Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 22nd December 2013

10th to 16th December

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th December

The lead up to Christmas is an important time for punters who like to keep abreast of what is going on whilst buying presents/provisions and keeping some ‘ammunition’ for the Boxing Day racing extravaganza.

The all-weather meetings will be updated here on a daily basis given that I have been away for three days and there is literally too much information to catch up on for today, not wishing to put the NH work in jeopardy.

Make sure that you catch up on the daily stats each morning which will include up to date A/W figures alongside venues which have more than one meeting during the course of the week which in this case is Ascot on Saturday.

Catch you next week with all the delights of the Christmas fixtures, hoping for a frost/snow free build up to Boxing Day.

TUESDAY (17/12):

Catterick:

CATTERICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 47
Favourite stats: 18 (38.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Catterick in 2013:
4--Keith Reveley (Evs*-1/5*-2/5*-5/1)
3--Donald McCain (2/1-4/1-15/8*)
3--Simon Shirley-Beavan (10/1-10/3-7/4)
3--Michael Smith (6/4*-5/1-8/1)

44/47 winners (93.6) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/4-15/8-7/4-10/11)
4--Keith Reveley (6/4-13/8-11/4**-9/4)

12.10: All seven winners have carried 11-4 or less to victory, whilst five renewals have slipped by since the last successful favourite was registered.

1.10: Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones, whilst eight-year-olds have secured four of the last five renewals, statistics which include last year’s 25/1 winner, one of only two vintage representatives in the seven strong line up. The 2011 (9/2) favourite was the first market leader to score since 2004.

1.40: Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 4-3 via the last nine renewals, whilst Donald McCain (Cool Sky) has saddled two of the last five gold medallists. Cool Sky was one of four five day declarations held by Donald this time around. Eight of the last nine winners have scored at a top price of 7/1 during which time, three market leaders obliged. The last eight favourites have all secured toteplacepot positions, albeit hot favourites at 1/2 and 4/6 were turned over from a win perspective.

2.10: Carmela Maria comes to the gig on a hat trick. Only one of the last eight favourites has won, whilst six-year-olds have won three of the last four contests. Just one of the last five market leaders has finished in the frame.

3.10: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds have 5-4 thus far during which time, three favourites have obliged. Eight winners have scored at odds of 15/2 or less whilst favourites come to the party on a hat trick this time around.

*

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 52
Favourite stats: 19 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:
5--Neil King (3/1-9/4-9/1-7/2-2/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/1-9/4*-11/4-7/1)
3--Peter Bowen (4/1-6/5*-3/1)
3--Caroline Fryer (11/1-7/4*-11/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/5*-10/11*-6/4)
3--Paul Nicholls (9/4*-8/11*-4/9*)

All 52 winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Ferguson (2/1**-11/8-15/8**-8/13)
2--Warren Greatrex (2/5 & 3/1)
2--Alex Hales (6/4 & 11/8)
2--Gary Moore (1/6-9/4)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEDNESDAY (18/12):

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 56
Favourite stats: 21 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
10--Paul Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1-5/4*-5/4*-5/2**-8/11*-7/2)
5--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*-1/16*-20/1)
4--Alan King (7/4*-2/1-16/1-7/2)
3--Harry Fry (7/4*-15/8*-11/4*)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-6/1-40/1)

48/56 winners (85.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10-9/2-11/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (9/4-5/2**-10/11-5/4)
4--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5-5/4)
3--Alan King (6/4-5/2**-6/1)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.10: Favourites have won eight renewals during the last eleven years. Nicky Henderson has secured four victories in this event during the last decade, with Dawalan (Berry Garaghty already jocked aboard) being Nicky’s only option this time around.

Class 3, three-mile handicap chase due to be contested at 12.40: Nigel Twiston-Davies has won three of the seven contests and the trainer only has not been represented every year by any means. Nigel’s only option at the weekend was According To Trev. The last six winners have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.

Class 4 maiden hurdle event scheduled for 1.10: Nicky Henderson has secured four of the last thirteen renewals of this event with trainer holding two options at the five day stage. Five clear market leaders have obliged to date alongside a joint favourite. Ten of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions. The last eight winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less.

Class 4 two and a quarter-mile handicap chased scheduled for 1.40: Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Three mile Graduation Chase due to be contested at 2.15: The five favourites to date have secured four gold and one silver medal with four winners carrying weights of 11-4 or more.

Novice hurdle ‘qualifier‘ scheduled for 2.45: Five-year-olds have landed six renewals during the last eleven years whilst vintage representatives have secured eight of the last twelve available toteplacepot positions for good measure. Four of the last eleven renewals have been secured by favourites during which time, eight winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less. Nicky Henderson held six options earlier in the week for a race that the trainer has won four times during the last eleven years. That said, Alan King’s lone entry Fine Words should not be ignored given that Alan has greeted three of the last five winner of this contest.

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 100
Favourite stats: 40 (40.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/14 (64.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
9--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*-2/1*-11/4**)
6--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*-Evs*-6/5*)
6--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*-9/2*)
5--Henry Daly (11/2-5/1-4/11*-10/1-4/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (7/1-15/8*-4/1-10/11*)
4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)
4--Tom Symonds (2/1*-7/1-17/2-9/2)

93/101 winners (92.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1-6/4)
8--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4-2/1)
6--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2-9/4)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-11/8-6/4)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

THURSDAY (19/12):

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 95
Favourite stats: 32 (33.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/24 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
11--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1-1/5*-7/1-6/4)
6--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8-4/11*)
5--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*-5/1)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
4--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2-9/2)

85/95 winners (89.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4-9/2)
7--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8-Evs-10/11)
6--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2-5/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 91
Favourite stats: 32 (35.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/16 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
5--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1-14/1)
4--Claire Dyson (5/1-16/1-4/1-7/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (4/5*-4/1-3/1*-8/13*)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

82/91 winners (90.1%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13-10/11)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1-5/4)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3--Fergal O'Brien (5/2-4/5-3/1)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRIDAY (20/12):

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Your first 30 days for just £1

Number of races at Ascot: 34
Favourite stats: 17 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/10 (90.0%)

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
4--Paul Nicholls (8/13*-8/11*-8/13*-1/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*-8/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-8/11*-4/7*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

29/34 winners (85.3%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Philip Hobbs (2/1** & 7/2)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Maiden hurdle event over twenty-two furlongs scheduled for 1.00: Nicky Henderson has saddled two (four-year-old) winners of this event via five contests thus far. Given that Nicky has only been represented in the race three times, we should seriously consider which of the four options that the trainer held earlier in the week is given the green light.

Novice handicap chase (seventeen furlongs) scheduled for 1.30: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the eight renewals contested during the last eleven years. Three favourites have prevailed during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 9/1 (last year).

Grade 2 Novice Hurdle due to be contested at 2.00: Four-year-olds have secured six of the last eight events, with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a four-timer on this occasion. Nicky Henderson was responsible for two of the fourteen five-day declarations, the trainer having saddled two of the last seven winners.

Nineteen furlong Grade 2 Novice Chase scheduled for 2.35: The biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2 via eight contests during the last eleven years, statistics which include four successful favourites. Six-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests via 32% of the total number of runners.

Twenty two furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.10: Five-year-olds have won four of the five renewals to date, whilst Jonjo O’Neill has saddled two gold medallists thus far. Jonjo was responsible for 3/34 five day entries at the time of writing.

Closing bumper event scheduled for 3.40: Four-year-olds have won five of the seven recent renewals during which time, successful favourites were only conspicuous by their absence. Jonjo O’Neill’s recent Huntingdon winner Fort Worth is of interest, given that the Presenting representative is Jonjo’s only option this week in a race that the trainer has secured twice via the last six renewals.

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 160
Favourite stats: 53 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/19 (57.9%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
8--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*-8/13*)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4-1/2*)
6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)
6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (6/5*-11/4**-10/3-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

139/160 winners (86.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
20--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8-5/2-7/2**-13/8-8/11-2/1)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

SATURDAY (21/12):

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 34
Favourite stats: 17 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/10 (90.0%)

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
4--Paul Nicholls (8/13*-8/11*-8/13*-1/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*-8/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-8/11*-4/7*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

29/34 winners (85.3%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Philip Hobbs (2/1** & 7/2)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Three mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.45: Just the three renewals to date though that said, five-year-olds have won all three events whilst securing the forecast positions on two occasions (9/2 & 8/1--6/1 & 14/1) and the first and third horses home (3/1 & 16/1) twelve months ago.

Seventeen furlong handicap chase, due off at 1.50 at the time of writing. All five winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-1.

Eight of the last twelve favourites have won the ‘Long Walk’ which is scheduled to be contested at 2.25.

Listed Silver Cup event scheduled for 3.00: The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less, whilst the successful 2011 (joint) favourite was the first market leader to oblige in a long time, the three previous scorers having prevailed at 33/1-25/1-12/1. Last year’s race reverted to type with the 9/4 market leader unseating its rider following several mistakes. Seven-year-olds have won four of the last eight renewals, statistics which include three of the last five contests.

Listed ‘Ladbroke’ event scheduled for 3.35: Five-year-olds have secured six of the ten renewals. Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last nine winners, with the trainer holding three options at the time of writing. Six of the last eight winners have scored at odds ranging between 12/1 and 33/1 during which time, just one (9/4) favourite obliged.

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 37
Favourite stats: 12 (32.4% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
4--Donald McCain (9/1-10/3-11/10*-5/1***)
3--Paul Nicholls (10/1-9/4***-11/4)
3--Venetia Williams (6/5*-12/1-15/8*)

35/37 winners (94.6%) were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Venetia Williams (5/4-9/4***-5/1**-4/1-5/1***)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-3/1-11/4)
3--Emma Lavelle (2/1**-11/2-15/8)
3--Paul Nicholls (11/2**-11/10-9/2)

Class 3, two-mile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.10: Four of the five favourites to date have secured two gold and two silver medals. Four of the five winners carried weights of 11-5 or more to victory.

‘Tommy Whittle Chase’ due to be contested at 2.45: Seven and eight-year-olds have won the last six renewals between them with the older vintage having the edge (4-2). Five of the six winners carried 11-4 or less during which time, one successful (10/3) favourite emerged.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 51
Favourite stats: 25 (49.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)
4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)
4--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1-22/1)
4--Lucinda Russell (3/1-4/6*-14/1-5/6*)
4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)
2--Stuart Crawford (3/1* & 11/8*)
2--Brian Ellison (10/11* & 9/4*)
2--James Ewart (6/4* & 4/1*)
2--Nicky Henderson (8/11* & 8/13*)
2--Keith Reveley (5/2-3/10*)
2--Nicky Richards (6/4* & 9/1)

46/51 (90.2%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2-4/1)
4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)
2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (5/2** & 4/9)
2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)
2--Martin Todhunter (9/4 & 7/2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

SUNDAY (22/12):

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 81
Favourite stats: 32 (39.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*-20/1-7/2)
6--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1-9/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Harry Fry (1/2*-3/1-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-11/8*-9/4)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

76/81 winners (93.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8-4/1-7/4)
7--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6-11/8)
4--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1-7/4)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2-5/2)
3--Rebecca Curtis (5/4-15/8-5/6)
3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 68
Favourite stats: 27 (39.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/21 (52.4%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
5--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4-5/4*-3/1)
4--Warren Greatrex (12/1-6/4*-11/4-10/11*)
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)

57/68 winners (83.8%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Warren Greatrex (11/4-7/4-10/11)
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
3--Venetia Williams (6/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Alan King (10/11 & 7/4)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Gary Moore (2/1 & 9/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

Mal Boyle

Your first 30 days for just £1