Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack: 9th to 15th July

9th to 15th July

Weekly Stat Pack: 9th to 15th July

Don’t forget to check the daily stat pack from Wednesday onwards when updated statistics from the previous day will be available.

I have majored on Newmarket’s ‘July’ meeting this week and I offer long terms stats below to add to the figures further down the list which concentrate on more recent trends.

Bahrain Trophy (Thursday): John Gosden had Feels Like Dancing and Nicholls Canyon involved at the five-day stage in his attempt at landing a hat trick in the race following recent victories by Masked Marvel and Shantaram.

To reveal how hard a task that might prove to be, it’s worth recalling that nine of the ten previous winners of this event had been won by trainers saddling their only winner in the race for as far back as 1986.

This race has been particularly kind to Frankie Dettori who has ridden five winners down the years, statistics which include two of the last four gold medallists.

 

July Stakes (Thursday): Richard Hannon was saddling his fifth winner of this race with Alhebayeb last year since Rock City obliged for the trainer back in 1989.

Richard had six potential runners at the five-day stage, one more than Aidan O’Brien who secured his one and only success in the contest with Ivan Denisovich eight years ago.

 

Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (‘Cherry Hinton’ of old--Friday): Sir Michael Stoute boasts the best modern-day stats (since 1980) of the trainers still plying their trade having saddled four winners, though the last of those victories was secured as far back as 1996.

In an attempt to show how difficult this race is to win, it’s worth noting that great trainers such as John Gosden (1990), Saeed Bin Suroor (1997), Mark Johnston (2003), Brian Meehan (2005), Aidan O’Brien (2007) and Mick Channon (2008) have only saddled one winner in the Group 2 contest.

Richard Hannon has secured three successes since Lester Piggott rode Lemon Souffle to victory for the trainer in 1993, the last of which was Memory three years ago.

Frankie Dettori has ridden four winners since his first victory aboard Asfurah back in 1997.

 

Falmouth Stakes (Friday): Three-year-olds have secured twenty-four of the last thirty-four renewals (70.6%), eight other contests falling to five-year-olds, with two five-year-olds having scored in 2001 and 2005.

Richard Hannon achieved a hat trick in the race (his only winners during the study period) between 1993 and 1995 with Sky Lantern (one of only five potential runners) still involved in proceedings at the time of writing on this occasion.

John Gosden (Elusive Kate) gained his one and only success with Ryafan back in 1997, whilst Alain de Royer-Dupre is potentially represented by last years winner Giofra.

 

Superlative Stakes (Saturday): If newcomers to the sport wondered why we have been hailing the great late Sir Henry Cecil in recent weeks, his record in this event is a fine example of how Henry once dominated the training ranks.

Henry saddled the winner of this two-year-old event nine times during the period 1986 to 2000 long before the plaudits Henry received for his handling of his recent superstar Frankel.  Richard Hannon has saddled four of the last twelve winners, whilst Mick Channon gained the same number of victories between 1994 and 2007.

Only four horses have broken one minute and twenty-five seconds during the last twenty-seven years whereby the clock will be worth watching, the fastest scorer being Silver Grecian for trainer John Ryan four years ago.

This race was named after the 1983 July Cup winner Superlative.

 

July Cup (Saturday): 37/45 (82.2%) of recent renewals were won by three/four-year-olds (3YO’s hold the advantage 22/15).

Aidan O’Brien has three winners to his name since the trainer first won with Stravinsky back in 1999.  Hughie Morrison has saddled two of the last eight winners, whilst (conversely) Richard Hannon gained his only success in the race with the Lester Piggott ridden Mr Brooks back in 2002.

Sir Michael Stoute has not won the July Cup since Adjal gave him his third success in the Group 1 contest in 1987.

 

Bunbury Cup (Saturday): Fourteen of the last eighteen winners (including the last six) were saddled by trainers who have gained their only success in the contest, showing just how difficult it is to win this handicap.  The following vintage statistics have emerged since 1978:

3YO: Three winners, the last of which prevailed in 1998.
4YO: Much the best record with nineteen victories (54.3%)--including three of the last six.
5YO: Six winners coming to the gig this year on a hat trick.
6YO: Four winners, the last of which obliged four years ago.
7YO: Two winners (2004 & 2005).
8YO: One winner in 2006 when Mine was achieving his third success in the race.

Last year’s great toteplacepot returns at the ‘July‘ meeting:

Thursday: £2,395.60 (average dividend over the last eleven years: £744.12)
Friday: £1,119.80 (average dividend over the last ten years: £739.82)
Saturday: £2,609.00 (average dividend over the last ten years: £2,389.59)


Day to day offerings:

TUESDAY 09/07:

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 46

Favourite stats: 12 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

4/6--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)

4/27--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8)

2/2--William Haggas (1/4* & 5/6*)

2/8--Mrs K. Burke (15/8* & 5/1)

2/9--Mick Easterby (10/1 & 13/2)

2/10--Paul Midgley (9/1 & 7/1)

2/17--Mark Johnston (2/1* & 3/1)

44/47 winners (93.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7)

3--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10)

3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

3--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4)

2--Brian Ellison (10/3 & 7/2**)

2--Richard Hannon (5/2** & 1/2)

2.30: Two clear market leaders and one co favourite have won in the last fourteen years.  Seven of the nineteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the period.

3.00: The two favourites to date have secured gold and bronze medals.

3.30: Four of the last eleven runners saddled by Dandy Nicholls have won and stable representative Queen Flush is expected to figure prominently from the bottom of the handicap at potentially rewarding odds. Three of the four market leaders (statistics include two winners) have finished in the money thus far.

4.00: This event is named after the 10 race winning filly/mare Pipalong who plied her trade from 1998 onwards though as she did not win here at Pontefract, I’m slightly surprised the race is staged here, albeit she thoroughly deserves the accolade.  Six of the nine favourites have won with the biggest priced gold medallist having been returned at 17/2.  Tread carefully however, as the last two market leaders have finished out of the frame at odds of 4/6 and 6/4.

4.30: Just one favourite has obliged during the study period, whilst only six of the 17 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

5.00: Three-year-olds have won eleven of the last fourteen renewals of this event and vintage representatives come to the party on an eight-timer.  Ten of the last fifteen favourites have won (including six of the last nine), whilst four other market leaders have finished second down the years.

5.30: Horses carrying 9-1 or less have secured five of the eight available win and place positions, statistics which include all three (12/1-5/1-3/1) winners.

 

Southwell:

7.05: Two favourites have obliged via seven renewals to date, whilst five of the seven gold medallists were returned at odds of 7/2 or less.  Four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.

7.35: Eight of the twelve available toteplacepot/each way positions have been secured by three-year-olds which is invariably the case in these all aged maiden events at this time of year.  The winners representing the junior vintage scored at 11/2-11/2-8/1 via just four renewals thus far.

8.35: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals during which time, all five winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more.

9.05: Three of the six favourites have finished in the frame by winning their respective events via five renewals.  Four-year-olds have claimed four of the five contests.

 

Wolverhampton:

Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled six of his last sixteen runners to winning effect and the blue colours are represented three times at the track this afternoon.  Saeed boasts a strike rate of 33% via twenty-five winners during the last five years at Dunstall Park with his LSP reading the right side of the bank balance.

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

**74.6% of races at Uttoxeter have been won by different stables**

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 74

Favourite stats: 22 (29.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

Leading trainers of winners at Uttoxeter in 2013:

3--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*)

3--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1)

3--Dai Burchell (16/1-9/2-85/40)

3--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1)

3--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*)

3--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2)

62/74 winners (83.8%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4)

6--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

 

WEDNESDAY 10/07:

Catterick:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 49

Favourite stats: 15 (31.2%--includes joint and co favourites and a Non Runner)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

Leading trainers of winners at Catterick in 2013:

6/23--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*)-3/1*

3/6--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*)

3/11--Ann Duffield (3/1*-11/4-10/1)

3/14--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2)

3/18--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2)

3/21--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*)

3/25--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2)

2/2--James Turner (14/1 & 8/1)

43/49 winners (87.8%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2)

3--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8)

2--Michael Dods (3/1 & 9/4)

2--Brian Ellison (9/2 & 2/1)

2--Kevin Ryan (7/4 & 3/1)

3.20: Eight of the twelve favourites during the last eleven years have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners.  All eleven winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less.

3.50: Six favourites have won during the last eleven years, whilst seven market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions.

4.20 & 4.50 (two divisions): Four-year-olds have won half (4/8) of the contests to date, whilst just one (joint) favourite has obliged thus far.  Winners sent off at 28/1-18/1-14/1-10/1-9/1-8/1 have turned this contest into a nightmare event for investors in general terms.   Four of the nine market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

5.20: Seven of the last thirteen favourites have secured win and place positions, statistics which include three gold medallists.  Nine winners during the last eleven years carried weights of 8-13 or less.

 

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Yarmouth 85

Favourite stats: 33 (38.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/15 (73.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

5/21--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2)

3/5--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*)

3/6--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*)

3/6--Phil McBride (11/4*-14/1-5/1)

3/10--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*)

3/14--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1)

3/20--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*)

76/86 (88.4%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

3--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10)

2--George Baker (7/4 & 10/3)

2--Peter Chapple-Hyam (8/13 & 11/8)

2--Ed Dunlop (10/11 & 10/3)

2--Noel Quinlan (2/1 & 11/8)

 

Kempton:

Four of James Fanshawe’s last thirteen runners have won and with another quartet having finished ‘in the three’ during the period, his horses are worth keeping on the right side, especially here at Kempton where James boasts a 24% record via forty-two winners during the last five years.  The LSP record makes for event better reading with James currently boasting well over seventy points of level stake profits during the study period.  Miss Dashwood (8.30) is the only Fanshawe raider on Wednesday’s card.

 

Lingfield:

The Mick Channon/Martin Harley bandwagon rolls along nicely at Lingfield in general terms and Mick has four runners on Wednesday’s card.  Mick boasts a 20% record at the track (LSP profit of forty-five points during the last five years), whilst Martin’s figures currently stand at 39% and twenty respectively.

 

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Worcester: 68

Favourite stats: 24 (35.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Worcester in 2013:

6--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*)

4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)

3--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2)

3--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*)

59/68 winners (86.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**)

4--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4)

4--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs)

3--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)

 

THURSDAY 11/07:

Newmarket (July):

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 42

Favourite stats: 17 (40.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

6/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*)

4/13--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2)

3/24--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**)

41/42 winners (97.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**)

2--Williams Knight (5/2** & 13/8)

2--Brian Meehan (9/4 & 2/1)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1 & 10/3)

Group 3 ‘Bahrain Trophy’ scheduled for 1.40:  Five clear favourites and two joint market leader have won during the last sixteen years.  Twelve of the eighteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.  Ten winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less during the last eleven years..

2YO ‘July Stakes’ scheduled for 2.10: Seven favourites have won during the study period, whilst nine of the seventeen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last fifteen years.

Group 2 Princess of Wales event scheduled for 2.40: Sir Michael Stoute has won this event six times during the last thirteen years though Michael does not have a runner involved this time around (stat left in for those of you who like to retain records).  Just one favourite has scored in the last sixteen years, whilst seven market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the period.  Four-year-olds have secured five of the last six contests.

Class 2, 3YO handicap over ten furlongs scheduled for 3.15: Six renewals have slipped by since the last favourite won this event, the gold medallists during those year being returned at 40/1-25/1-12/1-11/1-7/1-7/1. Nine of the seventeen favourites have secured toteplacepot dividends during the last fifteen years (two winners).

Juvenile maiden event over six furlongs for fillies scheduled for 3.50: Five favourites have won this event during the last eleven years, whilst nine of those winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less.

Five furlong Class 3 handicap scheduled for 5.00: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more, whilst three favourites have won during the last eleven years.

 

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 65

Favourite stats: 26 (40.6%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Bath in 2013:

4/7--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*)

4/9--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*)

4/16--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*)

4/19--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1)

4/22--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*)

3/9--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1)

2/2--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4* & 4/1)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6* & 4/1)

56/65 winners (86.1%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4)

3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)

3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 94

Favourite stats: 35 (37.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:

9/59--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

3/6--Tim Walford (11/2**-7/2*-4/1)

3/10--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*)

3/14--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*)

3/20--Brain Ellison (9/2*-16/1-3/1*)

3/23--David O'Meara (7/1-6/4*-6/1)

3/34--Tim Easterby (8/1-15/2-6/1)

76/94 winners (80.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1)

4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

3--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1)

3--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4)

3--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

 

Epsom:

EPSOM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Epsom: 26

Favourite stats: 7 (26.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Epsom in 2013:

3/12--Richard Fahey (10/1-25/1-9/2)

2/3--Clive Cox (14/1 & 4/1)

2/5--David Simcock (12/1 & 5/1)

2/9--Aidan O'Brien (3/10* & 7/1)

23/26 (88.5%) of the winners have scored at odds of 14/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Richard Hannon (3/1**-5/4-11/4)

2--Luca Cumani (11/2**** & 11/4)

2--Mark Johnston (6/5 & 5/2)

 

Warwick:

WARWICK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 45

Favourite stats: 19 (42.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick (flat) in 2013:

4/12--Richard Hannon (15/8-5/6*-6/4-Evs*)

3/7--Rod Millman (9/2-15/2-7/2*)

2/4--Jo Hughes (4/1 & 20/1)

2/5--Ian Williams (11/4* & 7/2*)

2/5--Stuart Kittow (9/2** & Evs*)

2/6--Kevin Ryan (22/1 & 3/1)

2/12--David Evans (8/13* & 7/4*)

2/13--Tony Carroll (6/1 & 15/2)

42/45 winners (93.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Richard Fahey (9/2**-3/1-7/2)

2--Tony Carroll (11/8 & 7/4)

2--Luke Dace (11/4** & 5/2)

2--Richard Hannon (7/4 & 5/4)

 

FRIDAY 12/07:

Newmarket (July):

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 42

Favourite stats: 17 (40.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

6/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*)

4/13--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2)

3/24--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**)

41/42 winners (97.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**)

2--Williams Knight (5/2** & 13/8)

2--Brian Meehan (9/4 & 2/1)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1 & 10/3)

Seven furlong 3YO handicap for fillies scheduled for 1.40: Fourteen of the last sixteen winners of this opening contest have carried weights of 9-0 or less. Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won this race during the last sixteen years, whilst twelve of the twenty-two market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

Duchess Of Cambridge (‘Cherry Hinton’) scheduled for 2.10: Seven of the last twelve favourites have won whilst twelve of the seventeen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

‘Falmouth Stakes’ scheduled for 2.40: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last sixteen renewals of this Group 1 event.  Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last fifteen years, whilst ten of the sixteen jollies have claimed toteplacepot positions.  Four-year-olds have been fighting back of late having won three of the last four contests.

Heritage handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 3.15: Horses carrying weights of 8-13 or less have claimed twenty-seven of the last available forty toteplacepot positions, including eight of the relevant ten winners.  Three favourites have won in the last sixteen years, whilst seven of the seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process. The last ten favourites have all been beaten, though four of those market leaders finished in the frame.  Seven of the last eight winners have been returned in double figures.

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Seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 3.50: Richard Hannon has saddled three of the last eight winners at 25/1-6/1-7/2.  Six clear favourites and one joint favourite have won during the study period.  Ten of the twenty market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  During the last decade, horses starting at 6/1 or less have secured seven renewals, whilst claiming five additional place positions via a total of twenty-five recent representatives.  Horses starting at 16/1 or more have claimed just six place positions via ninety-four representatives.

3YO maiden event over ten furlongs scheduled for 4.25: The market (usually such a good guide here on the July course) has been of little use in recent times because Meydan City drifted like the proverbial barge before winning five years ago whilst the two of the last four winners have won at 66/1 and 25/1.  Eight of the last nine favourites have been beaten in this toteplacepot finale though five of the market leaders snared win and place positions in races won by horses starting at 66/1-25/1-14/1-8/1-8/1-7/1-9/2-7/2.

Class 3 all aged handicap scheduled for 5.35: The last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-5.

 

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ascot: 48

Favourite stats: 9 (18.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:

4/19--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1)

4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)

4/51--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**)

3/7--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2)

2/2--Paul Cole (11/1 & 16/1)

37/48 winners (77.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4)

4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1)

3--John Gosden (4/1-3/1-5/2)

3--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1)

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 51

Favourite stats: 19 (37.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

4/25--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1)

3/10--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*)

47/51 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4)

3--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**)

2--Andrew Balding (7/4** & 6/4)

2--Clive Cox (15/8 & 2/1)

2--Ron Harris (5/1**** & 7/2**)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-7/2***)

 

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 48

Favourite stats: 17 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Chester in 2013:

5/33--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2)

4/28--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2)

3/10--Charlie Hills (12/1-9/4-4/1)

3/18--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**)

2/2--Luca Cumani (10/3* & 11/8)

47/48 winners (97.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs)

4--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4)

2--Marco Botti (6/4 & 9/4)

2--Brain Ellison (3/1 & 5/2**)

2--Richard Hannon (2/1 & 3/1)

2--Aidan O'Brien (7/2** & 6/5)

 

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 42

Favourite stats: 13 (24.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

Leading trainers of winners at York in 2013:

4/5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*)

3/24--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1)

3/23--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2)

3/55--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1)

33/42 winners (78.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1)

2--Richard Hannon (8/13 & 6/4)

2--David O'Meara (7/2 & 3/1)

2--John Quinn (7/2 & 10/3)

 

SATURDAY 13/07:

Newmarket (July):

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 42

Favourite stats: 17 (40.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

6/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*)

4/13--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2)

3/24--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**)

41/42 winners (97.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**)

2--Williams Knight (5/2** & 13/8)

2--Brian Meehan (9/4 & 2/1)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1 & 10/3)

Class 3 3YO handicap over a mile scheduled for 2.05: Ten of the last eleven winners have cared weights of 9-3 or less.

‘Superlative Stakes’ scheduled for 2.40: Eight of the sixteen favourites have claimed win and place positions during the study period (six winners).  Richard Hannon has saddled four of the last twelve winners.

‘Bunbury Cup’ scheduled for 3.15: Nine of the last ten winners carried weights of nine stones or more in this Class 2 event’.   Eight of the last nine favourites have been beaten (the race being won by horses returned in double figures in each but one of the relevant contests), whilst seven of the eighteen market leaders have reached the frame.

‘July Cup’ scheduled for 3.50: Seven of the last ten favourites have finished out of the frame, whilst just two favourites have won during the last eleven years.  Refer to the comments placed earlier in the week (Tuesday) for more detailed stats and facts.

Conditions event of six furlongs due to be contested at 4.35: We still await the first successful favourite following four renewals during which time, a top priced winner of 9/1 emerged.  Richard Hannon has saddled two the four winners thus far.

Nursery event scheduled for 5.00: Six of the eleven market leaders have reached the frame (four winners) thus far.  Five of the last six winners (and six of then last eight) carried a maximum burden of nine stones.

Class 3 all aged handicap contested over a twelve furlongs scheduled for 5.35.  Eight winners (during the last eleven year) of the final event of the three-day July meeting have carried weights of 9-6 or more, whilst successful favourites have only been conspicuous by their absence.

 

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 48

Favourite stats: 9 (18.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:

4/19--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1)

4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)

4/51--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**)

3/7--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2)

2/2--Paul Cole (11/1 & 16/1)

37/48 winners (77.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4)

4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1)

3--John Gosden (4/1-3/1-5/2)

3--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1)

 

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 48

Favourite stats: 17 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Chester in 2013:

5/33--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2)

4/28--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2)

3/10--Charlie Hills (12/1-9/4-4/1)

3/18--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**)

2/2--Luca Cumani (10/3* & 11/8)

47/48 winners (97.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs)

4--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4)

2--Marco Botti (6/4 & 9/4)

2--Brain Ellison (3/1 & 5/2**)

2--Richard Hannon (2/1 & 3/1)

2--Aidan O'Brien (7/2** & 6/5)

 

Hamilton:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 56

Favourite stats: 14 (25.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/7 (28.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hamilton in 2013:

8/39--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1)

6/14--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1)

6/20--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1)

5/15--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*)

51/56 (91.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2)

3--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4)

3--David O'Meara (7/4-11/4-10/3)

3--Alan Swinbank (11/8-7/4-11/4)

 

Salisbury:

SALISBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Salisbury: 49

Favourite stats: 17 (34.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Salisbury in 2013:

11/34--Richard Hannon (2/1**-1/3*-15/8*-5/2**-4/5*-5/6*-6/1-9/2-3/10*-3/1*-6/1)

3/3--Lady Cecil (6/4*-4/1-1/3*)

3/17--David Evans (8/1-33/1-12/1)

44/49 winners (89.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Hannon (6/4-9/4**-4/6-7/4)

3--Sir Michael Soute (2/1-Evs-1/2)

2--Ralph Beckett (4/1*** & 5/2**)

2--Henry Candy (4/1*** & 3/1)

2--Luca Cumani (9/4 & 2/1)

2--William Haggas (9/4 & 10/11)

2--Amanda Perrett (7/2 & 9/2)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/1 & 10/11)

 

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 42

Favourite stats: 13 (24.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

Leading trainers of winners at York in 2013:

4/5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*)

3/24--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1)

3/23--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2)

3/55--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1)

33/42 winners (78.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1)

2--Richard Hannon (8/13 & 6/4)

2--David O'Meara (7/2 & 3/1)

2--John Quinn (7/2 & 10/3)

 

SUNDAY 14/07:

Perth:

PERTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Perth: 56

Favourite stats: 14 (25.0%--includes joint and co favourites & Non-Runner)

Odds on ratio: 2/3

Leading trainers of winners at Perth in 2013:

9--Lucinda Russell (15/2-13/2-9/2**-13/2-3/1-7/1-3/1**-4/1-7/2)

4--Gordon Elliott (4/5*-4/1-20/1-2/1*)

3--Nick Alexander (12/1-22/1-10/1)

51/56 winners (91.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Lucinda Russell (7/2-3/1-5/2-5/4-9/4-7/2**)

5--Donald McCain (9/4-7/4-15/8-7/5-11/10)

4--Tom George (11/10-2/1-5/2-5/2)

3--Andrew Parker (3/1-5/2-9/4)

 

Stratford:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Stratford: 48

Favourite stats: 18 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Stratford in 2013:

6--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1)

3--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3)

45/48 winners (93.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Peter Bowen (15/8 & 7/4)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4** & 5/2)

2--Jamie Snowdon (3/1 & 10/3)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1** & 7/2)

 

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Southwell: 71

Favourite stats: 28 (39.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)

4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

3--Kim Bailey (5/2-Evs*-7/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2)

3--Giles Smyly (25/1-9/4*-11/2)

65/70 winners (92.8%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--Charlie Longsdon

 

MONDAY 15/07:

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Windsor: 100

Favourite stats: 45 (45.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

13/56--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1)

5/17--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1)

4/11--William Haggas (15/8*-1/2*-11/4*-6/1)

4/12--John Gosden (16/1-1/2*-11/4-5/6*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-5/2-6/4*)

3/8--Marco Botti (9/2-6/4*-5/2**)

3/12--Brian Meehan (17/2-4/1*-4/1)

3/12--Jeremy Noseda (4/1*-2/1-2/1*)

3/15--Dean Ivory (9/2-11/4*-5/2*)

3/16--Roger Charlton (11/4-2/1*-12/1)

3/19--Gary Moore (7/2*-5/4*-7/4*)

3/19--Hughie Morrison (14/1-2/13*-7/2*)

92/101 winners (90.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

11--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6)

3--Michael Bell (6/4-11/4-9/2)

3--Roger Charlton (6/4-5/4-8/13)

3--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4)

3--Hughie Morrison (6/4-3/1-7/2***)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4)

 

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 62

Favourite stats: 20 (32.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/9 (77.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newton Abbot in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*)

3--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1)

3--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1)

58/62 winners (93.5%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4)

4--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10)

4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Ted Durcan is not getting the number of rides he used to command but he is still a pilot to keep in mind when turning up at Dunstall Park as his 22% strike rate confirms in recent years.  Ted’s thirty six points of level stake profit (thirty-seven winners during the five-year study period) should ensure that you take the strike rate seriously.

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