Well I Declare, 24th to 28th July

Well I Declare, 24th to 28th July

Well I Declare, 24th to 28th July

Well I Declare, 24th to 28th July

If you ever needed proof that racing is totally obsessed by money, the trainers listings these days should convince you of the fact.  In years gone by, trainers were listed by the number of winners they saddled, not by the amount of prize money their horses had accumulated during the season.

Punters should always have the number of winners at the top of their relevant tables, the latest of which (up to and including Monday) I offer below, given that Richard Hannon was the second handler to reach ‘three figures’ on Sunday.

Number of winners trained this season (Flat--40 or more):

111 Mark Johnston
102 Richard Hannon
72 Richard Fahey
67 John Gosden
59 Mick Channon
51 Kevin Ryan
50 Tim Easterby
44 David Evans
43 Andrew Balding
40 Richard Guest
40 William Haggas

Top ten in the NH sector:

31 Donald McCain
25 Tim Vaughan (subsequent 10/1 winner)
24 Jonjo O’Neill
23 Peter Bowen
18 Nicky Henderson
18 Evan Williams
16 Venetia Williams
15 Nigel Twiston-Davies
13 Paul Nicholls
13 David Pipe

Trainers in particularly good form in recent times include:

Marco Botti
Henry Candy
Anthony Carson
Tom Dascombe
Richard Fahey
Richard Hannon
Olivia Maylem
Dr Richard Newland
John Quinn
Sir Michael Stoute

Good luck with all your wagers this week…..



Ffos Las:

General stats: Brian Meehan has excelled since the track opening its doors a few years back, boasting a 35% strike rate in the heart of Wales.  Up and coming pilot Matthew Lawson has steered two of his five mounts into the area reserved for the winner at Ffos Las. 



General stats: Julie Camacho has produced eleven points of level stake profits via a 33% strike rate at Musselburgh.



General stats: Trainer George Baker boasts a strike rate of 28% at Yarmouth via a ratio of 11/40 during recent times.

2.20: Two of the last seven runners saddled by Linda Stubbs have won, whilst it’s worth noting that Linda has saddled three of her nine juvenile at Yarmouth in recent years to winning effect.  Linda saddles beaten juvenile favourite Gold Beau on this occasion.

Two of the three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions by winning their respective events.

3.20 & 3.50 (Two divisions this year): Three-year-olds come into the contest on a four-timer though four and five-year-olds had previously ruled the roost in this event which is confined to fillies.  The last six winners have carried weights of 8-12 or more which eliminates the bottom three horses if you take the stats seriously.  Five favourites have won via thirteen renewals, whilst nine of the thirteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Anthony Carson is mentioned in despatches and Consider Yourself (3.20) is one of just two entries for the trainer this week.

4.20:  Three of Henry Candy’s last five runners had won at the time of writing (40/1-4/1-9/4) whereby Picabo appears to be the horse to beat in the contest.

4.50: Four-year-olds have secured six of the nine available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include all three (10/1-7/1-7/1) winners.

5.50: Marco Botti held two options on the card at the time of writing, the trainer having saddled four of his last nine runners to winning effect, statistics which include three silver medallists during the period. Dropzone was his potential runner in this event, with Travelling due to contest the 3.20 event earlier on the card.



General stats: Dr Richard Newland has saddled three of his last seven winners to winning effect, statistics which include two silver medallists during the period! Richard has a potential runner on this card, with options at Uttoxeter on Thursday and here at Southwell again on Friday.  Lawney Hill and Nicky Henderson’s runners are always worth a second glance.

2.40: Lawney Hill has won with two of her last three runners with Bailey Storm being her only runner on the card today.  Lawney has more entries for another NH fixture at the track on Friday, having only saddled more winners at Fontwell and Worcester than she has managed here at Southwell during the last five years.



General stats: Nicky Henderson (15/57) and Fergal O’Brien (2/5) are two trainers at opposite ends of the winners’ market at Bangor to take into consideration.




General stats: Five pound claimer James Newman has ridden three of his nine mounts at Catterick to winning effect thus far.  Master Rooney (3.30) was his only ride on the card at the time of writing.  James has ridden sixteen of his twenty-six winners to date for Wednesday’s relevant trainer Bryan Smart.



General stats: Frankie Dettori (37% strike rate here at Leicester) rides Saytara for Saeed Bin Suroor (41% S/R) at the meeting, the trainer’s only runner on the card



General stats: Check out the Marco Botti statistics as listed in the 5.50 event at Yarmouth on Tuesday.  Marco held five options for Sandown’s two day meeting which starts today.

5.50: Four of the five market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far (two winners).

6.55: Richard Hannon has saddle three of the last eight winners of this juvenile event, last year’s raider having scored at 14/1.  Ten of the last fifteen favourites have won this contest, whilst thirteen market leaders have reach the frame during the study period.

7.30: The last thirteen winners of this three-year-old handicap have carried weights of 8-11 or more which eliminates three of the ten runners if you take the figures seriously.  Eight favourites have won during the last fourteen years, whilst ten market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

8.05: Three-year-olds have secured three of the last five renewals of this event.  Favourites have won four of the six renewals to date, with five of the eight market leaders having finished in the frame.

8.40: The last seven winners of the contest have carried weights of 8-11 or more, whilst five clear market leaders have won during the last fifteen years alongside two joint favourites.  Twelve of the nineteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.



General stats: Cyflymder (5.40) is the only raider on the card for David Griffiths on Wednesday where the trainer boasts a 28% strike rate, which is backed up by twelve points of level stake profits.  Mickael Barzalona has ridden five of his fifteen mounts on the Polytrack at Lingfield to winning effect.



General stats: Rachael Green boasts phenomenal 10/19 stats at Worcester which even Tony McCoy (27% strike rate) cannot match.  The 3/5 ratio of Kielan Woods in the saddle is not too bad either!




General stats: Marcus Tregoning is slowly getting his act together again and his 29% strike rate at Bath makes for good reading.  Sir Mark Prescott tends to have his horses (particularly three-year-olds) entered in so many races around the same time but if any land up here at the highest course in the land, Mark’s 37% ratio is worth plenty of attention. I live ten minutes from the track and can assure you things are drying out rapidly at the time of writing. 



General stats: David Lanagan held three options (via two horses) at Doncaster on Thursday and having saddled six of his thirteen runners on Town Moor to winning effect, Buzkashi and Tis Rock ‘N’ Roll (doubly engaged) are worth keeping on the right side if offered the green light. 


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General stats: Scott Dixon (3/5) and Mark Usher (2/5) both held options at the time of writing, whilst Sir Mark Prescott’s 40% ratio via ten winners makes for very impressive reading. 



General stats: Sir Michael Stoute’s 41% record (7/17) takes the beating at Folkestone, whilst Sir Mark Prescott (30%) and William Haggas (29%) also have positive records at Kent’s only racecourse.



General stats: Jeremy Noseda (32% strike rate) is the only trainer who can get near to Sir Mark Prescott (35%) of the trainers likely to have runners at Sandown on Thursday. 

Juvenile five furlong maiden event scheduled for 2.00: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (one winner), whilst Richard Hannon has won two of the four contests in which the trainer was represented.

Fourteen furlong 3YO handicap scheduled for 2.30. Five favourites have won during the last decade, whilst Andrew Balding has secured two gold, one silver and one bronze medal via the only four contests in which Andrew has been represented. Six clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last fifteen years.  Fourteen of the twenty market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

‘Star Stakes’ scheduled for 3.05: Luke Morris was already booked aboard Sir Mark Prescott’s only entry in the race Savanna La Mar on Monday, Mark having secured two of the last seven contests. Five clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed in the last fifteen years, whilst thirteen of the nineteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.

Class 4 ten furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 3.40: Three-year-olds have won four of the last five contests, whilst just one clear and one joint favourite have obliged during the last decade.

One mile Class 5 maiden for three and four-year-olds only scheduled for 4.15: Favourites have won five of the eight renewals thus far.



General stats: Gordon Elliott (4/7) and Paul Nicholls (6/14) lead the way at Uttoxeter.  Dr Richard Newland’s runners are in form as mentioned elsewhere in the column and the trainer boasts a decent 31% figure here, coincidently producing thirty-one points of level stake profits into the bargain.


FRIDAY 27/7:


General stats: Marco Botti’s name is well featured this week and it’s worth recalling his 59/1 double at this venue via the first two races on the card on Sunday, the only runners that Marco saddled that day. Marco had three horses entered up for this two-day fixture earlier in the week.

‘Valiant Stakes’ scheduled for 3.30: Three-year-olds have secured eight renewals during the last decade during which time, five favourites have prevailed.  Nine of the ten winners were sent off at 11/2 or less.

‘Brown Jack Stakes’ scheduled for 4.05: The last nine winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites.  Mark Johnston has saddled two winners during the study period with Mark holding three options at the time of writing.

Mark Johnston wins more than his fair share of these handicap events at Ascot and the trainer held five options earlier in the week for this all aged ten furlong event, which was scheduled to be contested at 4.40. Four-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals.

Class 4 five furlong handicap scheduled for 5.15: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 3-2 via the last five renewals, whilst just one successful favourite (last year) has been recorded during the last decade.  Six winners were returned at odds ranging between 10/1 and 66/1, with winners all recorded at 50/1 and 20/1.



General stats: Andrew Balding and Mark Johnston boast 28% strike rates here at Chepstow, figures which are only bettered when William Haggas (5/8) and Sir Mark Prescott (3/8) come a calling.



General stats: Nadeema Rose (5.35) was one of just two entries posted this week for trainer Anthony Carson who has saddled three of his last eight runners to winning effect, statistics which include two bronze medallists during the period for good measure. 



General stats: Saeed Bin Suroor (4/14) boasts a decent ratio, though nothing compared to Frankie Dettori’s 2/4 stat from the saddle.



General stats: Sean Levey’s 3/10 figures are worth attention, especially as the pilot offers an LSP reading of over twenty-eight points. John Hills (3/10), John Dunlop (10/35) and Ron Harris (4/15) are trainers worth inspection when represented on the Knavesmire though that said, John Dunlop’s figure is in decline following an awful season thus far (3/98 at the time of writing).



General stats: As well as the comments made on Tuesday for the NH sector at Southwell, Charlie Mann’s horses are worth consideration, given his 28% ratio during the last five years.  Charlie held two options on the card earlier in the week, hoping to build on his LSP figure of seventeen points. 




General stats: I mentioned last week that due to the competitive nature of sport at Ascot, trainers struggle to boast high percentage rates.  Paul D’Arcy’s 16% strike rate is better than most however, especially when coupled with twenty-three points of level stake profits.

Class 2 all aged twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 2.20: Five of the six winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones whilst just one (joint) favourite has prevailed thus far.

Juvenile Group 3 fillies event over six furlongs scheduled for 3.25: Five favourites have obliged during the last decade whilst nine of the ten winners were returned at odds of 11/2 or less.  Alan Jarvis has saddled two of the last nine winners and if Kieran Fallon is booked to ride his lone five-day entry Martinas Delight, the tip could be worth taking.  Kieran has ridden both of Alan’s winners of this race to date whilst the ex champion was aboard Martinas Delight when the Johannesburg filly was making her debut behind Maureen at Newbury last month.

All aged ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.55: Four-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals, whilst the last four winners carried 9-7 or more.  Mark Johnston has saddled the winner of two of the last seven contests, the trainer holding four entries at the penultimate stage this time around.



General stats: Kevin Ryan saddled 10/1 & 6/5 winners at the meeting last year, prices which equate to a 23/1 double. 



General stats: Pat Phelan (2/6) and Clifford Lines (2/5) are (respectfully)  ‘lesser known’ trainers to consider on the July course at Newmarket.



General stats: Richard Price (28% strike rate at Salisbury) held two options on the card for the amateur riders race at the meeting.  Richard averages fourteen winners a season during the last five years but is ten behind the pace at the time of writing, whereby the trainer will be thirsting for winners from here on in. 



General stats: Michael Easterby saddled a 67/1 double (16/1 & 3/1) on the card twelve months ago.



General stats: Alan Jarvis held two options on the card earlier in the week and given Alan’s figures (32% strike rate producing thirty-four points of level stake profits) at Lingfield, Elegant Flight and Navajo Charm would be worth keeping on the right side if offered the green light by the trainer.

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