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2026 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Two, Friday 10th July

Woodhay Wonder and P J McDonald win the £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes for trainer Tom Ward at Newmarket. 7/10/2023 Pic Steve Davies/Racingfotos.com

Woodhay Wonder and P J McDonald win the £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes for trainer Tom Ward at Newmarket. 7/10/2023 Pic Steve Davies/Racingfotos.com

As we head into day two of the 2026 Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too.

The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday 10th July 2026

1.50 – Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

17/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
16/19 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
14/19 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
14/19 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/19 – Trained by the Johnston yard (including 7 of last 13 runnings)
8/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of the last 11)
3/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
8 of the last 9 winners drawn 6 or lower
3 of the last 7 winners drawn in stall 6

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
22/22 – Had raced at least twice before
20/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
20/22 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
19/22 – Placed favourites
18/22 – Foaled in Feb or March
18/22 – Won by a UK-based yard
16/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
15/22 – Had won over 6f before
13/22 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Won last time out
10/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Drawn in stall 1 (3 of the last 7)
3/22 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 11 winners drawn in stall 7
9 of the last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just 8 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021 and 2023
The Johnston yard won this race in 2019, 2020 and 2022
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Andrew Balding yard won this race in 2024
Godolphin have won 3 of the 8 past runnings
8/8 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/8 – Aged 4 or 6
6/8 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
3/8 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/8 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 5)
2/8 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 5)
1/8 – Just 1 winning 5 year-old

3.35 - Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

23/24 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
22/24 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
20/24 – Had 2+ runs that season
19/24 – Won over at least 1m previously
19/24 – Won from stall 5 or lower
18/24 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
18/24 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/24 – Favourites placed
10/24 – Previous Group One winners
8/24 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/24 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
7/24 – Won their last race
4/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 12)
3/24 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 14 runnings)
2/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 10 runnings)
2/24 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 12 runnings)
2/24 – French-trained winners
4 of the last 9 winners Irish-trained
Since 1979 all bar 2 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
The last horse to win aged 5 or older was Soviet Song (2005)
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 4 (7)
Charlie Appleby has just 1 win in the race (Cinderella’s Dream, 2025)
Godolphin have just 1 win in the race (Cinderella’s Dream, 2025)
9 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 winners (2016 Alice Springs & 2017 Roly Poly)

 

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