Well I Declare: 6th March 2013

Well I Declare: 19th to 24th February 2013

Well I Declare: 19th to 24th February 2013

Well I Declare: 19th to 24th February 2013

I have concentrated on the last seven days under both codes for the opening sector this week.  The build up to the Cheltenham Festival invariably produces good returns on the NH front for punters, albeit some of the classy horses on parade means that odds are cramped.

There are just twenty one days to go before the highlight of the year for the majority of readers I guess….have a great week!

NH Sector during the last seven days:

Number of races: 91

Number of winning market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 40 (43.9%)

Odds on ratio: 13/23 (56.5%)

 

Leading trainers during the study period (three or more winners):

6/17 Paul Nicholls (17/2-3/1-7/4*-8/13*-8/13*-1/3*)--Favourite ratio: 4/7

6/27 Donald McCain (9/1-6/1-5/2-9/4**-15/8*-1/5*)--Favourite ratio: 3/6

4/13 Nicky Henderson (9/4*-11/10*-4/9*-2/5*)--Favourite ratio: 4/6

4/18 Lucinda Russell (6/1-5/1-2/1*-11/8**)--Favourite ratio: 2/3

3/4 Tom George (3/1**-15/8**-11/10*) --Favourite ratio: 3/3

3/9 Colin Tizzard (2/1-11/4**-15/8*)--Favourite ratio: 2/3

3/10 Philip Hobbs (6/4*-11/10*-4/6*)--Favourite ratio: 3/3

3/17 David Pipe (10/1-4/1-4/6*)--Favourite ratio: 1/7

Others to note:

2/4 Tim Easterby (10/11* & 4/6*)--Favourite ratio: 2/3

2/5 Keith Reveley (3/1 & 11/8*)--Favourite ratio: 1/2

2/5 Gary Moore (9/2* & 11/4*)--Favourite ratio: 2/3 (+ 1/5 A/W stats)

2/6 Nicky Richards (3/1 & 5/2)--No returned favourites

2/7 Phil Kirby (22/1 & 5/1)--No returned favourites

2/9 Brian Ellison (11/4 & 9/4)--Favourite ratio: 0/1

2/11 Jonjo O’Neill (11/2 & 9/4)--Favourite ratio: 0/2

Two of the last three horses saddled by Warren Greatrex have won (14/1 & 7/2)

Negative returns include:

0/12 Tim Vaughan (1 favourite)

1/18 Venetia Williams (Seven second placed horses + 1/5 favourite ratio)

Nick Alexander: Four beaten favourites during the study period

 

A/W Sector during the last seven days:

Number of races: 66

Number of winning market leaders (includes joint and co favourites): 28 (42.4%)

Winners that were returned at odds of 10/1 or less: 56 (84.8%)

Winners that were sent off at odds of 11/1 or more: 10 (15.2%)

 

Leading trainers during the study period (two or more winners):

3/7 David Simcock (16/1-9/4**-5/4*)--Favourite ratio: 2/3

3/7 Stuart Williams (4/1-3/1-5/4*)--Favourite ratio: 1/1

2/3 Richard Ford (4/1 twice)--No returned favourites

2/3 Bryan Smart (7/2** & 5/4*)--Favourite ratio: 2/2

2/7 John Bridger (9/4 & 4/6*)--Favourite ratio: 1/1

2/5 Dean Ivory (10/1 & 5/1)--No returned favourites

2/6 Marco Botti (7/2 & 5/2*)--Favourite ratio: 1/2

2/6 John Jenkins (16/1 & 7/1)--No returned favourites

2/9 Michael Appleby (9/1 & 10/11*)--Favourite ratio: 1/2

*I do not include ‘foreign results’ in this service, though it’s worth noting that David Simcock also saddled a 9/1 winner at Meydan via just two winners.*

 

Day by analysis:

TUESDAY 19/02:

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Taunton: 13

Favourite stats: 10 (76.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

 

Trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

3--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*)

3--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*)

1--Kevin Bishop (6/1)

1--Chris Down (3/1*)

1--Alexandra Dunn (5/1)

1--David Pipe (2/1*)

1--Colin Tizzard (7/2*)

1--Paul Webber (4/9*)

1--Evan Williams (10/1)

All thirteen winners returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, twelve of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Philip Hobbs (15/8)

1--Dr Richard Newland (6/4)

1--Tom Symonds (2/1)

2.00: Four-year-olds have won three of the four renewals to date.  Paul Nicholls saddled the first three winners of this event before last year’s stable contender secured the bronze medal.  Paul saddles four-year-old Kauto D’Aloes on this occasion.  The four market leaders thus far have secured three gold and one silver medal, one of the winners having dead heated for first place (last year).

2.30: Five and seven-year-olds have secured half of the 12 available toteplacepot positions between them in this event, statistics which include all four (28/1-10/1-15/2-9/2) winners.

All four favourites have finished out with the washing to date.

 

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wetherby: 7

Favourite stats: 3 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: None to date

 

Trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:

2--Donald McCain (5/2 & 13/8*)

1--Tim Easterby (3/1)

1--Dr R. Newland (6/4*)

1--Richard Phillips (9/4*)

1--Lynn Siddall (100/1)

1--Sue Smith (5/1)

6/7 winners sent off at 5/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Martin Keighley (2/1)

1--Donald McCain (3/1**)

1--David Pipe (11/8)

1--Renee Robeson (3/1**)

1--Sue Smith (9/4)

 

Southwell:

General stats: Joe Fanning continues to rule the waves around this circuit, having ridden seventy five winners via a 22% strike rate during the last five years.

 

WEDNESDAY 20/02:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/4

 

Trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:

2--John Ferguson (11/2 & 10/11*)

2--Nicky Henderson (4/11* & 11/4**)

2--Keith Reveley (20/1 & 7/2)

2--Venetia Williams (5/2* & 6/1)

1--Henry Daly (11/2)

1--Claire Dyson (8/1)

1--Harry Fry (13/8)

1--Tom George (9/2)

1--Richard Guest (9/2)

1--Anthony Honeyball (1/4*)

1--Richard Lee (9/2)

1--Charlie Longsdon (16/1)

1--Donald McCain (4/9*)

1--Paul Nicholls (85/40)

1--John Quinn (14/1)

1--Sue Smith (4/1*)

1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (13/8)

18/21 winners sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Alan King (3/1-9/4-13/2)

2--Nicky Henderson (Evs & 11/10)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1 & 5/1)

2--Jeremy Scott (7/2 & 7/4)

1--Kim Bailey (3/1)

1--James Ewart (5/2)

1--Neil Mulholland (10/3)

1--Paul Nicholls (11/4**)

1--Sue Smith (6/4)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1)

 

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/4

 

Trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):

2--Nicky Henderson (4/5* & 7/2)

2--Richard Lee (4/1* & 10/3)

2--Paul Nicholls (11/2 & 7/4*)

2--Tom Symonds (2/1* & 17/2)

2--Venetia Williams (2/1* & 9/1)

1--Martin Bosley (3/1*)

1--Henry Daly (11/2)

1--Claire Dyson (9/2)

1--J. Groucott (7/1)

1--Philip Hobbs (7/1)

1--Alan King (8/1)

1--Neil Mulholland (25/1)

1--Dr Richard Newland (16/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2)

1--Hilary Parrott (7/4*)

1--David Pipe (6/4)

1--Evan Williams (17/2)

20/22 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Nicky Henderson (6/4--10/11--9/4)

3--Venetia Williams (11/4--15/8--11/8)

2--John Ferguson (5/4 & 2/7)

1--David Evans (11/4)

1--Philip Hobbs (7/4)

1--Paul Nicholls (5/2)

1--Ollie Pears (4/7)

1--Evan Williams (10/3)

1--Richard Woolacott (15/8)

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Nine of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (the last nine), statistics which include five winners.

Class 4 two mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.15: Seven-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals with five of the eight market leaders having finished in the frame to date, statistics which include one (4/6) winner.  Evan Williams held four options for the race which he has twice during the last three years.

Conditional jockey’s event due to be contested at 4.15: Eight-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals (14/1-7/1-11/2-3/1) whilst three of the seven market leaders have finished in the frame to date, statistics which include one (9/4) winner.

 

Kempton:

Looking at the A/W sector as a whole, the leading trainers in 2013 at the time of writing are as follows: David Evans (29), Marco Botti (13), with four trainers on the twelve winner mark, namely Stuart Williams, Ron Harris, David Simcock and David O’Meara.

 

Lingfield:

The leading jockeys in 2013 at present are Adam Kirby (36), Luke Morris (29), Joe Fanning (19), Robert Winston (19), Jim Crowley (19) and Andrea Atzeni (18).

 

THURSDAY 21/02:

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 14

Favourite stats: 5 (35.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

 

Trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:

3--N. Henderson (4/9*--4/7*--11/10*)

1--Kim Bailey (8/1)

1--Henry Daly (10/1)

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1--Diana Grissell (5/2*)

1--Martin Keighley (6/1)

1--Gary Moore (12/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (4/5*)

1--John O'Neill (22/1)

1--A.E. Price (5/1)

1--Oliver Sherwood (7/2)

1--T. Symonds (8/1)

1--Venetia Williams (9/2)

12/14 winners were sent off at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Venetia Williams (11/4 & 5/2)

1--Roger Curtis (9/2)

1--Tom George (13/8)

1--Philip Hobbs (5/2)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1)

1--Brendan Powell (9/2**)

1--Jeremy Scott (9/2**)

1--Colin Tizzard (4/1)

1--Lucy Wadham (4/1**)

1--Nick Williams (4/1**)

 

Class 3 novice chase event scheduled for 3.00: Favourites have won the last six renewals, whilst six-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests.  Nicky Henderson has secured three of the nine renewals during the last decade and the trainer only held Tetlami as an option at the time of writing.

Mares novice hurdle event scheduled for 4.00: Six-year-olds have won all four contests thus far.

Hunter chase event scheduled for 4.30: Just two favourites have obliged (7/4 & 10/11) via seven renewals though the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at just 13/2.

Two and a half mile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 5.00: We still await the first successful market leader following eight contests, whilst six-year-olds have landed five of the last seven renewals.

 

Ayr:

AYR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ayr: 28

Favourite stats: 14 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/8 (50.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Ayr in 2013:

8--Lucinda Russell (7/2-5/6*-4/9*-5/4*-7/2-11/8**-2/1*-5/1)

5--Donald McCain (5/4*-Evs*-8/15*-5/4*-9/4**)

3--J.J. Lambe (16/1-4/1-8/1)

2--Donald Whillans (11/4* & 13/2)

1--Nick Alexander (11/4)

1--Maurice Barnes (11/4)

1--S. Crawford (10/1)

1--Tim Easterby (4/6*)

1--James Ewart (11/10*)

1--Jim Goldie (12/1)

1--Phil Kirby (5/1)

1--Ferdy Murphy (16/1)

1--David Pipe (9/4**)

1--Dianne Sayer (3/1)

25/28 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Donald McCain (11/8**-13/8-9/4**)

3--David Pipe (4/6-8/11-11/8)

2--Nick Alexander (9/4** & 10/3)

1--Maurice Barnes (9/4**)

1--George Bewley (6/4)

1--S. Coltherd (9/4)

1--S. Crawford (10/11)

1--Rose Dobbin (9/4)

1--Ian Jardine (10/11*)

1--J.J. Lambe (9/2)

1--Alan Swinbank (9/4**)

1--A.C. Whillans (7/5)

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sedgefield: 7

Favourite stats: 3 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

1--P. Atkinson (9/1)

1--S. Crawford (7/2*)

1--Mick Easterby (2/1)

1--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2)

1--W. Kinsey (15/8*)

1--Donald McCain (4/6*)

1--Tracy Waggott (25/1)

1/7 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1--Brian Ellison (6/4)

1--Richard Lee (6/5)

 

Kempton:

The sheer number of competitive races at Kempton makes it difficult to home in on ‘trends’, though the combined strike rate/level stake profits of Michael Mullineaux make for reasonable reading at sixteen and twenty respectively.  Michael held two entries on this card at the time of writing.  Although Michael has only saddled four winners in 2013, his figures remain (albeit marginally) ‘in the black’.

 

FRIDAY 22/02:

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 13

Favourite stats: 5 (38.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/4

 

Trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:

3--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*)

1--Mrs F. J. Browne (2/1)

1--Vic Dartnell (14/1)

1--Philip Hobbs (11/10*)

1--Charlie Mann (12/1)

1--Gary Moore (20/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/4*)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4)

1--Jeremy Scott (7/2)

1--Evan Williams (Evs*)

1--Venetia Williams (5/1)

10/13 winners sent off at odds of 5/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Nicky Henderson (5/2 & 4/7)

1--Mrs Jenny Gordon (15/8)

1--Emma Lavelle (10/11)

1--Paul Nicholls (1/3)

1--Jeremy Scott (10/3)

1--Nick Williams (11/4)

1--Venetia Williams (5/6)

 

Conditional jockeys event scheduled for 1.45: The last four winners have scored at 25/1-14/1-12/1-8/1 whilst just two favourites have won via the last nine renewals.  Seven-year-olds have secured five of the nine contests during the study period.

Class 3 two mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.20: Although only two favourites have prevailed via the last nine renewals, the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at odds of 7/1.  Five of the last six winners carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Class 4 two mile novice hurdle scheduled for 2.55: Five-year-olds have secured six of the ten available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include three winners (10/1-17/2-2/1).  We still await the first successful favourite via four contests to date in which two market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Class 4 two and a half mile handicap hurdle qualifier scheduled for 4.00: Eight contests have slipped by since a winning favourite was recorded whilst five-year-olds have secured four of the last six renewals.  Gary Moore and Lucy Wadham both held entries at the five day stage having secured two renewals apiece during the last seven years.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.30: Only one of the six favourites (via four renewals) has secured a toteplacepot position (no winners).

The biggest priced winner of the closing bumper event (scheduled for 5.00) was returned at 13/2 via the last eight contests during which time, two favourites (11/4 & 7/4) have obliged. Paul Nicholls has saddled the last two renewals (when represented) with Marito Du Berlais being Paul’s only potential runner this time around.

 

Warwick:

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 15

Favourite stats: 5 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

 

Trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:

2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)

2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

1--Henry Daly (9/4*)

1--Warren Greatrex (12/1)

1--Alan King (Evs*)

1--Charlie Longsdon (12/1)

1--Pat Murphy (7/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/4)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1)

1--Colin Tizzard (14/1)

1--Venetia Williams (5/1)

12/15 gold medallists were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)

1--Andrew Balding (2/1)

1--Tom George (4/1)

1--Martin Keighley (7/2)

1--Emma Lavelle (6/5)

1--Charlie Longsdon (7/2)

1--Paul Nicholls (11/10)

1--David Pipe (10/3)

1--Venetia Williams (7/2)

Class 4 novice hurdle qualifying event scheduled for 2.00: Six of the last eight winners have scored at odds of 11/4 or less, stats which include three winning favourites.  Four six-year-olds have won during the study period and with 39% of the five day entries potentially representing the vintage, the ratio could be improved upon this time around.

Three mile novice chase event scheduled for 3.15: The biggest priced winner via four renewals to date was returned at 4/1, statistics which include two successful favourites at 6/4 and 11/8.

The last eight winners of this juvenile hurdle event (scheduled for 4.20) have scored at odds of 7/2 or less, stats which include four successful market leaders.

 

Lingfield:

Two of the last five runners saddled by Charlie Hills have won and his record at Lingfield suggests that further winners will come his way, sooner rather than later.  Charlie’s 24% strike rate at Lingfield is backed up by five points of level stake profits.

 

Wolverhampton:

Stuart Williams is enjoying a purple patch and no mistake and his 26% ratio makes for good reading at Dunstall Park during the last five years, especially when backed up by an LSP reading of twenty two points.

 

SATURDAY 23/02:

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 14

Favourite stats: 6 (42.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

1--Rebecca Curtis (7/2)

1--Vic Dartnell (9/2)

1--John Ferguson (10/3)

1--Mark Gillard (9/4*)

1--Martin Keighley (7/2)

1--Neil Mulholland (6/4*)

1--Seamus Mullins (28/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (10/11*)

1--David Pipe (5/1**)

1--Jeremy Scott (6/4**)

1--Michael Scudamore (10/1)

1--Mark Sheppard (6/4*)

1--Colin Tizzard (9/2)

1--Venetia Williams (7/1)

13/14 winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4)

2--Rebecca Curtis (11/8 & 11/4)

1--Philip Hobbs (6/4**)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**)

1--Fergal O'Brien (3/1**)

1--David Pipe (5/2)

1--Tim Vaughan (3/1**)

1--Venetia Williams (10/11*)

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 1.35: Six-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals whilst three favourites have obliged.  Five of the last six winners have scored at odds of 3/1 or less.

 

Kempton (NH):

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Kempton: 21

Favourite stats: 6 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/5

 

Trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:

6--Nicky Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1)

2--A. King (4/5* & 5/1)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2** & 9/1)

1--Noel Chance (6/1)

1--Zoe Davison (4/1)

1--Charlie Egerton (12/1)

1--Harry Fry (12/1)

1--Warren Greatrex (3/1)

1--Caroline Keevil (9/4*)

1--Gary Moore (10/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (7/1)

1--Jamie Poulton (11/2)

1--Paul Webber (9/1)

1--Evan Williams (7/2*)

19/21 winners scored at a top price of 10/1, the two gold medallists have been returned at 12/1

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1)

2--Alan King (4/1 & 11/10)

2--Donald McCain (5/4 & 9/4)

1--Ben Case (3/1)

1--Nicky Henderson (5/2**)

1--Susan Nock (4/1)

1--Martin Keighley (4/9)

1--Charlie Longsdon (2/1)

1--Jonjo O'Neill (5/6

1--Tim Vaughan (7/4**)

Cristal Bonus was the only Paul Nicholls representative declared at the penultimate entry stage last year and the horse went on to record a victory at 15/8, the trainer’s sixth winner of the ‘Pendil‘ (scheduled for 1.30 this year) in the last seven years.  Market leaders (of one description or another) have won five of the last six contests.

Grade 2 juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 2.05: Nicky Henderson leads Paul Nicholls 3-2 via the last six renewals, whilst eight of the last nine winners have been returned at odds of 9/2 or less, statistics which include five successful market leaders.

Class 3 two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.40: Seven-year-olds come to the gig on a four timer, whilst eight-year-olds had won three of the previous four renewals.  Horses carrying weights of 11-4 or more have won seven of the last nine contests, whilst favourites have secured six renewals during the last decade.

Grade 2 ‘Dovecote’ event scheduled for 3.15: Only two favourites have won via eight contests during the last decade, whilst three of the last four renewals were secured by four-year-olds. Alan King held three entries at the time of writing, given that the trainer has saddled three of the last seven winners.

Grade 3 three mile handicap chase event scheduled for 3.50: Only one of the last nine favourites has prevailed (4/1) though that said, the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at just 11/1 which in a competitive race like this, is a decent enough record.  Philip Hobbs held two entries for the race earlier in the week in a race in which the trainer boasts a fine (each way) record.

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 14

Favourite stats: 8 (57.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

3--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*)

2--Neil Alexander (1/2* & 7/2)

1--Tristram Davidson (7/1)

1--James Ewart (6/4*)

1--Joanne Foster (6/1)

1--Tom Gretton (9/2)

1--David Pipe (8/11*)

1--Keith Reveley (5/2)

1--Nicky Richards (6/4*)

1--Lucinda Russell (3/1)

1--Sharon Watt (Evs*)

All fourteen winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--James Ewart (2/1)

1--Chris Grant (7/2)

1--John Norton (11/4)

1--David O'Meara (13/8)

1--Martin Todhunter (9/4)

1--Donald Whillans (5/2)

‘Eider Chase’ scheduled for 2.55: The last eight gold medallists carried 11-0 or more in this marathon contest which is a rare statistic to offer over an extreme distance.

 

Lingfield:

Three of Jo Crowley’s four entries this week are at Lingfield where the trainer boasts a level stake profit of sixty four points in recent years.

 

SUNDAY 24/02:

Fontwell:

Two and three quarter mile novice chase scheduled for 2.40: Four of the five favourites have obliged but don’t take too much for granted as the market leader which ‘missed out’ was a Paul Nicholls representative which was sent off at 1/4!

Grade 2 ‘National Spirit Hurdle’ scheduled for 3.45: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more during which time, four favourites obliged.  The biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was an 8/1 chance, whilst David Pipe and Alan King have both saddled two ‘recent’ winners.

‘Foxhunters Trial’ scheduled for 4.20: Ten of the eleven winners were returned at 5/1 or less, statistics which include six winning favourites.

Four and five-year-olds have equally shared the last six renewals of the closing bumper event (scheduled for 5.20) during which time, two favourites (9/4 & 7/4) have prevailed.

 

Towcester:

TOWESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Towcester: 7

Favourite stats: 5 (71.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

 

Trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:

2--Philip Hobbs (4/5* & 8/13*)

1--Tony Carroll (9/1)

1--Donald McCain (4/5*)

1--David Pipe (7/4*)

1--Jamie Snowdon (7/1)

1--Venetia Williams (3/1*)

All seven winners sent off at a top price of 9/1

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