Well, I Declare! 22/6/12

Well I Declare, 22nd June 2012

Well, I Declare! 22/6/12

Well, I Declare! 22/6/12

Today is Day 4 of the splendid Royal Ascot meeting and it has been very exciting so far. The ground has turned soft, so that will probably play more of a factor today in your bets. We've also got action from Ayr, Goodwood, Newmarket (July course), Market Rasen and Redcar on what promises to be a busy, if somewhat wet day of racing!

FRIDAY 22/06:

Royal Ascot:

Last year’s toteplacepot dividend on Friday: £2568.10

Average toteplacepot dividend for Friday over the last 10 years: £810.95

2.30: Albany Stakes: Seven favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions via ten renewals to date (two winners). Horses foaled in February or March have won the last nine renewals whilst claiming an additional eleven toteplacepot positions.
‘First three in the betting’ in the last nine years: 3 winners—-7 placed—-17 unplaced.

3.05: ‘King Edward VII’: The best race for favourite backers throughout the five days, with nine of the last fifteen market leaders having prevailed, with the biggest winning price recorded at 9/1 during the study period.  Three of the other six market leaders finished out of the frame.

3.45: Coronation Stakes: The biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was an 8/1 chance, during which time seven market leaders have won, albeit those figures include three joint favourites.  Ten of the last nineteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

4.25: Wolferton Handicap: Four-year-olds have won ten of the last twelve renewals of this Class 1 handicap contest whilst eleven of those winners carried weights of 9-5 or less during the study period. Six of the last seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful clear market leaders and one joint favourite.

5.00: Queen’s Vase: Eight of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five winners.  Fourteen of the last fifteen winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less. Mark Johnston (for those of you who like to keep records) has secured five of the last eleven renewals though the trainer was not represented at the five-day stage.

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5.35: Buckingham Palace Handicap: Seven of the ten winners to date have carried weights of 8-12 or less. We still await the first winning favourite following ten renewals. Horses have scored at 33/1--25/1--25/1--14/1--12/1--12/1--12/1--10/1--8/1--8/1, whilst just three market leaders have finished in the frame.



General stats: Jim Goldie saddled a 41/1 treble (winners at 7/2-3/1-11/8), whilst Brian Ellison won with gold medallists returned at 7/1 & 5/2 (27/1 double) twelve months ago.  Jim looks like he is going for gold this year as no less than sixteen inmates were included at the meeting at the four-day stage!



General stats: Clive Cox saddled the first two winners on last years card when securing a 20/1 double via winners at 7/1 and 11/8. Clive had four representatives potentially involved on Monday night when I last looked at the situation.


Newmarket (July):

General stats: The last two favourites bailed punters out of trouble on last year’s card, the first five winners having scored at 25/1-14/1-11/1-6/1-7/2.



General stats: Michael Dods snared the thick end of a 9/1 double via 7/2 & 6/5 winners at last year’s corresponding meeting. Michael held three options for Friday’s card at the time of writing.


Market Rasen:

General stats: Alan Swinbank is something of a dark horse at the Lincolnshire venue boasting nearly nine points of level stake profits during the last five years.  Alan’s strike rate stands at 34% via fourteen winners at the venue.

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