Well I Declare: 12th to 18th March 2013

Well I Declare: 12th to 18th March

Well I Declare: 12th to 18th March

Cheltenham Festival week witnesses the arrival of an additional day of coverage (next Monday) whereby the service will incorporate the whole week for here on in.

I should direct you towards a new bet which will be introduced by Tote Direct at Cheltenham on Tuesday, a wager which will be featured on all four days of the meeting, namely the SuperScoop6.

The really unusual feature of the wager is the build up to a “massive shootout” in November when clients who pick all six winners on any given day will qualify for the chance to win a monumental sum of money!

The bet will be available at all the Festival meetings throughout the year, though Tote Direct will not be offering the bet on a Saturday when the traditional form of the bet will remain in place.

Now onto the action, starting of course with...

TUESDAY 12/03 :

Cheltenham Day 1:

1.30--‘Supreme Novices‘:  Just three of the last nineteen favourites (seventeen year period) have won.  ‘First three in the betting’ trends are almost as disappointing as their last fifty-five representatives have secured eight victories and an additional fifteen places.  Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 7-6 during the study period.

2.05--‘Arkle’: Only seven of the last seventeen favourites have finished in the frame, stats which include just three successful favourites.  Overturn bids to become only the second nine-year-old to win this event since Sir Ken back in 1956.  The last nine-year-old winner was Danish Flight back in 1988.  Seven-year-olds (Simonsig is among their number this time around) have won seven of the last seventeen renewals via 41% of the total number of runners.

2.40--Grade 3 Handicap Chase over 3 miles:  Just one favourite has obliged via twenty-one representatives during the last seventeen years during which time, seven gold medallists have emerged via the front three horses in the betting.  Thirteen of the last fourteen winners carried 10-12 or less.

3.20--Champion Hurdle: Hurricane Fly bids to become the first horse to regain his crown since Comedy Of Errors back in 1975 whereby Zarkandar is preferred on this occasion, the Paul Nicholls raider having shown both speed and stamina in his make up to date.  Six and seven-year-olds have won twelve contests between them during the last seventeen years, notwithstanding an additional eighteen horses to have finished in the frame.  Hurricane Fly would be only the second nine-year-old winner in the last seventeen years, with only three of their twenty-three representatives having finished in the frame during the period.  Two five-year-olds line up but Katchit (2005) is the only junior representative to have won this event since See You Then won the first of his three successive victories back in 1985.  Home trained horses and Irish raiders have shared the last ten renewals between them.

4.00--Cross Country: The unique cross-country event was the first race to be added to the fixture in order to create a fourth day of the meeting back in 2005. The race has been won by an Irish trainer seven times, whilst favourites have won two of the eight contests to date (six of the other seven market leaders finished out of the frame).  Seven of the eight winners emerged from the front three in the betting.

4.40--‘David Nicholson Mares’: Quevega is fast becoming the queen of Prestbury Park and but for Big Buck’s hogging the limelight in recent years, the eight-year-old mare would have been the star of several shows, having won this race in each of the last four years.

5.15--Listed Novice Handicap Chase: Seven-year-olds have won six of the eight contests thus far during which time, two (132 & 9/2) favourites have prevailed.

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

2--S. Crawford (7/2* & 9/2)

2--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2 & 5/1)

2--William Kinsey (15/8* & 11/4)

1--P. Atkinson (9/1)

1--Rose Dobbin (16/1)

1--Mick Easterby (2/1)

1--James Ewart (7/4*)

1--Joanne Foster (3/1)

1--Steve Gollings (9/2)

1--Warren Greatrex (9/4*)

1--Ann Hamilton (8/1)

1--Phil Kirby (5/2*)

1--Donald McCain (4/6*)

1--M. Mullineaux (17/2)

1--Barry Murtagh (7/1)

1--Alan Swinbank (10/1)

1--John Wade (2/1*)

1--Tracy Waggott (25/1)

19/21 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2--Phil Kirby (5/2 & 11/10)

2--Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1--Brian Ellison (6/4)

1--John Ferguson (11/10)

1--Steve Gollings (5/2)

1--Richard Lee (6/5)

1--Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1--Alan Swinbank (13/8)

1--Tim Walford (11/4)

 

Southwell:

With Cheltenham dominating our thoughts this week, it would be as well to consider David Barron’s potential three runners at Southwell (his last representative won at 4/1 at the time of writing) where David boasts a 25% strike rate during the last five years, an impressive ratio which is backed up by ninety-two points of level stake profits.

 

Wolverhampton:

Considering he has ridden well over two hundred horses at Dunstall Park during the study period, Nicky Macksy’s LSP reading of twenty right points makes for impressive reading.

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WEDNESDAY 13/03:

Cheltenham Day 2:

1.30--4 mile NH Chase: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests whilst just three favourites have prevailed in the last eighteen years.  Horses in the first three in the betting have a poor record in the race.  Fifty four relevant horses have lined up during the study period producing six winners and ten place positions, leaving thirty-eight representatives finishing out with the washing.

2.05--2 mile 5 furlong Grade 1 ‘Baring Bingham (Neptune)’: Five and six-year-olds have secured sixteen of the last eighteen renewals of this event, securing an additional thirty-one toteplacepot positions for good measure.  Six-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick this time around having secured four of the last six renewals.  Six favourites have won during the period though the figure only extends to nine when taking the first three market leaders into account.

2.40--RSA Chase: Seven-year-olds rule supreme in the ‘Sun Alliance’ having won thirteen of the last eighteen contests.  Vintage representative has secured an additional sixteen toteplacepot positions down the years for good measure.  Only five favourites have won during the study period and just eight when extending the stats by taking the first three horses in the betting into account in the relevant races.  Irish runners have won three of the last four contests, whilst Willie Mullins has trained two winners and two placed horses during the last decade via fifteen representatives.

3.20--Queen Mother Champion Chase: Ten of the last thirteen winners of the ‘Queen Mother’ have emerged from the front three horses in the betting, whilst five favourites have won via the last eighteen renewals.  If you fancy taking Sprinter Scare on, it’s worth noting that nine-year-olds come into the contest on a four timer. To pour further fuel on the potential flames, Sprinter Sacre is attempting to become only the fourth seven-year-old winner since 1970, the last relevant gold medallist being Azertyuiop back in 2004.

4.00--Coral Cup: Ten of the last twelve winners of the Coral Cup have carried weights of eleven stones or less whilst just one favourite has scored since 1993.  Only four winners have emerged during the period from the front three horses in the market during the study period.  Five-year-olds have won three of the last seven renewals.

4.40--’Fred Winter’: Two favourites have won via just eight renewals, though readers should be aware that other gold medallists have prevailed at odds of 40/1-40/1-20/1-14/1-11/1-9/1.  Seven of the eight winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-4, whilst fillies have secured half of the contests thus far.

5.15--’Championship Bumper’: Five-year-olds have secured six renewals during the last decade.  The market used to be a decent guide but it is as well to digest the fact that seven renewals have slipped by since a favourite was successful, recent winners having scored at 40/1-33/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-11/2-9/2.  Willie Mullins has saddled seven of Ireland’s fourteen winners in race which only has twenty renewals to its name.

 

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 28

Favourite stats: 8 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5

 

Trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:

6--N. Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8)

2--Kim Bailey (8/1 & 7/1)

2--Henry Daly (10/1 & 9/1)

2--Paul Nicholls (4/5* & 4/9*)

2--Richard Phillips (8/1 & 16/1)

2--Oliver Sherwood (7/2 & 11/2)

1--David Arbuthnot (6/1)

1--Caroline Bailey (6/1)

1--Chris Down (25/1)

1--Warren Greatrex (5/1)

1--Diana Grissell (5/2*)

1--Martin Keighley (6/1)

1--Gary Moore (12/1)

1--John O'Neill (22/1)

1--A.E. Price (5/1)

1--T. Symonds (8/1)

1--Venetia Williams (9/2)

1--P. York (11/8*)

24/28 winners were sent off at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

1--Roger Curtis (9/2)

1--Vic Dartnall (9/2)

1--John Ferguson (4/5)

1--Tom George (13/8)

1--Lawney Hill (7/2)

1--Brendan Powell (9/2**)

1--Jeremy Scott (9/2**)

1--Oliver Sherwood (3/1**)

1--Pam Sly (7/2)

1--Colin Tizzard (4/1)

1--Bill Turner (13/8)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1**)

1--Lucy Wadham (4/1**)

1--Nick Williams (4/1**)

Three mile handicap chase scheduled to be contested at 2.55: Just one clear and one co favourite has scored via eight renewals.  Other gold medallists were sent off at 25/1--20/1--16/1--10/1--8/1--7/2.  Four of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.  It’s worth noting that the toteplacepot pools for the other meetings during Cheltenham Festival week also take a hike if you are interested in the wager.

Two mile five furlong handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.35: Six-year-olds have secured three of the five contests.

Three and a quarter-mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.15: Nine of the last ten winners carried a minimum burden of eleven stones, whilst the same number of gold medallists started at odds of 7/1 or less (two winning favourites).

Four-year-olds come into the closing bumper event (scheduled for 5.30) on a five timer.  Five favourites have scored during the last decade albeit, gold medallists have also prevailed at odds of 100/1 & 22/1.

 

Kempton:

Jockey John Fahy boasts an LSP figure of over sixty points at Kempton which should come as no great surprise to readers, given that 26% of John’s (119) winners during the last five years have been gained at this venue.

 

Southwell:

It would be typical of David Nicholls to saddle winners when the majority of punters were ‘looking the other way’ this week and his one hundred and sixty points of level stake profits at Southwell during the last five years merits plenty of consideration.

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THURSDAY 14/03:

Cheltenham Day 3:

1.30--’Jewson’ Novice Chase: An exceptionally ‘good NH judge’ expects a first-rate showing from Third Intention in this event, though as expressed on Sunday evening, ‘Joe’ was less than happy at the decision for Dynaste to contest this event rather than the RSA which had seemingly been the target not so long so.  Colin Tizzard’s raider should still reward each way investors with a decent run for their collective monies however.

2.05--‘Pertemps Final’: The last nine favourites have been beaten with just one market leader finishing in the frame.  Going back further in time, only one favourite has prevailed during the last sixteen years, whilst seven of the last nine gold medallists carried weights of 10-9 or less as have twenty-six of the thirty-six horses to have secured toteplacepot/each way positions during the period.  Only one five-year-old winner has been recorded in the last thirty-eight years.  Cape Tribulation was the third eight-year-old winner twelve months ago via the last six renewals.  David Pipe has saddled two of the last three winners, albeit Buena Vista won both events.

2.40--Ryanair Chase: Albertas Run has two gold and one silver medal to his name in this race though the ground (best on a sound surface) might have gone against him this time around.  Only two favourites have prevailed via eight contests though that said, seven of the winners scored at odds of 6/1 or less. Twenty four Irish raiders have tried and failed to win this contest.  Nicky Henderson (responsible for both successful favourites), Jonjo O’Neill and Paul Nicholls all have two winners to their name, the other successful trainers being David Pipe and Nigel Twiston-Davies.

3.20--World Hurdle: Eight favourites have won via the last eighteen contests during which time, thirteen gold medallists emerged from the front three horses in the betting.  The biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was returned at 8/1.  Get Me Out Of Here has finished runner-up in all three Cheltenham Festival assignments thus far.  Beaten a head in the ‘Supreme’ in 2010, GMOOH fell victim to a minimum margin defeat (nose) twelve months later (County Hurdle) before securing the silver medal again in the ultra competitive Coral Cup last year.  If any horses deserves to score at the Cheltenham Festival this year, Get Me Out Of Here is the beast!

4.00--Grade 3 Byrne Group Plate:  Last year’s successful market leader was only the second favourite to oblige during the last twenty-nine years.  Although eight-year-olds have ‘only’ won four of the last fourteen renewals, vintage representatives have secured twenty-three of the last forty-three available toteplacepot/each way positions.  Horses carrying a maximum burden of 10-10 have won eight of the last ten renewals.

4.40--’Kim Muir’ Chase: Nine-year-olds have won nine of the last fourteen contests whilst claiming twenty-one of the last available forty-eight toteplacepot/each way positions.  Twelve of the last fifteen renewals have been secured by horses carrying 10-13 or more, as have thirty-four of the last forty-seven available toteplacepot positions.  Ferdy Murphy’s Cheltenham record with his outsiders stands up almost as well as any other trainer, especially if you take the Nicky Henderson out of the equation.  Riguez Dancer could go well at rewarding odds, whilst other stable representatives this week to keep on a back burner include Going Wrong, De Boitron and Poker Di Sivola

 

Hexham:

Class 4 novice hurdle event due to be contested at 2.55: Three of the five market leaders have prevailed (5/6-5/6-10/11), the other market leaders having secured silver medals.  Six-year-olds have won three contests whilst all five winners carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.

Four mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: Just one favourite has obliged via the last ten renewals during which time, horses carrying weights of 11-2 or less have secured eight contests.

Three mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.15: Six of the last ten contests have been secured by market leaders, with seven-year-olds leading the eight-year-olds 5-3 during the period.  Five of the last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.55: The last eight winners have carried a maximum weight of eleven stones, whilst just one favourite has obliged during the last decade.

 

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 13

Favourite stats: 6 (46.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/4

 

Trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:

2--Philip Hobbs (4/5* & 8/13*)

2--David Pipe (7/4* & 1/2*)

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1--Kevin Bishop (11/2)

1--David Bridgwater (11/2)

1--Tony Carroll (9/1)

1--Claire Dyson (5/1)

1--Caroline Keevil (9/2)

1--Donald McCain (4/5*)

1--Jamie Snowdon (7/1)

1--Tim Vaughan (4/1)

1--Venetia Williams (3/1*)

All thirteen winners sent off at a top price of 9/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Kate Buckett (3/1)

1--Sarah Jane Davies (5/2)

1--Robin Duickin (9/4)

1--John Ferguson (15/8)

1--Sophie Leech (9/4)

1--Michael Roberts (11/4)

1--Richard Woolacott (11/4)

Two mile five furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.55: Six-year-olds have secured five of the seven contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2 (four successful market leaders).

Three mile handicap chase due to be contested at 2.30: Three clear and two joint favourites have prevailed via seven renewals.

Class 4 two-mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.25: Five-year-olds have won three of the last six contests, whilst four of the last five favourites secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one winner.

Closing conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 5.35: The last five winners have scored at 16/1--14/1--12/1--15/2--7/2 following the successful inaugural (5/4) market leader back in 2004.

 

Wolverhampton:

Gerard Butler’s only two entries this week at the time of writing were at this venue, where Gerard boasts fifty-two points of level stake profits via a 24% strike rate in recent years.

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FRIDAY 15/03:

Cheltenham Day 4:

1.30--Triumph Hurdle: Four of the last fourteen favourites have obliged which not a bad record considering the competitive nature of this opening event.  Nine market leaders finished in the frame during the study period.  Irish trainers have not lifted this prize since 2002, with Philip Hobbs (2/10), Paul Nicholls (2/14), Alan King (2/20) and Nicky Henderson (2/13) all having trained two winners during the study period.

2.05--County hurdle: Although backed up by only six placed representatives in the last thirteen contests, five-year-olds have won this competitive event no less than eight times during the period.  Forty of the last fifty winners hailed from the five and six-year-old vintages which should sway you towards younger horses in the contest.  Horses carrying a maximum weight of 11-1 have won eleven of the last fourteen renewals.

2.40--’Albert Bartlett’: Favourites have won three of the eight renewals whilst market leaders have secured seven toteplacepot positions.  Six-year-olds lead the seven-year-olds 4-3 to date.  Previous course winners account for half of the winners to date whilst the fill scoreboard reads: Britain: 5--Ireland: 2--France: 1.

3.20--Cheltenham Gold Cup: Six of the last ten market leaders have won the ‘Blue Riband’ with Kauto Star being a beaten favourite on two occasions.  Eight of the ten favourites finished in the frame.  Bobs Worth has won all six of his races when racing left-handed thus far, whilst his record at Cheltenham is 4/4.  The last Cheltenham Gold Cup winner to only have one outing during the season before the big race was Garrison Savannah back in 1991 who like Bobs Worth, had won the RSA Chase the previous season.  At the odds on offer at the time of writing (3/1), Bob’s Worth rates as my bet of the week.  Only the progressive Silviniaco Conti emerges as a danger from my viewpoint.

4.00--Foxhunters Chase: Three market leaders have won via the last fourteen contests, the figure increasing to seven during the period when taking the first three horses in the betting into account.  Four of the last seven winners have scored at 33/1 (twice) and 20/1 (twice).

4.40--’Martin Pipe’ Conditional: Two of the four favourites have finished in the money to date (one winner).  David Pipe has saddled two beaten favourites in the race which he is desperate to win for obvious reasons.

5.15--’Grand Annual’: Every winner during the last eleven years carried a maximum burden of 10-13, whilst eight gold medallists carried 10-7 or less.  Novices have a great record in the ‘Johnny Henderson’, whilst horses with decent each way form leading up to the race can be expected to figure prominently.  Eight renewals have slipped by since a favourite obliged, whilst Nicky Henderson’s runners always demand respect in a race run in honour of his late father.  Nicky’s novice Tetlami would be my each way selection if the trainer chooses this race for his seven-year-old.

 

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 13

Favourite stats: 4 (30.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

 

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:

1--Mick Channon (10/11*)

1--Sean Curran (11/1)

1--Nicky Henderson (2/5*)

1--Paul Henderson (7/1)

1--Alan Hill (9/4*)

1--Lawney Hill (2/1)

1--Neil King (3/1)

1--Anabel K. Murphy (3/1)

1--David Pipe (10/1)

1--Renee Robeson (11/2)

1--Oliver Sherwood (15/2)

1--Tim Vaughan (6/5*)

1--Lucy Wadham (9/1)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Alex Hales (6/4 & 11/8)

1--Mick Channon (2/1)

1--Ed Dunlop (2/1**)

1--John Ferguson (2/1**)

1--Polly Gundry (15/8)

1--Renee Robeson (11/8)

1--Oliver Sherwood (10/3)

1--David Thompson (11/10)

1--Venetia Williams (7/4)

Class 3 handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.35 over the minimum trip: Six-year-olds have won four of the last six (and six of the last eleven) contests.  Four favourites have obliged in the last ten years.

Foxhunters event due to be contested at 4.15: Five favourites have prevailed via the last ten contests, nine winners of which started at 9/2 or less.  Nine-year-olds have secured three of the last five renewals.

Closing conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 4.55: The biggest priced winner in this event via the last ten contests before last year’s 33/1 shocker was returned at just 4/1, statistics which included four successful market leaders during the last six years.  Four-year-olds have won five of the last ten renewals.

 

Lingfield:

The next potential William Jarvis runner is Laudation on this card, the trainer having saddled two gold and one silver medallist via his last three representatives.  Williams boasts an LSP reading of twenty-four points at Lingfield via an 18% strike rate during the last five years.

 

Wolverhampton:

John Gosden held a couple of entries at Wolverhampton this week at the time of writing, with the trainer offering a 27% ratio in recent times.

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SATURDAY 16/03:

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 14

Favourite stats: 3 (21.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/3

 

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

3--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1)

2--Evan Williams (7/1 & 7/2)

1--Kim Bailey (4/1)

1--S.L. Bevan (5/1)

1--Tom George (3/1**)

1--Nicky Henderson (4/9*)

1--B. Llewellyn (66/1)

1--Neil Mullholland (3/1**)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2)

1--David Pipe (3/1)

1--Nick Williams (4/1)

12/14 winners were sent off at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Kim Bailey (5/6)

1--Michael Blake (9/4)

1--Peter Bowen (11/4**)

1--Keiran Burke (7/2)

1--Rebecca Curtis (11/4)

1--Jackie Du Plessis (9/4)

1--David Evans (3/1**)

1--John Flint (5/4)

1--Sue Gardner (7/2)

1--Debra Hamer (3/1**)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8)

1--Charlie Longsdon (5/4)

1--Paul Nicholls (4/6*)

1--Michael Scudamore (11/4**)

 

Kempton:

Latest stats from the ‘ton up riders club’ at Kempton during the last five years: Jim Crowley: 127/863--Luke Morris: 119/966--Adam Kirby: 107/732

 

Lingfield:

Joe Fanning remains the jockey to keep an eye on when riding down south at Lingfield, Joe having ridden seventy-eight winners which have amassed the same number of points regarding Joe’s level stake profits at the venue in recent times.

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 7

Favourite stats: 3 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None to date

 

Trainers of winners at Uttoxeter in 2013:

1--Dai Burchell (16/1)

1--Tony Carroll (12/1)

1--Rebecca Curtis (Evs*)

1--Linda Siddall (16/1)

1--Harry Whittington (Evs*)

1--Evan Williams (15/8*)

1--Nick Williams (11/4)

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Kim Bailey (5/2)

1--Henry Day (4/1)

1--Anthony Middleton (7/2)

1--Tom Symonds (5/4)

Nine of the last ten winners of the Midlands Grand National (scheduled to be contested at 3.20) have carried weights of 10-9 or less.  Just one favourite has prevailed during the study period.

Three mile novice handicap chase scheduled for 3.55: Seven-year-olds lead the eight-year-olds 5-3 via the last ten contests.  Seven renewals have slipped by since a winning favourite was registered.

 

Wolverhampton:

Favourites in non handicap events at Dunstall Park accounted for 43% of victories in non handicap events during the last five years, the ratio dropping to just 31% in races in which the handicapper had written the terms and conditions of the relevant races.

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SUNDAY 17/03:

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 12

Favourite stats: 3 (25.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

 

Trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:

1--Neil Alexander (9/2)

1--Maurice Barnes (12/1)

1--Tony Coyle (13/2)

1--Brian Ellison (11/4)

1--Chris Grant (5/2)

1--Philip Kirby (22/1)

1--Barry Murtagh (11/2)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2)

1--Dianne Sayer (16/1)

1--Nicky Richards (1/8*)

1--Tim Vaughan (8/11*)

1--Venetia Williams (15/8*)

9/12 winners scored at odds of 13/2 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4)

1--George Charlton (3/1**)

1--Chris Grant (4/1***)

1--Tom Gretton (7/2)

1--Malcolm Jefferson (9/4)

1--Charlie Longsdon (Evs)

1--Donald McCain (4/9)

1--Noel Kelly (4/9)

1--John Norton (4/1***)

1--Sue Smith (4/1***)

Lucinda Russell took the training honours at last year’s corresponding meeting when securing a 13/2 double (2/1* & 6/4).  Other winners on the day were saddled by George Bewley (11/10*), Brian Ellison (7/2*), Venetia Williams (4/5*) and Mark Hughes (Evens*).  The bookmakers went home with their collective tails between their legs!

 

Lingfield (No corresponding meeting on this day last year):

Favourites boast a 48% record in three-year-old non handicap races at Lingfield during the last five years.

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MONDAY 18/03:

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Southwell: 14

Favourite stats: 5 (35.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/3

 

Trainers of winners at Southwell in 2013:

2--Keith Reveley (3/1 & 11/8*)

1--Caroline Bailey (13/8*)

1--Jennie Candlish (9/2)

1--Robin Dickin (12/1)

1--P.W. Flynn (6/1)

1--Tom George (15/8**)

1--Ed De Giles (7/1)

1--Steve Gollings (1/2*)

1--Warren Greatrex (7/2)

1--Paul Nicholls (5/4*)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2)

1--David Pipe (4/1)

1--Peter Pritchard (12/1)

12/14 winners to date were returned at odds of 7/1 or less, the other gold medallists being sent off at 12/1.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Tony Caroll (4/1 & 5/1**)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8 & 9/4)

1--Warren Greatrex (6/5)

1--Alan King (5/1**)

1--Graeme McPherson (4/6)

1--Oliver Sherwood (4/5)

1--Mike Sowersby (7/2)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (11/4)

1--Lucy Wadham (15/8**)

All seven favourites finished in the frame (exact science) at last year’s corresponding fixture when the biggest priced winner was returned at 7/1 (three successful favourites on the card at 6/4-11/8-5/4).

 

Lingfield (No corresponding meeting on this day last year):

Market leaders boast a 34% strike rate in three-year-old handicap events at Lingfield in recent times, four ‘spots’ better than equivalent events for older horses at the venue.

 

Kempton:

Although no successful market leaders were recorded, a top priced winner of 11/1 emerged during last year’s relevant meeting.  Successful trainers: Phil McEntee (9/1), Peter Chapple-Hyam (4/1), Peter Hiatt (11/1), Kevin Morgan (3/1), Tom Keddy (13/2), Chris Gordon (11/1) and John Weymes (10/1).

Beaten favourites on the card were saddled by Andrew Balding (9/4 & 11/8), John Best (5/4), Willie Musson (15/8), Mark Johnston (4/1), Robin Dickin (11/4) and Julia Fielden (11/4).

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