Twin Star and David Probert win the ESL Group Handicap at Chester. 14/9/2018 Pic Steve Davies/Racingfotos.com

Winter Webinar #1: Setting Up To Succeed

On Wednesday evening, I went live (gulp) for the first of four webinars covering betting on horse racing, and doing it with Geegeez Gold.

In this initial broadcast, the general subject was 'setting up to succeed'. It's a subject that most losers overlook, and no winners overlook!

As one wag (I hope he was joking!) said in the comments, I've a face made for radio - and this is largely a 'talking head' production - but I think/hope there will be some useful takeaways.

Referenced were:

- The art of the possible
- Limitations: Time and Overwhelm
- Odds and the Market
- Discipline
- Staking and Value

Matt

p.s. beneath the video box is an image referred to in the staking section, which is useful when working out bank size.

 

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14 replies
  1. mrwjones
    mrwjones says:

    Cracking piece of work Matt.My betting got much more profitable when I restricted my possible ( serious ) bets to class 4 and above races with 12 runners or less.
    Still have a fun punt on the impossible handicaps but no longer spend serious time or money on them.
    Really appreciate the work and the obvious regard for your subscribers.

    Reply
    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Thanks a lot, Wayne, that’s very kind of you to say. And very well played on finding the right approach for you: knowing the races that fit our style of play is half the battle.

      Thanks again,
      Matt

      Reply
  2. mro
    mro says:

    Hi Matt,thanks for your input,i,m not a serious punter but i follow the NH more so than the level,trainer form/horse form/going are for me most important,backing horses which are consistently in the money even at 20/1 in handicaps are good hunting grounds for me. thankyou Mro.

    Reply
  3. johnleex90
    johnleex90 says:

    Hi matt discipline is so important sticking to a point system only raise your amount once your bank reaches a set target.
    trying to get to grips with pace , instant expert,etc, age not on my side rather slow using the computer but hey I will
    improve.
    cheers matt
    John

    Reply
    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi John

      Take your time with things and be patient with yourself.
      (Almost) nobody can learn a language in a day, and this is a kind of language – a dialect maybe, if you’re familiar with racing.
      You’ll pick it up with patience and persistence. Enjoy!

      Matt

      p.s. agree about the discipline, but for me, I have to allow myself some fun bets on the side, too 🙂

      Reply
  4. Dave
    Dave says:

    hi there seems to be no mention of jockey riding styles some jocks seem well balanced on a horse while most look like they are in a fairground.
    R Walsh is a good example of a well balanced jockey.

    Reply
    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Dave

      Data such as qualitative, perhaps even subjective, observations like jockey balance seem light years away from being collected.

      I have to say that, personally, jockeyship is quite low on my list of important attributes (certain scenarios excepted), but I also know plenty of good form judges who won’t back horses ridden by certain riders. Different strokes for different folks, and amen to that!

      Matt

      Reply
  5. Bubbles180
    Bubbles180 says:

    Hi Matt thanks for uploading the video as coukd not see it live, but watched this 2/3 times and then went back over some of the posts re Report Angles, IE, Pace & Draw and went through the best way to set u report angles and build an idea of the race, I know this may bite me later but have also added my own filters like 6 to 12 runner races and looking at the top 4 in the betting just to narrow down and specialize a bit more, but it worked today over the 4 meetings I had 20 Picks (which I know is a lot but is about normal for me) and they produced 10 winners at odds from 2/9 to 9/1 (can guess the short one) for a profit of +17.31 points and an ROI 86.55%
    Thanks for all your work and very much waiting on the other webinars to improve more

    Reply
    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Bubbles

      Great stuff, and very well played.

      Everyone takes the approach that works for them, so far be it from me to suggest how many bets or at what prices you – or anyone – should get involved!

      Obviously one day is just that, but it’s a very promising start. As an aside, I think it’s good for all of us – me included/especially – to hit the reset button from time to time and just re-confirm what we’re doing and why.

      Hope your good start continues, and thanks for checking in.

      Matt

      Reply
  6. chazzer66
    chazzer66 says:

    Many thanks Matt – a well timed review of some very important points. Especially as I am in the midst of a poor run at the moment!

    Reply
  7. shacks66
    shacks66 says:

    Hi Matt
    Excellent presentation and as always I end up revising some of my angles and adding new things into making my judgements using the data.
    Big thank you as well for Honeyballs stable tour , I have followed his hints and I am still questioning why I backed his first two winners in a double at Ascot Saturday and failed to put in Regal Encore for the treble. It underlines though the use of stable tours to add some weight to argument for your selections and has given me 7 winners following this one so far.

    Reply
  8. mchodgson
    mchodgson says:

    Hi
    I’m late catching up with this: Thanks for recording your words of wisdom.
    Recently I have started to review my approach and it’s reassuring to know that I’m taking the right track. Not yet quite sure what I’m specialising in but I’ve started the process of review.
    The main difference that I’ve adopted is keeping track. Probably 10 years ago I kept detailed records of every bet then I think because of volume my records startred to get missed and eventually abandoned. This was brought back to my one of my sons asking recently ‘How much have you won?’. : No Idea!!
    So know I am recording all bets again and after only a few weeks I have realised that a good chunk of what I was doing was the, as you call it, ‘Action Bet’. Now I’ve knocked those on the head and am focussing on the real meat (sorry vegans).
    I’ll be catching up with the next installment tomorrow. Thanks again.

    Reply

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