Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack : 2nd to 8th April 2013

Weekly Stat Pack: 2nd to 8th April

Weekly Stat Pack: 2nd to 8th April

This week’s opening paragraphs all relate to the Grand National and I guess the best place to start is how to place your bets, as daft as that might seem!  It’s not quite as obvious as you might think because the overwhelming evidence is to ensure that you take a price about your selection, rather than leave it to the starting price fiasco which ensues at around 4 o’clock on Grand National day.

Ever since Tony McCoy’s 10/1 victory aboard don’t Push It three years ago, I have been determined to get this message across, especially as Tony’s first Grand National winner was freely available at 20/1 on the morning of the race!  Here is a detailed look at the last five Grand National renewals in terms of prices:

2012: The first fifteen horses in the SP market produced an ’over round’ potential profit of 9.8% for bookmakers, leaving the other twenty-five contenders ’running for the layers’.

2011: The first seventeen horses (40 runners) in the book accounted for a potential profit of 10.7% for bookmakers.

2010: Half the field (20/40) produced a potential profit of 16.7% for the layers.

2009: The front three horses in the betting (7/1-8/1-8/1) accounted for 34.7% of the book in a race which produced a 46% total margin for layers.

2008: The first five horses in the market (full percentage of 47%) accounted for 51.5% of the figures.

Hopefully the lesson has been learned by now.  Please pass this information onto ‘occasional’ punters that you know who are ‘sitting ducks’ for the bookmakers.

With some bookmakers paying down to the first six horses home from an each way perspective, these trainers/jockeys have occupied fifth and sixth positions during the last decade.

Trainers: 

3--Paul Nicholls (33/1-16/1-14/1)

2--Donald McCain (12/1 & 7/1**)

2--Willie Mullins (14/1 & 15/2)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (25/1 & 20/1)

1--Nicky Henderson (40/1)

1--Dessie Hughes (100/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (66/1)

 

Jockeys:

2--Niall P Madden (100/1 & 14/1)

2--Jason Maguire (12/1 & 7/1*)

1--David Casey (14/1)

1--Noel Fehily (66/1)

1--Barry Geraghty (66/1)

1--Richie McGrath (50/1)

1--Denis O'Regan (12/1)

1--Harry Skelton (16/1)

1--Andrew Tinkler (100/1)

1--Joe Tizzard (33/1)

1--Sam Twiston Davies (20/1)

1--Sam Waley Cohen (40/1)

1--Ruby Walsh (15/2)

1--Christian Williams (14/1)

Trainers without potential runners this year and jockeys who have retired were not listed.

Let’s hope we do not witness a repeat of the type of result which occurred just six years ago!

The 2007 was a good renewal for the layers, especially from an each way perspective as the frame was filled by horses starting at 33/1-12/1-33/1-100/1, with fourteen of the first fifteen horses in the betting finishing out with the washing, statistics which included all three 8/1 co favourites.  With previous winners Numbersixvalverde and Hedgehunter also finishing out of the money, this was one of the best (each way) results for bookmakers in recent history.

21 female jockeys have participated in the big race with last years third placed effort of Katie Walsh aboard Seabass the pick of the pilots to date.

The record of horses ridden by female jockeys:

One placed--six unplaced--fourteen failed to complete the course though to be entirely fair, eleven of those runners started at odds ranging between 100/1 and 500/1.

Fifteen Irish trained winners have been recorded, with six winners from across the Irish Sea having been successful since 1999.  It's worth noting that five of those Irish winners carried a maximum burden of 10-12 which used to be the trend before Hedgehunter upset the apple cart when carrying 11-1 to victory in 2005.  The previous winner to carry eleven stones was Rhyme 'N' Reason back in 1988.  Things have changed now, as the last four winners have carried weights ranging between 11-0 & 11-6.

 

Day by analysis:

TUESDAY 02/04:

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 26

Favourite stats: 11 (42.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

 

Trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

3--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5)

3--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*)

3--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1)

2--Susan Gardner (9/4 & 5/6*)

2--Oliver Sherwood (11/4* & 2/1)

1--Kim Bailey (5/4*)

1--Vic Dartnell (5/1)

1--Tom George (6/5*)

1--Martin Hill (18/1)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4*)

1--Seamus Mullins (12/1)

1--Helen Nelmes (22/1)

1--John O'Shea (4/1)

1--Brendan Powell (6/1)

1--Jeremy Scott (5/4)

1--Tim Vaughan (7/4*)

1--Nick Williams (15/2)

1--Richard Wollacott (4/6*)

23/26 winners were returned at odds of 15/2 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4)

1--Vic Dartnell (11/10)

1--Tim Dennis (7/4)

1--Harry Fry (4/1)

1--Emma Lavelle (3/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/5)

1--Fergal O'Brien (1/2)

1--Oliver Sherwood (4/5)

1--John Spearing (2/1)

1--Robert Walford (6/4)

1--Evan Williams (11/8)

1--Nick Williams (5/1)

1--Venetia Williams (Evs)

 

2.10: Two of the three market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions without winning their respective events to date.

2.40: Six-year-old have secured three of the eight toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include two of the three winners.

4.40: Eight of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via nine renewals during the last decade.  Three market leaders have won during the study period at 4/1-7/2-11/4.  That said, two of the last six winners scored at 22/1 & 16/1.

 

Kempton:

Ryan Tate is making a name for himself in the saddle and the pilot boasts a 23% ratio at Kempton thus far, securing thirteen points of level stake profits into the bargain.

 

Southwell:

Mark Johnston boasts a 25% strike rate at Southwell which given the thick end of three hundred runners during the last five years is one hell of a record.

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WEDNESDAY 03/04:

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wetherby: 27

Favourite stats: 13 (48.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:

4--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*)

3--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*)

2--Brian Ellison (7/1 & 11/4)

2--David Pipe (2/1 & 12/5*)

2--John Wade (2/1* & 7/2)

1--Caroline Bailey (6/1)

1--Vic Dartnell (6/1)

1--Mrs J. Dawson (2/1*)

1--Tim Easterby (3/1)

1--James Ewart (9/4**)

1--Richard Fahey (3/1)

1--John Ferguson (8/15*)

1--Warren Greatrex (2/1*)

1--Lawney Hill (7/1)

1--Anthony Honeyball (8/1)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/4*)

1--Richard Phillips (9/4*)

1--Lynn Siddall (100/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (15/8*)

26/27 winners sent off at 8/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Tom George (9/4 & 11/4)

2--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8 & 11/4)

2--Donald McCain (3/1** & 5/2)

2--David Pipe (11/8 & 8/13*)

1--Caroline Bailey (9/4**)

1--Tom George (5/4)

1--Warren Greatrex (7/4)

1--Philip Hobbs (4/1***)

1--Martin Keighley (2/1)

1--Fergal O'Brien (4/1***)

1--Keith Reveley (11/4)

1--Renee Robeson (3/1**)

1--Lucinda Russell (11/4)

1--Sue Smith (9/4)

 

Lingfield:

Sir Michael Stoute has a couple of entries at Lingfield this week and though we will not see Michael’s more accomplished stable representatives until a little later in the month, his 22% strike rate at Lingfield during the last five years has helped to produce an LSP reading of twenty points via thirteen winners.

 

Kempton:

Nicole Nordblad is a jockey who is often overlooked but her LSP figure of fifty-eight points demands plenty of respect, as does the 21% strike rate at Kempton via thirteen winners of late.

 

Southwell:

Adrian Nicholls continues to ride this track as well as anyone as his 22% strike rate confirms via twenty-seven winners.  Adrian’s fifty seven points of level stake profits adds icing on the cake.

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THURSDAY 04/04:

Aintree:

Ruby Walsh is the only current jockey to have ridden two winners of the Grand National (Papillon in 2000 and Hedgehunter in 2005) and the Irish jockey also leads the number of winners during the entire three-day Aintree meeting.  Leading riders at the Aintree Festival:

33--Ruby Walsh

32--Tony McCoy

19--Barry Geraghty

19--Richard Johnson

15--Robert Thornton

9--Paul Carberry

9--Timmy Murphy

8--Paddy Brennan

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 2.00: Seven of the last eight favourites have prevailed!  Alan King has saddled three of those winners and Alan’s only option earlier in the week was his course and distance winner L’Unique.

Grade 1 three-mile one furlong chase scheduled for 2.30: Only one (6/4) favourite has prevailed during the last decade.  Going back further in time, just three market leaders have scored in the last twenty years though to be entirely fair, twelve gold medallists were returned at odds of 11/2 or less during the study period.  Nicky Henderson has never won this event whilst Paul Nicholls has won the race twice in 2000 (See More Business) and 2010 (What A Friend).

Aintree Hurdle scheduled for 3.05: Twenty one of the twenty-six winners have been returned at odds of 9/1 or less, statistics which include nine favourites of one description or another.  Oscar Whiskey comes into the race on a hat trick for Nicky Henderson (the only winner he has saddled in the contest), whilst Irish trainers have won six renewals during the last decade.

Foxhunter’s Chase due to be contested at 3.40: Favourites have won nine of the last twenty-three renewals (39.1%) which is a great record given that this race is contested over the National fences.  Eight of the last nine winners have been aged in double figures.

Red Rum Handicap Chase scheduled for 4.15: Five market leaders have prevailed via the last eleven contests.  Paul Nicholls was winning this race for the first time with Edgardo Sol last year, with the gold medallist being one of four possible runners for Paul this time around.  Twelve of the last thirteen winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-2.

Grade 1 novice chase event scheduled for 4.50: We still await the first successful favourite following four renewals.

Grade 3 three-mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 5.25: Only four of the last nineteen favourites have obliged.  Nicky Henderson held no fewer than nine entries at the time of writing in another Aintree race that the trainer has never won.  Six-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals.

 

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Taunton: 33

Favourite stats: 19 (57.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/10 (80.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*)

4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)

3--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2)

3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

2--Colin Tizzard (7/2* & 9/4)

1--Kevin Bishop (6/1)

1--Kate Buckett (7/4*)

1--Vic Dartnell (8/1)

1--Chris Down (3/1*)

1--Alexandra Dunn (5/1)

1--Harry Fry (9/4)

1--Nicky Henderson (1/7*)

1--Philip Hobbs (4/5*)

1--Susan Johnson (14/1)

1--Richard Lee (11/4*)

1--Bernard Llewellyn (4/1*)

1--Charlie Mann (11/4)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/1)

1--Fergal O'Brien (14/1)

1--Paul Webber (4/9*)

1--Miss J. Western (4/1)

1--Laura Young (9/4*)

30/33 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, twenty-eight of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)

3--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6)

2--Chris Down (10/3 & 5/2)

1--Kevin Bishop (4/1***)

1--Alex Hales (4/1***)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/4)

1--Mrs Sue Popham (2/1)

1--Tom Symonds (2/1)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1***)

1--Tim Vaughan (2/1)

1--Evan Williams (9/4)

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

Lingfield:

Ryan Moore’s strike rate at Lingfield stands at 25% at the time of writing via fifty-three winners at the Surrey venue.

 

Wolverhampton:

David O’Meara held five entries at Dunstall Park earlier in the week, the trainer having earned a 26% strike rate at the track during the last five years.

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FRIDAY 05/04:

Aintree:

Group 2 Top Novice Hurdle scheduled for 2.00: Only two favourites have on this event via the last thirteen renewals, whilst Nicky Henderson has saddled two of the last three gold medallists.  Five-year-olds have won eight renewals during the last decade though interestingly, Nicky’s two potential runners this year (Forgotten Voice and My Tent Or Yours) are older declarations.

Group 2 Mildmay novice event scheduled for 2.30: Twelve of the last twenty-three renewals (52.2%) have been won by market leaders, with whilst twenty-two of those gold medallists were returned in single figures.  Seven-year-olds have won half of the last twenty-four contests.

Group 1 Melling Chase scheduled for 3.05: The first successful winner of this event was Remittance Man for Nicky Henderson at odds of 4/9 back in 1992.  A further eight market leaders have won, whilst Nicky was saddling his second winner of the race with Finian’s Rainbow twelve months ago.  Ten years separated the two victories to date of Paul Nicholls, Fadalko having scored for the trainer in 2001 before Master Minded scored two years ago.

Topham Chase due to be contested at 3.40: Call it a coincidence if you like, but Peter Bowen was saddling his first winner since November last week, just days before the trainer sends his raiders to Aintree with the trainer boasting a particularly decent each way record at Liverpool down the years.  Stable star Always Waining is among the entries in an attempt to land a four timer in this event which would approach the acclaim of equine Aintree dignitaries such as Red Rum and Big Bucks if he were to prevail again!  Just one (joint) favourite has won the ‘Topham’ via the last fourteen contests.  Only two Irish trained winner have emerged in the last thirty-three years.

Sefton Novice Hurdle scheduled for 4.15: Six renewals have slipped by since a favourite prevailed, the relevant scorers going in at 33/1-25/1-20/1-16/1-9/1-8/1.  Vintage stats via twenty-four renewals: 5YO: 4 wins--6YO: 10--7YO: 7--8YO+: 3.  No horses age eight or more have won during the last fourteen years.

Listed handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.50: Nine of the last ten winners have been returned in double figures during which time, successful favourites have only been conspicuous by their absence.  The previous ten winners have carried a maximum burden of eleven stones before last year’s scorer humped 11-12 to success.

Mares' Bumper scheduled for 5.25: Only one (5/2) favourite has prevailed via eight renewals thus far.  Eight different trainers have been successful whilst the four-year-olds led the five-year-olds 4-3 going into the race last year when a six-year-old obliged.  Three of the last five winners have scored at 28/1-25/1-20/1.

 

Leicester:

Three-year-old selling event scheduled for 2.55: Six favourites have won during the last decade during which time, eight gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 9/2.

Three-year-old Conditions event due to be contested at 3.30: Favourites have won four of the last six contests, whilst nine winners during the last decade scored at odds of 11/2 or less.  Richard Hannon, Mick Channon and Ron Harris all held two entries at the penultimate stage in what looks like being a small field with just fourteen horses involved at the time of writing.

Mixed vintage handicap over seven furlongs scheduled for 4.05: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals (three potential representatives this time around), whilst three of the last six market leaders have obliged.  Three of the fifteen runners at the time of writing hailed from Richard Hannon’s yard who occupied places in the top eight horses in the handicap.

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sedgefield: 28

Favourite stats: 11 (39.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/3

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)

2--S. Crawford (7/2* & 9/2)

2--Joanne Foster (3/1 & 4/1)

2--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2 & 5/1)

2--William Kinsey (15/8* & 11/4)

1--P. Atkinson (9/1)

1--Jennie Candlish (6/4*)

1--Rose Dobbin (16/1)

1--Mick Easterby (2/1)

1--James Ewart (7/4*)

1--Chris Fairhurst (4/1)

1--Warren Greatrex (9/4*)

1--Ann Hamilton (8/1)

1--Phil Kirby (5/2*)

1--Donald McCain (4/6*)

1--M. Mullineaux (17/2)

1--Barry Murtagh (7/1)

1--Diane Sayer (8/1)

1--Brian Storey (2/1*)

1--Alan Swinbank (10/1)

1--John Wade (2/1*)

1--Tracy Waggott (25/1)

26/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2--Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1--Brian Ellison (6/4)

1--John Ferguson (11/10)

1--Steve Gollings (5/2)

1--Chris Grant (9/4**)

1--Richard Lee (6/5)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--Alan Swinbank (13/8)

1--Tom Vaughan (4/11)

1--Tim Walford (11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Daniel Tudhope is a jockey who often slips under the radar and his 22% strike rate at Dunstall Park is well worth noting.

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SATURDAY 06/04:

Aintree:

Mersey novices hurdle event (Group 2) scheduled for 1.45: 13/35 renewals to date have been won by favourites, including seven of the last sixteen market leaders.  Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 8-7 via the last 24 contests.  Nicky Henderson had never won this race until two years ago when Spirit Son scored, with Nicky following up that success with Simonsig last year.

Group 1 Maghull Novice Chase scheduled for 2.15: Nicky ‘boasts’ exactly the same stats as for the previous race (no winners until two years ago), coming to this year’s gig on a hat trick.  Paul Nicholls has won five renewals since 1999.  Four of the last six market leaders have won, the biggest priced winner during the period having scored at 100/30.

Group 1 Liverpool Hurdle due to be contested at 2.50: With Big Bucks being an absentee this year, the complexion of the contest is changed beyond belief, the Paul Nicholls representative having hugely contributed to the decent record of ten successful favourites during the last eighteen years.

Listed handicap chase over three miles and one furlong scheduled for 3.25: Only one (9/2) favourite has scored during the last decade, with ten of the last eleven winners having carried a maximum burden of 11-2.  Jonjo O’Neill boasts the best record in the training sector having saddled four of the last 13 winners.

Grand National scheduled for 4.15: Ten-year-olds lead the nine-year-olds 7-6 via the last seventeen renewals.  Nine-year-olds have won nine of the last thirty renewals.  Only five favourites have won via the last twenty-nine renewals.  Irish trainers have won six of the last fourteen events.  Only three grey horses have won the big race, last year’s winner being the first for fifty-one years.

Two mile handicap hurdle (Conditional/Amateur jockeys) event scheduled for 5.05: The last eighteen contests have eluded the various favourites down the years, with 13 winners being returned in double figures.  The last six winners have scored at 66/1-28/1-16/1-14/1-11/1-10/1.  Six-year-olds have won three of the last six contests, with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.  Irish trainers have saddled four winners during the last decade.

Champion Bumper event scheduled for 5.35: Only one (6/5) favourite has won the closing event during the last decade, the other gold medallists having prevailed at odds ranging between 8/1 & 66/1.  Five winners scored at odds of 25/1 or more during the period.  Nigel Twiston leads the trainer stats with three winners since 1998.  Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 4-3 via the last eight renewals.

 

Newcastle:

Maiden event for fillies scheduled for 2.10: Alan Swinbank had saddled three of his last five runners to winning effect at the time of writing and his raider Lady Artiste was the only filly already ‘jocked up’ with Robert Winston in the saddle.  Robert’s last three rides for the trainer as I write included two gold medallists, whilst the third was beaten a neck into second place.

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 35

Favourite stats: 13 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/7 (42.8%)

 

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

2--Vic Dartnall (9/2 & 7/2)

2--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice)

2--Martin Keighley (7/2 twice)

2--Sophie Leech (25/1 & 7/2)

2--Donald McCain (1/7* & 5/2)

2--Seamus Mullins (28/1 & 7/2)

2--Jeremy Scott (6/4** & 4/1)

2--Michael Scudamore (10/1 & 20/1)

2--Mark Sheppard (6/4* & 11/2)

2--Colin Tizzard (9/2 & 11/4*)

1--Mark Bradstock (5/2*)

1--R.B. Chanin (10/11*)

1--Rebecca Curtis (7/2)

1--Henry Daly (11/4*)

1--John Ferguson (10/3)

1--Philip Hobbs (7/2)

1--Richard Lee (16/1)

1--Graeme McPherson (28/1)

1--Neil Mulholland (6/4*)

1--Paul Nicholls (10/11*)

1--David Pipe (5/1**)

1--Andrew Price (66/1)

1--David Rees (7/1)

1--Harry Whittington (4/1*)

1--Venetia Williams (7/1)

29/35 winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11)

2--Rebecca Curtis (11/8 & 11/4)

2--Bernard Llewellyn (9/4 & 3/1)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1** & 6/4)

2--Venetia Williams (10/11 & 5/6)

1--Bob Buckler (2/1)

1--Claire Dyson (7/2)

1--Tom George (2/1)

1--Mark Gillard (10/11)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4**)

1--Susan Johnson (6/4)

1--Donald McCain (5/2)

1--Gary Moore (11/4)

1--Fergal O'Brien (3/1**)

1--David Pipe (5/2)

1--Brendan Powell (9/4)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1**)

1--Evan Williams (11/4)

 

Lingfield:

One mile Listed event due to be contested at 3.00: Favourites have won four of the last eight events during which time, six gold medallists were returned at odds of 5/2. That said, three of the other winners during the last nine years have scored at 25/1, 20/1 & 14/1.

 

Wolverhampton:

Hornboy (scheduled to contest the 8.20 event on the card) was Jeremy Noseda’s only potential runner at Wolverhampton this week and with Jeremy having won with his last two runners at the time of writing, the tip might be worth taking if the Medicean colt is offered the green light at the weekend.  Jeremy boasts a recent strike rate of 32% at the track via thirty-one winners, whilst amassing an LSP figure of eleven points.

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SUNDAY 07/04:

Ascot:

ASCOT (NH) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 7

Favourite stats: 6 (85.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

 

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:

2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)

1--Nick Gifford (33/1)

1--Donald McCain (15/8*)

1--Gary Moore (11/4*)

1--David Pipe (4/6*

1--Colin Tizzard (15/8*)

Six of the seven winners thus far were sent off at odds of 11/4 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Gary Moore (3/1)

 

Hexham:

Maurice Barnes held just three entries all week at the time of writing, one of which was on this card at a track where Maurice has posted a level stake profit of one hundred and ninety-eight points during the last five years!

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MONDAY 08/04:

Kelso:

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Kelso: 21

Favourite stats: 6 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

 

Trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)

3--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*)

2--Donald McCain (6/1 & 4/1)

2--J. Walton (10/1 & 10/11*)

1--George Bewley (8/1)

1--Stuart Coltherd (9/4)

1--Tristram Davidson (7/2)

1--Brian Ellison (9/4)

1--James Ewart (5/4*)

1--Chris Grant (5/1)

1--Ann Hamilton (11/4**)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--John O'Shea (11/4)

1--John Wade (20/1)

1--Tim Walford (8/11*)

19/21 winners to date have scored at odds of 10/1 or less (seventeen at a top price of 6/1).

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8)

2--David Pipe (10/11 & 11/10)

1--Nick Alexander (11/4**)

1--Kim Bailey (4/5)

1--Fred Hutsby (2/1)

1--Phil Kirby (9/2***)

1--Karen McLintock (9/4)

1--B. Murtagh (9/2***)

1--Keith Reveley (2/1)

1--Nicky Richards (4/5)

1--Miss P. Robson (7/4)

1--Oliver Sherwood (1/2)

1--J. Wade (9/2***)

1--J. Walton (2/1)

1--A.C. Whillans (2/1)

 

Kempton:

Favourites boast a 45% record in non handicap three-year-old events during the five-year study period.  348 relevant events have been run during the period whereby the slight (twelve point) level stake loss is not the worst record you will find at the Sunbury circuit.

 

Wolverhampton:

Two of the seven races produced successful favourites on the Monday meeting after the Grand National twelve months ago.  The biggest priced winner on the card was a 10/1 chance, whilst Jamie Spencer rode a 26/1 double on the day.

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