Well, I Declare! 20/06/12

Well I Declare, 20th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 20/06/12

Well, I Declare! 20/06/12

Good Morning: it's Day 2 of the Royal Ascot meeting, but there is life away from away from the Berkshire track. There's also action from Hamilton, Ripon, Kempton and Worcester on what promises to be another enthralling day of racing.



Royal Ascot:

Last year’s toteplacepot dividend on Wednesday: £393.10
Average toteplacepot dividend for Wednesday over the last 10 years: £699.02

2.30: Jersey Stakes: Seventeen of the last twenty four available toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses in single odds figures, despite that fact that favourites have a poor recent record in the contest.  The last ten favourites have all been beaten, though five of the relevant market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions.

3.05: Windsor Forest Stakes:  Four-year-olds have a good record in this event, boasting fourteen horses that have claimed toteplacepot positions from the twenty four available places to date, statistics which include six of the eight winners. Six of the ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions to date (two winners).

3.45: Prince Of Wales’s Stakes: Four and five-year-olds have won all twelve renewals since the turn of the Millennium in of one of the feature races of the entire week.  Four-year-olds come to the ‘Prince of Wales gig’ on a six-timer on this occasion. Five of the last fifteen favourites have won, whilst eleven market leaders have reached the frame in the process.

4.25: Royal Hunt Cup: Twelve of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less, whilst five of the last sixteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions (one winner--three years ago).

5.00: ‘Queen Mary’: Four clear favourites and two joint market leaders have won during the last 15 renewals, whilst twelve of the eighteen market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.

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Starting prices in the last six years:
11/2 or less: 5 winners—-7 placed—-10 unplaced
6/1 or more: 4 winners—-11 placed—-109 unplaced
22/1 or more: 1 winner-—3 placed-—61 unplaced

5.35: Sandringham Handicap: Ten of the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less, whilst two clear, one joint and one co favourite have obliged of late. Twelve of the nineteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.



General stats: Kevin Ryan upset the majority of punters in the first race on the card last year when saddling a 33/1 winner of the opening event.  Kevin redressed the situation when securing a 109/1 double at the meeting by firing in a 9/4 favourite in the fourth event.  Kevin saddled just two runners at the meeting this week.



General stats: Punters will be happy if there is a repeat prescription on the card this time around as last’s year’s corresponding meeting produced four winning favourites, the other two gold medallists having been sent off as 5/1 chances.



General stats: Punters looking for compensation for losses at the royal meeting earlier in the day (all six favourites were beaten at Ascot) were in trouble by the fifth race as the first four gold medallists had scored at 25/1-12/1-15/2-15/2.  Fortunately, two of the last three market leaders obliged at 5/2 and 5/2 with a third 15/2 chance scoring on the card in between the successful favourites. 



General stats: Racegoers at Worcester probably wondered why punters had bothered trying to search out winners at Royal Ascot, given that the ever reliable Paul Nicholls landed a 15/1 double at the NH venue via winners at 100/30 and 11/4.  Paul held six options at the four day stage this time around.

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