Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 23rd September

17th to 23rd September

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 23rd September

Whilst we ‘soft southerners’ look forward to a decent two-day meeting at Newbury at the weekend and the return to racing on the Rowley Mile track at Newmarket, let’s wish punters at Ayr a more successful time at the venue than was the case at the corresponding meeting twelve months.

Thursday’s meeting was abandoned, the resulting heavy ground for Friday and Saturday being (partly) responsible for just three favourites prevailing via fifteen races, whilst the shortest priced odds on favourite of two hot jollies during the two days was beaten at odds of 4/7.

That said, the average winning price (via percentage readings) was ‘only’ 5/1 which given the conditions, was not too bad a return whilst the following trainers saddled a brace of winners during the two days: Michael Dods (16/1 & 9/1), Richard Fahey (9/1 & 5/1) and Jim Goldie (12/1 & 5/1*).

Don’t forget that you can find daily updates via the Geegeez service when two or more meetings are staged at the same venue each week.  This week’s relevant updates will appear as follows:

Wednesday: Yarmouth

Thursday: Yarmouth

Friday: Ayr

Saturday: Ayr & Newbury

Monday: Hamilton

 

Day by day details:

TUESDAY 17/09:

CHEPSTOW:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 102

Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

 

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

7/30--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*-7/4*-4/1-9/2-7/2*)

5/37--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1-4/1)

5/41--David Evans (7/1-7/1-5/4*-9/2-11/4*)

4/8--George Baker (33/1-8/1-5/1-7/2)

4/31--Mick Channon (3/1**-7/4-10/1-9/4*)

 

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4-2/1)

4--Andrew Balding (7/4**-7/2-6/4-9/4)

4--Ralph Beckett (8/11-6/4-7/2-6/4)

4--Clive Cox (15/8-5/4-2/1-Evs)

4--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**-11/4)

3--Mick Channon (7/4-7/4-4/6)

3--Ron Harris (5/1****-7/4-7/2**)

3--Rod Millman (9/2***-6/4-2/1)

3--Malcolm Saunders (3/1-6/4-2/1)

 

THIRSK:

THIRSK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Thirsk: 105

Favourite stats: 32 (30.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Thirsk in 2013:

8/29--David Barron (7/2**-11/4*-11/4**-7/2*-5/2-4/5*-10/1-4/7*)

6/47--David O'Meara (4/1*-13/8*-11/4*-6/5*-16/1-11/4)

5/18--'Team Burke' (10/3-4/1-9/4**-4/1-3/1)

5/44--Richard Fahey (13/2-9/1-1/5*-10/3-7/1)

5/49--Ruth Carr (9/2*-16/1-11/2-8/1-3/1)

5/66--Tim Easterby (7/1-7/1-4/1-15/8*-3/1*)

 

88/105 winners (83.8%) scored at odds of 10/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

11--David O'Meara (7/2**-9/4-2/1-3/1-2/1-5/4-3/1-11/4-3/1-11/2-9/4)

9--Kevin Ryan (4/6*-2/1**-11/2***-11/4-11/4-9/4-5/1-11/4-11/8)

4--Richard Fahey (2/1-11/4**-7/2**-5/4)

3--Michael Dods (15/8-15/8-3/1)

3--Tim Easterby (4/1-6/4-4/1)

3--Brian Ellison (11/4-2/1-3/1)

3--David Nicholls (9/4-Evs-9/2**)

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

2.30: None of the represented trainers has saddled a winner of this race during the last decade, whilst eight of the last thirteen renewals have fallen to the favourite, the biggest priced winner during the period having been returned at 7/1.  Nine of the last ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

3.00: The last eleven winners have carried weights of 9-5 or less whereby the top weight Dancealot is overlooked on this occasion.  There was plenty to like about the way that Sir Michael Stoute’s Teofilo colt Ghaawy won at the third time of asking and the April foal might take some stopping under these terms.  Four favourites have prevailed during the last ten years, whilst seven of the ten market leaders during the last period finished in the frame (exact science).

3.30: Three-year-olds have won twelve of the fourteen renewals whereby the only four-year-old in the line up (Lady Cricketer) appears to have a difficult task. Nine of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

4.00: John Gosden’s Halling colt Thomas Hobson comes to the gig on a hat trick and as the first of his previous two victories was gained under soft conditions, Tuesday’s ground should hold few (if any) fears for potential supporters of William Buick’s mount.  William Haggas has taken the ‘quiet route’ with Battalion, steering clear of more ambitious plans that might have been on the cards following his impressive (good to soft) victory last time out.  Last year’s inaugural 10/11 market leader finished out of the ‘short field’ frame behind horses sent off at 14/1 and 16/1.  This helped to set up the £3.549.90 toteplacepot dividend.

4.30: A three-year-old representative won the first running of this event twelve months ago via just 27% of the total number of runners whereby this year’s lone vintage representative Mutanaweb is given a chance.

5.00: Three market leaders have won via the last thirteen renewals, whilst six favourites finished in the frame in the process.

 

STRATFORD:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Stratford: 91

Favourite stats: 37 (40.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/18 (55.6%)

 

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:

10--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)

5--Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*)

5--Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1)

4--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*)

3--Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2)

3--David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

 

83/91 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

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WEDNESDAY 18/09:

BEVERLEY:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 129

Favourite stats: 48 (37.2%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

15/67--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*-5/2-12/1-7/2*-13/8*-4/1-13/2-11/10*-2/1*-8/13*)

10/36--David O'Meara (5/6*-10/1-5/2*-7/2-8/1-9/2-10/11*-7/4*-13/2-17/2)

9/40--Mick Easterby (15/8*-5/1-9/1-7/1-5/1-15/2-11/2-6/1-2/1)

7/20--Brian Ellison (40/1-11/1-4/1-5/4*-12/1-11/2-3/1**)

6/55--Richard Fahey (15/8*-20/1-12/1-6/1-11/2-14/1)

 

118/130 (90.8%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Mark Johnston (7/4-9/4**-11/4*-7/4-6/4-Evs)

5--Mick Easterby (7/2-9/4-9/2**-2/1-7/4)

3--Richard Fahey (10/11-5/2-11/4)

3--Steve Gollings (4/1-3/1-7/2)

3--Phil Kirby (6/5-13/8-9/4)

3--David O'Meara (9/4**-11/4-10/11)

3--Jason Tate (5/4-6/5-13/8)

3--Tracy Waggott (3/1-3/1-9/2**)

 

SANDOWN:

SANDOWN DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 99

Favourite stats: 40 (40.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-Runner)

Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

 

Leading trainers at Sandown in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

11/71--Richard Hannon (3/1-13/8*-11/10*-3/1**-5/4*-1/4*-4/1**-8/11*-8/1-13/2-12/1)

7/36--Andrew Balding (8/1-14/1-11/1-7/4*-11/4-9/2-11/2)

6/29--Sir Michael Stoute (8/1-4/1-5/1-5/6*-1/5*-15/8*)

4/17--William Haggas (11/8*-5/2*-3/1-9/2)

4/18--John Gosden (13/8*-4/1-11/8*-2/7*)

4/26--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-11/10*-9/2-3/1)

 

91/100 (91.0%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (11/4**-3/1-11/10-11/4**-11/4-11/4-2/1-15/8)

6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1**-5/4-7/2-7/2-6/4-6/4)

5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/5-6/4-7/2-11/8-9/4)

5--John Gosden (3/1-5/1***-11/4**-13/8-5/2**)

4--William Haggas (13/8-11/4**-3/1**-4/5)

4--Jeremy Noseda (7/4 & 5/1***-5/2-2/1)

3--Roger Charlton (9/4-5/2**-15/8)

3--Brian Meehan (Evs-11/4**-15/8)

3--Roger Varian (9/4-10/11-7/2)

2.20: Three of the seven favourites have won, though three of last four gold medallists were returned at 33/1-12/1-6/1.  Five of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame.  All seven winners carried a maximum weight of 9-4.

2.55: Ten of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (five winners).  Nine gold medallists have been returned at odds of 6/1 or less, the ‘odd men out’ being 20/1 and 12/1 outsiders.  Andrew Balding (Libeccio) comes to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

3.20: Favourites have won nine of the last eleven renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was sent off at just 5/1.  Richard Hannon saddles Beau Nash on this occasion, with Richard having secured three of the last seven contests.

3.55: Market leaders have won two of the four renewals thus far, whilst three of the five favourites have finished in the frame (exact science).

4.30: Three clear favourites and a 6/1 co favourite of three have scored during the last seven years.

5.35: Although three of the last six favourites have finished in the money (no winners during the period), the relevant scorers were returned at odds of 33/1--10/1--8/1--8/1--15/2--6/1.

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

KEMPTON:

Watch out for John Fahy at Kempton as the rider boasts the thick end of eighty points of level stake profits at the track and at the time of writing. John has one booked mount at the tack on Wednesday and Thursday this week as I recheck my findings.

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THURSDAY 19/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

 

PONTEFRACT:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Pontefract: 80

Favourite stats: 24 (30.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/10 (60.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

7/39--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)

6/32--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)

4/17--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1)

3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)

3/12--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

 

75/81 winners (92.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)

5--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8)

4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)

3--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10)

3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

 

Five furlong juvenile event due to be contested at 2.30: Market leaders have won seven of the thirteen renewals to date, whilst ten favourites have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.  The biggest priced winner thus far started at just 13/2, whilst twelve of the winners were returned at 100/30 or less.

One mile all aged (Class 4) handicap scheduled for 3.00: Seven renewals have slipped by since a 7/1 (joint) market leader obliged though that said, the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at just 9/1.  Michael Dods held two entries for the race earlier in the week having secured three of the last seven contests.  It’s worth noting that Michael was only represented on one other occasion during the study period.

Handicap for fillies over six furlongs scheduled for 4.00: Misplaced Fortune was among the five-day declarations earlier in the week, having won the last two renewals of this event.  Three-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs):

6-4-3 (10 ran-good to firm)

6-4-1 (12 ran-good to firm)

14-8-15 (15 ran-good)

2-3 (6 ran-good to firm)

4-11-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

6-2 (7 ran-firm)

6-4-3 (9 ran-good)

14-13-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

2-1-3 (9 ran-firm)

11-3-8 (11 ran-good to firm)

5-10-8-2 (17 ran-firm)

11-9-15 (15 ran-firm)

8-2-11 (13 ran-good to firm)

Seventeen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.30: All seven winners to date have carried weights of 8-12 or more, whilst five of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (five winners) via six renewals (one dead heat) to date.

All aged ten furlong maiden event scheduled for 5.00: Three-year-olds have won thirteen of the last fourteen renewals, whilst six of the thirteen favourites have won to date during the study period. Eleven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

'Draw factor' (ten furlongs)

6-2-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

1-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

3-2-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

12-8-3 (12 ran-good)

10-4-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

16-11-6 (17 ran-good to soft)

2-6-3 (8 ran-firm)

13-16-1 (14 ran-good to soft)

8-9-6 (12 ran-good to soft)

Your first 30 days for just £1

2-4 (5 ran-firm)

2-1 (5 ran-good to firm)

1-2-7 (8 ran-firm)

9-11-2 (8 ran-firm)

5-2-6 (11 ran-good to firm)

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

KEMPTON:

Although Richard Hannon has saddled 118 winners at Kempton during the last five years (level stake loss of 95 points), Richard’s strike rate of 15% pales into insignificance compared to Saeed Bin Suroor’s remarkable ratio of 33% via 72 gold medallists during the same period, figures which have produced a level stake profit of thirty-nine points down the years.

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FRIDAY 20/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

 

NEWBURY:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 92

Favourite stats: 24 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

10/88--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*)

7/23--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1)

5/24--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/10--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*)

 

76/92 winners (82.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

5--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

Six furlong juvenile event scheduled for 2.00: Sixteen of the last twenty-one favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include eight winners.  Interestingly, Richard has failed to saddle a winner via the last ten contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs)

7-2-11 (10 ran-good to firm)

5-8-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

7-11-6 (11 ran-good to soft)

6-7-10 (11 ran-good to soft)

1-3-2 (12 ran-good)

1-7-9 (12 ran-good)

9-12-3 (14 ran-good to firm)

3-13-5 (10 ran-good)

9-10-1 (11 ran-good)

6-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

5-10-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

10-16-6 (16 ran-good)

1-6-5 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-5-11 (10 ran-good)

16-1-3 (16 ran-good to firm)

7-3-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

20-8-3 (23 ran-good to firm)

13-17-20 (20 ran-good to firm)

10-15-6 (15 ran-good to firm)

Class 3 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 2.30: Five renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded since the inaugural winner scored at 3/1 back in 2007.  Three-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests.

Nine furlong conditions event scheduled for 3.05: Six favourites have won since the turn of the Millennium, whilst twelve winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less.  Three-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals.

Juvenile Class 2 conditions event scheduled for 3.40: Marcus Tregoning (Castle Combe is a potential runner on this occasion) does not saddle a great number of juvenile winners in a season as a general rule, whereby it is significant that the trainer attempts to win this race for the fourth time in the last eleven years .  That said, Richard Hannon (four options at the time of writing) has won the last two events in which the stable was represented.  Five favourites have won of late (the 2011 4/7 market leader was beaten however), whilst eleven of the last seventeen market leaders have finished in the frame.

'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)

1-5 (7 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-8 (10 ran-good)

7-5 (6 ran -good to firm)

1-7 (6 ran-good)

1-10-2 (9 ran-good to firm)

4-6 (7 ran-good)

2-8-4 (11 ran-good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran-good)

3-5 (5 ran-good to firm)

4-2 (7 ran-good to firm)

8-6-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to firm)

6-8-7 (8 ran-good)

3-2 (6 ran-good)

Seven furlong juvenile conditions event for fillies due to be contested at 4.15: Eight of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last thirteen years, statistics which include five winners during the study period.

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

1-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

3-1 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-4 (8 ran--good)

6-2-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-11-3 (11 ran-good)

5-9-7 (9 ran-good to firm)

10-2-7 (13 ran-good)

6-3 (7 ran-good to firm)

5 (4 ran--good)

6-8-5 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-7 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

5-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-5 (7 ran-good)

Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed event) schedule for 4.50: Six renewals have slipped by since the last successful favourite was recorded.  Saeed Bin Suroor has secured four of the last eleven (including three of the last four) renewals with the trainer holding three options for the race at the time of writing.

Ten furlong Class 4 handicap scheduled for 5.20: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the last ten renewals.  Three favourites have obliged during the last eleven years, though six gold medallists having been sent off at odds ranging between 14/1 & 25/1.

 

NEWCASTLE:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 113

Favourite stats: 36 (31.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

10/57--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)

7/40--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)

6/46--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)

5/13--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)

5/37--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)

5/40--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1)

 

102/113 winners (90.3%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

8--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)

6--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2)

4--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)

4--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)

4--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1)

4--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

Drinkuptrig (a potential runner in the scheduled 5.20 event) was the only all-weather runner this week representing Stuart Williams.  Stuart’s thirty one winners at Wolverhampton have been gained via a 27% strike rate with Stuart boasting the same number in terms of level stake profits at Dunstall Park in recent times.

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SATURDAY 21/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

Ayr Gold Cup scheduled for 3.30: David Nicholls has saddled four winners during the last eleven years against Kevin Ryan’s three winners during the study period.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last nine contests.  The last eleven winners were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 and 33/1 with no successful market leaders recorded.  Nine of the last twelve favourites secured toteplacepot positions.  Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2.

‘Draw details’ (six furlongs)

8-19-13-2 (26 ran-heavy)

12-16-9-15 (26 ran-soft)

17-24-8-11 (26 ran-good)

15-6-9-3 (26 ran-good)

20-21-26-11 (27 ran-heavy)

22-6-9-18 (28 ran-good to soft)

6-16-9-26 (23 ran-good to soft)

2-4-27-3 (27 ran-good)

8-16-18-20 (24 ran-soft)

10-14-6-1 (26 ran-good)

16-10-15-18 (28 ran-good)

 

CATTERICK:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 89

Favourite stats: 24 (27.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:

7/37--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)

6/20--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1-10/11*-4/1)

5/18--Richard Fahey (7/1-Evs*-7/2-5/1-15/8)

5/44--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2-9/4)

5/24--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4-22/1)

5/27--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2-16/1-25/1)

4/31--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-

3/5--James Tate (14/1-9/2-11/2)

 

73/89 winners (82.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)

7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)

4--Mark Johnston (6/4-4/5-15/8-11/10)

3--Phil Kirby (7/4-7/2-2/1)

3--John Quinn (2/1-13/8-3/1)

 

NEWBURY:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 92

Favourite stats: 24 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

10/88--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*)

7/23--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1)

5/24--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/10--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*)

 

76/92 winners (82.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

5--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

Seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 1.20: Only one (32/1) favourites has won via six renewals to date, two of which were secured by 50/1 chances.

Group 2 ‘Arc Trial’ over eleven furlongs due to be contested at 1.50: Three favourites have obliged during the last decade whilst four-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.

Market leaders have secured four of the last eight renewals of the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes which is scheduled for 2.20.  Seven of the eight winners were returned at a top price of 5/1.

Ten furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for 2.55: Four-year-olds lead the juniors 7-3 via the last ten contests, whilst just one 4/1 (joint) favourite has obliged during the study period.  Luca Cumani (Elhaame) held just the one option at the five-day stage, the trainer having saddled three of the last six winners.  It should be noted that Luca also saddled an 11/1 silver medallist during the period, whilst the trainer was not represented in 2009.

Group 3 ‘World Trophy’ (minimum distance) event due to be contested at 3.30: Three and four year-olds have (equally) shared six of the last seven contests, whilst market leaders come to the party on a four timer on this occasion.  That said, no successful favourites were recorded during the previous seven renewals during the last decade.

Ed Dunlop (Naaz was Ed’s only option at the time of writing) has scored with the last two runners he has saddled in this contest which is due to be contested at 4.40 (seven furlong Class 4 handicap).

 

NEWMARKET:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 52

Favourite stats: 21 (40.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/6

 

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

5/36--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*)

4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)

3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)

3/20--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

3/25--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*)

2/3--Mahmood Al Zarooni (11/2* & 7/4*)

2/4--Ian Williams (12/1 & 5/1***)

2/6--Ralph Beckett (10/1 & 11/1)

2/12--John Gosden (11/2 & 2/1*)

1/1--Patrick Chamings (20/1)

1/1--Andre Fabre (6/4*)

1/1--Edward Lynam (7/2**)

1/1--Olly Stevens (9/2)

 

Selected trainers without winners during the spring period on the Rowley Mile:

0/17--Mick Channon

0-13--Michael Bell

0-12--William Haggas

0/8--Clive Brittain

0/8--Luca Cumani

0/7--Robert Cowell

0/7--Stuart Willams

 

49/52 winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less (others at 12/1-14/1-20/1)

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)

4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)

2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)

2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)

2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4 & 5/2)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

Four of Ed Dunlop’s last eight runners had won at the time of writing and with the yard coming into top form at last this season, Ed’s 21% strike rate via thirty-one winners at Wolverhampton during the last five years is worth taking into consideration.  The trainer boasts seven points of level stake profits during the period for good measure.

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SUNDAY 22/09:

HAMILTON:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 102

Favourite stats: 38 (37.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:

15/47--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)

14/73--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)

7/18--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1)

7/26--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*)

4/28--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*)

4/34--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1)

4/35--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

 

93/102 (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)

6--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4)

5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)

4--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3)

 

PLUMPTON:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 56

Favourite stats: 20 (35.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/6

 

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:

4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)

3--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1)

3--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*)

 

45/56 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs--3/1--15/8)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)

2--Nick Lampard (2/1 & 11/4)

2--Gary Moore (2/1 & 3/1)

2--Seamus Mullins (2/1** & 11/4)

2--Miss A. Newton-Smith (2/1 & 15/8)

2--David Pipe (15/8 & 9/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (11/8 & 2/1**)

2--Sheena West (11/4 & 3/1)

 

UTTOXETER:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 102

Favourite stats: 30 (29.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

5--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

 

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

11--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8)

7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)

4--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

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MONDAY 23/09:

HAMILTON:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 102

Favourite stats: 38 (37.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:

15/47--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)

14/73--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)

7/18--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1)

7/26--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*)

4/28--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*)

4/34--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1)

4/35--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

 

93/102 (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)

6--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4)

5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)

4--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3)

 

LEICESTER:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 118

Favourite stats: 48 (40.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/24 (45.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

7/28--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)

5/11--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

4/6--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)

4/8--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*)

4/8--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

4/10--Sir Michael Stoute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1)

4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)

4/16--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

 

109/118 winners (92.4%) returned at odds of 11/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)

4--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4)

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)

 

KEMPTON:

At the time of writing, favourite stats made for interesting reading at Kempton as a 30% record has been achieved by market leaders in all three sectors of handicap races (2YO-3YO-Older horses) at the Sunbury circuit during the last five years.  In non handicap events, favourites boast a particularly impressive 44% ratio in three-year-old contests at the venue.

 

Mal Boyle

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