Weekly Stat Pack: Cheltenham Open Meeting 2013 Special

Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack

Stat and facts from last year’s Paddy Power meeting at Cheltenham:

The Paddy Power Gold Cup is now (arguably) the third most popular meeting of the NH season, with the ‘Open’ fixture marking the true start of the winter season.

Last year’s Paddy Power Festival was dominated by David Pipe and Paul Nicholls who saddled four winners apiece, all eight gold medallists having been saddled on the first two days of the meeting.

David’ haul (14/1-7/1-11/4-7/4) was gained via twelve runners during the first two days of the meeting, whilst Paul’s (8/1-7/1-15/8-5/4*) gold medallists were among thirteen entries from the Ditcheat yard.  Paul saddled seven losers on the final day against five from David’s Pond House stable.

Although only three of the eighteen races were secured by market leaders, fourteen gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 8/1 or less, whilst all three favourites to be returned at 5/4 or less (including one odds on chance) obliged.

The three trainers to saddle the most favourites during the meeting each saddled a winner, the market leader stats recorded as 1/5 (Paul Nicholls), 1/4 (Philip Hobbs) and 1/3 (Nicky Henderson).  Only one of the twelve races on the first two days was secured by a market leader, albeit 10/12 gold medallists were returned at a top price of 8/1.

The non believers amongst you (as far as stats are concerned) should digest the fact that Paul Nicholls (six winners) and David Pipe (four winners) dominated the 2011 meeting as well, whilst Paul saddled five beaten favourites (the same number as last season) that year.

I rarely place much emphasis on sires in the NH division, certainly far less that racing on the level and this stance was confirmed last year at the big Cheltenham meeting as all eighteen races were won by horses from different sires.

Records for the Paddy Power meeting over the last five years:

Number of successful favourites during the last six years:

Friday: 10/36

Saturday: 7/36

Sunday: 9/35 (one abandoned race)

Total: 26/107 (24.3%)

 

Average toteplacepot dividends for the last six years:

Friday: £245.23

Saturday: £422.88

Sunday: £145.02

Average over the three days: £271.04

 

Paddy Power Gold Cup stats during the last six years:

Popular trainer’s records:

Nigel Twiston-Davies: 2 winners--two placed horses--six unplaced

Ferdy Murphy: 1-1-3 (no entry this year)

Eddie O’Grady: 1-0-1 (no entry this year)

David Pipe: 1-0-7

Nicky Henderson: 0-5-6

Alan King: 0-3-4

Paul Nicholls: 1-2-12

Philip Hobbs: 0-1-3

 

Record of favourites:

One winner--one placed--four unplaced

 

Record of first three in the betting:

Five winners--five placed--nine unplaced (two joint third favourites in 2007)

 

Vintage stats:

5YO: No winners--2 placed--seven unplaced

6YO: 0-4-13

7YO: 5-4-23

8YO: 1-2-21

9YO: 0-5-12

Older horses: 0-0-11

 

You will note below that the new A/W ‘season’ has kicked in whereby I now offer stats and facts about the four relevant venues during the winter.  Updates will appear daily when more than one meeting is staged at a venue within the a week.

 

This weeks daily updates:

Thursday: Kempton (A/W)

Friday: Lingfield (A/W)

Saturday: Cheltenham--Lingfield (A/W) and Wolverhampton

Sunday: Cheltenham

Monday: Wolverhampton

 

Day by day details this week: 

TUESDAY: 

Lingfield (NH): 

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 41

Favourite stats: 14 (34.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/14 (35.7%)

 

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:

3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)

2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)

2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)

2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)

2--Gary Moore (8/1 & 11/4)

2--Pat Phelan (7/2 & 4/7*)

 

33/41 winners (80.5%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

 

3.00: Six, seven and eight-year-olds had equally shared the six contests before last year when another eight-year-old scored, whilst five gold medallists have carried a minimum weight of 11-4. Three of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.

 

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 90

Favourite stats: 31 (34.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:

10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)

4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)

4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1)

3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)

3--Neil King (9/1-50/1-5/4*)

3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)

3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)

 

81/90 (90.0%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)

4--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)

3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 84

Favourite stats: 36 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

12--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*)

5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)

4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)

3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)

3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)

3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)

3--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2)

3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

 

78/84 winners (92.9%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)

6--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4)

6--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10)

4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)

 

WEDNESDAY: 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 67

Favourite stats: 30 (44.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:

8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)

5--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)

3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)

3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)

3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)

3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

 

64/67 winners (95.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8)

6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)

3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

2--Nicky Henderson (13/8 & 5/2)

 

Class 3 Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.50: Horses carrying 11-7 or more have won five of the seven renewals to date, whilst four of the nine favourites have finished in the frame to date, statistics which include two winners.

Class 4 seventeen furlong novice hurdle event due to be contested at 2.20: Four-year-olds have won six of the nine renewals thus far whilst eight of the nine favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six winners.

 

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:  

Number of races at Exeter: 73

Favourite stats: 24 (32.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/16 (56.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

7--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*)

5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)

5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)

4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)

3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)

3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)

3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

 

66/73 winners (90.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2)

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)

4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)

2--Vic Dartnell (11/10 & 6/5)

2--Alan King (9/4 twice)

2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)

2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)

2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

 

Class 4 twenty one furlong novice hurdle scheduled for 1.10: Favourites have secured two gold, two silver medals and one of the bronze variety via six contests.  Paul Nicholls trained the first two winners of this event (Paul held two options at the time of writing), whilst five-year-old’s come into the contest on a six timer.  Paul looks to be saddling Port Melon this time around, though it’s as well to note that his 1/3 favourite last year was unsaddled in the position reserved for the runner up.  Emma Lavelle’s only option this year is Mosspark, the trainer having won three successive contests before last year when Emma was not represented.  The fact that Emma has entered Mosspark should be noted, even if the Flemsfirth representative sidesteps this contest.

Seventeen furlong Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 2.40: Five and six-year-olds have secured six of the seven renewals to date, the younger brigade leading 4-2 to date.  Paul Nicholls has saddled two winners in the most recent renewals when the trainer was represented.  Paul held two options at the time of writing.

Class 5 nineteen furlong handicap chase due to be contested at 3.40: Only three of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (one winner) via nine renewals to date.  The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more, whilst seven-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

Mares novice hurdle event scheduled for 4.10: All four favourites had finished out with the washing before the last two market leaders snared gold and silver medals.  Six-year-old’s come into the contest on a five timer.

 

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 39

Favourite stats: 8 (20.5%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Kempton:

4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)

2/3--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)

2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)

2/4--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)

2/4--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)

2/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 5/1)

2/7--Charlie Appleby (11/10* & 4/5*)

2/11--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)

2/16--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Kempton during the period:

9--Mark Johnston (one beaten favourite)

7--Roger Varian (one beaten favourite)

6--Tony Carroll (one beaten favourite)

4--Andrew Balding (one beaten favourite)

4--William Haggas (two beaten favourites)

4--Jamie Osborne (one beaten favourite)

 

33/39 (84.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)

2--George Baker (15/8 & 11/4)

2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)

2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

 

Lingfield (A/W): 

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

THURSDAY: 

Kempton (A/W): 

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 39

Favourite stats: 8 (20.5%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Kempton:

4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)

2/3--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)

2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)

2/4--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)

2/4--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)

2/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 5/1)

2/7--Charlie Appleby (11/10* & 4/5*)

2/11--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)

2/16--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Kempton during the period:

9--Mark Johnston (one beaten favourite)

7--Roger Varian (one beaten favourite)

6--Tony Carroll (one beaten favourite)

4--Andrew Balding (one beaten favourite)

4--William Haggas (two beaten favourites)

4--Jamie Osborne (one beaten favourite)

 

33/39 (84.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)

2--George Baker (15/8 & 11/4)

2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)

2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

 

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 79

Favourite stats: 31 (39.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):

7--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*)

5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)

4--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*)

4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)

3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

 

74/80 winners (92.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)

7--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4)

5--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

 

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 8

Favourite stats: 2 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2 (50.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Southwell:

1/1--Eric Alston (10/1)

1/1--Violet M Jordan (4/1**)

1/2--Shaun Harris (8/1)

1/3--Michael Appleby (6/1)

1/4--Keith Dalgleish (6/1)

1/4--John Jenkins (14/1)

1/4--Alan McCabe (4/1)

1/6--Scott Dixon (4/5*)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Southwell during the period:

4--Bryan Smart

3--David Evans

2--Ron Harris (one beaten favourite)

2--Gay Kelleway (one beaten favourite)

2--Hughie Morrison (one beaten favourite)

 

7/8 (87.5%) of winneres returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Declan Carroll (11/4)

1--Keith Dalgleish (11/4)

1--John Davies (4/5)

1--Ron Harris (11/4)

1--John Jenkins (4/1**)

1--Gay Kelleway (15/8)

1--Hughie Morrison (5/4)

 

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013 

Number of races at Taunton: 47

Favourite stats: 24 (51.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*)

4--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1)

4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)

3--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*)

3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

2--Alexandra Dunn (5/1 & 9/1)

2--Colin Tizzard (7/2* & 9/4)

2--Miss Jane Western (4/1 & 9/1)

 

43/47 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, thirty six of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)

3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)

2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)

 

Class 3 novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.40: Paul Nicholls has saddled two of the last four winners in which he was represented in the race during the last five years and the Ditcheat based maestro only had his Singsspeil newcomer Irving engaged at the time of writing.  Three of the six favourites have prevailed thus far in a race which has produced a top priced winner of 5/1 thus far.  Five-year-olds lead the six-year-old 4-2 to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 4.10: Four and five-year-olds have won the last nine renewals with the 'juniors' leading 6-3 during the period.  Only two favourites have obliged via nine renewals since the turn of the Millennium.  That said, the last eight winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

 

FRIDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

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5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Amateur riders event scheduled to open the three day meeting at 1.05: The last eleven winners have carried weights of 11-4 or less, whilst just one favourite has scored via the last eight contests.  Swing Bill comes into the race on a hat trick, though the twelve-year-old was one of four David Pipe representatives earlier in the week.

Class 2 handicap chase over two miles scheduled for 1.35: Nicky Henderso’s only option in the race earlier in the week was Nadiya De La Vega, the trainer coming having secured three of the last four contests.  It should not be forgotten that the seven-year-old finished third in the Paddy Power Gold Cup twelve months ago.  Paul Nicholls was saddling his third winner in this contest during the last decade twelve months ago.  Valco De Touzaine was Paul’s only option on this occasion at the time of writing.

Six-year-olds have won the last seven renewals of the Steel Plate & Sections Novice chase which is schedule for 2.05.  ‘Team Pipe’ has secured six victories during the last eleven years, whilst five market leaders have prevailed during the study period.  I felt duty bound to retain the Pipe stats and facts for future reference, event though David has not declared an interest in the contest this time around.

Class 3 Intermediate handicap hurdle event which rightly honours the name of the legendary NH owner David Johnson (scheduled for 2.40): Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared fourteen of the fifteen renewals to date.  Four favourites have obliged to date, whilst eight of the seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  Seven of the last 13 winners were returned at 40/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-12/1-12/1-10/1.

Grade 2 two mile novice hurdle scheduled for 2.55: Four and five-year-olds have secured ten of the last eleven renewals (five-year-olds lead 6-4 during the period).  Three favourites have prevailed during the last decade with market leaders coming to this year’s gig on a hat trick.

Cross country event scheduled for 3.15: Enda Bolger has saddled five of the last nine winners of this event, though Uncle Junior comes to the party on a hat trick this year under the care of Willie Mullins.  Only one favourite has obliged via the last seven contests, albeit that six gold medallists scored at a top price of 5/1 during the period.  Only Philip Hobbs (2010) has scored on behalf of the English trainers during the last decade.

Two mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.40: Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals, whilst five contests have slipped by since a successful favourite was registered following five consecutive victories for market leaders between 2003 and 2007.

 

Lingfield (A/W): 

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 37

Favourite stats: 18 (48.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)

4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)

4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)

3--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1)

 

34/27 (91.9%) of the winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)

3--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2)

2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)

2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)

 

Two mile novice hurdle scheduled for 12.10: Four of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners).

Three mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.15: Five-year olds have secured four of the seven renewals to date.

Class 4 three mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.50:  Only one successful market leaders has emerged via seven contests thus far.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.25: Nicky Richards saddled the first two (of seven) winners of this event, whilst five-year-olds come to this year's party on a six timer.  Five of the last six favourites have finished out of the frame since the last 5/2 winning favourite was recorded back in 2007.

 

Wolverhampton: 

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

 

SATURDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Triumph Hurdle Trial scheduled for 12.40: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less during which time, five favourites have obliged.  Paul Nicholls comes into the contest on a four time with Art Mauresque as his only possible representative.

Three mile novice chase scheduled for 1.15: Nigel Twiston-Davies and David Pipe were both represented at the five day stage having each saddled two winners of the race within the last seven years.  Favourites have secured five of the last ten renewals, the last seven winners having scored at a top price of 4/1.

Twenty nine furlong Grade 3 handicap chase contest due to be contested at 1.50: Eight winners during the last eleven years carried a maximum burden of 10-10.

Paddy Power Gold Cup scheduled for 2.30(see above for additional stats and facts): Eight of the last ten winners carried weights of 11-2 or less, whilst four favourites have prevailed during the last twelve years.

Listed handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.00: The last twelve winners all carried weights of 11-2 or less.  David Pipe was winning the race on behalf of ‘Team Pipe’ for the third time during the last decade twelve months ago.  The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at 10/1, whilst favourites of one description or another have landed five of the last ten contests.

Twenty one furlong hurdle event scheduled for 3.35: Five-year-olds have ruled the roost having won the last seven renewals.  Four market leaders have obliged during the last decade during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1.

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH) 

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

Listed ‘Churchill Stakes’ scheduled for 2.35: Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick though that said, they were the only market leaders to prevail during the last decade.  Nine of the ten relevant gold medallists were returned in single figures.

Listed ‘Golden Rose’ scheduled for 3.10: Only one of the six favourites has prevailed thus far though to be fair, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at just 8/1.

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 139

Favourite stats: 44 (31.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

 

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

7--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*)

6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)

6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4)

6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)

6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

 

122/139 winners (87.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

15--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8)

8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)

5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)

4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)

4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

3--Jim Best (11/8-11/8-1/2)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

 

Wetherby: 

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 85

Favourite stats: 39 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:

7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)

6--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*)

5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)

4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)

3--Alan King (15/8*-4/6*-6/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4-3/1*-7/1)

3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

 

80/85 (94.1%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)

4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)

4--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**)

3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)

 

Wolverhampton (A/W):

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH) 

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

 

SUNDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 1.00: Nicky Henderson had saddled three consecutive winners of this contest directly before securing two placed horses during the last two years..  Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last eight contests, whilst favourites have obliged in three of the last seven renewals.

Grade 2 novice hurdle trail scheduled for 1.35: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 5-4 via the last nine renewals, whilst favourites come into the race on a four timer.

Grade 2 novice chase scheduled for 1.10: Paul Nicholls has saddled six of the last ten winners, statistics which include the last four winners of the race.

Greatwood Hurdle event scheduled for 3.15: Five-year-olds have won six times during the last twelve years, whilst Philip Hobbs has saddled three of the last eleven winners.

 

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 124

Favourite stats: 43 (34.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)

7--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1)

6--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*)

5--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1)

5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)

4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)

4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

 

115/124 winners (92.7%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)

6--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1)

5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)

5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)

4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)

4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)

3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)

3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)

3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

 

‘Southern National’ scheduled for 1.50: Eight of the nine contests have been won by horses returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders of one description or another.  Nine-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick having secured three of the last six renewals.

Salmon Spray Challenge Trophy scheduled for 2.25: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-0 or more.  Five of the last seven market leaders have prevailed, though the other two gold medallists were both returned at 20/1.  Five-year-olds have won three of the last seven contests.

 

MONDAY: 

Leicester: 

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 25

Favourite stats: 13 (52.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6

 

Trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:

4--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1)

3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)

2--John Ferguson (6/5* & 8/11*)

2--Richard Guest (5/1 & Evs*)

2--G.D. Hanmer (7/1 & 3/1)

2--David Pipe (10/11* & 15/8*)

 

23/25 winners (92.0%) were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

 

Plumpton: 

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 77

Favourite stats: 28 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/8 (87.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:

5--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2-7/2)

4--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1-7/2)

4--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*)

4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)

3--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1)

3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)

3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

 

67/77 winners (87.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)

3--Gary Moore (2/1-6/4-3/1)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)

3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

 

Wolverhampton (A/W): 

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

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