Wolverhampton Placepot Picks: 24th June 2013

Geegeez Placepot

Geegeez Placepot

We made it three in a row with 80p of the £844.90 dividend on Saturday, meaning a tidy return of £675.92 for those with deep enough pockets to entertain the ticket builder perm.

It's more mundane fare today and we head to Wolverhampton, under a tighter perm.

2.15 - Leg 1: We start with an amateur riders' selling stakes, which kind of sums up the contrast between Royal Ascot and the week that follows! It's a mile and a half, so a slow race for slow horses ridden by part-time pilots. This could be interesting.

The favourite is Knox Overstreet, a horse with all weather form of 555 in his three career attempts. More recently he's been running over further, and this drop back in trip is far from certain to suit even in a bad race. Waahej is the other fancied runner, and he has a more solid profile, as a three-time winner here, one over the distance. But he's only run once since November 2011, and it's a punt as to how much ability he retains. He's included on the basis that he likes it here, and if he does still have ability, today's the day to show it.

Kristallo has winning form on the all weather at Kempton, and that's good enough for B here, as is Visions of Johanna's course and distance form.

A - 7 (Waahej)
B - 5 (Kristallo), 6 (Visions Of Johanna)

2.45 - Leg  2: Sag Alout was beaten over a trip too far last time, and back at five furlongs on all weather, he has a strong chance. Because I'm keen to keep it tight today, I'll make him an A, along with Balatina.

A - 2 (Sag Alout), 10 (Balatina)

3.15 - Leg 3: Archie Stevens is a mile clear on ratings and much better on all weather. Work Ethic is clear best of the rest, and ought to run well if fit after a break.

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A - 1 (Work Ethic), 2 (Archie Stevens)

3.45 - Leg 4: It looks a three horse race and, while one of the three will likely fail to fire, I'll hope it's not Chord Chart, who is a banker here.

A - 3 (Chord Chart)

4.15 - Leg 5: A maiden, and James Tate's Mount Tiger sets the standard. If he's fit enough, he'll take some beating. Those that take him on are mostly fairly exposed, but a couple to make the frame might be Misfer and Sixties Queen, both of which have bits of form here.

A - 3 (Mount Tiger)
B - 2 (Misfer), 11 (Sixties Queen)

4.45 - Leg 6: A very difficult handicap puzzle, and I'll take a raft of options here, based on market support, course form, and recent form.

A - 1 (Tennessee), 2 (William Van Gough), 3 (Mafi)
B - 5 (Jumbo Prado), 8 (Tatting), 9 (John Potts)

Just A's - 1 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 1 x 3 = 12 bets

All picks - 3 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 3 x 6 = 216 bets

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Wolverhampton placepot picks

Wolverhampton placepot picks

Readers can use the ticket builder at www.geegeez.co.uk/ppot/ to create their own part perms.

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15 replies
  1. ynwajim says:

    i thought I would have a go on the pacepot today…on the whole following your advice Matt.. I did ignore you in leg 1 and added Knox Overstreet, Archie Stevens was my banker…along with Mount Tiger..hopefully he places, and then I have all of your As in leg 6. would be disappointed if one of them didnt make the frame. Only did 24 lines at 10p a go and if it comes off I dont expect the dividend to be very high…but it makes a mundane wolvs card quite interesting, whatever happens!

  2. ynwajim says:

    Tiger does the job, for the placepot and for winning trainers. Got on at 5/2, although was available at 4s I believe, still much better than 5/4sp so wont complain!

    now all on Tennessee, William Van Gough, Mafi. surely they cant all finish unplaced!!

  3. ynwajim says:

    can always count on a class 6 handicap to spoil the fun! 4th place was best we could do from the 3 bullets!

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Thought £44 dividend, given that last result, was a bit tight. There’s always tomorrow…

      Matt

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Tony

      There are various elements to it, some of which I’ve expounded upon in the past, and some which I’ll do in the future, when I get a chance.

      The key is to look at the six races before you start looking at any one race. In other words, have an idea how the shape of the meeting is. Are there maidens with short priced favourites? If so, they may well be banker material, giving you more lines to play elsewhere.

      Is there a horse near the top of the market with form of 000 or something not obvious? These are great placepot horses. Has there been money for anything which surprises you? They can be good placepot horses too.

      Ultimately you have to find a way to make it a four or five race bet, by banking somewhere. And then you have to be creative with your staking elsewhere. Hopefully that comes out in the ticket builder perms, where the more likely horse picks are intertwined with some ‘darker’ selections.

      Like I say, it’s a big subject and one I’ll return to when I get a chance.

      Best,
      Matt

  4. Chris Worrall says:

    You can’t win the pot every day, Matt! 😀 Better to miss these smaller ones and win the bigger ones like last week’s excellent returns.

  5. Tony says:

    Thankyou Matt,I play the placepot every weekend when I go racing and start by making anything 2/1 or under in the Racing Post betting forecast my bankers and then work around the races left.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Mick

      It’ll be up in an hour or so, for tonight’s Newton Abbot meeting. Looks very playable with a combination of big fields and small ones!

      Matt

  6. drysam says:

    Sent you an email about this but where were your N A. placepot picks? Can`t find them anywhere and the link in this mornings email brings you back here.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      They are always on the site under ‘free tips’ ‘placepot picks’.

      Matt

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