaster this season, some of which make for really interesting reading.

Selection of Yorkshire based trainers:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

3/7--Tim Walford (11/2**-7/2*-4/1)

3/23--Michael Dods (25/1-6/4*-16/1)

3/24--Brian Ellison (9/2*-16/1-3/1*)

3/29--David O'Meara (7/1-6/4*-6/1)

3/30--Mark Johnston (7/4*-9/4*-2/1**)

3/44--Tim Easterby (8/1-15/2-6/1)

2/6--Julie Camacho (40/1 & 16/1)

2/18--Mick Easterby (16/1 & 11/4*)

2/21--David Barron (7/4 & 7/2**)

2/23--Kevin Ryan (11/2-4/1)

1/11--Bryan Smart (5/1)

1/17--David Nicholls (4/1)

0/11--'Team Burke'

 

Selection of Newmarket trainers:

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

3/11--Roger Varian (6/4*-11/8-9/2)

3/12--John Gosden (10/3-11/4-7/2)

2/5--Charlie Appleby (6/1 & 9/2)

2/5--David Simcock (3/1 & 13/8*)

2/7--Lady Cecil (11/2 & 16/1)

2/8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/4* & 11/8*)

2/9--Chris Wall (6/4* & 9/4*)

2/10--James Fanshawe (4/1-5/4*)

1/14--Luca Cumani (5/6*)

1/19--Michael Bell (Evs*)

0/8--Jeremy Noseda

0/10--Ed Dunlop

 

Selection of trainers from ‘other locations‘:

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

3/14--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*)

1/2--Roger Charlton (10/1)

1/3--Henry Candy (6/4*)

1/5--Ian Williams (14/1)

1/6--Clive Cox (6/4)

1/7--Ralph Beckett (3/1)

1/14--Jim Goldie (15/8*)

0/5--Andrew Balding

0/6--Brian Meehan

0/7--Tom Dascombe

0/9--David Evans

0/18--Mick Channon

 

Daily details as follows:

TUESDAY 10/09:

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 111

Favourite stats: 45 (40.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/24 (45.8%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

7/27--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)

5/9--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

4/7--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)

4/8--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

4/15--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

102/111 winners (91.9%) returned at odds of 11/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)

3--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7)

2.20: Mark Johnston has saddled four of the last eleven winners of this opening event and his Shamardal colt Sherston should come on a ton for his debut effort at Chester when the late May foal found the experience (and the bends on the Roodee) all too much for him.   Favourites have won four of the last nine renewals, whilst eight winners during the last eleven years were sent off at odds of 7/1 or less.  Eight of the last eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Three renewals have slipped by since a successful market leader was recorded during which time, two 12/1 chances have scored.

2.50: Five of the last seven winners have carried weights of nine stones or more, whilst four-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests whilst filling six of the last 15 available toteplacepot positions.  Just two favourites have prevailed via the last nine renewals during which time, four winners were sent off at 33/1-33/1-25/1-10/1.

3.20: All six winners have carried a maximum burden of 8-12 to date and the pick of the relevant 13 horses on this occasion might prove to be Kantara Castle who represents Richard Hannon who boasts stats of 5/13 in the juvenile sector at Leicester this year.  Richard’s 38% strike rate has produced a level stake profit of 31 points this term.

3.50: Three-year-olds have won all four renewals to date whereby the lone vintage representative Nautilus jumps straight off the page from the John Gosden camp.  John’s beaten favourite will appreciate this company having raced at Newmarket on the last three occasions, whilst John’s 8/20 ratio at the venue with his three-year-olds during the last five years only add further confidence.

4.20: Lady Cecil has won with three of just eleven juvenile runners thus far during which time, the trainer having secured a level profit stake of over twenty-seven points in the two-year-old sector in the process.  James Doyle rides Dorset Cream for Julie here, having won on his only mount for the trainer to date.  Ten of the last eleven winners of this race scored at odds of 9/1 or less, whilst four of the last seven favourites have prevailed.  Six of the last 11 favourites have finished in the money from a toteplacepot perspective.

4.50: The last 11 winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less, statistics which include four successful market leaders.  Seven of the eleven favourites during the study period secured toteplacepot positions.  Roger Varian has emerged from a really lean spell by his high standards and his Acclamation colt Rocky ground is favoured by the terms of this event to the point where Jamie Spencer’s mount is my nap on the Leicester card.

5.20: All eight win and place positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-1 thus far.

 

Beverley:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 123

Favourite stats: 44 (36.1%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

14/62--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*-5/2-12/1-7/2*-13/8*-4/1-13/2-11/10*-2/1*)

10/35--David O'Meara (5/6*-10/1-5/2*-7/2-8/1-9/2-10/11*-7/4*-13/2-17/2)

9/40--Mick Easterby (15/8*-5/1-9/1-7/1-5/1-15/2-11/2-6/1-2/1)

7/18--Brian Ellison (40/1-11/1-4/1-5/4*-12/1-11/2-3/1**)

5/28--David Nicholls (14/1-12/1-3/1*-8/1-6/4*)

5/31--Kevin Ryan (9/2-8/1-2/1-6/1-15/8*)

5/52--Richard Fahey (15/8*-20/1-12/1-6/1-11/2)

5/65--Tim Easterby (14/1-14/1-9/4*-4/6*-10/3)

4/5--James Turner (4/1-5/4*-15/8*-9/2*)

113/124 (91.1%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Mark Johnston (7/4-9/4**-11/4*-7/4-6/4-Evs)

5--Mick Easterby (7/2-9/4-9/2**-2/1-7/4)

3--Richard Fahey (10/11-5/2-11/4)

3--Steve Gollings (4/1-3/1-7/2)

3--Phil Kirby (6/5-13/8-9/4)

3--David O'Meara (9/4**-11/4-10/11)

3--Jason Tate (5/4-6/5-13/8)

3--Tracy Waggott (3/1-3/1-9/2**)

 

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Redcar: 82

Favourite stats: 34 (41.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

9/41--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3)

4/11--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)

4/15--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)

79/83 (95.2%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2)

4--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1)

3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)

3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)

3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

 

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Worcester: 120

Favourite stats: 47 (39.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:

14--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4)

7--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*)

5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)

4--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*)

4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)

4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)

107/120 winners (89.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

12--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**-7/2**-15/8-13/8)

5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)

4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)

4--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)

3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2)

 

WEDNESDAY 11/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 129

Favourite stats: 45 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

107/129 winners (82.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

4--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

2.00: Seven of the nine win and place positions to date have been secured by horses carrying weights of 9-3 more, statistics which include all three (25/1-9/2-9/2) winners. Two of the three favourites have secured toteplacepot position thus far (one winner).

2.30: Five of the last fifteen favourites have prevailed (though only two of the last twelve), whilst eight of the fifteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.  Expert is proving to be a really consistent type for Richard Hannon who has secured the last three contests in which he was represented.

3.00: The last thirteen winners of this Listed event have carried weights of 9-7 or more, which (like last year) eliminates the bottom three horses if you take the stats literally.  Three favourites have prevailed during the last sixteen years, whilst ten of the eighteen market leaders reached the frame during the study period.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last ten renewals in this Listed contest.

3.35: All four favourites (via three renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include all three (5/1-9/2-4/1) winners.

4.10: Eight of the fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four successful favourites.  Three-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals of this Conditions event.

4.45: Five of the six winners to date have carried 9-2 or less, whilst two of the seven market leaders (via six renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions to date (no winners).

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

8-13-7 (14 ran-good)

9-10-1 (12 ran-good)

6-8-3 (12 ran-good)

6-2-10 (9 ran-good to firm)

11-4-8 (14 ran-soft)

12-5-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

5.15: Four-year-olds have won six of the last ten renewals whilst three favourites have prevailed during the last eleven years.  The last ten winners have carried a maximum weight of nine stones.

 

Carlisle:

CARLISLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Carlisle: 61

Favourite stats: 19 (31.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/4

Leading trainers at Carlisle (flat) in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

6/32--Tim Easterby (7/2-16/1-25/1-6/1-15/8*-9/1)

4/8--Ann Duffield (5/1-4/1-15/2-9/2)

4/29--Keith Dalgleish (3/1-9/2-12/1-9/4*)

3/5--Declan Carroll (5/2*-11/2-5/2*)

3/16--Mark Johnston (7/1-7/2-3/1**)

3/21--Brian Ellison (7/2*-2/1*-6/4*)

54/62 winners (87.1%) to date have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Richard Fahey (Evs-9/4-9/4-5/2-3/1)

4--Brian Ellison (11/2-7/2-7/2-7/2**)

4--David O'Meara (6/4-9/4-6/4-3/1**)

3--Michael Easterby (7/2**-9/4-5/4)

3--Kevin Ryan (8/13-10/11-3/1)

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 102

Favourite stats: 30 (29.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

5--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

11--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8)

7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)

4--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

 

Kempton:

Dean Ivory has already matched his best tally (31) of any season during the last five years and although his strike rate at Kempton stands at just 10% during the period, Dean’s level stake profit of twenty-three points at the track suggests that Shaunas Spirit (8.45) might be worth an each way play at a decent price.  Aside from three potential runners at Doncaster, Shaunas Spirit is Dean’s only representative this week.

 

THURSDAY 12/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 129

Favourite stats: 45 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

107/129 winners (82.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

4--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

Nursery event scheduled for 1.40: Twelve of the thirteen winners have carried weights of 9-3 or less, whilst two of the fourteen market leaders have prevailed thus far, with six of the other market leaders claiming additional toteplacepot positions.  Aside from the winning 9/4 and 3/1 favourites, the other scorers were returned at 20/1--20/1--16/1--12/1--12/1--12/1--10/1--13/2--8/1--11/2--9/2.

'Draw factor' (six and a half furlongs)

17-1-14-19 (18 ran-good)

1-4-5 (13 ran-good)

1-12-6-10 (18 ran-good)

7-6-3 (11 ran-good to firm)

16-2-14-8 (16 ran-soft)

3-9-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-8-9 (13 ran-heavy)

11-4-10 (14 ran-firm)

15-12-11-14 (22 ran-good)

5-6-14-3 (17 ran-good to firm)

19-1-14-3 (20 ran-good)

12-22-8-21 (22 ran-good to firm)

10-13-17-16 (17 ran-good to firm)

‘Sceptre Stakes’ scheduled for 2.10: Three-year-olds have won twelve of the last fifteen renewals, whilst four favourites have won this race in the last sixteen years.  Seven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot position in the process.  Seven winners during the last decade have been returned at a top price of 4/1.

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

16-17-1 (18 ran-good)

7-6-1 (11 ran-good)

10-7-9 (13 ran-good)

5-6-1 (10 ran-good to firm)

12-9-6 (12 ran-soft)

3-8-9 (15 ran-good to firm)

4-6-10 (9 ran-good)

7-2-13 (15 ran-good to firm)

6-16-19 (17 ran-good)

8-10-7 (15 ran-good to firm)

14-12-13 (13 ran-good)

13-7-3 (11 ran-good to firm)

9-5-2 (11 ran-good to firm)

5-4-11 (14 ran-good)

£300,000 added 2YO Stakes event scheduled for 2.40: There were still 119 horses standing at the five-day stage at the time of writing!  Nine of the fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions which is a fair record in this competitive event (four winning favourites via the last nine renewals), especially as just three places are up for grabs in this cavalry charge.

'Draw factor' (six and a half furlongs)

10-7-6 (21 ran-good)

13-4-19 (21 ran-good)

4-12-2 (21 ran-Good)

21-4-1 (19 ran-good to firm)

16-17-9 (21 ran-soft)

7-20-13 (22 ran-good to firm)

10-18-15 (22 ran-good to firm)

12-17-19 (22 ran-good)

5-15-13 (22 ran-good)

17-18-21 (21 ran-good)

22-20-17 (22 ran-good to firm)

4-10-3 (22 ran-good)

6-1-18 (21 ran-good to firm)

11-4-20 (22 ran-good)

‘Park Hill Stakes’ scheduled for 3.15: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last sixteen renewals, though four-year-olds come into this year’s contest on a four timer.  Three clear market leaders have prevailed during the last sixteen years, alongside a co favourite of three.  Twelve of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

One mile maiden juvenile event due to be contested at 3.50: Seven of the last sixteen market leaders have won, whilst a horse returned at 6/4 (second favourite) also obliged during the period.  Fourteen of the sixteen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.  ‘Team Hills’ have secured four victories during the last decade, with Charlie coming to this year’s party on a hat trick.  Charlie held two options at the penultimate entry stage.

'Draw factor' (eight furlongs):

8-11-13 (15 ran-good)

5-16-8 (15 ran-good)

13-11-15 (15 ran-good)

3-10-1 (9 ran-good to firm)

10-5-2 (12 ran-soft)

3-8-9 (11 ran-soft)

6-3-5 (11 ran-good to firm)

6-1-10 (10 ran-good to firm)

3-8-4 (11 ran-good)

7-17-9 (17 ran-good)

9-3-13 (13 ran-good)

12-3-6 (14 ran-good to firm)

2-1-9 (10 ran-good)

10-2-1 (12 ran-good to firm)

7-2-9 (16 ran-good)

7-3-1 (8 ran-good to firm)

Six furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 4.25: Three of the six favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include one winner.  Four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs)

19-7-17-14 (16 ran-good)

16-20-18-13 (21 ran-good)

4-21-8-13 (19 ran-good)

18-17-20-8 (20 ran-good to firm)

16-18-2-17 (21 ran-soft)

17-15-12-16 (20 ran-good to firm)

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 5.00: Nine of the last ten winners carried weights of 9-1 or more, whilst the same number of gold medallists were returned at odds of 13/2 or less, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 94

Favourite stats: 33 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

6/24--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*-7/4*-4/1-9/2)

5/37--David Evans (7/1-7/1-5/4*-9/2-11/4*)

5/37--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1-4/1)

4/27--Mick Channon (3/1**-7/4-10/1-9/4*)

83/94 winners (88.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4-2/1)

4--Andrew Balding (7/4**-7/2-6/4-9/4)

4--Clive Cox (15/8-5/4-2/1-Evs)

4--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**-11/4)

3--Mick Channon (7/4-7/4-4/6)

3--Ron Harris (5/1****-7/4-7/2**)

3--Malcolm Saunders (3/1-6/4-2/1)

 

Epsom:

EPSOM DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Epsom: 63

Favourite stats: 15 (23.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/8 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Epsom in 2013:

5/23--Richard Hannon (3/1**-13/8-13/8*-11/8*-2/9*)

4/8--David Simcock (12/1-7/4*-5/1-3/1)

4/15--Richard Fahey (10/1-25/1-9/2-5/1)

4/23--Mark Johnston (3/1-7/4-7/2-7/2)

3/21--Andrew Balding (3/1*-11/4-7/2)

57/63 (90.5%) of the winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Richard Hannon (3/1**-5/4-11/4-6/5-15/8-5/6-3/1)

5--Mark Johnston (6/5-1/2-5/2-10/3-7/4)

3--Gary Moore (5/6-Evs-5/2)

 

Wolverhampton:

George Baker has saddled two gold and two silver medallists via his last five runners and with a 22% strike rate via forty runners at Wolverhampton in the last five years, George’s runners are worth a second glance, especially given his LSP reading of twenty-three points at the venue.

 

FRIDAY 13/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 129

Favourite stats: 45 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

107/129 winners (82.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

4--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

‘Flying Childers’ juvenile event scheduled for 1.40: Eight favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst nine of the seventeen market leaders (joint favourites were returned in 1999) secured toteplacepot positions.  Fifty seven horses have contested this event at odds of 12/1 or more during the last eleven years without success.  Richard Hannon held three options earlier in the week having saddled three of the last eight winners of this contest.

'Draw factor' (five furlongs):

7-1-6 (9 ran-good)

2-4-1 (10 ran-good)

2-11-10 (12 ran-good)

9-2-4 (10 ran-good to firm)

11-7-6 (12 ran-soft)

4-3-6 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-9-4 (9 ran-heavy)

7-3-12 (11 ran-firm)

6-12-3 (13 ran-good)

8-7-1 (14 ran-good to firm)

13-12-14 (13 ran-good)

3-6-2 (11 ran-good to firm)

13-7-9 (14 ran-good to firm)

2-8-6 (13 ran-good)

5-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

‘Mallard Stakes’ scheduled for 2.10: Thirteen of the last sixteen winners have carried weights of 9-5 or less, whilst nine three-year-olds have won during the study period.  Five clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last sixteen years, though only three of the other fourteen favourites claimed additional toteplacepot positions.

‘Doncaster Cup’ due to be contested at 2.40: Four favourites have won the Doncaster Cup since 1998, though eleven of the other twelve favourites during the study period finished out of the frame. Four-year-olds have secured seven of the sixteen available toteplacepot positions during the last six years, statistics which include three (5/2-15/8-11/10) winners.  Irish trainers have saddled three of the last six gold medallists.

‘May Hill Stakes’ scheduled for 3.15: Richard Hannon‘s only option at the five-day stage was Lustrous who won her debut last Thursday, the trainer having secured two of the last eight renewals of this event.  Seven market leaders have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eleven favourites secured toteplacepot positions.

Six and a half furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 4.25: Richard Fahey had saddled gold and a silver medallists via just three renewals before the 2011 33/1 selection (typically) finished fourth in the fifteen runner handicap event!  Richard held two options earlier in the week for this contest.  Four-year-olds have secured nine of the sixteen available win and place positions.  The 5/2 favourite secured a toteplacepot position in the inaugural running before the last three market leaders finished down the field.

'Draw factor' (six and a half furlongs)

2-13-12-3 (16 ran-good)

3-2-10 (15 ran-good)

11-7-13-14 (18 ran-good)

2-3-10 (11 ran-good to firm)

 

Sandown:

SANDOWN DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 99

Favourite stats: 40 (40.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-Runner)

Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Sandown in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

11/71--Richard Hannon (3/1-13/8*-11/10*-3/1**-5/4*-1/4*-4/1**-8/11*-8/1-13/2-12/1)

7/36--Andrew Balding (8/1-14/1-11/1-7/4*-11/4-9/2-11/2)

6/29--Sir Michael Stoute (8/1-4/1-5/1-5/6*-1/5*-15/8*)

4/17--William Haggas (11/8*-5/2*-3/1-9/2)

4/18--John Gosden (13/8*-4/1-11/8*-2/7*)

4/26--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-11/10*-9/2-3/1)

91/100 (91.0%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (11/4**-3/1-11/10-11/4**-11/4-11/4-2/1-15/8)

6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1**-5/4-7/2-7/2-6/4-6/4)

5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/5-6/4-7/2-11/8-9/4)

5--John Gosden (3/1-5/1***-11/4**-13/8-5/2**)

4--William Haggas (13/8-11/4**-3/1**-4/5)

4--Jeremy Noseda (7/4 & 5/1***-5/2-2/1)

3--Roger Charlton (9/4-5/2**-15/8)

3--Brian Meehan (Evs-11/4**-15/8)

3--Roger Varian (9/4-10/11-7/2)

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bangor: 53

Favourite stats: 25 (47.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:

6--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*)

4--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*)

3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)

3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2)

51/53 winners (96.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)

6--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (10/11 & 2/5)

 

Wolverhampton:

The first four favourites won on the corresponding card twelve months ago, whilst all eight winners were sent off at a top price of 7/1.  Alan Bailey held four entries at Wolverhampton this week at the time of writing and with the trainer having saddled three of his last seven runners to winning effect, Alan might increase his level stake profit at Dunstall Park during the next few days.

 

SATURDAY 14/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 129

Favourite stats: 45 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

107/129 winners (82.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

4--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

‘Champagne Stakes’ due to be contested at 2.05: Six favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst ten of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Richard Hannon comes to the gig on a hat trick with Anjaal being his only potential runners at the five-day stage.

‘Portland Handicap’ scheduled for 2.40: The last eleven winners have carried 8-11 or more, whilst five-year-olds have won the last six renewals.  Four favourites have won during the last sixteen years, which is a perfectly respectable ratio given the competitive nature of this event.  Level stake punters would have shown a profit of £600.00 for a one hundred pound investment on market leaders during the study period.  Seven of the last nineteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.  Ten of the last twelve winners were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 and 20/1.

'Draw factor' (five and a half furlongs)

21-18-12-16 (20 ran-good)

15-7-16-19 (21 ran-good to firm)

7-6-16-8 (22 ran-good)

16-22-2-17 (22 ran-good to firm)

18-9-14-21 (21 ran-soft)

21-11-14-12 (21 ran-good to firm)

5-22-7-4 (21 ran-good to firm)

13-1-8-12 (22 ran-good)

15-22-8-9 (22 ran-good)

20-16-11-2 (22 ran-good)

9-16-19-14 (22 ran-good to firm)

8-11-9-16 (22 ran-good)

16-20-22-18 (21 ran-good to firm)

10-14-8-3 (21 ran-good)

6-22-19-7 (22 ran-good to firm)

‘Park Stakes’ due to be contested at 3.15: Older horses (aged four or more) have secured seven of the last eight renewals of this event, whilst seven of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

‘St Leger’ scheduled for 3.50: Seven clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last sixteen years.  Fifteen of the seventeen favourites have finished in the frame during the study period.  Aidan O’Brien has won the St Leger three times during the last twelve years, whilst John Gosden has saddled three of the last six winners of the final classic of the season.  Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled two of the last nine winners and Silvestre De Sousa was already jocked aboard his only potential runner in the race at the time of writing, namely Secret Number.

Class 2 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 4.25: Four of the last seven renewals have fallen the way of favourites of one description or another.  Four-year-olds have secured four of the last eight renewals.

One mile Nursery event scheduled for 5.00: Favourites have won three of the last four renewals which last year’s market leader was only beaten half a length when securing the silver medal.  Six of the last twelve favourites have finished in the frame.

Class 2 one mile handicap scheduled for 6.05: Three-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals, whilst two favourites have won via nine contests during the last decade. Eight of the fifteen recent market leaders secured win and place positions.  Saeed Bin Suroor comes to the party on a hat trick with the trainer holding four options for the final race of the four-day meeting at the time of writing.

 

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bath 114

Favourite stats: 45 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 15/21 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:

7/29--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)

6/11--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)

5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)

5/11--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1)

5/20--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2)

4/15--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1)

4/38--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*)

104/114 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)

4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)

4--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6)

3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)

3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)

3--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)

3--Jonathan Geake (9/4-6/4-6/4)

 

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chester: 90

Favourite stats: 30 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Chester in 2013:

9/60--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2-7/4*-11/4-9/2-15/8*)

8/52--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2-9/2-5/1-5/6*-9/4*)

4/32--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**-4/1)

88/90 winners (97.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2-10/11-4/1****-5/2-9/4-7/2-7/2)

7--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs-3/1**-3/1**-5/2)

5--Tom Dascombe (3/1-Evs-3/1**-5/4-9/4)

4--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4-4/1)

4--Brain Ellison (3/1-4/1****-5/2**-5/2)

3--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/5-3/1)

3--Charlie Hills (10/3-5/4-11/8)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (15/8-3/1-6/4)

3--Ian Williams (7/2-3/1-2/1)

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (TURF) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Lingfield: 89

Favourite stats: 40 (44.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/13 (76.9%)

Leading trainers of (turf) winners at Lingfield in 2013:

4/8--Ralph Beckett (5/4*-8/1-Evs*-2/7*)

4/11--John Jenkins (8/1-5/1-3/1*-5/2**)

83/89 (93.3%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Ian Williams (6/4-2/1-7/4-9/4)

3--David Evans (11/4-11/4-9/4)

3--Richard Hannon (11/4-Evs-5/2)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (7/4-2/1-15/8)

 

Kempton:

James Fanshawe continues to churn out the winners at an alarming rate (43.9% strike rate since the start of August) and his 24% strike rate via forty-six winners at Kempton in recent times is worth noting, especially given his LSP reading of eighty-two points during the study period.

 

SUNDAY 15/09:

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bath 114

Favourite stats: 45 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 15/21 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:

7/29--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)

6/11--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)

5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)

5/11--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1)

5/20--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2)

4/15--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1)

4/38--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*)

104/114 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)

4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)

4--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6)

3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)

3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)

3--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)

3--Jonathan Geake (9/4-6/4-6/4)

 

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 47

Favourite stats: 15 (31.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Ffos Las in 2013:

6/29--David Evans (6/1-16/1-4/1-11/2-18/1-5/2)

4/8--Michael Bell (3/1-7/4-6/4*-6/4)

2/2--Tom Dascombe (6/4* & 4/6*)

40/47 winners (85.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Andrew Balding (9/4-11/10-5/2)

2--Mick Channon (7/2** & 7/4)

2--Roger Charlton (5/4-9/4)

2--Nikki Evans (7/4 & 11/10)

2--Richard Price (5/2 & 3/1)

 

MONDAY 16/09:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Brighton: 115

Favourite stats: 51 (44.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 13/23 (56.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:

5/8--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**-3/1-9/4*)

4/11--George Baker (11/4*-9/4*-8/1-9/4*)

4/12--William Knight (3/1-9/1-9/4-11/8*)

4/13--James Tate (5/4*-9/4*-4/11*-5/6*)

4/15--George Margarson (6/1-11/8-5/2*-7/2)

110/115 (95.7%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Gary Moore (5/1**-5/2-10/3-15/8)

3--Tony Carroll (3/1-2/1**-9/4**)

3--Luca Cumani (6/4**-6/4-4/7)

3--John Hills (11/10*-7/4-4/5)

3--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4-11/4**-10/11)

3--James Tate (13/8-9/4-5/4)

3--Roger Varian (5/4-9/4-7/4)

 

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Musselburgh: 99

Favourite stats: 36 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Musselburgh in 2013:

9/49--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*-11/4*-5/6*-1/2*-9/2-8/13*-5/2)

7/16--Philip Kirby (11/4-7/1-10/1-10/11*-9/4**-3/1*-12/5*)

7/28--David O'Meara (9/4*-3/1-11/8*-10/3-6/1-3/1-5/1)

7/37--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2-8/13*-Evs*-5/1****-11/4)

5/52--Keith Dalgleish (11/5-11/4-10/1-8/13*-10/3)

5/77--Jim Goldie (20/1-10/1-16/1-9/4*-15/2)

4/15--David Barron (7/1-6/4*-3/1-7/4)

91/99 winners (91.9%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4-2/1-5/2-15/8)

5--Jim Goldie (7/2**-4/1***-2/1-15/8-10/3**)

5--David Nicholls (4/1-9/4**-9/4-11/4-9/2)

5--Bryan Smart (11/4-5/2-10/11-11/10-4/1**)

4--Keith Dalgleish (2/1-2/1-Evs-11/8)

4--Phil Kirby (9/5-9/4-5/1****-11/4)

4--David O'Meara (7/5-13/8-5/6-6/4)

3--Kevin Ryan (4/1-7/4-11/10)

 

Wolverhampton:

As reported in the past, Keith Dalgleish has saddled far more winners (33) at Wolverhampton than at any other venue in the land and with a healthy level stake profit of over twenty-eight points, Keith’s runners at Dunstall Park are invariably worth a second look.