Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 24th to 30th September

24th to 30th September

Weekly Stat Pack: 24th to 30th September

Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting is upon us again and punters will be hoping for the type of results which occurred last year when the biggest priced winner was sent off at just 14/1 via twenty-two races during the course of the three days.

To completely understand those incredibly decent returns at the meeting, I should confirm that 140 horses were returned at 16/1 or more without a single winner amongst them.  Indeed, only fourteen of those one hundred and forty representatives finished in the frame.

8/22 favourites obliged (36.4%), whilst both odds on market leaders (8/13 & 4/6) at the meeting prevailed, the hot favourites having contested juvenile events.  19/22 (86.4%) started at odds of 10/1 or less, whilst William Haggas (7/2 twice) and Jeremy Noseda (9/4 & 9/2) were the only trainers to saddle more than one beaten favourite.

Positive returns in the trainer sector included John Gosden (winners at 7/2*-10/3-4/1-12/1), Mark Johnston (11/4 & 10/1) and Saeed Bin Suroor (5/2* & 14/1).  John Gosden secured a 252/1 treble on the opening day in 2012.

Don’t forget that you can find daily updated statistics when more than one meeting is staged during the course of a week. This week’s details are as follows:

Thursday: Perth
Friday: Newmarket:
Saturday: Newmarket & Haydock
Monday: Newton Abbot

Day-to-day details:

TUESDAY 24/09:

Beverley:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 137
Favourite stats: 51 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
15/69--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*-5/2-12/1-7/2*-13/8*-4/1-13/2-11/10*-2/1*-8/13*)
11/38--David O'Meara (5/6*-10/1-5/2*-7/2-8/1-9/2-10/11*-7/4*-13/2-17/2-13/2)
9/40--Mick Easterby (15/8*-5/1-9/1-7/1-5/1-15/2-11/2-6/1-2/1)
7/20--Brian Ellison (40/1-11/1-4/1-5/4*-12/1-11/2-3/1**)
6/35--Kevin Ryan (9/2-8/1-2/1-6/1-15/8*-11/2)
6/55--Richard Fahey (15/8*-20/1-12/1-6/1-11/2-14/1)
6/72--Tim Easterby (14/1-14/1-9/4*-4/6*-10/3-3/1**)

126/138 (91.3%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Mark Johnston (7/4-9/4**-11/4*-7/4-6/4-Evs)
5--Mick Easterby (7/2-9/4-9/2**-2/1-7/4)
3--Richard Fahey (10/11-5/2-11/4)
3--Steve Gollings (4/1-3/1-7/2)
3--Phil Kirby (6/5-13/8-9/4)
3--David O'Meara (9/4**-11/4-10/11)
3--Jason Tate (5/4-6/5-13/8)
3--Tracy Waggott (3/1-3/1-9/2**)

2.10: Favourites have secured three of the four contests to date, with only the 13/8 silver medallist letting the side down two years ago when additionally securing a toteplacepot position.

2.40: Four of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via six renewals, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

3.10: All four winners have carried 8-9 or less, whilst we still await the first successful market leader following four renewals thus far, whilst two of the favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

3.40: With six of ten runners officially rated in three figures, this appears to be a really strong renewal of this event.  Seven favourites have won via fifteen renewals to date, whilst ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

4.10: Only one of the last eighteen favourites (via sixteen renewals) has prevailed, whilst nine market leaders reached the frame during the study period.  The last eleven winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-12.

5.10 & 5.45 (Two divisions): Only one favourite has obliged via eight contests to date.  That said, seven gold medallists were returned at a top price of 17/2.  Tracy Waggott saddles Sinatramania in the finale having secured two of the last four renewals which is impressive, given that Tracy was not represented in the other two events.

*

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 109
Favourite stats: 42 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/22 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*-11/8*-9/2-9/4*)
8--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1-4/11*-11/4*-10/1)
5--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1-11/4)
4--Jim Best (5/6*-4/6*-7/2-5/6*)
4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

101/109 winners (92.7%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**)
7--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1-3/1-3/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1-2/1-3/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-4/1-15/8)
3--David Pipe (11/8-15/8-2/1)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

Jim Crowley is seemingly riding this all-weather track as well any anyone at present, having booted home twenty-two winners this year at a 1/5 strike rate.  Jim boasts an LSP reading of over sixty-eight points during the last five years at the venue for good measure.

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WEDNESDAY 25/09:

Goodwood:

GOODWOOD DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Goodwood: 114
Favourite stats: 37 (32.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 8/10 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Goodwood in 2013:
16/103--Richard Hannon (5/1-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-7/2**-16/1-8/1-11/4-5/4*-5/1*-5/6*-6/1-4/1-11/4-13/2*-25/1)
6/12--William Haggas (15/8-5/1-14/1-12/1-2/1**-9/4)
6/34--Amanda Perrett (8/1-7/2*-5/2*-8/1-4/1*-9/2)
5/24--Sir Michael Stoute (6/4*-3/1-6/4*-4/1-11/1)
5/47--Mark Johnston (4/1**-7/1-9/4*-8/1-2/1)
3/7--James Fanshawe (3/1-7/1-7/2)
3/13--Brian Meehan (9/4*-2/1-11/4*)
3/22--Ed Dunlop (8/11*-6/4*-7/2**)

94/114 winners (82.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/4-5/2-9/4-7/1**-7/4-5/2-6/5-11/10-13/8-7/2-11/4**-13/8-5/2)
6--Sir Michael Stoute (13/8-7/2**-6/4-5/1-3/1-9/4)
4--Charlie Appleby (3/1-5/2-2/1-11/4)
3--Henry Candy (15/8-5/1-4/1)
3--Mick Channon (11/8-9/4-9/2)
3--Roger Charlton (5/1-9/4-7/2)
3--Clive Cox (9/2-9/2**-Evs)
3--David Simcock (15/8-9/4-7/2)

2.00: Epsom Derby and ’Arc’ winner Workforce made his winning debut in the inaugural running of this contest four years ago before the next gold medallist went on to lift Newmarket’s Group 2 ‘Tattersalls Millions’.  The last two winners have not lived up to that type of billing unfortunately.  All four favourites have finished in the frame, securing two gold, a silver and a bronze medal in the process.

2.30: Six of the nine favourites (via eight renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.  The biggest priced winner to date was returned at 10/1, whilst Mark Johnston (saddles Double Bluff this time around) is the only trainer to have saddled two winners to date.

3.05: The seven gold medallists have carried 8-11 or more in the toteplacepot finale which isolates one horse down at the bottom of the handicap.  Four-year-olds have won five of the seven contests, whilst a 16/1 representative was beaten a head on one of the other occasions and another 16/1 raider finished third two years ago.  Six of the seven favourites have finished out with the washing thus far including a 10/11 market leader three years ago.

3.40: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last eleven renewals (including five of the last six) of this Listed event.  Saeed Bin Suroor has secured five of the last nine renewals and the trainer has offered Quick Wit the green light on this occasion.  Seven of the last thirteen favourites have prevailed, whilst the biggest priced winner during the last fifteen years was returned at just 10/1 (two years ago).

4.15: The last twelve winners have carried weights of 9-7 or less, whilst nine of the last thirteen favourites have reached the frame (five winners).  Amanda Perrett is responsible for two of the thirteen declarations having saddled three of the last nine winners.

4.50: Three-year-olds have won five of the last eleven contests, whilst favourites have secured four of the last eight renewals.

5.25: Although the biggest priced winner via ten renewals was just a 9/1 chance, the only favourite to oblige scored two years ago.  Seven of the last nine winners carried a maximum burden of 8-11.

*

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 90
Favourite stats: 35 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
10/44--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2)
4/13--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)
4/15--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)
4/62--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1)

86/91 (94.5%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)
4--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2)
3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)
3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)
3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

*

Kempton:

David Lanigan’s only entry between the time of writing and Thursday was Masquerading who potentially contest the 8.00 event on the card.  David is going through something of a lean patch at present, though his 22% strike rate at this venue has been gained via twenty-one winners during the last five years, a ratio which has brought about an LSP reading of twenty-four points.

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Perth:

PERTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Perth: 91
Favourite stats: 24 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites & Non-Runner)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Perth in 2013:
11--Lucinda Russell (15/2-13/2-9/2**-13/2-3/1-7/1-3/1**-4/1-7/2-12/1-5/1)
9--Gordon Elliott (4/5*-4/1-20/1-2/1*-4/9*-2/9*-8/11*-2/1*-4/9*)
5--Lucy Normile (16/1-7/1-8/1-2/1-7/2)
4--Nick Alexander (12/1-22/1-10/1-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (6/5*-6/5*-7/4**-11/4)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-15/8-3/1-1/3*)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Lucinda Russell (7/2-3/1-5/2-5/4-9/4-7/2**-5/4-7/4-11/8-2/1-9/4)
7--Gordon Elliott (5/2-7/4**-11/8-9/4-Evs-13/5-4/5)
7--Donald McCain (9/4-7/4-15/8-7/5-11/10-11/8-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (4/1-13/8-15/8-11/8)
4--Tom George (11/10-2/1-5/2-5/2)
3--Lisa Harrison (7/2-3/1-11/4)
3--Andrew Parker (3/1-5/2-9/4)

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THURSDAY 26/09:

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

Listed (fillies & mares) event over twelve furlongs scheduled for 3.10: Three-year-olds have secured six of the last seven contests during which time, three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged.

Group 3 Tattersall Stakes due to be contested at 3.40: Richard Hannon held two options for this event at the time of writing with the trainer having secured three of the last four renewals.

Listed (Rose Bowl) event scheduled for 4.15: Five-year-olds have secured six of the last ten renewals whilst five contests have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded.

‘Layers and players’ have just about drawn level via eight renewals thus far in the Class 3 one mile handicap which is due to be contested at 4.50.  Three favourites have obliged whilst the other gold medallists have prevailed at 4/1-9/2-8/1-16/1-33/1.  Three-year-olds have landed four of the last seven events.  Six of the eight winners carried a maximum burden of 9-4 to victory.

Class 2 handicap for fillies over six furlongs scheduled for 5.25: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared all ten renewals during the last decade.  The last (even money) favourite to prevail was recorded back in 2006.  The last seven gold medallists carried 9-1 or less.

*

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 88
Favourite stats: 28 (31.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
7/41--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)
6/34--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)
4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)
4/18--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1)
3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)
3/13--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

82/89 winners (92.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)
5--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8)
4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)
4--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10-5/6)
3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

Juvenile maiden event over six furlongs scheduled for 2.20: Eleven of the last twelve winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less, stats which include six successful market leaders. Thirteen of the seventeen favourites during the study period have claimed toteplacepot positions.
'Draw factor' (five furlongs)
2-3-9 (9 ran-soft)
9-2-5 (10 ran-good to firm)
12-1-2 (12 ran-good to firm)
6-4 (6 ran-good to firm)
11-3-9 (14 ran-good to firm)
4-12-10 (12 ran-good to firm)
2-8-13 (16 ran-good to firm)
3-4-9 (11-good to firm)
9-11-7 (11-good to firm)
9-5-6 (10 ran-good)
10-4-5 (10 ran-firm)
7-1-8 (11 ran-good to firm)
10-12-4 (11 ran-firm)
9-5-11 (10 ran-soft)
11-6-2 (10 ran-soft)
10-7-2 (14 ran-good to soft)
13-14-4 (15 ran-good to soft)

One mile Nursery event for fillies scheduled for 2.55: Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 8-11 or less, whilst three of the last fourteen favourites have prevailed. Seven of the fifteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)
6-4 (5 ran-soft)
2-6-3 (9 ran-good to firm)
3-6 (6 ran-good to firm)
5-1 (6 ran-good to firm)
7-8-1 (8 ran-good to firm)
8-7-2 (10 ran-good to firm)
9-12-5 (11 ran-good to firm)
4-1-11 (12 ran-good)
8-3-10 (11 ran-firm)
2-11-10 (14 ran-good to firm)
3-5 (6 ran-firm)
6-14-8-10 (17 ran-soft)
1-6-9 (13 ran-good to soft)
5-2-4-12 (16 ran-good)
4-6 (7 ran-good to firm)
3-11-4 (11 ran-good to firm)

Five furlong all aged handicap due to be contested at 3.30: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last twelve renewals, whilst the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones.  Four favourites have won since 1998, and though only nine of the seventeen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the study period, the record would have been half decent but for all three 9/1 co favourites having finished out with the washing back in 2002.
'Draw factor' (five furlongs):
3-6-2 (8 ran-soft)
2-3-1 (12 ran-good to firm)
8-4-1 (10 ran-good to firm)
11-4-2 (12 ran-good to firm)
5-4-2 (13 ran-good to firm)
15-14-8-9 (16 ran-good to firm)
5-14-4 (15 ran-good to firm)
2-4-17 (15 ran-good)
4-2-3-6 (16 ran-firm)
18-15-5-17 (16 ran-good to firm)
1-3-7-14 (17 ran-firm)
13-15-16 (15 ran-soft)
16-6-14-17 (16 ran-good to soft)
14-10-16-15 (18 ran-good)
5-2-7-3 (18 ran-good to firm)
15-4-17-12 (17 ran-good to firm)

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 4.05: Mark Johnston held three options at the time of writing in a race in which Mark has won the last two contests when represented.  Four clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eleven of the eighteen jollies have finished in the frame in the process.

One mile juvenile maiden scheduled for 4.40: Nine of the last twelve renewals have gone the way of southern raiders.  Eight favourites have won during the study period, whilst thirteen of the recent scorers were returned at odds of 4/1 or less.  Fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via sixteen representatives.
'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)
2-4-3 (10 ran-soft)
6-8-2 (8 ran-good to firm)
3-1 (6 ran-good to firm)
2-6 (6 ran-good to firm))
5-8-4 (8 ran-good to firm)
7-2-9 (10 ran-good to firm)
10-5-7 (11 ran-good to firm)
11-2-8 (11 ran-good)
1-9-2 (8 ran-firm)
4-5-6 (9 ran-good to firm)
2 (4 ran-firm)
4 (4 ran-soft)
2-6-13 (12 ran-good to soft)
8-10-4 (15 ran-good)
2-5-9 (9 ran-good to firm)
6-9-12 (13 ran-good to firm)

*

Wolverhampton:

With twelve of his last eighteen runners have finished ‘in the three’ (statistics which include four winners) at the time of writing, Ed Dunlop is slowly turning his season around.  Ed boasts a strike rate here of 1/5 via thirty-seven winners during the last five years which have produced black figures from a ’level stake’ perspective.

*

Perth:

PERTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Perth: 91
Favourite stats: 24 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites & Non-Runner)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Perth in 2013:
11--Lucinda Russell (15/2-13/2-9/2**-13/2-3/1-7/1-3/1**-4/1-7/2-12/1-5/1)
9--Gordon Elliott (4/5*-4/1-20/1-2/1*-4/9*-2/9*-8/11*-2/1*-4/9*)
5--Lucy Normile (16/1-7/1-8/1-2/1-7/2)
4--Nick Alexander (12/1-22/1-10/1-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (6/5*-6/5*-7/4**-11/4)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-15/8-3/1-1/3*)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Lucinda Russell (7/2-3/1-5/2-5/4-9/4-7/2**-5/4-7/4-11/8-2/1-9/4)
7--Gordon Elliott (5/2-7/4**-11/8-9/4-Evs-13/5-4/5)
7--Donald McCain (9/4-7/4-15/8-7/5-11/10-11/8-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (4/1-13/8-15/8-11/8)
4--Tom George (11/10-2/1-5/2-5/2)
3--Lisa Harrison (7/2-3/1-11/4)
3--Andrew Parker (3/1-5/2-9/4)

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FRIDAY 27/09:

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 136
Favourite stats: 45 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
8/38--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*-11/8*-4/1*)
7/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*-8/15*)
6/36--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2-4/1-9/2)
6/47--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)
6/56--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*-11/8*)
5/18--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)
5/28--'Team Burke' (11/2-9/2-5/2*-6/1-6/5*)
4/10--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)
4/13--William Haggas (9/2-15/8-9/2*-7/1)
4/18--Andrew Balding (2/1-15/8*-4/9*-11/4)

124/137 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs-4/9-11/8-4/7)
6--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***-11/4-6/4)
5--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8-11/4)
5--Richard Hannon (15/8-2/1-10/3-10/11-5/6)
4--Ruth Carr (15/8-7/4-5/2-3/1**)
4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)
4--Alan Jarvis (7/2-2/1-11/10-5/4)

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Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes scheduled for 1.40: Three of the last nine winners were returned in double figures (two at 25/1) whereby any notion of a win investment should be treated with caution.  Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eleven of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Group 2 Joel Stakes scheduled for 2.40: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last fifteen renewals of this Group 3 contest, though four-year-olds have won four of the last five contests.  Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last sixteen years, though just two of the other thirteen market leaders managed to secure toteplacepot positions.

Group 1 Fillies Mile due to be contested at 3.15:  Seven of the last sixteen favourites have scored, whilst twelve market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.  The last three favourite have obliged, all in the blue colours of Godolphin.

Seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 3.50: Eleven of the last twelve winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less, stats which include five successful market leaders.  Sir Michael Stoute has saddled three winners during the twelve years and Michael held two options at the five-day stage.  Eleven of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Listed Godolphin Stakes scheduled for 4.25: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared eight of the last nine renewals.  Six of the last thirteen renewals have fallen the way of the favourites in one form or another.  Godolphin were double-handed at the time of writing in their own race which they have secured twice in the last four years.

Ten furlong ‘Challenge Whip’ due to be contested at 5.30: Three-year-olds have won six of the last seven renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 6/1.  Four of the last eight contests have gone to favourites.

*

Wolverhampton:

Ten of the last thirty-one runners saddled by Roger Varian have won at the time of writing and with the trainer boasting a strike rate of 34% at this venue in recent years, Roger’s LSP reading of twenty-three points adds plenty of interest when the trainer is represented at Dunstall Park.

*

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Worcester: 127
Favourite stats: 49 (38.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/17 (58.8%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4)
7--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*)
5--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*-2/1)
5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)
4--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2-2/5*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)

113/127 winners (89.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**-7/2**-15/8-13/8-5/2-3/10*)
5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2-11/10-7/4)
4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

*****************************************************************

SATURDAY 28/09:

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 97
Favourite stats: 34 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Chester in 2013:
9/56--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2-9/2-5/1-5/6*-9/4*-Evs*)
9/66--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2-7/4*-11/4-9/2-15/8*)
4/15--Paul Green (4/1-8/1-13/2-11/4*)
4/34--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**-4/1)

95/97 winners (97.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2-10/11-4/1****-5/2-9/4-7/2-7/2)
7--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs-3/1**-3/1**-5/2)
5--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4-4/1-5/4)
5--Tom Dascombe (3/1-Evs-3/1**-5/4-9/4)
4--Brain Ellison (3/1-4/1****-5/2**-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/5-3/1)
3--Charlie Hills (10/3-5/4-11/8)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (15/8-3/1-6/4)
3--Ian Williams (7/2-3/1-2/1)

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 136
Favourite stats: 45 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
8/38--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*-11/8*-4/1*)
7/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*-8/15*)
6/36--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2-4/1-9/2)
6/47--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)
6/56--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*-11/8*)
5/18--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)
5/28--'Team Burke' (11/2-9/2-5/2*-6/1-6/5*)
4/10--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)
4/13--William Haggas (9/2-15/8-9/2*-7/1)
4/18--Andrew Balding (2/1-15/8*-4/9*-11/4)

124/137 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs-4/9-11/8-4/7)
6--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***-11/4-6/4)
5--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8-11/4)
5--Richard Hannon (15/8-2/1-10/3-10/11-5/6)
4--Ruth Carr (15/8-7/4-5/2-3/1**)
4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)
4--Alan Jarvis (7/2-2/1-11/10-5/4)

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

‘Royal Lodge’ event scheduled for 2.00: Aidan O’Brien has won this race five times in the last fourteen years and the trainer held just one entry (Kingfisher) for this Group 2 contest earlier in the week. Four favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eight of the twenty market leaders reached the frame during the period.  Mark Johnston has saddled two of the last five gold medallists and Mark’s lone entry earlier in the week was his Dynaformer colt SOMEWHAT was posted an emphatic four and a half-length victory at Newbury last time out.

Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes scheduled for 2.35: Five clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the study period, whilst nine of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.  The last seven winners have scored at a top price of 4/1.

One mile Group 1 ’Sun Chariot’ event scheduled for 3.10: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last thirteen renewals of the ‘Sun Chariot’, whilst three of the last twelve favourites have secured this valuable prize.  Seven market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.  The English trained winner was recorded back in 2007.

Cambridgeshire Handicap scheduled for 3.50: Nine of the last ten winners of the ‘Cambridgeshire’ have carried a maximum burden of 9-3, whilst three favourites have won the race in the last sixteen years which is a reasonable record given the competitive nature of this event.  Seven of the twenty-one market leaders have finished in the frame during the study period.  Five of the first seven horses home two years ago were drawn twenty or higher, whilst last year’s frame was filled from horses drawn 21-2-7-12 (33 ran).  The fifth horse home emerged from stall seventeen for good measure.

Seven furlong Nursery contest scheduled for 4.25: Ten of the last thirteen winners of this nursery event have carried weights of 9-0 or less, whilst four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last sixteen years.  Ten of the twenty jollies have snared toteplacepot positions.

Class 2 all aged seven furlong handicap scheduled for 5.00: Three-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals, albeit four-year-olds had previously held the call during the last decade or so.  Favourites have a moderate record in the potential toteplacepot finale, because although four of the last seventeen market leaders have won, only two of the other fifteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

*

Ripon:

RIPON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ripon: 102
Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/11 (36.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ripon in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):
12/50--Richard Fahey (13/8-9/4*-5/4*-5/2-5/2-3/1*-2/5*-9/2*-1/20*-3/1-Evs*-11/4*)
11/50--David O'Meara (6/4*-4/1**-5/1-9/4*-9/2-9/4-3/1-8/1-14/1-9/4**-3/1)
7/24--David Barron (2/1*-16/1-5/2-7/2-11/8*-7/1-7/2)
5/42--Mark Johnston (17/2-9/4-7/4*-11/4-15/8*)
4/18--Michael Dods (6/1-4/1-4/1-10/1)
4/36--Kevin Ryan (5/2-15/8*-16/1-6/4*)

92/103 winners (89.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--David O'Meara (7/2-7/2**-5/2**-7/2**-2/1-7/2**-5/2**)
5--Richard Fahey (5/2-4/1**-15/8-5/2**-4/5)
4--William Haggas (11/8-11/8-2/1-5/2)
4--Mark Johnston (11/4-11/8-11/10-10/11)
3--David Barron (9/4-8/11-6/4)
3--'Team Burke' (5/2-5/2-Evs)
3--Mick Easterby (7/2-11/2-4/1**)
3--Tim Easterby (15/8**-11/4*-11/4)
3--Kevin Ryan (5/4-6/1-2/1)

*

Wolverhampton:

Mickael Barzalona has impressed many shrewd judges in this country and his record of 7/31 here at Wolverhampton is decent enough.  That record has been improved at Wolverhampton this year however, with Mickael having ridden five winners from just thirteen rides (3/6 in the juvenile sector).

*

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 97
Favourite stats: 35 (36.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/17 (58.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)
5--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)
3--Jennie Candlish (2/1*-6/4-5/4)
3--Brian Ellison (14/1-6/1-10/3*)
3--Steve Gollings (3/1-7/2-2/1*)

88/97 winners (90.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**)
3--Tony Coyle (9/2**-2/1-2/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/1-13/8-7/2)
3--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4)

**************************************************************

SUNDAY 29/09:

Epsom:

EPSOM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Epsom: 69
Favourite stats: 16 (23.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Epsom in 2013:
6/24--Richard Hannon (3/1**-13/8-13/8*-11/8*-2/9*-4/1)
4/8--David Simcock (12/1-7/4*-5/1-3/1)
4/15--Richard Fahey (10/1-25/1-9/2-5/1)
4/25--Mark Johnston (3/1-7/4-7/2-7/2)
4/25--Andrew Balding (3/1*-11/4-7/2-10/11*)

61/69 (88.4%) of the winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Hannon (3/1**-5/4-11/4-6/5-15/8-5/6-3/1)
6--Mark Johnston (6/5-1/2-5/2-10/3-7/4-3/1)
3--Andrew Balding (5/2-2/5-11/4**)
3--Clive Cox (4/1-11/4-11/4)
3--Gary Moore (5/6-Evs-5/2)

*

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 107
Favourite stats: 38 (35.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Musselburgh in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
10/53--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*-11/4*-5/6*-1/2*-9/2-8/13*-5/2-16/1)
8/41--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2-8/13*-Evs*-5/1****-11/4-11/2)
7/19--Philip Kirby (11/4-7/1-10/1-10/11*-9/4**-3/1*-12/5*)
7/29--David O'Meara (9/4*-3/1-11/8*-10/3-6/1-3/1-5/1)
5/13--Michael Dods (4/1-6/4*-5/1-9/2*-11/4*)
5/56--Keith Dalgleish (11/5-11/4-10/1-8/13*-10/3)
5/81--Jim Goldie (20/1-10/1-16/1-9/4*-15/2)
4/16--David Barron (7/1-6/4*-3/1-7/4)

99/108 winners (91.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4-2/1-5/2-15/8-7/2-3/1)
5--Keith Dalgleish (2/1-2/1-Evs-11/8-6/5)
5--Jim Goldie (7/2**-4/1***-2/1-15/8-10/3**)
5--David Nicholls (4/1-9/4**-9/4-11/4-9/2)
5--Bryan Smart (11/4-5/2-10/11-11/10-4/1**)
4--Phil Kirby (9/5-9/4-5/1****-11/4)
4--David O'Meara (7/5-13/8-5/6-6/4)

*

MONDAY 30/09:

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 128
Favourite stats: 48 (37.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)
Odds on ratio: 15/22 (68.2%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:
7/26--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2-5/2*-7/1)
7/31--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)
6/12--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)
5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)
5/11--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1)
5/19--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1-7/1)
5/43--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*-5/2*)
4/14--William Muir (5/4*-4/1-5/1-11/4)
4/20--Andrew Hollinshead (16/1-7/4*-10/1-8/1)

118/128 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6-5/2)
4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)
4--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4-11/8)
4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)
3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)
3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)
3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)
3--Jonathan Geake (9/4-6/4-6/4)

*

Hamilton:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 116
Favourite stats: 41 (35.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/15 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:
15/55--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)
14/78--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)
8/19--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1-11/4)
8/30--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*-5/2)
5/29--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*-6/4*)
5/43--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1-8/1)
4/20--Ann Duffield (7/2-7/1-7/1-6/1)
4/26--Eric Alston (6/5*-10/1-9/2- 6/1)
4/44--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

106/116 (91.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3-11/2**-5/4-3/1-5/6)
7--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4-8/13)
7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)
5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)
5--Jim Goldie (7/2-7/2**-3/1**-5/2-4/1)
4--David Barron (11/10-4/1***-9/4-6/4)

*

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 109
Favourite stats: 42 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/22 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*-11/8*-9/2-9/4*)
8--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1-4/11*-11/4*-10/1)
5--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1-11/4)
4--Jim Best (5/6*-4/6*-7/2-5/6*)
4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

101/109 winners (92.7%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**)
7--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1-3/1-3/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1-2/1-3/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-4/1-15/8)
3--David Pipe (11/8-15/8-2/1)

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