Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack, 30th April to 6th May

Weekly Stat Pack: 30/04 to 06/05

Weekly Stat Pack: 30/04 to 06/05

We have another week upon us when we are off to a fairly quiet start via a lack of corresponding meetings but once Wednesday arrives we are back on track with Ascot staging their first meeting of the year and conversely under the NH code, Cheltenham staging their last until October.

With the Guineas meeting looming large followed by Chester’s main meeting of the year we are set fair to blitz into the ‘proper’ season.

Have a great week.

TUESDAY:

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 7

Favourite stats: 1 (14.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

Trainers of winners at Bath in 2013:

2/3--Clive Cox (16/1 & 10/1)

1/1--Ruth Carr (7/1)

1/1--Peter Charalambous (7/1)

1/2--Stuart Kittow (7/2*)

1/2--Brian Smart (11/2)

1/5--Mick Channon (6/1)

6/7 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Henry Candy (4/1)

1--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8)

1--Mick Channon (4/1**)

1--David Evans (4/1**)

1--Richard Hannon (10/11)

1--Jo Hughes (7/2)

1--Tony Newcombe (5/1)

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 14

Favourite stats: 4 (14.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

Trainers of winners at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013:

5/8--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*)

1/1--George Baker (12/1)

1/1--David Brown (9/2)

1/1--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*)

1/2--Lydia Pearce (20/1)

1/2--Mick Channon (22/1)

1/4--Macro Botti (16/1)

1/4--Alan McCabe (5/2**)

1/6--Julia Fielden (8/1)

1/11--Phil McEntee (12/1)

9/14 returned at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of beaten trainers:

2--Ed Dunlop (10/11 & 10/3)

1--Marco Botti (15/8)

1--Richard Fahey (5/2**)

1--Jo Hughes (2/1)

1--Gary Moore (9/4)

1--Stan Moore (13/8)

1--Lydia Pearce (10/3)

1--John Quinn (7/2)

1--John Ryan (7/2)

1--James Tate (11/10)

 

Lingfield:

Tom Dascombe’s team is in fine each way form and with the trainer boasting a 22% strike rate at the track in recent years, Tom’s runners are worth a second glance, especially as his ratio is backed up by level stake profits of forty-one points during the last five years.

 

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 42

Favourite stats: 13 (30.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/10

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1)

4--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1)

4--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1)

33/42 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

3--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4)

2--Emma Lavelle (3/1 & 2/5)

2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)

2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)

2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

 

Worcester:

David Pipe was the only trainer to send out two (5/1 & 5/2) winners via Worcester’s first couple of meetings last year and the Pond House license holder holds three entries for the opening fixture of the year at Worcester on Tuesday.

 

WEDNESDAY:

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 13

Favourite stats: 5 (38.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None to date

Trainers of winners at Pontefract in 2013:

2/9--Richard Fahey (11/4 & 9/2*)

1/1--Richard Ford (4/1)

1/3--David Barron (13/8*)

1/3--Charlie Hills (3/1)

1/3--David O'Meara (7/2)

1/3--Edwin Tuer (14/1)

1/4--Michael Appleby (4/1)

1/4--Brian Ellison (9/2)

1/5--Mrs K. Burke (15/8*)

1/5--Mark Johnston (2/1*)

1/4--John Quinn (5/2*)

1/5--Kevin Ryan (17/2)

12/13 winners were returned at odds of 17/2 or less

Trainer of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8)

 

Ascot:

Only nine of the first twenty-six races at Ascot last year were won by favourites (34.6%), whilst seven of those events were secured by ‘outsiders’ ranging in odds between 10/1 and 20/1. Mick Channon led the way ‘early doors’ at the Berkshire venue by securing three victories during the study period at 11/2, 15/8 and Evens, the latter named pair returned as market leaders of their respective events.

2.00: All eleven winners have scored at 6/1 or less, whilst five favourites have prevailed to date.  Eight of the 13 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  This meeting was transferred to Kempton last year but I have included the (high-profile) results nonetheless.

2.30:  Eleven of the twelve winners have scored at odds of top price of 8/1 or less.  Six favourites have won, whilst nine of the 13 market leaders have finished in the frame.

3.00: Six-year-olds have the best record in this event having secured five of the nine contests.  Five of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners), though it’s worth noting that a 4/9 favourite in a ’win only’ contest was turned over.

3.35: Fourteen of the last fifteen favourites have been beaten in this ‘Sagaro Stakes’, with just four of the sixteen market leaders finishing in the frame in the process. That said, thirteen of the last fifteen winners scored at odds of 8/1 or less.

4.10: Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 8-11 or more.  Three of the last nine favourites have won, whilst eleven of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.  Eight of the last nine winners have scored at odds ranging between 6/4 and 11/2.

4.45: Four-year-olds have secured fourteen of the twenty-four available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include five of the seven winners.  Three of the seven market leaders have reached the frame (one winner).

 

Cheltenham:

This is a Hunter Chase meeting as many of you will know whereby I have not listed the yearly figures as just a handful of ‘professional’ trainers are likely to be involved.

Minimum trip (Class 5) event scheduled for 5.05: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed via eight renewals during the last decade during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 9/1.

United Hunts Challenge Cup scheduled to be contested at 6.10: Seven winners during the last decade were aged in double figures, whilst three of the last five winners have scored at 40/1-20/1-14/1.

Four of the last five favourites have landed the Men’s Open Point-To-Point Final scheduled for 6.45.

Horses aged 11/12 have won seven of the last ten contests of the four mile one furlong event due to be contested at 7.50.

Only one favourite has obliged in the closing Hunter Chase event for Ladies during the last decade (scheduled for 8.20).

 

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Southwell: 35

Favourite stats: 15 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60/0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

3--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1)

2--Sean Curran (5/6* & 16/1)

2--Warren Greatrex (7/2 & 9/4*)

2--Charlie Longsdon (3/1 & 9/2)

2--Paul Nicholls (5/4* & 11/10*)

32/36 winners to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Tony Carroll (4/1 & 5/1**)

2--Warren Greatrex (6/5 & 13/8)

2--Charlie Mann (6/4 & 11/4)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8 & 9/4)

2--Oliver Sherwood (4/5 & 2/1)

 

Kempton:

Neil Callan had booted home six of his last twenty mounts to winning effect at the time of writing which is a timely reminder for his LSP reading here at Kempton.  Although Neil’s 17% strike rate is nothing to write home about (apart from the fact that well over four hundred rides have been taken into consideration during the last five years), his level stake profits of ninety-five points is clearly a reason to give his mounts a second look at the Sunbury circuit.

 

THURSDAY:

Chepstow:

38.7% of the first thirty-one (flat) races at Chepstow last year were won by favourites of one description or another, whilst twenty-nine of those events were secured by horses starting at a top price of 9/1.   No trainer saddled three of more winners during the study period, though six handlers secured a brace apiece, namely Richard Hannon (13/2 & 5/4*), George Baker (7/1 & 13/8*), Andrew Balding (6/1 & 10/3--both at the opening fixture), Malcolm Saunders (11/2 & 5/2), David Simcock (3/1 & 11/8*) and Stuart Kittow (4/1 & 11/8*)

 

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 14

Favourite stats: 4 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

2/2--David Nicholls (7/4* & 11/4)

2/4--Michael Dods (9/4* & 8/1)

1/1--Ron Barr (15/2)

1/1--Mick Channon (15/8*)

1/1--Richard Fahey (7/2)

1/1--Kevin Ryan (13/2)

1/1--Tom Tate (7/2)

All fifteen winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

2--Mark Johnston (4/5 & 9/4)

 

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 14

Favourite stats: 7 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:

2/2--David O'Meara (7/1 & 7/2)

2/3--Ed Dunlop (7/4* & 4/1)

2/3--Roger Varian (5/2* & 11/4*)

2/6--Richard Hannon (11/4 & 9/4*)

1/1--Roy Bowring (9/2)

All fourteen winners returned at odds of 9/1 or less to date

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Leicester thus far

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of aces at Sedgefield: 42

Favourite stats: 14 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/4

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

4--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1)

3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)

3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)

39/42 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**)

3--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2--Jennie Candlish (11/4 & 7/4)

2--Mrs Sarah Easterby (5/2 & 9/4)

2--Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

 

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Taunton: 47

Favourite stats: 24 (51.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*)

4--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1)

4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)

3--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*)

3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

43/47 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, thirty-six of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)

3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)

2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)

 

FRIDAY:

Chepstow:

38.7% of the first thirty-one (flat) races at Chepstow last year were won by favourites of one description or another, whilst twenty-nine of those events were secured by horses starting at a top price of 9/1.   No trainer saddled three of more winners during the study period, though six handlers secured a brace apiece, namely Richard Hannon (13/2 & 5/4*), George Baker (7/1 & 13/8*), Andrew Balding (6/1 & 10/3--both at the opening fixture), Malcolm Saunders (11/2 & 5/2), David Simcock (3/1 & 11/8*) and Stuart Kittow (4/1 & 11/8*)

 

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 14

Favourite stats: 4 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:

2/3--Alan Swinbank (9/2 & 4/1**)

1/1--Bill Turner (4/6*)

13/14 winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2)

 

Lingfield:

William Jarvis has saddled gold and a silver medallists via his last four runners and the trainer only held two options this week at the time of writing, one of which was Persian Patriot who was scheduled to run in the 4.40 event on this card.  William boasts a strike rate of 18% at Lingfield which is backed up by an LSP reading of twenty-two points during the last five years.

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 21

Favourite stats: 10 (47.6% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Bangor in 2013:

2--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4* & 5/4*)

2--Donald McCain (Evs* & 11/8*)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2 & 11/4**)

20/21 winners were returned at odds of 15/2 or less

Trainer of most beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4)

 

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 37

Favourite stats: 17 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/9 (77.8%)

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Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

2--Nicky Henderson (Evens*--twice)

2--Lawney Hill (9/2 & 5/1)

2--Charlie Longsdon (5/2 & 4/6*)

2--Gary Moore (4/5* & 12/1)

2--Paul Nicholls (3/1 & 7/4*)

2--David Pipe (7/4 & 4/7*)

2--Evan Williams (10/1 & 1/2*)

2--Venetia Williams (1/5* & 10/11*)

36/37 winners to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2)

3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)

2--Paul Nicholls (5/6 & 7/4)

 

SATURDAY:

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 14

Favourite stats: 6 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

2/3--Mahmood Al Zarooni (11/2* & 7/4*)

2/5--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1 & 8/1)

2/7--Andrew Balding (11/1 & 7/1)

1/1--Henry Candy (13/2)

1/1--Jane Chapple-Hyam (3/1)

1/1--Andre Fabre (6/4*)

1/1--Rod Millman (6/1)

1/3--Ralph Beckett (10/1)

1/3--David Evans (2/1**)

1/7--Richard Fahey (5/2*)

1/8--Mark Johnston (6/1)

1/11--Charlie Hills (16/1)

1/17--Richard Hannon (8/11*)

15/16 winners were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4)

1--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8)

1--Ed Dunlop (3/1)

1--John Gosden (Evs)

1--William Haggas (9/2**)

1--Charlie Hills (9/2**)

1--Mark Johnston (2/1**)

1--David O'Meara (9/4)

1--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4)

1--Mahmood Al Zarooni (3/1)

Opening 2000 Guineas stats: Aidan O’Brien has saddled no less than thirty horses in the 2000 Guineas during the last 14 years (the trainer has won four of the last eight renewals), winning five renewals in total, whilst claiming an additional two toteplacepot positions in the process. The important factor to remember relating to Aidan’s four winners during the study period is that they all came here and won at Newmarket without a prep run, as do two of Aidan’s potential three runners this time around, namely Mars and Christoforo Columbo.  Although Richard Hannon has saddled three winners, it’s worth noting that thirteen years have slipped by since Tirol last scored for Richard, whilst the trainer first won the race with Mon Fils, forty years ago.

Nine furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for 2.05: Four-year-olds come to the party having won five of the last six contests, whilst securing eleven of the last available twenty-one toteplacepot/each way positions. Seven of the eight winners of the race have carried weights of 9-0 or less.  Four of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (one winner) to date.  Seven years have slipped by since the relevant 9/2 winner was recorded.

Palace House Stakes scheduled for 2.35: Nine of the last fifteen winners of this sprint event have been boxed within the four lowest numbers.  Five of the last twelve favourites have won, whilst eight of the sixteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.

‘Jockey Club Stakes’ scheduled for 3.10: Four and five-year-olds have won the last twelve renewals between them (even split) with four-year-olds coming to this particular gig on a five-timer.  Favourites have won six of the last nine renewals.  The 2011 winner Dandino is among just five penultimate stage declarations this year.

The 2000 Guineas due off at 3.50: Three of the last fourteen renewals have been secured by favourites, whilst seven market leaders have finished in the frame during the study period.

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 38

Favourite stats: 12 (31.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:

6/32--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3)

3/13--Brain Ellison (9/2*-16/1-3/1*)

2/2--William Haggas (11/4 & 5/2*)

2/5--Richard Hannon (6/1 & 3/1**)

2/8--Mark Johnston (7/4* & 2/1**)

2/10--David O'Meara (7/1 & 6/1)

1/1--Peter Charalambous (9/2)

1/1--Nicky Henderson (13/8*)

1/1--Ismail Mohammed (8/1**)

1/1--Hughie Morrison (Evs*)

1/1--Olly Stevens (6/1)

1/1--Bill Turner (5/1)

1/1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (28/1)

29/38 winners scored at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

3--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1)

3--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***)

2--Andrew Balding (11/4** & 11/2***)

2--Michael Bell (7/1 & 11/4**)

2--David O'Meara (9/2 & 2/1)

2--John Quinn (2/1 & 6/1)

 

Goodwood:

Half of the favourites (14/28) won during the first four meetings at Goodwood last year during which time, twenty-four winners scored at a top price of 9/1.  Richard Hannon led the way on the three winner mark (7/2-7/2-Evs*), whilst Sir Henry Cecil was the only other trainer to settle more than one winner (4/9* & 11/4) during the opening fixtures at the Sussex venue.

 

Thirsk:

THIRSK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Thirsk: 8

Favourite stats: 1 (12.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

Trainers of winners at Thirsk in 2013:

2/2--Tracy Waggott (18/1 & 16/1)

1/2--Mel Brittain (11/2)

1/2--Ruth Carr (9/2*)

1/3--Mick Channon (10/3)

1/2--Tom Dascombe (13/2)

1/3--Mick Easterby (28/1)

1/2--Paul Midgley (7/2)

Five of the eight winners have won at odds of 13/2 or less to date

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Thirsk thus far

 

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 14

Favourite stats: 7 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:

2--Stuart Crawford (11/10* & 3/1)

2--Lucinda Russell (5/2* & 15/8)

Twelve of the fourteen winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

No trainer had saddled more than one beaten favourite at Hexham this year to date.

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 22

Favourite stats: 7 (31.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None to date

Leading trainer of winners at Uttoxeter in 2013:

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40 & 9/4*)

17/22 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Nicky Henderson (13/8 & 15/8)

2--Donald McCain (3/1 & 2/1)

 

SUNDAY:

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 14

Favourite stats: 6 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

2/3--Mahmood Al Zarooni (11/2* & 7/4*)

2/5--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1 & 8/1)

2/7--Andrew Balding (11/1 & 7/1)

1/1--Henry Candy (13/2)

1/1--Jane Chapple-Hyam (3/1)

1/1--Andre Fabre (6/4*)

1/1--Rod Millman (6/1)

1/3--Ralph Beckett (10/1)

1/3--David Evans (2/1**)

1/7--Richard Fahey (5/2*)

1/8--Mark Johnston (6/1)

1/11--Charlie Hills (16/1)

1/17--Richard Hannon (8/11*)

15/16 winners were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4)

1--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8)

1--Ed Dunlop (3/1)

1--John Gosden (Evs)

1--William Haggas (9/2**)

1--Charlie Hills (9/2**)

1--Mark Johnston (2/1**)

1--David O'Meara (9/4)

1--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4)

1--Mahmood Al Zarooni (3/1)

One and a half mile Class 2 handicap scheduled for 2.05: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less, whilst four and five-year-olds have won the last eight renewals between them (even split).  Five of the fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners).

Group 3 ‘Dahlia Stakes’ scheduled for 2.35: Sir Michael Stoute has farmed this race of late, winning four of the last six contests (Michael was not represented last year) with each of his gold medallists being returned as favourite for their respective events.  Michael had his four-year-old Dansili filly Dank involved at the five-day stage.  Eight of the last seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-3 during the last decade.

Class 2 six furlong handicap due to be contested at 3.10: Five-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals during which time, eight of the nine winners carried weights of 9-1 or less.  Four-year-olds have won three of the last five contests.  Seven of the nineteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners) during the study period.

1000 Guineas scheduled for 3.50: Six winners during the last decade have won in double price figures albeit three of the last six gold medallists were returned as favourites.  Nine of the sixteen market leaders have reached the frame during the study period (five winners). If you want to go further back to the last twenty-six years (twenty-seven market leaders), the stats are as follows: nine winners—-five placed—-thirteen unplaced. All three odds on favourites won during the extended study period, though the last of them prevailed back in 1996.  Aidan O’Brien was winning his second 1000 Guineas (both within the last eight years) when saddling the first and third horses home twelve months ago.

Two-year-old maiden event scheduled for 4.25: Richard Hannon has won three of the last ten renewals of this juvenile event, whilst three of the trainer’s other seven representatives finished in the money. Nine of the last twelve winners have scored at odds of 15/2 or less (including two favourites).  Nine of the fourteen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the period.

3YO ‘Pretty Polly’ contest due to be contested at 5.00: All fifteen winners during the study period have scored at 8/1 or less (seven winning favourites), whilst ten of the seventeen market leaders finished in the frame.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 5.35: The last four winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, whilst Mark Johnston ahs saddled two of the six winners to date.  The last five winners have scored at odds of 5/1 or less, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

 

Hamilton:

Twenty four of the first twenty-seven races contested at Hamilton last year were won by horses returned at odds of 9/1 of less, statistics which include twelve successful favourites of one description or another (44.4%).  As you might have guessed, Mark Johnston led the way during the early part of the season at Hamilton with four winners (4/1*-11/4*-15/8*-7/4**).  Six of the seven winners on last year’s corresponding card were returned at a top price of 17/2, whilst David Simcock and Jim Bethell saddled successful favourites at 9/4 and 11/4 respectively.

 

Salisbury:

David Evans saddled four winners during the first four meetings at Salisbury last year (14/1-9/1-8/1-5/1), a feat only matched by Richard Hannon (1/8*-6/5*-2/1*-16/1).  Only seven favourites won during the period (twenty-nine races--24.1% strike rate), with twelve gold medallists being sent off at odds ranging between 10/1 and 50/1.

 

MONDAY:

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Windsor: 19

Favourite stats: 7 (36.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Windsor in 2013:

5/13--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4)

2/3--Andrew Balding (14/1 & 16/1)

2/3--Neil King (11/1 & 4/1)

1/1--David Brown (7/2***)

1/1--Stuart Kittow (7/2*)

1/1--Brian Meehan (17/2)

15/19 winners were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Hughie Morrison (6/4-3/1-7/2***)

2--Richard Hannon (7/2*** & 7/4)

 

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 7

Favourite stats: 1 (14.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

Trainers of winners at Bath in 2013:

2/3--Clive Cox (16/1 & 10/1)

1/1--Ruth Carr (7/1)

1/1--Peter Charalambous (7/1)

1/2--Stuart Kittow (7/2*)

1/2--Brian Smart (11/2)

1/5--Mick Channon (6/1)

6/7 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Bath thus far

 

Beverley:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 15

Favourite stats: 6 (40.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013:

6/10--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*)

1/1--Rae Guest (4/1)

1/1--David O'Meara (5/6*)

1/1--Derek Shaw (3/1)

1/1--John Stimpson (7/1)

13/15 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Beverley thus far

 

Warwick:

WARWICK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 6

Favourite stats: 3 (50.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Trainers of winners at Warwick (flat) in 2013:

1/1--Alex Hales (20/1)

1/1--Ron Harris (6/4*)

1/1--Rod Millman (9/2)

1/2--Stuart Kittow (9/2**)

1/3--Richard Hannon (15/8)

1/6-David Evans (8/13*)

5/6 winners returned at odds of 9/2 or less

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Warwick thus far

 

Kempton:

Keep a watchful eye for any mounts that Michael (JM) Murphy has at the Bank Holiday meeting at Kempton as the young pilot has secured a strike rate of 21% at the track via nine winners, a ratio which has helped to produce a level stake profit of four points to date.

 

Ffos Las (NH):

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 56

Favourite stats: 18 (32.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

9--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8)

6--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4)

3--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**)

3--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1)

53/56 winners were sent off at odds of 7/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8)

3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)

3--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4)

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