York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Sat 25th Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 25th August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes, but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap - Europe's most valuable handicap - did you know that ALL of the last 16 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, while 13 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY FOUR - Saturday 25th August 2018

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Had won at least twice in the their career
14/15 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won over a mile before
7/15 – Won by Godolphin
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/15 – Had won at York before
Mustashry (5/2 fav) won the race in 2017
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

 

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

13/15 – Not raced at York before
13/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further
11/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
11/15 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/15 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Secret Advisor (5/1 fav) won the race in 2017

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3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
12/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Never run at York before
11/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
Talaayeb (9/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
9/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Irish-trained winners (4 of the last 9)
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/16 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 

 

 Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

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1 reply
  1. Gerry says:

    Don`t understand the trend in the Ebor.You quote 16/16 carried 9-4 or less yet 3 out of the last winners carried 9-5,9-6 and 9-9

    Reply

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