Well I Declare: 6th March 2013

Well I Declare: 12th to 17th February 2013

Well I Declare: 12th to 17th February 2013

Well I Declare: 12th to 17th February 2013

Since last Tuesday (including 5th February), 66 A/W races have been contested, of which 25 (37.9%) have been won by favourites of one kind or another.

The leading A/W trainers during the period read as follows (minimum of three winners):

8--David Evans (8/1-7/1-5/1-9/2**-10/3-3/1*-11/8*-11/10*)

4--Michael Appleby (8/1-4/1-11/4-4/5*)

3--Stuart Williams (6/1-5/1-7/2**)

Others of note:

2--Roy Bowring (11/1 & 5/1)

2--Anthony Carson (5/1 & 6/4*)

2--Chris Dwyer (8/1 & 4/1)

2--Shaun Harris (14/1 & 12/1)

2--Phil Hiatt (7/1 & 11/4)

2--Reg Hollinshead (9/1 & 11/4)

2--Mark Johnston (8/1 & 13/8**)

Recent statistics for the individual venues can be found in the day by day analysis section.

 

Leading NH Trainers in February (2013 totals in brackets):

12/35--Nicky Henderson (2013 in total: 23/83)

9/37--Paul Nicholls (18/85)

8/35--David Pipe (21/96)

7/28--Venetia Williams (22/91)

5/40--Jonjo O'Neill (13/119)

4/42--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/84)

4/22--Evan Williams (7/46)

3/7--Nick Alexander (5/26)

3/10--John Ferguson (7/22)

3/5--Harry Fry (6/11)

3/12--Oliver Sherwood (5/29)

3/25--Sue Smith (5/36)

2/7--Claire Dyson (2/17)

2/7--Kim Bailey (3/19)

2/11--Rebecca Curtis (6/29)

2/10--Henry Daly (6/27)

2/12--Warren Greatrex (4/30)

2/5--Lawney Hill (3/14)

2/25--Alan King (9/68)

2/11--Richard Lee (4/27)

2/22--Charlie Longsdon (4/58)

2/35--Donald McCain (13/103)

2/15--Colin Tizzard (6/48)

2/19--Tim Vaughan (6/59)

2/13--John Wade (4/33)

 

Trainers of winning favourites in February (two or more):

7--Nicky Henderson (7/12)

7--Paul Nicholls (7/13)

6--David Pipe (6/7)

5--Venetia Williams (5/8)

2--Rebecca Curtis (2/5)

2--John Ferguson (2/3)

2--Harry Fry (2/2)

2--Donald McCain (2/9)

2--Sue Smith (2/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (2/3)

2--John Wade (2/2)

2--Evan Williams (2/2)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites who have yet to saddle a successful market leader in February (two or more):

4--Philip Hobbs

3--Charlie Longsdon

3--Lucinda Russell

2--James Ewart

2--Tom George

2--Chris Grant

2--Martin Keighley

2--Tom Symonds

2--Nick Williams

 

Day by day analysis:

 

TUESDAY 12/02:

Ayr:

AYR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ayr: 21

Favourite stats: 9 (42.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Ayr in 2013 (two or more):

5--Lucinda Russell (7/2-5/6*-4/9*-5/4*-7/2)

4--D. McCain (5/4*-Evs*-8/15*-5/4*)

3--J.J. Lambe (16/1-4/1-8/1)

2--D. Whillans (11/4* & 13/2)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

3--D. McCain (11/8-13/8-9/4**)

2--D. Pipe (4/6 & 8/11)

 

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Lingfield: 27

Favourite stats: 9 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/10

 

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013 (two or more):

2--G. Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)

2--M. Channon (13/8 & 16/1)

2--Gary Moore (8/1 & 11/4)

2--P. Phelan (7/2 & 4/7*)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

3--N. Henderson (13/8--4/7--5/4)

2--T. Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

 

Southwell:

Stats from the last three A/W meetings at Southwell:

Number of races: 21

Successful market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 8 (38.1%)

20/21 winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of winners (Minimum of two):

4--Michael Appleby (8/1-4/1-11/4-4/5*)

2--John Butler (7/1 & 8/15*)

2--David Evans (7/1 & 5/1)

2--Roger Varian (1/12* & 1/2*)

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WEDNESDAY 13/02:

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 13

Favourite stats: 4 (30.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013 (two or more):

2--B. Ellison (7/1 & 5/1)

2--D Pipe (3/1* & 6/4*)

2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 9/4*)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

3--D. McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10)

 

Kempton:

Stats from the last four A/W (flat) meetings at Kempton:

Number of races: 30

Successful market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 8 (26.7%)

26/30 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of winners (minimum of two):

3--Marco Botti (7/2-9/4**-7/4)

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3--Ron Harris (12/1-9/1-6/1)

2--Charlie Hills (8/13* & 4/6*)

 

Lingfield:

Stats from the last four A/W meetings at Lingfield:

Number of races: 31

Successful market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 13 (41.9%)

29/31 winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

Trainers of winners (minimum of two):

3--David Evans (9/2**-11/4-11/10*)

3--Roger Ingram (7/1-9/2*-9/4)

3--Stuart Williams (6/1-5/1-7/2**)

2--Milton Bradley (7/1 & 7/2*)

 

Wednesday’s other meeting is Southwell (A/W)

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THURSDAY 14/02:

Fontwell:

Two and three-quarter mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.20: Three of the seven renewals during the last decade have been won by favourites, with five market leaders having secured toteplacepot positions.  All seven winners were aged between seven and nine, whilst five gold medallists carried a minimum burden of 10-13.

Two and a quarter-mile NH novice hurdle event due to be contested at 2.50:  The first six renewals slipped by without a successful market leader before the last (2011) favourite obliged at 4/7.  Nick Gifford has saddled two winners of the contest and the trainer was double-handed at the five-day stage.

Class 4 two and a quarter-mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.50: Eight-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals, whilst five of the seven winners in total carried weights of 11-1 or more to victory.

Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 3-2 in the closing Bumper event which is scheduled for 4.50.  Favourites have won three of the five contests whilst four gold medallists were returned at odds of 4/1 or less.

 

Kelso:

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Kelso: 7

Favourite stats: 1 (14.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

1--G. Bewley (8/1)

1--C. Grant (5/1)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--J. O'Shea (11/4

1--N. Richards (7/4)

1--T. Walford (8/11*)

1--J. Walton (10/1)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

2--D. McCain (Evs & 1/4)

 

Leicester:

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Leicester: 13

Favourite stats: 9 (69.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5

 

Trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013 (two or more):

3--T. George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*)

2--J. Ferguson (6/5* & 8/11*)

2--Venetia Williams (2/1* & 3/1*)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--M. Blake (2/1)

1--A. King (10/11)

1--D. Pipe (15/8)

1--O. Sherwood (9/4)

 

Two mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.00: Just one (joint) favourite has scored via seven renewals.  Five winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-6 thus far.

Two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.30: Two favourites have won via nine renewals during the last decade, with six-year-olds coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

Hunter chase event scheduled for 3.00: Four of the six renewals have seen secured by favourites whilst one of the other two gold medallist was returned at 3/1.  All six market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Novice chase (half a furlong short of three miles) contest scheduled for 4.00: Only two of the five market leaders (both winners of their respective events) have secured toteplacepot positions thus far via four renewals.

Class 5 handicap chase event scheduled for 4.30: We still await the first successful market leader following seven contests, whilst the last five winners have been burdened with a minimum weight of 11-3.  Five of the last six gold medallists scored at 25/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-11/1.

 

Thursday’s other meeting is Southwell (A/W)

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FRIDAY 15/02:

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 6

Favourite stats: 1 (16.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None

 

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:

1--P. Henderson (7/1)

1--Lawney Hill (2/1)

1--N. King (3/1)

1--Renee Robeson (11/2)

1--O. Sherwood (15/2)

1--T. Vaughan (6/5*)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

2--A. Hales (6/4 & 11/8)

 

Selling handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.10: Six renewals have passed by without a successful favourite being recorded, whilst 66/1 and 16/1 winners were recorded during the period.

Beginner’s Chase scheduled for 1.40: Three of the last five favourites have obliged, whilst the biggest priced winner to date via seven contests was returned at 7/1.

Two and a half mile novice hurdle race scheduled for 3.20: Five clear market leaders and one co favourite have won via eight contests, the biggest priced winners having scored at 5/1.  Five and six-year-olds have equally shared six of the eight contests to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 4.45: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won five of the last six renewals.

 

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 6

Favourite stats: 1 (16.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

 

Trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:

1--N. Henderson (7/4)

1--C. Mann (12/1)

1--Gary Moore (20/1)

1--J. Scott (7/2)

1--Evan Williams (Evs*)

1--Venetia Williams (5/1)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--N. Henderson (5/2)

1--Emma Lavelle (10/11)

1--P. Nicholls (1/3)

1--J. Scott (10/3)

1--N. Williams (11/4)

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.50: The last seven winners have carried weights of eleven stones or more.

Six of the last ten renewals of the ‘Royal Artillery’ (scheduled for 3.00) have been won by favourites during which time, eight gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 7/2.

Novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.25: Six-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests.

 

Wolverhampton:

Stats from the last four A/W meetings at Wolverhampton:

Number of races: 30

Successful market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 11 (36.7%)

25/30 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of winners (Minimum of two):

3--David Evans (8/1-10/3-3/1*)

2--Roy Bowring (11/1 & 5/1)

2--Reg Hollinshead (9/1 & 11/4)

2--Bill Turner (4/6* & 7/4)

 

Friday’s other meeting is at Lingfield:

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SATURDAY 16/02:

Ascot:

Grade 1 Betfair Chase (scheduled for 3.50): Market leaders have secured six of the last seven renewals.

Two mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 4.25: Nicky Henderson has saddled two of the three winners to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.00: Nicky Henderson has secured four of the last seven contests.

 

Haydock:

‘Victor Ludorum’ scheduled for 1.45: Favourites have secured the last six renewals of this Class 2 event.

Favourites had failed to land a blow in the Grand National trial since 2002 until last year’s 4/1 market leader obliged (scheduled for 2.50).

Six-year-olds have won the last five renewals of the ‘Albert Bartlett’ which is scheduled for 3.25.

Class 3 Novice handicap chase event scheduled for 4.05: Winning favourites are conspicuous by their absence via seven contests thus far.

 

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wincanton: 18

Favourite stats: 7 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

 

Trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (two or more):

3--T. George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*)

2--D. Pipe (5/6* & 10/1)

2--N. Twiston-Davies (11/4* & 12/1)

Trainers of beaten favourites (two or more):

3--P. Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1)

2--P. Hobbs (Evs & 11/10)

2--C. Tizzard (5/2** & 7/2**)

2--D. Pipe (7/2 & 7/2**)

 

Class 3, two and three-quarter mile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.30: Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more.

Grade 2 ‘Kingwell Hurdle’ scheduled for 3.35: Nine of the last ten winners have been returned at odds of 9/2 or less, stats which include five successful market leaders.

 

Saturday’s other meeting is Lingfield (A/W)

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SUNDAY 17/02:

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 7

Favourite stats: 0 (0.00%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

 

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

2--Rebecca Curtis (11/2 & 4/1)

2--Evan Williams (7/1 & 7/2)

1--Kim Bailey (4/1)

1--J.J. O'Neill (9/2)

1--D. Pipe (3/1)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Kim Bailey (5/6)

1--P. Bowen (11/4**)

1--Keiran Burke (7/2)

1--Rebecca Curtis (11/4)

1--Jackie Du Plessis (9/4)

1--Sue Gardner (7/2)

1--J.J. O'Neill (11/8)

1--M. Scudamore (11/4**)

 

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Market Rasen: 7

Favourite stats: 4 (57.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

 

Trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:

1--Alan Brown (20/1)

1--Mrs Edward Crow (20/1)

1--Henry Daly (4/1)

1--John Ferguson (1/2*)

1--Donal McCain (10/11*)

1--Tim Vaughan (7/4*)

1--Lucy Wadham (9/4**)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2** & 11/4)

1--Mick Channon (7/2**)

1--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**)

1--Mrs C. Robinson (11/8)

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5 replies
  1. Gary says:

    NOWHERE NEAR AS GOOD A SERVICE AS BEFORE ??????????????????????????????
    WHERE ARE THE ODD HORSE TIPS ??? NONE AT ALL THIS WEEK

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      This has never been a horse tipping service and it never will be. Rather it’s about providing pointers for punters to make up their own minds…

  2. Mal Boyle
    Mal Boyle says:

    Matt is right Gary as the aim was always to get readers to look at racing from a different perspective. Yesterday’s meeting at Catterick was the perfect example as the leading trainer this year at the track (Keith Reveley) saddled a 5/1 winner, whilst Donald McCain saddled two beaten favourites at 15/8 and 7/4, having now been responsible for five market leaders who have failed to win. I appreciate the service is different but then again, where else could you read that Venetia Williams has saddled five of her eight favourites to winning effect this month? I will attempt to keep everyone happy as always during the weeks and months to come. Thanks for reading the service to date.

  3. Allan says:

    An absolutely invaluable blog. If the AW iinformation re; winners starting at a particular price or below does not point you in the right direction then nothing will! My whole betting strategy revolves around SPs and I would ask of the possibilty of similar information being given in respect of NH meetings in the coming weeks. Would take me hours I cannot spare to collate the information Mal imparts.and I for one am very grateful for it. Many thanks.

  4. Mal Boyle
    Mal Boyle says:

    Cheers Allan, I’m obliged for your kind comments and have noted your request I hope readers sorted the wheat from the chaff and backed Linda Russell’s three winners at Ayr which equated to a 41/1 treble on Tuesday.

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