Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 26th November to 2nd December

26th Nov to 2nd Dec

Weekly Stat Pack: 26th Nov to 2nd Dec

Eleven year statistics for the Hennessy Gold Cup:

Nine of the last ten winners have been returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Four favourites have won during the study period with two other market leaders finishing in the frame.

The average official mark of the winners during the study period is 152. Six of the last seven winners ran off a minimal office mark of 150.

Only the top eight horses in the handicap potentially race off a mark of 150+ via the five day declarations:
158 Cape Tribulation---157 Katenko---155 Prince De Beauchene---154 Lord Windermere---154 Houblon Des Obeaux---153 Imperial Commander---151---Rocky Creek---150 Cloudy Two.

The first three horses home last year (Trifecta paid 566/1) all hailed from marks of 150+ (as anticipated).

Horse carrying eleven stones or less have secured five victories and twenty places, compared to runners higher in the handicap who boast six successes, though representatives have claimed just eleven place prizes.

Popular trainer stats:
Paul Nicholls: Three winners (5/1-5/1**-11/4*) and seven placed horses at 28/1-25/1-8/1-7/1-11/2*-11/2-4/1*.
‘Team Pipe’: Two winners (25/1 & 9/4*) and five places (50/1-25/1-12/1-8/1-5/1).
Nicky Henderson: Two winners (13/2 & 4/1*) and three places (12/1-15/2-13/2).
Philip Hobbs: Three placed horses at 33/1-16/1-14/1.

Day by day analysis:

TUESDAY 26/11:

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 91
Favourite stats: 39 (42.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
12--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*)
5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)
4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)
4--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2-3/1)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (17/2-13/8*-Evs**)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10-Evs**-11/10)
7--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4-7/2**)
6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 54
Favourite stats: 21 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/17 (41.2%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)

45/52 winners (86.5%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

12.30: Five-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. Six of the eight market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three (2/7-8/11-5/4) winners.

1.30: The last five winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-9, whilst three of the nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via eight renewals with just two (6/4 & 13/8) gold medallists having prevailed.

2.00: Five-year-olds have secured four of the seven contests to date, whilst six of the eight market leaders have finished in the money (exact science). Two (4/9 & 7/2) successful favourites have been recorded during the period.

2.30: The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more, whilst four favourites have won during the last seven years.

3.00: The last five (and six of the last seven) winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-1. Four market leaders have obliged via eight contests.

3.30: Two of the three favourites have obliged in Lingfield’s finale at odds of (7/2 & 1/2).

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 24
Favourite stats: 6 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
2/4--Michael Appleby (6/1 & 9/4*)
2/4--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/10--John Jenkins (14/1 & 6/1)

23/24 (95.8%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

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WEDNESDAY 27/11:

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 131
Favourite stats: 45 (34.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
8--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1-5/2)
7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)
6--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*)
5--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

121/131 winners (92.4%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)
6--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4-2/1)
5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)
3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)
3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)
3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 92
Favourite stats: 43 (46.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/14 (64.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
9--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*-11/8*-15/8*-4/7*)
7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)
5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1-7/4*-9/4*)
3--Alan King (15/8*-4/6*-6/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4-3/1*-7/1)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

86/92 (93.5%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)
4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)
4--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (5/4-6/4**-9/4)

*

Kempton:

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

4.30 & 5.00 (two divisions): The five winners to date have carried weights of 9-3 or more when returned at odds of 20/1-14/1-10/1-8/1-6/1.

5.30: All three gold medallists thus far have been sent off as 5/4 favourites for their respective events.

6.00: All six market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include three (Evs-5/4-15/8) winners. Three-year-olds have won three of the six contests thus far.

6.30: Five renewals have slipped by since the inaugural favourite obliged at 9/4 back in 2007. Three-year-olds have secured all six renewals.

7.30: Three-year-olds have won three of the last six contests whilst two (11/4) favourites have prevailed via seven renewals thus far. All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-3.

*

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 56
Favourite stats: 18 (32.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Laura Mongan (8/1 twice)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/3--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/5--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--David Evans (6/1 & 5/2*)
2/8--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/8--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/13--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/14--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)

46/56 (82.1%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
2--Paul Cole (7/2 & 7/4**)
2--Robert Eddery (6/4 & 2/1)
2--David Evans (5/4 & 5/1)
2--Richard Fahey (7/2 twice)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

12.00 & 12.30 (two divisions): Four of the ten renewals have been secured by favourites.

1.00: Three favourites have won via six contests, though it’s worth pointing out that two of the last three gold medallists scored at 66/1 and 25/1.

1.30: All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-5.

2.35: Tinshu goes for a hat trick in the contest having won the only two renewals thus far. Trainer Derek Haydn Jones is looking for his first winner at the track this year having saddled sixteen losers at Lingfield in 2013.

3.10: The seven winners have scored at 20/1-16/1-16/1-14/1-14/1-6/1-9/2 thus far.

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THURSDAY 28/11:

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Class 3 Novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.25: Seven favourites have prevailed during the last decade whilst the biggest priced winner during the period emerged at just 9/1. Paul Nicholls was not represented at the five day race despite having won this event four times in recent years.

Handicap Chase for Amateur riders due to be contested at 12.55: Two favourites have obliged via six renewals to date with three of the last four winners having carried a minimum burden of 11-2 to victory.

Novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 1.30: Five and six years olds have shared six of the last seven) renewals of this event (five-year-olds lead 4-2), notwithstanding sixteen of a total of twenty five available toteplacepot positions. All eight winners have carried weights of 10-12 or more to date. Two favourites have obliged thus far, though bookmakers cheered home 25/1-12/1-11/1 winners during the period.

Three mile Grade 2 Novice Chase scheduled for 2.05: Paul Nicholls had Just a Par involved earlier in the week having secured three of the last nine renewals of this event. It’s worth noting (as Paul does invariably), that his only five day declaration is a six-year-old, representing the vintage which has secured three of the last four contests. Although only one (2/7) favourite has scored during the last decade, nine gold medallists were returned at odds of 13/2 or less.

Limited Handicap Chase over twenty two furlongs scheduled for 2.40: Six-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals, whilst four of the six winners to date carried a minimum weight of 11-4. Last year’s successful 4/1 market leader was the first favourite to oblige.

‘Gerry Fielden’ event scheduled for 3.15: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less, whilst nine of the last fifteen favourites have reached the frame (four winners). Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last seven gold medallists, whilst four-year-olds have secured four contests during the last decade. Nicky held two options for the race earlier in the week, namely Chatterbox and Karazhan.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.45: Four-year-olds have won all ten renewals, though only the last four contests have been open for other vintage representatives. Nicky Henderson has secured three of the last seven renewals and the local trainer’s only option at the five day stage was Maestro Royale. Three favourites have prevailed thus far, whilst seven of the last nine winners (including the last four) have been sent off a top price of 7/1.

*

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Taunton: 54
Favourite stats: 26 (48.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:
6--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*-13/2-11/4)
5--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1-4/1)
4--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*-10/11*)
4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)
3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

50/54 winners (92.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less thus far,
forty two of which (77.8%) were sent off at a top price of 13/2

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)
3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)
3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)
2--Nicky Henderson (10/11 & 11/10)
2--David Pipe (3/1** & 13/8)
2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 146
Favourite stats: 48 (32.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
7--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*)
6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4)
6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

127/146 winners (87.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
17--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8-5/2-7/2**)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

Three mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.20: Six-year-olds have claimed six of the eight contests, whilst seven winners were returned at odds of 5/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites.

Your first 30 days for just £1

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FRIDAY 29/11:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 42
Favourite stats: 20 (47.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:
4--Nicky Henderson (4/11*-11/4**-5/2-9/4*)
4--Paul Nicholls (85/40-4/5*-Evs*-13/8*)
4--Keith Reveley (20/1-7/2-9/1-9/4*)
3--John Ferguson (11/2-10/11*-Evs*)
3--John Quinn (14/1-7/4*-7/2)
2--Henry Daly (11/2 & 15/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/2* & 6/1)

Over half of the winners (22/42) have emerged from just seven stables

38/42 winners sent off at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Paul Nicholls (11/4**-4/7-9/2-7/4**)
3--Alan King (3/1-9/4-13/2)
2--James Ewart (5/2 & 9/2)
2--Nicky Henderson (Evs & 11/10)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1 & 5/1)
2--Jeremy Scott (7/2 & 7/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 1/2)

*

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 43
Favourite stats: 16 (37.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:
8--Donald McCain (4/6*-1/5*-5/2-1/5*-17/2-7/4*-7/2-13/2)
3--Brian Ellison (7/1-9/2-5/1)
3--Venetia Williams (7/2-5/2*-9/4*)

42/43 winners (97.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10-10/11)
2--Rose Dobbin (5/4 & 11/4)
2--James Ewart (7/4 twice)
2--Peter Niven (4/1 & 7/4)
2--Nicky Richards (7/2 & 11/4)
2--Venetia Williams (3/1 & 12/5)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.30: Paul Nicholls has saddled just eight runners in the lasteleven renewals of this novice hurdle event, and three of the Ditcheat raiders have snared gold, though his last three favourites (1/4-10/11-6/4) were only placed. Paul‘s only option earlier in the week was his French import Calipto. Seven favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst fourteen of the last sixteen winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less. Twelve of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

‘Pertempts’ three mile qualifier scheduled for 1.30: Seven of the eight favourites to date have secured toteplacepot positions (five winners), though a 33/1 winner brought relief to the layers twelve months ago. Phillip Hobbs led in Fair Along last year having secured his third victory in the race within the last six years. Philip held two options for the contest at the penultimate entry stage.

Two and a half mile novice chase (Berkshire Chase) scheduled for 2.05: Nicky Henderson has secured five of the last thirteen renewals (including three of the last five contests) and the trainer’s only entry at the five day stage was Close Touch. Six favourites have won during the last eleven years, whilst the last fifteen winners have scored at 10/1 or less. Ten of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the extended study period.

Class 2 handicap chase event over two and a half miles due to be contested at 2.40: Six renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader having been recorded, whilst seven-year-olds have secured four of the last nine renewals. Vintage representatives come to the gig on a hat trick this time around. Colin Tizzard invariably raids this contest, having won two of the last four renewals and it’s worth noting that his potential runner Theatrical Star is a seven-year-old who should have (good/soft) ground conditions in his favour by the time that flag fall arrives.

Five-year-olds come to the party on a four timer in the novice hurdle for mares on the card which is scheduled for 3.15. Just one of the eight contests thus far has been won by a market leader, albeit the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 9/2.

Class 3 Maiden Hurdle scheduled for 3.45: Four-year-olds have won six of the last nine renewals, whilst Nicky Henderson has claimed three victories during the last eleven years. Seven of the twelve favourites have won to date, the other five starting prices being returned at 50/1-16/1-8/1-11/2-7/2. Nine of the twelve market leaders have finished in the frame.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY 30/11:

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 74
Favourite stats: 31 (41.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)
6--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1-9/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-11/8*-9/4)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

70/74 winners (94.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8-4/1-7/4)
6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2-5/2)
3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)
3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Additional stats (see the opening paragraphs for the main facts and figures) for the Hennessy Gold Cup which is scheduled for 3.00: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals of the Hennessy Gold Cup. Five favourites have won the Hennessy Gold Cup in the last sixteen years, though just two of the other eleven market leaders have additionally secured toteplacepot positions.

Jim Joel Trophy’ scheduled for 3.35: Seven-year-olds have won six of the last fifteen contests. Paul Nicholls (four) and Nicky Henderson (two) have secured six of the last nine contests between them. Five of the last twelve favourites have won, whilst seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period. Fifteen of the last sixteen winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 44
Favourite stats: 21 (47.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)
4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)
4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)
4--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1-22/1)
3--Lucinda Russell (3/1-4/6*-14/1)
2--Stuart Crawford (3/1* & 11/8*)
2--James Ewart (6/4* & 4/1*)
2--Keith Reveley (5/2-30/100*)
2--Nicky Richards (6/4* & 9/1)

38/44 (86.4%) of the winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2-4/1)
4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)
2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)
2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)

‘The French Furze’ novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.05: Five-year-olds have secured three of the four renewals to date.

Two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.35: Favourites have won four of the last ten renewals. Sue Smith has saddled 14/1 and 2/1 (favourite) winners in two of the last three renewals in which the trainer has been represented. Sue’s only option this year is Swing Hard.

‘Fighting Fifth’ scheduled for 2.05: Five-year-olds have won six of the last eleven renewals and three of this year’s dozen declarations at the penultimate stage represented the vintage. Three clear market leaders have prevailed during the last nine years alongside a successful joint favourite. A top priced winner of 4/1 has emerged in eight of the last nine contests.

‘Rehearsal Chase’ scheduled for 2.40: Eight-year-olds have won three of the last four contests, whilst three favourites have won via the nine most recent renewals.

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 84
Favourite stats: 29 (34.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Claire Dyson (5/1-16/1-4/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

76/84 winners (90.5%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1-5/4)
3--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)

Novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 12.15: Five-year-olds have won four of the last five contests. Three of the last four favourites have obliged, as have five of the last eight market leaders.

Novice hurdle qualifier scheduled for 1.15 over twenty one furlongs: Five-year-olds have dominated this race of late, securing seven of the last ten contests. Five renewals have slipped by since the last favourite obliged when landing a hat trick of victories for market leaders.

Three mile handicap hurdle contest scheduled for 1.45: Just two (5/4 & 7/4) market leaders have prevailed via the last nine renewals.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY 01/12:

Leicester:

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 32
Favourite stats: 18 (56.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:
4--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1)
3--John Ferguson (6/5*-8/11*-8/11*)
3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)
2--Richard Guest (5/1 & Evs*)
2--G.D. Hanmer (7/1 & 3/1)
2--David Pipe (10/11* & 15/8*)

30/32 winners (93.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Fergal O'Brien (5/4 twice)
2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

*

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 75
Favourite stats: 34 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-6/4-7/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/4*)
5--Nicky Richards (1/8*-5/1-3/1**-10/1-4/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*-4/5*)
4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)
3--James Ewart (4/7*-2/1*-11/8)
3--Brian Ellison (11/4-6/1-7/2*)

70/75 winners (93.3%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4-11/10-7/2**-11/8)
4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)
4--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2-3/1**)
3--Brian Ellison (6/4-7/2**-3/1)
3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)
3--Alan Swinbank (5/2-5/2-6/5)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY 02/12:

Plumpton:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 84
Favourite stats: 33 (39.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/11 (81.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:
6--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2-7/2-4/1**)
5--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*-8/11*)
5--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2-11/8*)
4--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1-7/2)
4--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1-11/4**)
4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)
3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)
3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

74/84 winners (88.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)
3--Gary Moore (2/1-6/4-3/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

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