Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 6th to 12th August

6th to 12th August

Weekly Stat Pack: 6th to 12th August

One of the quieter weeks on the calendar (especially during the summer months) but a time (nonetheless) to consider one of my golden rules; Be lucky but most of all….be observant!

Matt has taken ’time out’ at the right time of year, just as I hope you will appreciate that my column might not be quite as detailed as usual the week before the big St Leger meeting in September.

I’m taking a break then but the stats and facts should still be evidence for you to use against the old enemy.  I hope you have enjoyed your break this summer or if you have yet to ‘holiday’, you have my best wishes for a relaxing period.

Don’t forget to log on to the each day for the daily stat pack containing statistical updates when venues have meetings which cover two or more days during the course of the week:

Thursday: Brighton & Yarmouth
Friday: Brighton & Haydock
Saturday: Haydock & Newmarket
Monday: Ayr & Windsor

As an aside after racing on Monday, I note that Sir Michael Stoute’s last 24 runners have all been beaten, seven of which were returned as favourites, whilst nineteen were sent off at single figure prices.

TUESDAY 06/08:

Catterick:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Catterick: 69

Favourite stats: 20 (29.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)

Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:

7/32--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)

4/14--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1)

4/19--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4)

4/27--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-7/4)

4/35--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2)

60/69 winners (86.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)

7--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2)

2.15: Tony Coyle has won with his only juvenile runner at Catterick in the last five years, whereby Kirkstall Abbey gets my tentative vote as Tony bids to follow up his 7/1 winner.  All ten winners during the last decade were returned at odds of 5/1 or less, statistics which include four successful market leaders.

2.45: Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick whilst eight of the last ten winners were returned at a top price of 13/2.  Punters have not had things all their own way during the last decade however, as the other two gold medallists were sent off at 80/1 and 20/1.  Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite obliged during the study period.

3.15: Five-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals, whilst eight of the last nine gold medallists were burdened with 9-3 or less.  Quality Art is the only horse in the line up with ticks in both boxes which makes for interesting reading as trainer Richard Guest secured a 22/1 double on Saturday via just four runners on the day.   Only one of the last seven contests has gone the way of the favourite whilst four winners have been returned in double figures (ranging from 11/1 to 20/1) during the period.

3.45: Four-year-olds have won five of the last ten contests and this year’s three vintage representatives boast decent claims, whilst favourites have won six of the last seven renewals whilst the other event was won by an 11/4 chance!

4.15: Market leaders have secured six of the last nine contests during the last decade, the other winners being sent off at just 2/1-9/2-13/2.  Nine of the ten favourites secured toteplacepot positions during the study period, the odd one out being one of the two 5/2 joint favourites back in 2007.

4.45: In contrast to the other races featured on Tuesday’s Catterick card, favourites have a poor record as eight races have been contested during the last decade during which time, successful market leaders were only conspicuous by their absence.  That said, four of the last six favourites have finished in the frame.

 

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ffos Las: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers at Ffos Las in 2013:

3/9--David Evans (6/1-16/1-4/1)

2/2--Tom Dascombe (6/4* & 4/6*)

2/6--Ron Harris (14/1)

18/21 winners (85.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Mick Channon (7/2** & 7/4)

 

Ripon:

RIPON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ripon: 74

Favourite stats: 24 (32.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/6 (16.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ripon in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

7/36--David O'Meara (6/4*-4/1**-5/1-9/4*-9/2-9/4-3/1)

6/19--David Barron (2/1*-16/1-5/2-7/2-11/8*-7/1)

6/35--Richard Fahey (13/8-9/4*-5/4*-5/2-5/2-3/1*)

4/24--Kevin Ryan (5/2-15/8*-16/1-6/4*)

3/4--Paul Cole (5/2-8/2-7/1)

71/74 winners (94.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--David O'Meara (7/2-7/2**-5/2**-7/2**-2/1-7/2**)

5--Richard Fahey (5/2-4/1**-15/8-5/2**-4/5)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-11/8-11/10-10/11)

3--Tim Easterby (15/8**-11/4*-11/4)

 

Kempton:

Ralph Beckett had a single runner declared at both Tuesday and Wednesday at Kempton at the time of writing and his 23% ratio at the track in the last five years (fifty-nine winners) have produce level profit stakes on eighty-three points during the period!

 

WEDNESDAY 07/08:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Brighton: 65

Favourite stats: 28 (43.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/13 (46.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:

3/5--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**)

3/5--Saeed Bin Suroor (Evs*-6/4-11/4)

3/6--Pat Phelan (8/1-2/1*-11/10*)

62/65 (95.4%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Eleven different trainers have saddled two beaten favourites so far

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newcastle: 74

Favourite stats: 22 (29.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/8 (42.8%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

5/12--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)

5/26--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1)

5/42--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*)

4/27--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1)

3/14--Alan Swinbank (5/2**-9/2-7/2)

3/30--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2)

3/29--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3)

2/2--Ed Walker (13/8**)

67/74 winners (90.5%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5)

3--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1)

3--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2)

3--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2)

3--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**)

3--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5)

3--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4-15/2**-10/3)

3--Roger Varian (2/1-6/5-15/8)

 

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Pontefract: 66

Favourite stats: 22 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

5/26--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*)

5/33--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1)

4/8--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)

4/15--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1)

3/7--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)

62/67 winners (92.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)

3--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10)

3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

3--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**)

3--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4)

2.00: Ten of the eighteen market leaders have reached the frame via thirteen renewals (five winners) thus far.

2.30: Favourite backers go into battle with confidence on a high as eight of the last ten renewals have been won by market leaders of one description or another.  Going back further in time, ten favourites have won during the last fifteen years, with eleven gold medallists having been returned at odds of 11/4 or less.

3.30: Six of the last ten winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more.  Five favourites have won during the study period, though just three of the other thirteen market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.

4.00: Nine of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 9-0 or more, which effectively reduces the field down to six from eight if you are a number cruncher like yours truly.  Six-year-olds have won six of the last fifteen renewals of this sprint event. Two clear market leaders and another joint favourite have scored during the last sixteen years, whilst nine of the nineteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

4.30: Six and seven-year-olds have (equally) shared four of the five renewals to date during which time, all five winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-12.  Four renewals have slipped by since the last market leader obliged which was lone the two 7/2 joint favourites in the inaugural event back in 2008.

5.00: Seven of the eight winners to date have carried 8-10 or more whilst we still await the first successful favourite, the (each way) winners to date having ranged between 5/1 and 16/1 thus far.

 

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Yarmouth 113

Favourite stats: 44 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 15/21 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

5/26--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2)

4/6--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/7--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*)

4/15--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

4/17--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*)

4/23--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1)

102/114 (89.4%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

4--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4)

3--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

Kempton:

Don’t forget the ‘Ralph Beckett’ factor mentioned in despatches for this venue on Tuesday, albeit Saeed Bin Suroor’s magnificent five-year figures (69 winners/33% strike rate/LSP: 36 points) at the Sunbury circuit should always be uppermost in your mind when Kempton stage their meetings.

 

THURSDAY 08/08:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Brighton: 65

Favourite stats: 28 (43.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/13 (46.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:

3/5--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**)

3/5--Saeed Bin Suroor (Evs*-6/4-11/4)

3/6--Pat Phelan (8/1-2/1*-11/10*)

62/65 (95.4%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

Eleven trainers have saddled two beaten market leaders thus far

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 65

Favourite stats: 24 (36.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

6/16--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*-7/4*-4/1-9/2)

4/31--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1)

3/7--Hughie Morrison (9/4*-7/4-5/4*)

3/9--Ralph Beckett (Evs*-5/4*-10/11*)

3/13--Andrew Balding (11/4*-6/4*-7/2)

3/25--David Evans (7/1-7/1-5/4*)

59/65 winners (90.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4-2/1)

3--Ron Harris (5/1****-7/4-7/2**)

3--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**)

 

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Haydock: 95

Favourite stats: 29 (30.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*)

6/23--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*)

6/38--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)

5/15--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)

5/42--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*)

4/9--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)

4/25--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2)

85/96 winners (88.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs)

4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)

4--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8)

4--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***)

Ten furlong class 5 handicap scheduled for 2.10: Horses carrying 9-6 or more have secured eighteen of the last twenty-five available toteplacepot positions, stats which included the last eight winners.  Three favourites have obliged during the last fifteen years, whilst eleven of the sixteen market leaders have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.

'Draw factor' (ten and a half furlongs--most recent renewal listed first):

11-6-9 (9 ran-good)
9-10-5 (9 ran-good to soft)
1-8-2 (10 ran soft)
14-13-2-9 (17 ran-good to soft)
16-9-6 (13 ran-good)
14-1-7 (12 ran-good to firm)
4-9-3 (8 ran-good to firm)
5-7-16-6 (16 ran-good)
1-7-14 (14 ran-good)
7-5-6 (8 ran-good to firm)
6-1-2 (9 ran-heavy)
14-2-8-5 (18 ran-good)
2-4-10 (11 ran-good)
6-9-10 (12 ran-good to soft)
9-7-8 (9 ran-good)

One mile three-year-old handicap scheduled for 3.40: Nine horses have carried 9-7 in the last eight years, snaring three gold medals alongside two silvers (one at 14/1) and a bronze in the process.  Three of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date (two winners).  Six renewals have slipped by the since the last market leader prevailed.

Class 4 all aged six furlong handicap due to be contested at 4.10: Horses carrying weights of 9-3 or more have won the last six renewals, whilst six of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (three winners).  Four-year-olds have won four of the last nine renewals, whilst David Nicholls and Kevin Ryan (both potentially represented this time around) have both saddled two winners within the last six years.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs--most recent renewal listed first):

8-6-4 (9 ran-good)
10-11-8 (10 ran-good)
16-2-17-11 (16 ran-good to soft)
6-8-9 (10 ran-good to firm)
8-2-13-3 (16 ran-heavy)
13-3-14 (14 ran-good to firm)
9-13-11 (9 ran-good)
7-12-6 (16 ran-good to firm)
4-8 (6 ran-heavy)
9-6-12-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

Class 5 three-year-old handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 4.40: Eight of the ten winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less.  Seven of the ten favourites to date have finished out of the frame, though two market leaders have won to ensure that level stake investors are ‘only’ £412.50 behind to level one hundred pound stakes to date.

Fourteen furlong Class 4 handicap scheduled for 5.10: All seven winners to date have carried weights of 9-3 or less, whilst successful favourites are conspicuous by their absence following seven renewals to date.  Four-year-olds have won four of the seven renewals with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a four timer on this occasion.

 

Sandown:

SANDOWN DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 80

Favourite stats: 36 (45.6%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-Runner)

Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers at Sandown in 2013:

8/52--Richard Hannon (3/1-13/8*-11/10*-3/1**-5/4*-1/4*-4/1**-8/11*)

6/29--Andrew Balding (8/1-14/1-11/1-7/4*-11/4-9/2)

5/21--Sir Michael Stoute (8/1-4/1-5/1-5/6*-1/5*)

4/15--William Haggas (11/8*-5/2*-3/1-9/2)

4/19--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-11/10*-9/2-3/1)

3/5--Henry Candy (7/2**-11/4*-4/1)

3/11--Roger Charlton (9/4*-15/8*-11/4*)

3/20--Roger Varian (11/4-10/11*-8/1)

73/80 (91.2%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Richard Hannon (11/4**-3/1-11/10-11/4**-11/4-11/4)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1**-5/4-7/2-7/2-6/4)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (4/5-6/4-7/2-11/8)

3--John Gosden (3/1-5/1***-11/4**)

3--William Haggas (13/8-11/4**-3/1**)

3--Brian Meehan (Evs-11/4**-15/8)

3--Jeremy Noseda (7/4 & 5/1***-5/2)

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3--Roger Varian (9/4-10/11-7/2)

 

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Yarmouth 113

Favourite stats: 44 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 15/21 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

5/26--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2)

4/6--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/7--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*)

4/15--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

4/17--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*)

4/23--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1)

102/114 (89.4%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

4--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4)

3--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

Southwell:

Two trainers with potential runners on the card with excellent five-year stats stand out from the crowd at the time of writing.  David Nicholls (61 winners/20% strike rate/LSP reading: 156 points) and Alan Bailey (21 winners/24% strike rate/LSP: 126 points).

 

FRIDAY 09/08:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Brighton: 65

Favourite stats: 28 (43.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/13 (46.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:

3/5--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**)

3/5--Saeed Bin Suroor (Evs*-6/4-11/4)

3/6--Pat Phelan (8/1-2/1*-11/10*)

62/65 (95.4%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

Eleven trainers have saddled two beaten market leaders thus far.

 

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Haydock: 95

Favourite stats: 29 (30.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*)

6/23--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*)

6/38--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)

5/15--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)

5/42--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*)

4/9--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)

4/25--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2)

85/96 winners (88.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs)

4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)

4--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8)

4--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***)

 

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Musselburgh: 78

Favourite stats: 31 (39.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/9 (77.8%)

Leading trainers at Musselburgh in 2013:

6/12--Philip Kirby (11/4-7/1-10/1-10/11*-9/4**-3/1*)

6/20--David O'Meara (9/4*-3/1-11/8*-10/3-6/1-3/1)

6/33--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2-8/13*-Evs*-5/1****)

6/41--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*-11/4*-5/6*-1/2*)

4/58--Jim Goldie (20/1-10/1-16/1-9/4*)

71/78 winners (91.0%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4-2/1-5/2)

5--Jim Goldie (7/2**-4/1***-2/1-15/8-10/3**)

4--David Nicholls (4/1-9/4**-9/4-11/4)

3--Keith Dalgleish (2/1-2/1-Evs)

3--Phil Kirby (9/5-9/4-5/1****)

3--Bryan Smart (11/4-5/2-10/11)

 

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 104

Favourite stats: 43 (41.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/11 (81.8%)

Leading trainers at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

13/50--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*-Evs*-4/1-8/11*-3/1*-13/2-1/25*-11/4*)

10/66--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**-14/1-4/7*-7/2*-9/1-15/8*-5/1-5/2)

6/40--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2-3/1*-8/1)

5/26--John Gosden (9/4*-3/1-11/4-3/1-9/4**)

4/11--Jeremy Noseda (9/2**-10/11*-10/1-3/1)

4/17--Richard Fahey (7/1-7/2-5/4*-13/8*)

4/21--Brian Meehan (11/4*-4/6*-9/2-5/4*)

4/23--Luca Cumani (3/1*-5/1-15/8*-7/4*)

4/23--Charlie Hills (4/1-8/13*-7/1-33/1)

3/8--Charlie Appleby (5/2-5/2*-5/2)

95/104 winners (91.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**-11/2**-7/4**-9/4**-11/4-11/4-7/4)

8--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4-2/1-11/2-7/4**-5/2)

4--Richard Hannon (15/8-4/7-9/4-6/4)

4--Mark Johnston (11/8-11/4-9/4-5/2)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-3/1-10/3)

Nursery event scheduled for 5.40: Seven of the eleven winners of this two-year-old event during the last decade carried a maximum burden of 8-13.  Seven favourites have won this contest (including five of the last ten) during the study period, whilst eleven of the twenty market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Seven furlong juvenile seller scheduled for 6.10:  The last twelve winners of this juvenile event have been returned at odds of 7/1 or less, albeit just one successful favourite was recorded during the study period.  Two favourites have won in the last fifteen years, whilst seven of the fifteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  Mick Channon was responsible for two of the fourteen penultimate stage declarations, the trainer having saddled two of the last six gold medallists.

Juvenile maiden event over seven furlongs due to be contested at 6.45: I’m not certain of my facts, though I cannot recall any other meeting during the course of the year when three seven furlong events open a meeting, especially when the three events are all of the juvenile variety.  Eight clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last sixteen years.  Twelve of the seventeen market leaders have secured a toteplacepot position during the study period.

Class 5 all aged ten furlong handicap event scheduled for 7.15: Eight of the last nine winners have carried weights of 9-0 or more, whilst five favourites have won via twelve renewals during the last fourteen years.  Eight of the thirteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  The last seven winners have been returned in single figure prices.

All aged handicap for fillies over one mile scheduled for 7.50: Eight renewals have slipped by since a successful favourite was registered, whilst three-year-olds have won the last six contests (and eight of the last nine).

Class 3 six furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 8.20: Eleven of the last sixteen winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more. One clear market leader and one joint favourite have scored during the last sixteen years, whilst seven of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process. The last twelve winners have scored at 16/1-14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1-9/1-8/1-6/1-6/1-6/1-9/2-2/1, without a successful market leader being recorded.

 

Lingfield (A/W):

Saeed Bin Suroor continues to dominate (46% strike rate on the all-weather track at Lingfield), though other trainers worth a mention with intended runners this week include Tom Dascombe (28 winners in the last five years/23% strike rate/LSP: 46 points) and John Gosden (43 winners/24% Strike rate/LSP: 31 points).

 

SATURDAY 10/08:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ascot: 81

Favourite stats: 18 (22.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/3

Leading trainers at Ascot in 2013:

7/69--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**-11/4-7/2-4/1)

6/44--Mark Johnston (6/1-9/2-11/4*-12/1-10/11*-33/1)

5/28--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1-15/8*)

4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)

4/12--Roger Charlton (11/4-8/1-11/2-5/2*)

3/8--Lady Cecil (9/2-2/1*-8/1)

3/9--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2)

3/20--Roger Varian (11/4-25/1-6/4*)

61/81 winners (75.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4-6/4)

6--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1-9/2-

5--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1-11/2-9/2)

4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (10/1***-7/2-2/1)

3--John Gosden (4/1-3/1-5/2)

3--David O'Meara (5/1 & 10/1***-7/1**)

3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-4/1-7/4)

3--Roger Varian (9/4-7/1**-2/1)

 

Ayr:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ayr: 49

Favourite stats: 20 (40.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

11/38--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1)

4/12--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/8--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/26--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

3/33--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*)

47/49 winners (95.9%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

2--Ruth Carr (10/3 & 13/8)

2--Robert Cowell (10/3 & 6/4)

2--Iain Jardine (4/1 & 4/1)

2--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs & 15/8)

 

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Haydock: 95

Favourite stats: 29 (30.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*)

6/23--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*)

6/38--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)

5/15--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)

5/42--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*)

4/9--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)

4/25--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2)

85/96 winners (88.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs)

4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)

4--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8)

4--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***)

Class 3 all aged handicap over a mile due to be contested at 1.45: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed in the last six years, whilst the last eight winners were burdened with a minimum weight of 8-13.  Four-year-olds have won three of the last four contests with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

Ten furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for 2.20: All nine winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less whilst three-year-olds have won five of the nine renewals.  Three-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals for good measure. Two of the eight contests have fallen the way of the favourite, whilst the last seven contests have produced a top priced winner of 9/1. Four of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame.

Group 3 ‘Rose Of Lancaster’ event scheduled for 2.55: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last fourteen renewals, yet junior raiders were conspicuous by their absence two years ago!  Five clear market leaders and two joint favourites have scored via fifteen renewals.  Twelve of the seventeen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Nursery event scheduled for 4.00:  Eight of the last eleven winners having carried weights of 9-2 or less.  Out of interest, the other three winners were burdened with 9-7. The last clear favourite obliged back in 2001, since when six winners were returned in double figures ranging from 12/1 to 25/1.

Class 5 all aged six furlong handicap scheduled for 4.30: Paul Green has secured two of the last four renewals and the trainer held two options for the race earlier in the week.  Four-year-olds have won four of the five renewals thus far.  The last four (of five) favourites have won following the third placed (dead heat) effort of the 15/8 inaugural favourite back in 2009.  Favourites have recorded a level stake profit of £1,400.00 to one hundred pound investments to date.

 

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 104

Favourite stats: 43 (41.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/11 (81.8%)

Leading trainers at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

13/50--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*-Evs*-4/1-8/11*-3/1*-13/2-1/25*-11/4*)

10/66--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**-14/1-4/7*-7/2*-9/1-15/8*-5/1-5/2)

6/40--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2-3/1*-8/1)

5/26--John Gosden (9/4*-3/1-11/4-3/1-9/4**)

4/11--Jeremy Noseda (9/2**-10/11*-10/1-3/1)

4/17--Richard Fahey (7/1-7/2-5/4*-13/8*)

4/21--Brian Meehan (11/4*-4/6*-9/2-5/4*)

4/23--Luca Cumani (3/1*-5/1-15/8*-7/4*)

4/23--Charlie Hills (4/1-8/13*-7/1-33/1)

3/8--Charlie Appleby (5/2-5/2*-5/2)

95/104 winners (91.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**-11/2**-7/4**-9/4**-11/4-11/4-7/4)

8--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4-2/1-11/2-7/4**-5/2)

4--Richard Hannon (15/8-4/7-9/4-6/4)

4--Mark Johnston (11/8-11/4-9/4-5/2)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-3/1-10/3)

 

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Redcar: 75

Favourite stats: 31 (41.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

8/37--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2)

4/11--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)

3/10--Jim Goldie (2/1-6/4-12/1)

3/14--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2)

3/14--Richard Fahey (7/2-4/9*-5/4*)

3/17--Paul Midgley (9/1-9/2**-7/4*)

3/47--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*)

72/76 (94.7%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)

3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)

3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

3--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2)

3--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4)

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (TURF) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Lingfield: 66

Favourite stats: 27 (40.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of (turf) winners at Lingfield in 2013:

3/5--Ralph Beckett (5/4*-8/1-Evs*)

3/15--David Evans (5/1-8/1-4/1)

2/2--John Gosden (7/2 & 7/4*)

62/66 (93.9%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--David Evans (11/4-11/4-9/4)

3--Richard Hannon (11/4-Evs-5/2)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (7/4-2/1-15/8)

 

SUNDAY 11/08:

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 90

Favourite stats: 38 (42.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/23 (47.8%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

5/20--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1)

4/7--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

84/90 winners (93.3%) returned at odds of 11/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5)

3--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7)

2--Henry Candy (11/8 & 3/1)

2--James Fanshawe (15/8 & 5/2)

2--Richard Hannon (7/4 & 4/5)

2--David Lanigan (5/2 & 15/8**)

 

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Windsor: 125

Favourite stats: 55 (44.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/22 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

17/68--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1-5/4*-5/4*-6/4*-4/6*)

6/22--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1-5/2**)

4/12--William Haggas (15/8*-1/2*-11/4*-6/1)

4/14--Jeremy Noseda (4/1*-2/1-2/1*-5/4*)

4/15--John Gosden (16/1-1/2*-11/4-5/6*)

4/17--Dean Ivory (9/2-11/4*-5/2*-7/4*)

4/19--Roger Charlton (11/4-2/1*-12/1-14/1)

4/23--William Muir (5/2-8/1-5/1-9/2)

111/126 winners (88.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6-5/2**-5/6-4/6)

4--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4-2/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4-7/4**)

 

MONDAY 12/08:

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Windsor: 125

Favourite stats: 55 (44.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/22 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

17/68--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1-5/4*-5/4*-6/4*-4/6*)

6/22--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1-5/2**)

4/12--William Haggas (15/8*-1/2*-11/4*-6/1)

4/14--Jeremy Noseda (4/1*-2/1-2/1*-5/4*)

4/15--John Gosden (16/1-1/2*-11/4-5/6*)

4/17--Dean Ivory (9/2-11/4*-5/2*-7/4*)

4/19--Roger Charlton (11/4-2/1*-12/1-14/1)

4/23--William Muir (5/2-8/1-5/1-9/2)

111/126 winners (88.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6-5/2**-5/6-4/6)

4--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4-2/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4-7/4**)

 

Thirsk:

THIRSK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Thirsk: 75

Favourite stats: 25 (33.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Trainers of winners at Thirsk in 2013:

7/25--David Barron (7/2**-11/4*-11/4**-7/2*-5/2-4/5*-10/1)

5/39--David O'Meara (4/1*-13/8*-11/4*-6/5*-16/1)

5/50--Tim Easterby (7/1-7/1-4/1-15/8*-3/1*)

4/15--Mick Easterby (28/1-7/2*-18/1-5/2*)

4/38--Ruth Carr (9/2*-16/1-11/2-8/1)

3/13--Mrs K Burke (10/3-4/1-9/4**)

3/13--Mick Channon (10/3-13/8-5/1)

3/14--Tracy Waggott (18/1-11/2-16/1)

2/2--Lady Cecil (7/4* & 4/5*)

2/2--Robert Johnson (9/2 & 8/1)

64/75 winners (85.3%) scored at odds of 10/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:

9--David O'Meara (7/2**-9/4-2/1-3/1-2/1-5/4-3/1-11/4-3/1)

7--Kevin Ryan (4/6*-2/1**-11/2***-11/4-11/4-9/4-5/1)

3--Michael Dods (15/8-15/8-3/1)

3--Richard Fahey (2/1-11/4**-7/2**)

 

Ayr:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 49

Favourite stats: 20 (40.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

11/38--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1)

4/12--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/8--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/26--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

3/33--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*)

47/49 winners (95.9%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

2--Ruth Carr (10/3 & 13/8)

2--Robert Cowell (10/3 & 6/4)

2--Iain Jardine (4/1 & 4/1)

2--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs & 15/8)

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