Well I Declare! 21/6/12

Well I Declare! 21st June 2012

Well I Declare! 21/6/12

Well I Declare! 21/6/12

It's Day 3 of Royal Ascot today, but there's also plenty of racing elsewhere from Ripon, Warwick, Ffos Las and Warwick. Unfortunately Leicester have had to postpone due to severe waterlogging.



Royal Ascot:

Last year’s toteplacepot dividend on Thursday: £209.20

Average toteplacepot dividend for Thursday over the last 10 years: £880.03

2.30: Norfolk Stakes: Nine of the sixteen favourites during the last fourteen years claimed toteplacepot positions (four winners).  Eight of the last eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (statistics include four winners and three market leaders which finished second).
‘First three in the betting’ in the last nine years: 7 winners—8 placed—12 unplaced
Starting prices in the last seven years:
4/1 or less: 6 winners—5 placed—6 unplaced
9/2 or more: 3 winners—13 placed—68 unplaced
25/1 or more: 1 runner in the frame (second)—33 unplaced

3.05: Ribblesdale Stakes: Just two clear winning favourites has been recorded since 1998, ’recent’ scorers having been recorded at 25/1—22/1—14/1—12/1—10/1.  Twelve of the seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

3.45: Ascot Gold Cup: Eight market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last fifteen years, statistics which include six successful favourites during the period. Aidan O’Brien has won five of the last six contests with an 8/1 representative having been beaten a neck in the year (2010) in which the trainer missed out.

4.25: Brittania Handicap: The last eight winners of the ‘Britannia’ have carried weights of 8-10 or more.  The record of favourites in this event is plenty good enough given the competitive nature of the contest on an annual basis. Three clear market leaders have prevailed in the last fifteen years, alongside a joint market leader back in 1999.  Six of the nineteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

5.00: Group 3 event--formerly the ‘Hampton Court’: Four favourites has won via twelve renewals, though the first market leader was withdrawn before a new market was able to be formed back in 2000. No other favourites have finished in the frame.

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5.35: King George V Handicap:  Mark Johnston has saddled the winner of three of the last ten with the trainer holding six options at the five-day stage. The last ten winners have carried weights of 8-13 or less, whilst ten of the eighteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last twelve years (three winners).



General stats: Ex champion jockey Kieren Fallon sent favourite backers home with smiles on their faces via a 6/1 double in the last two events on the card, albeit the last race winner was returned as a 2/1 joint market leader.



General stats: Ruth Carr saddled the last two winners on the card in 2011 via 13/2 and 3/1 gold medallists, stats which equate to a 25/1 double. Ruth held two options for the meeting earlier in the week.



General stats: The only successful market leader on an eight race card twelve months ago obliged at odds of 4/9 whereby favourite backers did not fair well at the meeting via level stake losses of 6.56 points.


Ffos Las:

General stats: Seven different winners in the trainer ranks on last year’s card, though Donal Fahy enjoyed a great day in the saddle by riding a 194/1 double.



General stats: The kingpins of NH racing both held entries at Fontwell on Thursday as Nicky Henderson (38% strike rate via fourteen winners during the last five years) and Paul Nicholls (35% via 31 gold medallists) potentially went head to head at the meeting at the time of writing.

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