Well, I Declare! 6th June 2012

Well I Declare, 6th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 6th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 6th June 2012

Hello everyone: there's racing today at Nottingham, Ripon, Cartmel, Fontwell and Kempton and here are Mal Boyle's notes to guide you through the action.




General stats: Five of the eight races on last year’s card were won by favourites, all eight winners having ranged in price between 8/15 and 15/2. 

2.00: Four of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners) via four renewals.

2.30: Both (7/2 & 5/6) favourites have won this contest to date.

3.05: Market leaders at 8/11 and 6/4 have won both renewals thus far.

3.40: All three favourites (8/15-2/1-9/4) have prevailed on a card which has proved costly for bookmakers in recent years.

4.15: Four and five-year-olds have won nine of the last 10 renewals of this event, with the junior raiders chalking up seven successes during the period.  Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled three of the last eight winners and the trainer saddles his six-year-old raider Invisible Man on this occasion.  With no four-year-olds in the line up this time around (and just one five-year-old), the Elusive Quality gelding might prevail.  I have included all the stats as I’m sure some of you will keep the information for future reference.  Favourites have won five of the last 10 contests, the biggest priced winner being recorded at just 7/1 during the study period.

4.45: Eight of the last nine winners have scored at odds of 6/1 or less, whilst the only two successful market leaders during the period having scored in two of the last three years.  The last six favourites have all secured toteplacepot positions.

5.15: We still await the first successful market leader following seven contests.  Nine of the last 10 winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more.  Six-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals during which time, all five winners carried a maximum burden of nine stones.

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General stats: One clear and one joint favourite won on last year’s six race card. 



General stats: The (Irish) Crawford yard saddled three winners on the Monday meeting at Cartmel last year and not having runners on either Saturday or Monday this time around, the stable was potentially represented by three runners on Wednesday.  Only one of the seven races at last year’s corresponding meeting was secured by a market leader. 



General stats: Four of the seven favourites prevailed, including the first three market leaders on the card to get favourite backers off to a flying start.  Although the biggest priced winner on the card was just an 8/1 chance, several fingers were burned in the relevant contest when the 1/5 favourite was beaten by eight lengths in the Conditional Jockey’s event at the meeting. 



General stats: Andrew Balding saddled a 89/1 double in successive races on the card twelve months ago.

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