Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th November

29th Oct to 4th Nov

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th November

David Pipe’s 5995/1 four-timer at Cheltenham bailed us out of trouble last week after I had suggested that he and Paul Nicholls might dominate the Open meeting at Prestbury Park.

That said, favourites offered similar results to the previous year (as anticipated) with a 21% strike rate as opposed to the 16.7% ratio in 2012.

So what of this week’s ‘predictions’ as far as the main meetings are concerned?

Nicky Henderson has long since ruled the National Hunt scene at Ascot having secured thirty-two winners during the last five years.

If anything goes wrong for the trainer this weekend, there is always Kempton’s NH fixture on Monday to fall back on, given that Nicky has already saddled twelve winners at the Sunbury track in 2013.

That said, Nicky saddled four winners (7/4*-4/7*-15/8*-8/15*) at last year’s two day meeting at Ascot and though we should never take anything for granted in this sport, it would be something of a shock if Nicky failed to hit the target this time around.

For additional confidence, readers should note that Nicky saddled the first three winners on the Friday at the 2011 fixture.

Over at Haydock for their two-day fixture, results are not quite so predictable whereby you might take note of Tim Easterby’s 16/1 and 10/1 winners at the meeting twelve months ago, whilst Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the eight winners of Saturday’s Belfair ‘Chase thus far.

Paul held two entries for this year’s renewal at the time of writing.  The fact that this event is the first Grade 1 contest of the NH season is often forgotten.

Apologies for ending on a negative note, but we lost Warwick’s Wednesday card to the weather last year and with potential snow showers on the horizon for their meeting this time around, it’s time to get your ‘thermals’ out of the drawer!

Don’t forget to log on every day to receive updates where venues stage more than one meeting during the course of the week. This week’s relevant racecourses:

Thursday: Kempton (A/W)

Saturday: Ascot--Haydock--Wolverhampton--Lingfield

Monday: Wolverhampton

Day by day analysis for this week:

TUESDAY 19/11:

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 46
Favourite stats: 17 (37.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:
4--Neil King (3/1-9/4-9/1-7/2)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/1-9/4*-11/4-7/1)
3--Peter Bowen (4/1-6/5*-3/1)
3--Caroline Fryer (11/1-7/4*-11/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/5*-10/11*-6/4)
3--Paul Nicholls (9/4*-8/11*-4/9*)
2--John Cornwall (8/1 & 5/1)
2--Fred Hutsby (15/8** & 8/15*)

All 46 winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Ferguson (2/1**-11/8-15/8**-8/13)
2--Warren Greatrex (2/5 & 3/1)
2--Alex Hales (6/4 & 11/8)
2--Gary Moore (1/6 & 9/4)

2.00: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last six renewals, whilst just two favourites has prevailed via the last nine contests.

3.30: Four of the six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-4, whilst nine-year-olds have secured three of the six contests. Five renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded since the inaugural 4/5 favourite obliged back in 2007.

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 47
Favourite stats: 17 (36.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/16 (37.5%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)
2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)
2--Alison Batchelor (66/1 & 14/1)
2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)
2--Warren Greatrex (12/1 & 10/11*)
2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)
2--Venetia Williams (9/4* & 11/8*)

38/47 winners (80.9%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16
Favourite stats: 4 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/2 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
2/4--Michael Appleby (6/1 & 9/4*)
1/1--Eric Alston (10/1)
1/1--Tony Coyle (10/1)
1/1--Violet M Jordan (4/1**)
1/1--Michael Wigham (13/8*)

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)
2--John Jenkins (4/1** & 2/1)

12.10: Just two favourites have won via the last eight renewals during which time, four gold medallists were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 & 40/1.

12.40: Three year-olds have secured six renewals during the last decade during which time, just one (13/8) favourite prevailed.

1.40: Market leaders have obliged in three of the last six contests, albeit there was a rogue 33/1 gold medallist recorded during the period.

2.40: Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed via six renewals thus far. Back-to-back 16/1 winners in 2008/09 kept the majority of the layers happy.

3.10 & 3.40 (two divisions): Four-year-olds have won six of the last ten contests during which time, just one market leader has obliged. Eight of the last eleven winners prevailed at odds ranging between 13/2 and 25/1.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

WOLVERHAMPTON JOCKEY FAVOURITE STATS:

SYLVESTRE DE SOUSA:
8 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 11/25--44.0%)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/1-8/11-10/11)
2--Charlie Appleby (6/4 & 10/11)
1--Michael Appleby (5/6)
1--Mark Johnston (13/8)
1--Ian Williams (2/1)
5 losers (odds on ratio to date: 4/6--66.7%)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
1--David Evans (4/1**)
1--Mark Johnston (5/2)

ADAM KIRBY:
5 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 6/17--35.3%)
3 David Evans (4/1***-7/2-9/2)
1--Alan King (11/8)
1--Jamie Osborne (10/11)
1 loser (Odds on ratio to date: 1/1)
1--David Evans (7/4)

GRAHAM LEE:
3 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 4/35--11.4%)
1--Johnny Farrelly (11/8)
1--Ed McMahon (4/1**)
1--Kevin Ryan (15/8)
4 losers (no odds on stats to date)
1--Johnny Farrelly (11/10)
1--James Given (7/2**)
1--Iain Jardine (4/1***)
1--Willie Musson (2/1)

LUKE MORRIS:
3 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 6/35--17.1%)
1--Luke Dace (9/4**)
1--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1**)
1--Ed Walker (9/4)
5 losers (no odds on stats to date)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
1--Marco Botti (5/4)
1--Chris Dwyer (7/2**)

TED DURCAN:
2 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/4--50.0%)
2--David Lanigan (4/6 & 4/5)
1 loser (odds on ratio to date: 2/2)
1--Jamie Osborne (7/4)

CATHY GANNON:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Jim Allen (2/1)
No losers

STEPHEN CRAINE:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/8--12.5%)
1--Tom Dascombe (11/10)
No losers

DAVID PROBERT:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Patrick Chamings (11/8)
No losers

LOUIS STEWARD:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Phil McBride (5/4)
No losers

WILLIAM TWISTON-DAVIES:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/10--20.0%)
1--Gerard Butler (7/2**)
1 loser (no odds on stats to date)
1--Geoff OLdroyd (7/2)

EOIN WALSH:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/8--12.5%)
1--David Evans (5/4)
2 losers (no odds on stats to date)
2--David Evans (2/1 & 9/4)

GRAHAM GIBBONS:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/19--10.5%)
1--David Barron (11/10)
1 loser (odds on ratio to date: 0/1)
1--David Barron (10/11)

SHANE KELLY:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/10--10.0%)
1--Robert Cowell (11/10)
1 loser (no odds on stats to date)
1--John Stimpson (7/2)

JOCKETS YET TO RIDE A WINNING FAVOURITE THUS FAR:
3 beaten favourites--David Allen (6/4--3/1**-5/2--all for Tim Easterby)
3 beaten favourites--Joe Fanning (10/3-13/8 M. Johnston & 2/13 W. Haggas)
2 beaten favourites--Andrea Atzeni (1/2 for Luca Cumani & 7/4 for George Baker)
2 beaten favourites--Tom Eaves (both 5/2 for Keith Dalgleish)
2 beaten favourites--Martin Harley (10/11 Mick Channon & 7/2** David Evans)
2 beaten favourites--Robert Tart (7/4 for Alan Bailey & 2/1 for Brian Ellison)
2 beaten favourites--Daniel Tudhope (11/4 for Kevin Ryan & 4/6 for David O'Meara)
1 beaten favourite--George Baker (5/2 for James Unett)
1 beaten favourite--Laura Barry (4/1 for Ollie Pears)
1 beaten favourite--George Chaloner (7/2 for Robert Eddery)
1 beaten favoruite--Ben Curtis (5/4 for Gerard Butler)
1 beaten favourite--Patrick Donaghy (13/8 for Giles Bravery)
1 beaten favourite--Duran Fentiman (2/1 for Shaun Harris)
1 beaten favourite--Shane Gray (3/1 for Kevin Ryan)
1 beaten favourite--Jason Hart (2/1 for Keith Dlagleish)
1 beaten favourite--Liam Jones (5/4 for William Haggas)
1 beaten favourite--Richard Kingscote (7/2 for Miltonj Bradley)
1 beaten favourite--Andrew Mullen (4/1*** for Michael Appleby)
1 beaten favourite--Tom Queally (5/4 for Lady Cecil)
1 beaten favourite--Jimmy Quinn (9/4 for Ed Vaughan)
1 beaten favourite--Raul Da Silva (9/4** for Derek Shaw)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY 20/11:

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 79
Favourite stats: 29 (36.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/10 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
15--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1-5/2*-9/4*-5/2-13/8*-5/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Stuart Crawford (11/10*-7/4-3/1)
3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

73/79 winners (92.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1-4/1-8/15-3/1-11/4-10/3-7/2***)
8--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2-9/4-8/11)
3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

Juvenile maiden hurdle due to be contested at 1.10: Six of the eight favourites have finished in the frame via seven renewals (three winners), whilst the biggest priced gold medallist to date was returned at 7/1.

Class 5 handicap hurdle event over two and a half miles scheduled for 2.40: Seven of the nine winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less, whilst the same number of gold medallists were returned in single figures, statistics which include three successful market leaders. Ten-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 55
Favourite stats: 15 (27.8%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
2/5--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)
2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)
2/5--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)
2/5--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)
2/9--Marco Botti (2/1 & 5/1)
2/14--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)
2/26--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

46/55 (83.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
2--Charlie Appleby (3/1 & Evs)
2--Andrew Balding (2/1 & 15/8)
2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)
2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Richard Hannon (4/1** & 13/8)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 40
Favourite stats: 13 (32.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/4--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/4--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/11--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
1/1--Laura Mongan (8/1)
1/1--David O'Meara (5/2*)
1/1--Suzy Smith (33/1)

35/40 (87.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Marco Botti (9/4 & 5/2)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

12.00: Three favourites have prevailed during the last decade, whilst nine winners were returned at a top price of 6/1.

12.30: Favourites have secured five of the last ten renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner was sent off at just 11/2 during the period.

1.00: Nine winners during the last decade have scored at 7/1 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders. All ten recent winners of this Nursery event have carried a minimum of nine stones, nine of which carried 9-5 or more.

1.30 & 2.00 (two divisions): All or nothing as far as bookmakers and punters are concerned, as three favourites have obliged via six contests, with the other trio of gold medallists being returned at 33/1-33/1-25/1.

3.00: Three-year-olds have won eight renewals during the last decade during which time, three short priced (8/11--Evs--5/4) favourites have obliged.

*

Warwick:

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 43
Favourite stats: 21 (48.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:
5--Alan King (Evs*-8/15*-5/2-7/4**-3/1**)
3--David Pipe (1/2*-7/2*-7/4*)
2--Henry Daly (9/4*-5/2*)
2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)
2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)
2--Charlie Longsdon (12/1 & 11/8*)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1 & 16/1)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

40/43 gold medallists (93.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Tom George (4/1-10/11-3/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-6/4-2/1)
2--Philip Hobbs (11/4 & 3/1**)
2--Charlie Longsdon (7/2-11/8)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)
2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 6/4)

Nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.50: Five and six-year-old’s have dominated this event during the last eleven years, five-year-olds leading 5-4 during the period with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a four timer.

National Hunt novice hurdle over two miles scheduled for 2.50: Four-year-old’s have secured seven of the last eight renewals and a 12/1 chance was the shortest priced vintage representative in the year that four-year-old’s ‘missed out’. Out of interest, an 18/1 four-year-old finished third that year (2010).

Three and a quarter mile chase scheduled for 3.20: Six favourites have prevailed during the eleven years whilst the same number of gold medallists carried weights of 11-0 or more, as have ten of the last fifteen horses to have secured toteplacepot positions.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY 21/11:

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 55
Favourite stats: 15 (27.8%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
2/5--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)
2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)
2/5--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)
2/5--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)
2/9--Marco Botti (2/1 & 5/1)
2/14--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)
2/26--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

46/55 (83.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
2--Charlie Appleby (3/1 & Evs)
2--Andrew Balding (2/1 & 15/8)
2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)
2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Richard Hannon (4/1** & 13/8)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

*

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 110
Favourite stats: 42 (38.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/22 (63.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
9--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*-3/1*-5/6*-5/6*-1/2*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)

100/110 winners (90.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
5--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4-9/2)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**-11/4)
5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4-6/5)

*

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 102
Favourite stats: 36 (35.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/19 (68.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
16--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*-11/8*)
7--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2-5/2*)
6--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1-9/2)
6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)
5--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*-13/2-5/1)
5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

93/103 of the winners (90.3%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3-5/2)
10--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1-15/8-6/4)
6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)
4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)
3--Alan King (3/1** & 3/1-5/1**)
3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

Conditional jockeys/Amateur rider event due to be contested at 12.50: Six-year-olds old have secured four of the last five contests, whilst just one favourite has obliged via eight renewals during the last decade.

Two mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.20: Eight renewals have slipped by without a winning favourites being registered.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Two mile six furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.25: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last eight winners with the trainer holding three options this time around. Philip Hobbs has two runners entered in the race having secured two winners during the Nicholls (virtual) domination of the contest.

*

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 87
Favourite stats: 28 (32.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)
4--Henry Daly (11/4*-5/2-5/4*-5/2**)
4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*-5/1)

73/87 (83.9%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4-4/7-11/8-7/4-4/1**)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)
3--Tom George (2/1-7/2-7/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)
3--Martin Keighley (2/1-11/4-5/1***)
3--Sophie Leech (9/2-5/1***-9/2)
3--David Pipe (5/2-9/4-5/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY 22/11:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 21
Favourite stats: 9 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/4

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
3--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

16/21 winners (72.2%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 1.30: The trade press would have you believe that this is a new race which I guess is true to a fashion, though only because the length of the contest has been reduced by a couple of furlongs. I do not believe I would be offering a service if I decided to hide the previous facts from readers, though you must (as ever) make up your own minds of course. Favourites had/have won all five renewals to date, with Nicky Henderson potentially coming to the gig on a four timer. Nicky only had Top Of The Range involved at the time of writing.

‘Introductory’ hurdle event scheduled for 2.05: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last seven contests, whilst Nicky Henderson was responsible for five of the nineteen penultimate stage declarations, with Barry Geraghty already ‘jocked aboard’ Nicky’s Kempton bumper winner West Wizard.

Two mile three handicap chase scheduled for 2.40: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. I highlighted the (previous) fact two years ago (3/4 at the time) and one of just two vintage representatives on the day scored at 20/1. Just five of this year’s twenty two potential runners were seven-year-olds at the time of writing. Three favourites have obliged to date via seven renewals.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.15: Six and eight-year-olds have dominated this event, equally sharing the six renewals thus far. Two (15/8) favourites have prevailed whilst five winners were returned at a top price of 8/1.

Two mile handicap hurdle due to close out the card at 3.50: Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last seven winners (all returned as favourites of their respective events), whilst market leaders have secured four of the eight contests during the last decade. Three of the last four favourites have prevailed, whilst the last seven gold medallists were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less. Philip Hobbs only has course and distance winner Dunraven Storm entered this year having secured two of the renewals when the race eluded Nicky Henderson.

*

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 116
Favourite stats: 39 (33.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/14 (42.8%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
15--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4-5/1-16/1-3/1-7/2)
10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)
8--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4-Evs*-6/1)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8-7/4*-4/9*)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)
4--Henry Daly (7/4*-11/8*-11/8*-8/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)
4--David Res (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (4/1-8/11-12/1-9/4)

108/117 winners (92.3%) were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
11--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1-6/4**-5/6)
9--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2-5/4)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)
5--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4-4/5-3/1**)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)
3--Anthony Honeyball (8/13-6/4-3/1**)

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 24
Favourite stats: 7 (29.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
2--Brian Ellison (8/1 & 7/1)
2--Martin Keighley (7/2 & 9/4**)
2--Donald McCain (9/1 & 11/10*)

22/24 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Henry Daly (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (10/3 & 11/2**)
2--Donald McCain (2/1 & 5/1**)
2--Paul Nicholls (11/2** & 9/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8 & 7/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/4 & 5/1**)

Listed Novice Hurdle event due to be contested at 1.55: Four-year-olds have secured five of the eight renewals thus far with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a four timer. Five of the last seven favourites have obliged whilst a top priced winner of 7/1 has emerged to date.

Two mile Bumper event due to close out the programme at 3.40: Four-year-olds have won the last five contests whilst we have yet to witness a successful favourite following six contests thus far. That said, the last five gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 6/1, whilst Donald McCain is the only trainer to have saddled two (15/8 & 11/4) winners to date. Donald held three options for the race earlier in the week.

*

Wolverhampton:

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY 23/11:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 21
Favourite stats: 9 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/4

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
3--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

16/21 winners (72.2%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Two mile six novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.25: Six-year-olds have won two of the four races to date whilst securing four of the twelve each way/toteplacepot positions. This is an impressive ratio given that just ten vintage representatives have contested the race thus far. Two of the four market leaders have prevailed accompanied by 10/1 & 12/1 gold medallists.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.00: We still await the first successful market leader following four renewals thus far, whilst all four winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-8.

Two mile and six furlongs event for mares due to be contested at 1.30: We still await the first successful favourite following four renewals thus far, the four winners to date being returned at 33/1 (Tom Symonds)-8/1 (Kim Bailey)-7/1 (Emma Lavelle)-6/1 (Suzy Smith).

Grade 2 Chase over nineteen furlongs: Paul Nicholls has saddled four of the last ten winners.

Class 2 seventeen furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.15: Favourites have won three of the seven renewals with a top priced winner of 8/1 emerging thus far. Evan Williams held two options for the contest earlier in the week having saddled two 7/1 winners in the race to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.50: Four-year-old’s have won three of the last five renewals, securing eleven of the fifteen available win and place positions during the period.

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 24
Favourite stats: 7 (29.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
2--Brian Ellison (8/1 & 7/1)
2--Martin Keighley (7/2 & 9/4**)
2--Donald McCain (9/1 & 11/10*)

22/24 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Henry Daly (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (10/3 & 11/2**)
2--Donald McCain (2/1 & 5/1**)
2--Paul Nicholls (11/2** & 9/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8 & 7/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/4 & 5/1**)

Intermediate hurdle over two miles scheduled for 12.45: Four-year-olds come to the gig on a four times, whilst Paul Nicholls (potentially represented by Far West this time around) has secured two of the last four (and three of the last seven) winners. Favourites have won five of the last seven contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 7/2.

Three mile grade 3 handicap ‘fixed brush’ hurdle event scheduled for 2.25: David Pipe has saddled two of the last three winners, with David holding two options at the five day stage on this occasion. Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed within the last seven years.

Betfair Chase scheduled for 3.00: Four of the last seven favourites have obliged.

Three mile one furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: All six winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more, whilst just one (7/2) favourite has scored thus far.

*

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 97
Favourite stats: 31 (31.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/15 (53.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1-5/1)
4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)

87/97 (89.7%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (15/8-4/5-8/15)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 40
Favourite stats: 13 (32.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/4--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/4--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/11--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
1/1--Laura Mongan (8/1)
1/1--David O'Meara (5/2*)
1/1--Suzy Smith (33/1)

35/40 (87.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Marco Botti (9/4 & 5/2)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY 24/11:

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 80
Favourite stats: 27 (33.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/19 (57.9%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
8--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)
3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)
3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)
3--Alan King (9/2-4/11*-7/4*)
3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)
3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

72/80 winners (90.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4)
5--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2)
5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)
2--Alan King (9/4 twice)
2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)
2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)
2--Evan Williams (11/8 & 4/5)
2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 77
Favourite stats: 28 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

72/77 winners (93.5%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY 25/11:

Kempton (NH):

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kempton: 64
Favourite stats: 20 (31.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:
12--Nicky Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1-9/2-10/3-4/5*-25/1-15/8*-4/11*)
9--Alan King (4/5*-5/1-5/1-13/2-9/2-6/1-9/4-4/6*-2/1*)
8--Paul Nicholls (7/1-5/4*-9/4-11/8-11/4*-9/2-8/11*-5/2)
3--Tom George (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-11/10*-9/1)
3--Paul Webber (9/1-12/1-9/2)

62/64 winners (96.9%) scored at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Nicky Henderson (5/2**-11/8-8/11-10/11-7/4-4/11-6/4-11/10)
7--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1-7/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (11/4-9/4-7/4-3/1)
3--Alan King (4/1-5/2**-11/10)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-2/1-9/4)

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 86
Favourite stats: 33 (38.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
7--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*)
6--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*-Evs*-6/5*)
5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)
4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)
3--Henry Daly (11/2-5/1-4/11*)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/1-15/8*-4/1)
3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)
3--Tom Symonds (2/1*-7/1-17/2)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

80/87 winners (91.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)
7--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4)
6--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2-9/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

Mal Boyle

Your first 30 days for just £1