Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack : 19th to 25th March 2013

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th March

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th March

It’s a case of offering unique ‘past and present’ trends this week relating to both codes of sport.  The past relates to beaten favourites during the Cheltenham Festival whilst looking forward to the opening flat meeting at Doncaster when I look at trends from last year relating to Town Moor.

In these times of being able to ‘lay favourites’, you might like to note the favourite stats from the Cheltenham Festival fixture for future reference, whilst considering your plans to back/lay favourites at Aintree in two weeks time.

Exactly one third of the races contested at the Festival were won by market leaders (9/27--the same as last year) whilst all three odds on favourites obliged (3/5 prevailed twelve months ago).

 

Ratio of successful favourites at Cheltenham relating to trainers:

1/1--Rebecca Curtis

1/1--Thomas Mullins

1/1--Rodger Sweeney

3/4--Willie Mullins

3/6--Nicky Henderson

 

Trainers of beaten favourites who did not saddle successful marker leaders:

0/3--Paul Nicholls

0/3--David Pipe

0/2--John Ferguson

0/2--Donald McCain

0/1--Miss Elizabeth Doyle

0/1--Philip Hobbs

0/1--Enda Bolger

0/1--Anthony Honeyball

0/1--Charlie Longsdon

0/1--David O’Meara

0/1--’Mouse’ Morris

 

Statistics relating to the first four flat meetings at Doncaster last year:

The first 30 races produced eight successful market leaders (26.7%)

David Barron was the only trainer to saddle three winners (33/1-4/1*-8/13*)

Trainers who saddled two winners: Richard Fahey (25/1 & 8/1), Mick Easterby (16/1 & 7/1), Tim Easterby (6/1 & 11/4) and David Nicholls (16/1 twice), David O’Meara (20/1 & 5/1) and Ed Dunlop (14/1 & 9/1)

 

Early season 2YO records at Doncaster:

Michael Bell (4/1 & 11/4**) saddled two of the first ten juveniles winners on Town Moor

The first four favourites were beaten

Four of the first eleven market leaders prevailed

Only one of the first eighteen 2YO winners at Doncaster won ‘next time out’

Seven of the first ten juvenile winners on Town Moor were making their respective debuts

Seven of the first eleven 2YO winners emerged from the first three in the betting

 

And now to the daily reports, starting with...

TUESDAY 19/03:

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 20

Favourite stats: 10 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

3--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*)

2--Susan Gardner (9/4 & 5/6*)

2--Paul Nicholls (5/6* & 4/9*)

2--Oliver Sherwood (11/4* & 2/1)

2--Colin Tizzard (7/2 & 7/2)

1--Kim Bailey (5/4*)

1--Vic Dartnall (5/1)

1--Tom George (6/5*)

1--Martin Hill (18/1)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4*)

1--Helen Nelmes (22/1)

1--Brendan Powell (6/1)

1--Jeremy Scott (5/4)

1--Tim Vaughan (7/4*)

18/20 winners were returned at odds of 5/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4)

1--Vic Dartnall (11/10)

1--Tim Dennis (7/4)

1--Harry Fry (4/1)

1--Emma Lavelle (3/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/5)

1--Oliver Sherwood (4/5)

1--Nick Williams (5/1)

2.00: Four of the seven favourites have finished in the frame (one winner) to date, whilst 19 of 20 available toteplacepot places have been claimed by horses starting at 10/1 or less.  Only one of the 41 horses starting at 11/1 or more has troubled the judge.

2.30: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-2 or more which brings Colin Tizzard’s Buckhorn Tom into the mix and no mistake, especially with Colin enjoying a wonderful Cheltenham Festival last week.  Saddling just ten horses during the meeting, Colin secured 28/1 and 7/2 winners alongside horses placed at 33/1 and 16/1.

3.00: Eight of the ten favourites (via nine renewals) have claimed toteplacepot positions (four winners), whilst the biggest priced winner thus far was returned at 9/2.

3.30: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.  The biggest priced winner to date scored at 6/1 twelve months ago.

 

Southwell:

David Nicholls (163) and Alan Bailey (130) continue to saddle winners at this venue and the figures in brackets inform us of their level stake profits during the last five years at Southwell!

 

Wolverhampton:

Tom Queally has four booked rides at Dunstall Park this afternoon where Tom has posted seventy points of level stake profits in recent years.

 

WEDNESDAY 20/03:

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 7

Favourite stats: 3 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None to date

 

Trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:

1--Micky Hammond (10/1)

1--Martin Keighley (7/2)

1--Alan King (15/8*)

1--Donald McCain (9/1)

1--Gary Moore (9/2*)

1--John O'Shea (9/4*)

1--Sue Smith (4/1)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Tim Easterby (2/1**)

1--Alan King (10/3)

1--Emma Lavelle (2/1**)

1--Colin Tizzard (15/8)

1--Venetia Williams (5/4)

Two and a half mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.40: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 3-2 via the last five renewals.  Three of the six contests have been secured by market leaders, whilst the last four winners carried a minimum weight of 10-13.

Class 3 handicap hurdle over two miles scheduled for 3.45: Five-year-olds won the first three renewals before a vintage representative finished second in a short field contest twelve months ago.  Last year’s two vintage representatives finished out of the frame.  Only one favourite has prevailed to date via five renewals during which time, four gold medallists were sent off at odds of 7/2 or less.

Two and a half mile ‘Fixed Brush’ event scheduled for 4.55: Donald McCain has saddled all four winners to date (2/5*-4/9*-9/4-5/2 )with the trainer holding four options for this year’s event at the time of writing.

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 21

Favourite stats: 9 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

4--Neil Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)

3--J. Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*)

2--Lucinda Russell (3/1 & 14/1)

1--Jenny Candlish (11/10*)

1--Tristram Davidson (7/1)

1--James Ewart (6/4*)

1--Joanne Foster (6/1)

1--Tom Gretton (9/2)

1--Ann Hamilton (3/1)

1--Donald McCain (7/2)

1--David Pipe (8/11*)

1--Keith Reveley (5/2)

1--Nicky Richards (6/4*)

1--Sharon Watt (Evs*)

1--Alistair Whillans (11/2)

20/21 winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--James Ewart (2/1 & 5/2)

2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)

2--Donald McCain (11/4 & 10/11)

1--Tom George (5/2**)

1--Malcolm Jefferson (5/2**)

1--John Norton (11/4)

1--David O'Meara (13/8)

1--Lucinda Russell (9/4)

1--Martin Todhunter (9/4)

1--Donald Whillans (5/2)

 

Warwick:

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Warwick: 29

Favourite stats: 12 (41.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6

 

Trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:

2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)

2--Alan King (Evs* & 3/1**)

2--David Pipe (1/2* & 7/4*)

2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

1--Mrs F. Browne (3/10*)

1--D. Burchell (9/1)

1--Jennie Candlish (15/2)

1--Tony Carroll (11/4**)

1--Henry Daly (9/4*)

1--S. Flook (5/1)

1--Karen George (4/1*)

1--Warren Greatrex (12/1)

1--Philip Hobbs (11/2)

1--Anthony Honeyball (4/6*)

1--Charlie Longsdon (12/1)

1--Robin Mathew (5/1)

1--Pat Murphy (7/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/4)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1)

1--John Ryan (10/1)

1--Colin Tizzard (14/1)

1--Robert Walford (6/1)

1--Venetia Williams (5/1)

26/29 gold medallists were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Tom George (4/1-10/11-3/1)

2--Philip Hobbs (11/4 & 3/1**)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)

2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 6/4)

1--Andrew Balding (2/1)

1--Anthony Honeyball (3/1)

1--Martin Keighley (7/2)

1--Emma Lavelle (6/5)

1--Charlie Longsdon (7/2)

1--Paul Nicholls (11/10)

1--David Pipe (10/3)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1)

1--Venetia Williams (11/4**)

1--P. York (4/5)

Two mile five furlong maiden hurdle scheduled for 2.20: Six-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals to date with five-year-olds securing the other two contests thus far.  Four favourites have obliged whilst the biggest priced winner to score was returned at 9/1.

Class 4 two-mile novice hurdle scheduled for 2.55: Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared the last six renewals.  The six favourites to have run date (the marker leader was withdrawn at the start in 2011) have snared four gold and two silver medals, whilst six of the seven winners were returned at odds of 9/4 or less.

Three mile five furlong handicap chase due to be contested at 3.25: Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 11-4 or more. Nine of the last eleven jollies have been beaten (includes four pairs of joint favourites), albeit three market leaders have finished in the money during the period.

Two mile five furlong handicap hurdle due to be contested at 4.35: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 5-2 via just the seven contests to date.  Favourites have secured five renewals, whilst the market leader comes to this year’s gig on a four timer.

 

Kempton:

Neil Callan forfeited a top contract last week but supporters at Kempton will not hear a word said against the pilot who has amassed an LSP reading of over one hundred points at the Sunbury circuit during the last five years via seventy-two winners.

 

THURSDAY 21/03:

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 28

Favourite stats: 11 (39.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

 

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

2--Vic Dartnall (9/2 & 7/2)

2--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice)

2--Martin Keighley (7/2 twice)

2--Jeremy Scott (6/4** & 4/1)

2--Michael Scudamore (10/1 & 20/1)

2--Mark Sheppard (6/4* & 11/2)

2--Colin Tizzard (9/2 & 11/4*)

1--Rebecca Curtis (7/2)

1--Henry Daly (11/4*)

1--John Ferguson (10/3)

1--Philip Hobbs (7/2)

1--Sophie Leech (25/1)

1--Donald McCain (1/7*)

1--Graeme McPherson (28/1)

1--Neil Mulholland (6/4*)

1--Seamus Mullins (28/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (10/11*)

1--David Pipe (5/1**)

1--David Rees (7/1)

1--Harry Whittington (4/1*)

1--Venetia Williams (7/1)

24/28 winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11)

2--Rebecca Curtis (11/8 & 11/4)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1** & 6/4)

1--Bob Buckler (2/1)

1--Claire Dyson (7/2)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4**)

1--Susan Johnson (6/4)

1--B. Llewellyn (9/4)

1--Donald McCain (5/2)

1--Gary Moore (11/4)

1--Fergal O'Brien (3/1**)

1--David Pipe (5/2)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1**)

1--Evan Williams (11/4)

1--Venetia Williams (10/11*)

Novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 2.10: Three of then last five renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another.  Market leaders have accounted for four of the last seven contests (top priced winner of 6/1 during the period) since a 200/1 chance scored in 2005!

Three mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.15: Nigel Twiston-Davies has saddled gold and silver medallists via just three renewals and his only option at the penultimate stage was He’s The Daddy.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.20: Six and seven-year-olds have equally shared the last five renewals of this contest between them.  Although only one favourite has scored via ten renewals since 2003, seven winners have scored at odds of 13/2 or less.

 

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 35

Favourite stats: 12 (34.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/6 (83.3%)

 

Trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:

6--N. Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8)

2--Kim Bailey (8/1 & 7/1)

2--Henry Daly (10/1 & 9/1)

2--Paul Nicholls (4/5* & 4/9*)

2--Richard Phillips (8/1 & 16/1)

2--Oliver Sherwood (7/2 & 11/2)

1--David Arbuthnot (6/1)

1--Caroline Bailey (6/1)

1--Jennie Candlish (8/1)

1--Ben Case (5/2)

1--Chris Down (25/1)

1--Richard Fahey (Evs*)

1--Warren Greatrex (5/1)

1--Diana Grissell (5/2*)

1--Martin Keighley (6/1)

1--Phil Kirby (7/2)

1--Gary Moore (12/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**)

1--John O'Neill (22/1)

1--A.E. Price (5/1)

1--T. Symonds (8/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (4/5*)

1--Evan Williams (9/4*)

1--Venetia Williams (9/2)

1--P. York (11/8*)

31/35 winners were sent off at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4)

3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

2--Brendan Powell (9/2** & 15/8)

1--Roger Curtis (9/2)

1--Vic Dartnall (9/2)

1--John Ferguson (4/5)

1--Tom George (13/8)

1--Lawney Hill (7/2)

1--Graeme McPherson (15/8**)

1--Fergal O'Brien (7/4)

1--Jeremy Scott (9/2**)

1--Oliver Sherwood (3/1**)

1--Pam Sly (7/2)

1--Colin Tizzard (4/1)

1--Bill Turner (13/8)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1**)

1--Lucy Wadham (4/1**)

1--Nick Williams (4/1**)

 

Kempton:

Mandy Rowland is a name which is not highlighted often enough, given her 20% strike rate at Kempton in recent times.  Mandy held a couple of entries this week and given her positive LSP reading of twelve points into the bargain at Kempton, her runners are worth a secondary glance.

 

Wolverhampton:

Three of David O’Meara’s last five runners have won since the trainer saddled a beaten (joint) favourite at the Cheltenham Festival last week.  This is his ‘bread and butter’ living, with David boasting a 27% strike rate at Dunstall Park in recent times.

 

FRIDAY 22/03:

Doncaster:

For the record, Richard Fahey saddled the most winners (nine) on Town Moor last year, though it is the raiders from Michael Bell’s yard that should demand the most attention this season.  Michael saddled three of his seven juvenile representatives to winning effect (4/1-7/2*-11/4**), whilst recording total returns of 7/19 during the course of the year.

‘Brocklesby’ event scheduled for 2.00: Just one (co) favourite has won this famous two-year-old event during the last eleven years, though bookmakers have not had things going all their own way as nine of the eleven winners were returned at odds ranging between 5/2 and 9/1.  Bill Turner has saddled three of the last seven winners and Bill has had more than his normal share on winners during the winter.  Bill’s only option for the ‘Brocklesby’ at the penultimate stage this season was Mick’s Yer Man.

Mile and a quarter handicap scheduled for 2.30:  This event looks destined for a leading stable victory, with three top trainers having entered over half the number of runners at the penultimate stage.  Mark Johnston held three options with two each for Richard Hannon and Richard Fahey.

‘Doncaster Shield’ scheduled for 3.00: Charlie Hills has carried on where his dad left off in raiding Doncaster to good effect.  Model Pupil is Charlie’s entry in this event and it’s worth noting that the trainer has only saddled more turf winners at Newmarket than he has at Doncaster during his brief career, despite Town Moor being the thick end of two hundred miles from home.  For the record, Model Pupil scored at the first time of asking last season which makes for positive reading.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 28

Favourite stats: 12 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

 

Trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:

5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)

2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)

2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)

2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)

1--Andrew Balding (8/1)

1--R. Barber (4/7*)

1--Mick Channon (8/1)

1--Rebecca Curtis (14/1)

1--Henry Daly (7/1)

1--Anthony Honeyball (6/4*)

1--Alan King (7/4*)

1--Gary Moore (5/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

1--Neil Mulholland (8/1)

1--Fergal O'Brien (4/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (10/1)

1--David Pipe (7/4*)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1)

1--H. Whittington (50/1)

24/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4)

2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)

2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)

2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)

2--Paul Nicholls (6/1** & 5/2)

2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

1--Tom George (6/1**)

1--Colin Tizzard (10/3)

1--Robert Walford (9/2)

1--Venetia Williams (11/4)

Two mile five furlong maiden hurdle scheduled for 2.10: Six-year-olds have won seven of the last eleven contests with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a five-timer.

Class 2 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.25: Seven-year-olds have secured five of the last nine renewals whilst Philip Hobbs (Softsong and Irish Buccaneer were his only potential runners earlier in the week) has saddled three of the last seven gold medallists.  The last six winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2.

A race for conditional and amateur riders scheduled for 5.30:  The last eleven renewals have been won by horses returned at odds of 5/1 or less (six market leaders obliged during the study period).  Six-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests, whilst ten winners during the last eleven have carried weights of 11-2 or more.

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sedgefield: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

2--S. Crawford (7/2* & 9/2)

2--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2 & 5/1)

2--William Kinsey (15/8* & 11/4)

1--P. Atkinson (9/1)

1--Rose Dobbin (16/1)

1--Mick Easterby (2/1)

1--James Ewart (7/4*)

1--Joanne Foster (3/1)

1--Steve Gollings (9/2)

1--Warren Greatrex (9/4*)

1--Ann Hamilton (8/1)

1--Phil Kirby (5/2*)

1--Donald McCain (4/6*)

1--M. Mullineaux (17/2)

1--Barry Murtagh (7/1)

1--Alan Swinbank (10/1)

1--John Wade (2/1*)

1--Tracy Waggott (25/1)

19/21 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2--Phil Kirby (5/2 & 11/10)

2--Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1--Brian Ellison (6/4)

1--John Ferguson (11/10)

1--Steve Gollings (5/2)

1--Richard Lee (6/5)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--Alan Swinbank (13/8)

1--Tim Walford (11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Welsh Sunrise (scheduled to contest the 7.30 event) is Gerard Butler’s only potential runner at Wolverhampton this week, the trainer boasting a 24% strike rate which has yielded an LSP figure of fifty points during the last five years at Dunstall Park.

 

SATURDAY 23/03:

Doncaster:

‘Spring Mile’ scheduled for 2.40: Four-year-olds have secured nine renewals during the last eleven during which time, just one favourite has obliged.  Nine winners were returned in double figures ranging is odds between 10/1 and 50/1.

‘Cammidge Trophy’ scheduled for 3.15: The last seven winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more, whilst just one favourite has prevailed via the last ten contests.  One three-year-old were involved at the penultimate entry stage, though no junior winners have been recorded since Falcon Hill prevailed at 11/1 for Mark Johnston back in 2002.  That said, only seven three-year-olds have subsequently contested the event.

‘Lincoln Handicap’ scheduled for 3.15: Two of the last four favourites have prevailed (as have three of the last eight), whilst five market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the last eleven years.

Effect of the draw via the last nine renewals at Doncaster during the last eleven years:

12-21-9-2 (22 ran-good)

16-19-6-15 (21 ran-good)

1-5-10-14 (21 ran-soft)

9-3-2-20 (20 ran-good to firm)

12-3-16-5 (21 ran-good to soft)

13-21-2-1 (22 ran-good)

23-16-12-24 (24 ran-good)

6-7-1-12 (24 ran-good)

7-6-13-12 (23 ran-good to soft)

The other two renewals were contested at Redcar and Newcastle whereby the effect of the draw is obviously not relevant.

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bangor: 14

Favourite stats: 7 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3 (66.7%)

 

Trainers of winners at Bangor in 2013:

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2 & 11/4**)

1--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*)

1--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*)

1--Richard Ford (15/2)

1--Harry Fry (1/2*)

1--Warren Greatrex (6/1)

1--Nicky Henderson (5/4)

1--Donald McCain (Evs*)

1--A. Middleton (12/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1)

1--David Pipe (15/2)

1--Sue Smith (8/15*)

1--Venetia Williams (7/4*)

13/14 winners were returned at odds of 15/2 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1)

1--Nicky Henderson (13/8)

1--Barry Leavy (10/3)

1--Richard Lee (2/1)

1--A.E. Price (11/4**)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2)

Seventeen furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Five-year-olds have won five contests during the last eleven years, whilst favourites have secured six of the last nine contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at odds of 8/1.

Three mile handicap hurdle event due to be contested at 3.20: We still await the first successful market leader following eight renewals during which time, four eight-year-olds prevailed.  Just one of the last five favourites has secured a toteplacepot position.

Class 4 two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.30: Nine renewals have slipped by since the last favourite won though that said, bookmakers have not had things going all their won way as the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at 8/1.  Six of the last seven winners have scored at 4/1 or less.  Eight-year-olds carrying weights of 10-11 or more have won three of the last six renewals.

 

Kelso:

Favourite stats: 6 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

Trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)

3--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*)

2--Donald McCain (6/1 & 4/1)

2--J. Walton (10/1 & 10/11*)

1--George Bewley (8/1)

1--Stuart Coltherd (9/4)

1--Tristram Davidson (7/2)

1--Brian Ellison (9/4)

1--James Ewart (5/4*)

1--Chris Grant (5/1)

1--Ann Hamilton (11/4**)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--John O'Shea (11/4)

1--John Wade (20/1)

1--Tim Walford (8/11*)

19/21 winners to date have scored at odds of 10/1 or less (seventeen at a top price of 6/1).

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8)

2--David Pipe (10/11 & 11/10)

1--Nick Alexander (11/4**)

1--Kim Bailey (4/5)

1--Fred Hutsby (2/1)

1--Phil Kirby (9/2***)

1--Karen McLintock (9/4)

1--B. Murtagh (9/2***)

1--Keith Reveley (2/1)

1--Nicky Richards (4/5)

1--Miss P. Robson (7/4)

1--Oliver Sherwood (1/2)

1--J. Wade (9/2***)

1--J. Walton (2/1)

1--A.C. Whillans (2/1)

Seventeen furlong Class 3 handicap chase event scheduled for 3.30: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals during which time, just one market leader has finished in the frame.  The five winners have scored at odds ranging between 5/1 and 16/1.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 28

Favourite stats: 12 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

 

Trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:

5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)

2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)

2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)

2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)

1--Andrew Balding (8/1)

1--R. Barber (4/7*)

1--Mick Channon (8/1)

1--Rebecca Curtis (14/1)

1--Henry Daly (7/1)

1--Anthony Honeyball (6/4*)

1--Alan King (7/4*)

1--Gary Moore (5/1)

1--Neil Mulholland (8/1)

1--Fergal O'Brien (4/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (10/1)

1--David Pipe (7/4*)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1)

1--H. Whittington (50/1)

24/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4)

2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)

2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)

2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)

2--Paul Nicholls (6/1** & 5/2)

2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

1--Tom George (6/1**)

1--Colin Tizzard (10/3)

1--Robert Walford (9/2)

1--Venetia Williams (11/4)

Class 4 novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.45: Five of the last nine favourites have obliged during which time, seven winners have been returned at odds of 3/1 or less.  Five-year-olds have secured four of the last eight renewals.

Juvenile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.05: Only one favourite has obliged via ten renewals since 2003.

 

Stratford:

Warren Greatrex and Michael Appleby are two trainers who generally sit marginally below the radar at several venues with Stratford being no exception, both handlers boasting 25% records at the venue.

 

SUNDAY 24/03:

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wincanton: 39

Favourite stats: 13 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

 

Trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013:

6--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1)

3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)

3--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*)

3--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**)

3--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (11/4* & 12/1)

1--Bob Buckler (10/3)

1--Keiran Burke (15/2)

1--R.B. Chanin (6/1)

1--Chris Down (9/2)

1--Tom Gretton (4/6*)

1--Anthony Honeyball (15/2)

1--Nick Lampard (9/2)

1--Michael Miller (16/1)

1--Neil Mulholland (7/2)

1--Seamus Mullins (3/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (1/5*)

1--Brendan Powell (14/1)

1--Richard Price (10/1)

1--Jeremy Scott (25/1)

1--Andy Turnell (2/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (4/1)

1--Nick Williams (11/2)

1--Venetia Williams (1/2*)

1--Richard Woollacott (11/4*)

34/39 winners started at 10/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

8--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8)

5--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**)

4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

3--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4)

2--Karen George (4/1** & 6/4)

1--Vic Dartnall (5/6)

1--Hugo Froud (7/4)

1--Tom George (13/8)

1--Nicky Henderson (6/5)

1--Jackie Du Plessis (2/1)

1--S. Rea (5/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (5/2**)

1--Nick Williams (7/4)

 

Lingfield:

It is quite remarkable that Mick Channon’s LSP figures are in ‘black type’ given that Mick has saddled well over two hundred runners at Lingfield during the study period.  Mick held two options for Sunday’s card at the time of writing.

 

MONDAY 25/03:

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Towcester: 20

Favourite stats: 7 (35.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/6 (83.3%)

 

Trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:

2--Claire Dyson (5/1 & 4/1)

2--Philip Hobbs (4/5* & 8/13*)

2--David Pipe (7/4* & 1/2*)

2--Venetia Williams (3/1* & 5/1)

1--Kevin Bishop (11/2)

1--David Bridgwater (11/2)

1--Jennie Candlish (8/11*)

1--Tony Carroll (9/1)

1--Caroline Keevil (9/2)

1--C.R. Leech (9/1)

1--Robin Mathew (13/2)

1--Donald McCain (4/5*)

1--Anthony Middleton (9/2)

1--John O'Shea (7/1)

1--Jamie Snowdon (7/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (4/1)

All twenty winners sent off at a top price of 9/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Sophie Leech (9/4 & 5/2)

2--Richard Woolacott (11/4 & 3/1)

1--Kate Buckett (3/1)

1--Sarah Jane Davies (5/2)

1--Robin Dickin (9/4)

1--John Ferguson (15/8)

1--Fleur Hawes (Evs)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4)

1--Hughie Morrison (7/2)

1--Michael Roberts (11/4)

1--Jamie Snowdon (4/11)

 

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Taunton: 33

Favourite stats: 19 (57.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/10 (80.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*)

4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)

3--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2)

3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

2--Colin Tizzard (7/2* & 9/4)

1--Kevin Bishop (6/1)

1--Kate Buckett (7/4*)

1--Vic Dartnall (8/1)

1--Chris Down (3/1*)

1--Alexandra Dunn (5/1)

1--Harry Fry (9/4)

1--Nicky Henderson (1/7*)

1--Philip Hobbs (4/5*)

1--Susan Johnson (14/1)

1--Richard Lee (11/4*)

1--Bernard Llewellyn (4/1*)

1--Charlie Mann (11/4)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/1)

1--Fergal O'Brien (14/1)

1--Paul Webber (4/9*)

1--Miss J. Western (4/1)

1--Laura Young (9/4*)

30/33 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, twenty-eight of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)

3--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6)

2--Chris Down (10/3 & 5/2)

1--Kevin Bishop (4/1***)

1--Alex Hales (4/1***)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/4)

1--Mrs Sue Popham (2/1)

1--Tom Symonds (2/1)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1***)

1--Tim Vaughan (2/1)

1--Evan Williams (9/4)

 

Lingfield:

It’s worth noting that whilst a lot of ‘flat punters’ turn their eyes towards the turf version of the sport, fancied horses continue to run well on the all-weather surfaces.  The corresponding card last year produced six winners at odds of 7/2 or less, whilst the other race on the card witnessed the well backed favourite (7/1 to 9/2) being denied by just one (14/1) horse by one and a half lengths.  The four successful market leaders on the card produced a level stake profit of £481.36 to one hundred pound investments.

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6 replies
  1. Peter says:

    All good stuff but would be more usable if the info could be split between FLAT and NH

    pete

  2. Stephen Taylor says:

    Excellent amount of information for a weeks racing.and heres hoping it can throw up a few winners,Many Thanks.

  3. Gary says:

    Yes you are doing well now you are naming a few selections.. 4 wins this week.
    BFD…

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Gary

      One of the problems with naming names in the stat pack is that it’s written at the start of the week. So, in the case of weekend racing, Mal is working from the five day declarations which means he’s likely to nominate a lot of non-runners that way.

      It makes more sense, then, to flag the key stats in the main and allow punters to use the info as they see fit.

      Hope that makes sense, and that you’re enjoying the site.

      Best,
      Matt

Comments are closed.