Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 22nd to 29th October

22nd to 29th October

Weekly Stat Pack: 22nd to 29th October

Wouldn’t you just know it, I went to have my ‘flu jab on Thursday and now I have ‘man flu’ about my person!

Upwards and onwards by looking at beaten favourites to a fashion, wondering why people become obsessed with punts, particularly at this time of the year when ‘freak’ results appear to be an everyday occurrence with the ground changing so quickly.

During the last few days, punters have latched onto market leaders from stables which have poor ratios at the respective venues this year, statistics which include the following examples: Amanda Perrett at Windsor (0/11--beaten 3/1 favourite on Monday), Brendan Powell at Windsor (1/13--beaten favourite at 5/2), Michael Dods (0/21--beaten 11/10 favourite at Catterick on Saturday) and Mick Easterby (1/26--beaten favourite at 5/2 at the same venue).

These are just a few examples of what are regular scenarios and the message is be lucky but more importantly, remain observant.

Day by day details:

TUESDAY 22/10:

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Yarmouth 169

Favourite stats: 69 (40.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 24/33 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

10/18--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10-11/2-9/4**-7/1)

9/29--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*-13/2-11/8*-11/2-9/2)

8/37--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2-10/1)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/13--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3-5/4*)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

4/8--Lucy Wadham (9/2-5/4*-Evs*-16/1)

4/11--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/15--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/20--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

154/170 (90.6%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8-5/2)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Marco Botti (15/8-5/2-6/4)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--James Fanshawe (9/4**-5/2-5/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (6/5-11/10-15/8)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-5/4-6/4)

 

Lingfield (A/W):

Sweet P (2.30) is an interesting runner on the card given that Marcus Tregoning boasts a 23% strike rate at Lingfield via nineteen winners, statistics which have produced black figures of five points in recent seasons.

 

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Exeter: 60

Favourite stats: 19 (31.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

6--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1)

4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)

4--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)

52/60 winners (86.7%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)

2--Vic Dartnell (11/10 & 6/5)

2--Emma Lavelle (3/1 & 2/5)

2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)

2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)

2--Colin Tizzard (4/1 & 11/8)

2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

2.10: All three favourites had finished out with the washing before the 1/9 favourite dotted up in a three horse race two years ago.  Two of last year‘s three 3/1 co favourites finished in the frame without winning the contest.  The previous nine win and place positions were secured by horses returned at 66/1-66-1-33/1-14/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-7-2-3/1.

3.10: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last 15 renewals (including eight of the last 11), whilst market leaders have won eleven of the last fifteen renewals.

4.10: The last six winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-7, whilst three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won via the last fifteen renewals.  Thirteen of the twenty one 'jollies' have reached the frame during the study period.

4.40: Five of the seven favourites (via six renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

 

Kempton:

Jim Crowley has four booked rides at Kempton today and the leading rider at the track in terms of winners is the only jockey to have produced a level stake profit at the track via today’s top fourteen pilots at the venue.  To produce an LSP situation from just thirteen mounts short a thousand rides at the Sunbury track during the last five years is a phenomenal effort.

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WEDNESDAY 23/10:

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Fontwell: 117

Favourite stats: 42 (35.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)

7--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1)

5--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*)

4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)

4--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2)

4--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*)

4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

3--Nicky Henderson (Evs*-Evs-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-9/2-3/1*)

3--David Pipe (7/4-15/8-4/7*)

109/117 winners (93.2%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)

5--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs)

5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)

4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)

4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)

4--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs)

3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)

3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)

3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

Two and three quarter mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.50: All four winners have carried weights of 11-7 or less to victory.

 

Kempton:

Saeed Bin Suroor and Ralph Beckett continue to knock out the winners (offering profits into the bargain)  at this venue at an alarming rate and the two trainers can be lied upon to do so throughout the winter in my considered opinion.

 

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 96

Favourite stats: 34 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/8 (87.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

8/70--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)

5/28--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)

5/51--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1-66/1)

4/13--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**)

4/13--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1-15/2)

4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)

4/37--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1-25/1)

3/10--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)

3/16--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)

3/18--Marco Botti (9/1-9/4-5/1)

3/19--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)

83/96 winners (86.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4)

4--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8-7/1)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)

4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)

4--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)

3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)

3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)

3.40: Five favourites have won during the last eleven years whilst the biggest priced winner during the period was an 8/1 chance.  Nine of the twelve market leaders finished in the frame (exact science).

4.10: John Gosden has saddled two of the last nine winners of this event and John held two entries at the time of writing.  Ten renewals have slipped by since the last favourite prevailed.

5.20: Favourites returned at 11/4 and 7/23 have obliged via just the two renewals of this Nursery event to date, carrying respective weights of 9-7 and 9-7 in the process.  Four of the five runners to have gained win and place positions in this closing event on the card have carried a minimum burden of 9-3.

 

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Worcester: 142

Favourite stats: 54 (38.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 14/22 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:

15--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4-5/2**)

8--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*-12/1)

5--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*-2/1)

5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)

4--Dr Richard Newland (11/4*-11/8*-10/11*-5/6*)

4--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2-2/5*)

4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)

4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-12/1-2/1-5/1)

126/142 winners (88.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**- 7/2**-15/8-13/8-5/2-3/10*)

5--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4-10/11)

5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2-11/10-7/4)

4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)

3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

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THURSDAY 24/10:

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Carlisle: 46

Favourite stats: 20 (46.5%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:

4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)

3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*)

2--Rose Dobbin (11/2-3/1*)

2--Brian Ellison (11/4 & 7/2*)

2--Chris Grant (5/2 & 9/4)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2 & 11/10*)

2--Nicky Richards (1/8* & 10/1)

2--Pauline Robson (Evs* & 5/2)

41/46 winners (89.1%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)

3--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4)

3--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2)

2--Andrew Parker (11/4 & 9/4)

2--Alan Swinbank (5/2 & 6/5)

2--John Wade (9/2 & 3/1)

Favourites have won all three contests of the scheduled opening (2.20) event on the card which is a Class 4 novice hurdle event over two and a half miles.

Intermediate handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.25: Five-year-old lead the six-year-olds 4-2 via the last six renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2.

Class 4 handicap hurdle event over two and a half miles due to be contested at 4.30: Three of the four winners to date have carried a maximum weight of 10-11, the gold medallists in question being returned at 14/1-14/1-8/1.

 

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ludlow: 71

Favourite stats: 27 (38.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):

6--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2)

5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)

3--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4)

3--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*)

3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

65/72 winners (90.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)

6--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8)

5--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

Class 4 handicap hurdle event over the minimum trip scheduled for 5.20: Only one of the last eleven favourites has prevailed.

 

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number ofraces at Southwell: 100

Favourite stats: 41 (41.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/18 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

5--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2-10/11*-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2-5/4*-16/1-5/6*)

4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)

4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

3--Kim Bailey (5/2-Evs*-7/1)

3--Mike Sowersby (16/1-11/1-12/1)

3--Giles Smyly (25/1-9/4*-11/2)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/7*-4/5*-7/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (14/1-2/13*-6/4)

3--Lucy Wadham (6/4*-3/1-4/1)

93/101 winners (92.1%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8-15/8-9/4-15/8-7/4)

3--David Bridgwater (3/1**-2/1-7/4)

3--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-9/4-8/13)

 

Wolverhampton:

Tim Easterby tends to start raiding this venue more often as the turf season draws towards its close and offering a healthy 30 points of level stake profits at Dunstall Park down the years, Tim’s runners are worth a secondary glance.

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FRIDAY 25/10:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 157

Favourite stats: 52 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/75--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/30--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/43--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/30--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

131/157 winners (83.4%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**)

7--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2)

6--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4)

5--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Ralph Beckett (Evs-9/4-8/11)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

Nursery event over a mile scheduled for 1.40: The last ten winners have carried weights of 9-4 or less, whilst four of the last five winners scored at 33/1-16/1-11/1.  Richard Hannon was responsible for three of the eighteen five day entries, with Richard Having saddled winners in the last two contests in which the stable was represented.

Class 5 one mile juvenile event for fillies scheduled for 2.10: Only three of the last twelve market leaders have posted successes during which time, a 100/1 winner was returned back in 2003.

Class 5 seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 2.40: Favourites have secured five of the last seven renewals with the other winners being returned at just 3/1 and 9/2.

Class 2 six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.10: We still await the first winning favourite following six renewals, whilst four-year-olds have secured three victories.  The winners thus far have been returned at 20/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-8/1-7/1.

Fourteen and a half furlong Class 3 handicap scheduled for 3.45: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last ten contests, statistics which include the last eight gold medallists.  Seven renewals have passed by since a successful favourite was recorded, winners scoring at 33/1-20/1-20/1-8/1-15/2-7/1-11/2.

Closing apprentice handicap scheduled for 5.20:  We still await the first successful favourite following three renewals, the winners of which have been returned at 16/1-14/1-9/1, all carrying a minimum burden of 8-12.

 

Fakenham

Two mile five furlong novice chase scheduled for 2.20: Only two of the seven favourites have finished in the fame (no winners) to date, albeit five gold medallists have scored at a top price of 5/2.

Class 4 two mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.50: Six-year-olds have secured five of the last ten contests, whilst four of the last five market leaders have prevailed.

Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: Only one of the last nine favourites has prevailed.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 108

Favourite stats: 29 (26.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/10 (30.0%)

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

12/105--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*-6/1-2/1*)

8/27--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1-4/1)

7/21--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1-15/8*)

5/17--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*-9/2)

5/25--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/16--Richard Fahey (5/1-7/1-6/1-7/2**)

90/108 winners (83.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

17--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2-4/1***-7/2**-4/6)

6--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1-7/2**)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Lady Cecil (15/8-4/1-4/1**-13/8)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

 

Wolverhampton:

Nine and a half furlong Class 6 handicap event due to be contested at 8.00: Three-year-old favourites have won the last two renewals carrying weights of 9-2 and 9-4 when returned at 3/1 and 11/4 respectively.

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SATURDAY 26/10:

Aintree:

Class 2 handicap hurdle over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 1.55: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of two of the last three renewals and Philip held just the one option (Dunraven Storm) at the five day stage.  Six of the eight winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2, whilst two favourites have prevailed thus far.

Monet’s Garden Chase scheduled for 3.05: Only one clear market leader and one joint favourite have obliged via nine renewals to date.

Novice handicap hurdle over an extended three miles scheduled for 4.15: Peter Bowen (potentially represented by Cruising Bye) has saddled three of the last seven winners.  Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last seven renewals.

Class 3 two and a half mile novice chase scheduled for 4.50.  Five of the last seven market leaders have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1.  Paul Nicholls has saddled four winners during the period and the trainer was only represented by Black Thunder at the time of writing.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.20:  Jonjo O’Neill has won the race three times in the last nine years and the popular trainer was double handed in the contest at the time of writing.  Favourites have secured the last seven renewals of this (scheduled) closing event!

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 73

Favourite stats: 25 (34.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)

4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)

3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)

3--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)

3--Paul Nicholls (10/11*-10/11*-4/5*)

3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)

3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)

3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

61/73 (83.6%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)

3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 157

Favourite stats: 52 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/75--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/30--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/43--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/30--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

131/157 winners (83.4%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**)

7--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2)

6--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4)

5--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Ralph Beckett (Evs-9/4-8/11)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

Racing Post trophy scheduled for 3.05: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for four of the thirteen runners at the penultimate stage, having saddled five winners of this Group 1 event during the last twelve years.  Eight of the last eleven renewals have fallen the way of favourites.

Conditions event over seven furlongs scheduled for 5.00: The last eight contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being registered.

 

Newbury:

‘Horris Hill’ juvenile event over seven furlongs scheduled for 2.20: Just one favourite has prevailed during the last twleve years.  Richard Hannon has saddled 14/1 and 7/1 winners during the last three years and the trainer was responsible for four of the nineteen five day declarations.

Group 2 St Simon Stakes scheduled for 2.55: Three and four-year-olds have won eight of the last nine renewals between them (juniors lead 5-3).  Eleven of the last twelve winners were returned at odds of 17/2 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.30: Three-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals, vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a six timer.  Four of the last nine renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another which in terms of the competitive nature of the race, is a decent record.

 

Stratford:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Stratford: 97

Favourite stats: 40 (41.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:

10--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)

6--Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1-4/1)

5--Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*)

4--Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*-11/10*)

4--Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2-3/1*)

4--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)

3--David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

88/97 winners (90.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Connor Beasley has been the subject of plenty of plaudits this season and with three winners from just eleven rides at Wolverhampton at the time of writing, Connor has realised eleven points of level stake profits in the process.

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SUNDAY 27/10:

Aintree:

AINTREE DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Aintree: 35

Favourite stats: 15 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Aintree in 2013:

6--Nicky Henderson (6/5*-4/11*-1/3*-14/1-10/1-85/40*)

3--Peter Bowen (5/2*-5/2*-5/2*)

2--Kevin Bishop (8/1*** & 7/2*)

2--Tom George (7/1 & 10/11*)

26/35 winners (74.3%) were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Paul Nicholls (5/1**-9/4**-9/1-6/1-Evs)

3--Donald McCain (15/8-3/1**-3/1**)

2--Nicky Henderson (5/2 & 2/1)

2--Alan King (15/2 & 5/1)

 

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wincanton: 88

Favourite stats: 32 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/17 (70.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

14--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2)

6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)

5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)

5--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

4--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1)

3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)

3--Alan King (8/1-1/2*-4/1)

80/89 of the winners (89.9%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs)

7--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4)

6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)

4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

********************************************************************   

MONDAY 28/10:

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 142

Favourite stats: 59 (41.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 15/29 (51.7%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

7/38--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)

5/10--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*-7/4*)

5/12--Sir Michael Soute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1-4/11*)

5/15--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

5/15--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1-5/6*)

4/10--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)

4/16--Charlie Hills (6/5*-6/4*-7/1-4/1)

4/17--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

131/142 winners (92.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4-7/2)

4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)

3--Richard Hannon (7/4-9/4-4/5)

3--Charlie Hills (9/4-7/4-2/7)

3--Roger Varian (4/5-6/4-5/2)

 

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 113

Favourite stats: 43 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/7 (42.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

11/52--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2-5/1*)

5/27--Ruth Carr (4/1-9/2-5/2*-18/1-11/1)

5/79--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1-10/1)

4/16--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)

4/17--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)

4/18--Neville Bycroft (10/1-12/1-10/1-14/1)

105/114 (92.1%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2-4/1**)

5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)

4--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4-5/1)

3--Michael Dods (11/4**-5/1**-4/6)

3--Mick Easterby (2/1-7/2-9/2)

3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)

3--Richard Fahey (4/5-9/2***-7/2)

3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

3--Edwin Tuer (13/8-7/2-13/8)

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bangor: 67

Favourite stats: 30 (44.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:

8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)

5--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)

3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)

3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)

3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)

3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

64/67 winners (95.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8)

6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)

3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

2--Nicky Henderson (13/8 & 5/2)

 

Mal Boyle

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