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No good yesterday, and a poor dividend of twelve quid to boot. Today, we're going to have a pop at what could be a messy old 'pot at Yarmouth (with a bit of luck!)
2.10 - Leg 1: We start with a win only four runner job, which could be won from the front. Hay Chewed and/or Britain may be the most likely to try to make all, and the former has easily the strongest form credentials. I definitely wouldn't want to see him pulling too hard in the early stages, so hopefully he'll just be allowed to bowl along. He's a solo A pick, and I'll hope that others have gone wider, and that they wasted units as a consequence.
A - 2 (Hay Chewed)
2.40 - Leg 2: I sided with Chankillo recently at Beverley, and he was desperately disappointing: never getting into it from the back of the field. Although this is a selling race, he doesn't look a strong favourite here, and the race shape may also go against him. However, Mark Tompkins' record at the track is decent, so it won't be a shock if he wins, but I'm looking elsewhere.
Spanish Art might bid to make all under the promising Shelley Birkett, though there must be a stamina doubt for a horse that has never run beyond ten furlongs over this mile and a half. I'll add the well backed Helamis to A for further substance. He could also push the pace and has no such stamina reservations.
Omega Omega has been within hailing distance of the places on two recent course and distance efforts, and there won't be a stronger jockey in the race than Adam Beschizza. She's dabbled on B.
A - 5 (Spanish Art), 6 (Helamis)
B - 4 (Omega Omega)
3.10 - Leg 3: This is wide open, and Dr Finley will try to make all, I'd think, as he just about did last time when winning over course and distance. He might get taken on early by either Panettone or Astroscarlet, but his record of two wins and a place from four starts on this idiosyncratic course gets him A status.
The other one I like, with fine form here, is Native Colony. He's a bigger price after a couple of moderate runs on the all weather, and a couple more over hurdles. But his last run here was a course and distance win, off a four pound higher mark. In fact, his two runs over track and trip read 21, and Jimmy Quinn will give him every chance. Might be a small bet at around 8/1. He and Dr Finley on A.
On B, I'll have favourite Meetings Man, and Iceman George, a nag with plenty of runs around here, including a couple of wins.
A - 3 (Dr Finley), 4 (Native Colony)
B - 1 (Meetings Man), 6 (Iceman George)
3.40 - Leg 4: Drahem is a filly in form, and she's a short price to win this. But her style of running means she'll probably have to pass them all and, if they go a tactical gallop as they probably will, she might be caught out. She has to be on A, but not alone. Waveguide may be the one to take them along, despite being ridden by hold up merchant, Jamie Spencer. She's been a bit unlucky not to win yet, and these nine furlongs could be optimal. The concession of ten pounds weight for age to the others is a worry, but she ought to tow them along to at least close to the jam stick at race end.
A - 1 (Waveguide), 4 (Drahem)
4.10 - Leg 5: Just five left in this handicap and a further non-runner would render it win only for our purposes. It's pretty open in any case, so should divide the pool if we can find a couple to overlook. Admiralty will probably lead them along and he's tough to weigh up as all of his form is on all weather surfaces. How he'll cope with the hills and dales of Yarmouth's straight must be in serious doubt: it's certainly enough for me to switch off him.
Poisson d'Or has a lot in her favour having lagged up here last time in lower grade. She has been highly tried historically, and it could be that she'll be able to win in this class. A tickets.
Skytrain has won three of his seven turf runs this year, and one of his three all weather runs. He's a winner, and he might be closest to Admiralty at the quarter pole. As such, he's included for his pace-pressing and his toughness.
Light Burst seems high enough in the weights for a race like this, and I'll take my two against the rest and hope it goes win only... and one of that pair wins!
A - 4 (Poisson d'Or), 6 (Skytrain)
4.40 - Leg 6: And so to the lucky last, where Jadesnumberone will be very hard to keep out of the frame. Rated 75 in this Class 5 maiden stakes, she's three pounds in hand of the 72-rated Ocean Applause, but is in receipt of five pounds (making her eight pounds 'well in', if you follow).
Improvers abound, as you'd expect in a race of this nature, and Saigon City is better than he showed last time; Tornado Battle may much prefer a turf mile to a sand three-quarts of a mile; and the unraced pair, Bejeweled and Mylington Light, come from fashionable stables.
I'll play the favourite on A, but will take a newcomer and an improver on C, in case jollies have ruled the roost through the first five legs. This will at least give us a chance to cheer a shock result in the last!
A - 7 (Jadesnumberone)
C - 4 (Tornado Battle), 6 (Bejeweled)
Just A's - 1 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 1 = 16 bets
All picks - 1 x 3 x 4 x 2 x 2 x 3 = 144 bets
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