Well I Declare: 25th March

Well I Declare: 6th March 2013

Well I Declare: 6th March 2013

Well I Declare: 6th March 2013

WEDNESDAY 06/03:

Catterick:

This is Catterick’s last NH meeting of the season, the next scheduled fixture being the first flat meeting of the year on 10th April.

CATTERICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Catterick: 26

Favourite stats: 10 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Trainers of winners at Catterick in 2013:

4--K. Reveley (Evs*-1/5*-2/5*-5/1)

3--Simon Shirley-Beavan (10/1-10/3-7/4)

2--Martin Keighley (11/4 & 15/8*)

2--Michael Smith (6/4* & 8/1)

1--Chris Bealby (11/2)

1--Mrs K. Burke (10/3)

1--S.R.B. Crawford (13/8*)

1--Brian Ellison (6/1)

1--John Ferguson (10/11*)

1--Joanne Foster (66/1)

1--Micky Hammond (11/2)

1--Phil Kirby (15/2)

1--Donald McCain (2/1)

1--David O'Meara (8/1)

1--Sue Smith (4/6*)

1--John Spearing (5/1)

1--John Wade (4/6*)

1--A.C. Whillans (15/2)

1--Venetia Williams (7/4*)

25/26 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

5--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/4-15/8-7/4)

2--Keith Reveley (6/4 & 11/4**)

2--Venetia Williams (9/2 & 1/2)

1--S. Crawford (11/4**)

1--Chris Grant (4/1**)

1--Micky Hammond (9/2)

1--Phil Kirby (4/1)

1--Andrew Parker (13/8)

1--John Quinn (1/6)

1--Martin Todhunter (4/9)

1--Tim Walford (4/1**)

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1--Evan Williams (11/10)

 

Selling hurdle event scheduled for 2.20: The last eleven winners have scored at odds of 5/1 or less, stats which include five successful favourites.  The last ten winners carried weights of 11-2 or less.

Class 4 Novice Hurdle event for mares at 3.20: Three of the four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two odds on winners.

Class 4 Handicap Chase for novices over an extended three miles, due to be contested at 2.50: Five favourites have won during the last decade, eight gold medallists having been returned at odds of 13/2 or less.

Class 4 nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.20: Two favourites have won during the last decade, with six winners scoring at odds ranging between 10/1 and 33/1.  Six of the last seven winners have carried weights of 11-4 or more.

Hunter Chase event scheduled for 4.50: Just one market leader has scored during the last eleven renewals which is a very unusual statistic in Hunter Chase events.  Just three of the last ten favourites have finished in the frame to add insult to injury for toteplacepot enthusiasts who include well fancied horses.

Bumper event due to be contested at 5.20: Four-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals of the scheduled finale with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a five-timer on this occasion.  Five favourites have obliged via seven renewals.

 

Fontwell (Note the toteplacepot information in the opening paragraphs this week):

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Fontwell: 7

Favourite stats: 1 (14.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

 

Trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

1--Miss Sally Duckett (11/10*)

1--Philip Hobbs (9/4)

1--Seamus Mullins (4/1)

1--Helen Nelmes (14/1)

1--Paul Nicholls (3/1)

1--David Pipe (7/4)

1--Evan Williams (10/1)

Five of the seven winners to date started at odds of 4/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Paul Nicholls (5/6 & 7/4)

1--Vic Dartnell (10/11)

1--Tom George (2/1)

1--Charlie Longsdon (11/8)

1--Oliver Sherwood (2/1)

 

Class 4 Novice Hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Six-year-olds have won five of the eight renewals to date, whilst snaring nine of the available nineteen toteplacepot positions.  All eight favourites have been beaten to date albeit the biggest priced winner of this event was returned at just 13/2 before last year‘s 33/1 gold medallist reared its ugly head.  Four of the eight market leaders finished in the frame thus far.

Two and a quarter mile handicap chase event scheduled for 2.40: Four of the seven market leaders have reached the frame whilst favourites have secured three of the last four contests, their only victories in the race.

Maiden hurdle due to be contested at 4.10: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners.

Three and a quarter mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.40: Eight-year-olds have secured four of the last six contests during which time, just one (11/8) favourite prevailed, albeit the biggest priced winner was a 9/1 chance.

 

Kempton:

Ron Harris (eighty points) and Jo Crowley (seventy nine) have produced terrific level stake profits at Kempton in recent years.  For the record, Richard Hannon has saddled one hundred and four winners during the study period, albeit his strike rate stands at 15% which is ordinary by Richard’s standards.  Level stake losses of sixty points emphasise my point.

 

Lingfield:

Jewelled (scheduled to contest the 4.30 event on the card) was only beaten a length at odds of 33/1 at Kempton last week and with trainer Lady Herries boasting decent stats here at Lingfield, the Fantastic Light mare might be worth another each way play.  The trainer has saddled three winners from thirteen runners here in recent times, earning Lady Herries black figures in the LSP sector.

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