Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2024

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from NewmarketAs always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/20 – Drawn 4 or lower
15/20 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
14/20 – Had run at Newbury before
13/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/20 – Aged 4 years-old
7/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of the last 5)
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 15 winners were Godolphin-owned

2.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
15/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Drawn in stall 3
3/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 9)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

3.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

19/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/20 – Rated 90 or lower
14/20 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
14/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/20 – Won last time out
9/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 9)
4/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/20 – Won over a mile before
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Group One race before
15/20 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/20 – Aged 4 years-old
15/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Having their first run of the season
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
6/20 – Godolphin owned
4/20 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/20 – Won by a mare
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/20 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Jenningsbet Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

Just one previous run
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 15% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 10 from 121 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.40 – trustatrader.com Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

7/7 - Won over at least 7f before
7/7 - Won 2+ times before
7/7 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
6/7 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/7 - Placed favourites
6/7 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
5/7 - Rated between 85-91
5/7 - Didn’t win last time out
3/7 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
2/7 - Ridden by William Buick
2/7 - Winning favourites

3.15 – Jenningsbet Britain’s Leading Independent Bookmakers Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-88) ITV

10/10 – Won over 1m (or further) before
9/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
9/10 – Unplaced last time out
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/10 – Rated between 80-89
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/10 – Favourites
Repertoire (11/2) won the race in 2023

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2024 Lockinge Stakes Trends

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 13 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 20 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 17 of the last 20 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2024 renewal - this year on Saturday 18th May 2024.

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2023 - MODERN GAMES (3/1 fav)
2022 – BAAEED (4/9 fav)
2021 – PALACE PIER (1/2 fav)
2020 – No race
2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

20/20 – Won over a mile before
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Group One race before
15/20 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/20 – Aged 4 years-old
15/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Having their first run of the season
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
6/20 – Godolphin owned
4/20 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/20 – Won by a mare
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/20 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

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York TV Trends: Fri 17th May 2024

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri, 17th May 2024) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.50 – Clipper EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

17/18 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
14/18 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
14/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/18 – Won last time out
14/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Winners from stall 9
6/18 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
Karl Burke has trained the last 2 winners
Jason Watson has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 15 winners
2023 Winner: Got To Love A Grey (5/2)

2.45 – Knights Solicitors Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

21/21 – Aged 7 or younger
20/21 – Had run over 1m2f before
18/21 – Didn’t win their last race
16/21 – Won over at least 1m2f before
15/21 – Came from stall 5 or higher
15/21 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
13/21 – Had a previous run that season
12/21 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 9 of the last 15 years)
9/21 – Finished third or better last time out
7/21 – Had run at York before
6/21 – Won by the favourite
3/21 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
13 of the last 17 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2023 Winner: Marhaba The Champ (10/1)

3.15 – Sky Bet Fillies´ Stakes (The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
16/17 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
15/17 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
13/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/17 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/17 – Horses from stall 1 placed
9/17 – Raced at either Newmarket (6) or Newbury (3) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2023 Winners: Sounds Of Heaven (14/1)

3.45 – Boodles Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

19/19 – Came from stall 7 or lower
18/19 – Didn’t win last time out
18/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
18/19 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Aged 5 or older
15/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/19 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/19 – Had run at York before
9/19 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
2023 Winner: Giavellotto (14/1)

4.15 – Darley Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m ITV

Just one previous running
Trainer John Gosden won last year’s running
Trainer John Gosden has 20% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has 19% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby is just 2 from 25 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick is just 2 from 41 (5%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
2023 Winner: Mostabshir (3/1)

 

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 16th May 2024

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 16th May 2024) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.15 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

14/15 – Had raced at York before
14/15 – Failed to win last time out
13/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/15 – Came from a single-figure draw
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
10/15 – Aged 6 or older
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/15 – Rated between 86-92
3/15 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 7)
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 4 runnings)
1/15 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2019 and 2021
Korker was runner up in 2023
2023 Winner: Regional (5/1)

2.45 – Oakmere Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Rated between 96-105
17/18 – Had won over a mile before
16/18 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/18 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
13/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/18 – Placed last time out
8/18 – Aged 4 years-old
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/18 – Won last time out
9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Cruyff Turn won the race in 2022
2023 Winner: Croupier (7/1)

3.15 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

19/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
16/19 – Won over 1m2f before
16/19 – Favourites placed
14/19 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Having first run of the season
11/19 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 14)
10/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/19 – Had raced at York before
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/19 – Winners from stall 4
4/19 – Had won at York before
4/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 5)
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
1/19 – Irish trained winners
1/19 – French trained winners
2023 Winner: Free Wind (6/5)

3.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
15/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had a previous race that season
13/21 – Won their previous race
5/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 7 times in all)
3/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/21 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 9 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
3/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 7)
1/21 – Had run at York before
1/21 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 16 runnings (1 joint)
18/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
10/20 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
2023 Winner: The Foxes (6/1)

4.15 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

12/12 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Ran no more than 6 times
8/12 – Rated between 98-103
8/12 – Drawn in stall 1-5
8/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Had run at the track before
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/12 – Trained by David O’Meara
2023 Winner: Great State (13/2)

 

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Dante Stakes Trends 2024

Run at York racecourse, the Dante Stakes is a Group Two contest for 3 year-olds that is run over a trip of 1m2f.

Staged in the middle of May each season the middle-distance contest is seen as a key Epsom Derby Trial, with four of the last 20 Dante Stakes winners going onto land the fourth English Classic - Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Hornin 2015, being the most-recent horses to complete the Dante/Derby double.

Trainer John Gosden has won three of the last 9 runnings and Mark Johnston has been responsible for two of the last 7 winning horses. The Sir Michael Stoute camp are another yard to respect having landed the race 7 times – anything they send to post, as well as leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has also won the race four times, should be noted.

Finally, it's a race jocky Oisin Murphy is making his own, with three wins since 2018.

We take a look back at past winners of the Dante Stakes, plus give you the key trends ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Thursday 16th May

Past Dante Stakes Winners

2023 - THE FOXES (6/1)
2022 - DESERT CROWN (7/2 jfav)
2021 - HURRICANE LANE (5/1)
2020 – THUNDEROUS (13/2)
2019 – TELECASTER (7/1)
2018 – ROARING LION (3/1 fav)
2017 – PERMIAN (10/1)
2016 – WINGS OF DESIRE (9/1)
2015 – GOLDEN HORN (4/1)
2014 – THE GREY GATSBY (9/1)
2013 – LIBERTARIAN (33/1)
2012 – BONFIRE (3/1)
2011 – CARLTON HOUSE (11/4)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (9/2)
2009 – BLACK BEAR ISLAND (12/1)
2008 – TARTAN BEARER (10/1)
2007 – AUTHORIZED (10/11 fav)

Dante Stakes Trends

18/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
15/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had a previous race that season
13/21 – Won their previous race
10/20 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/20 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby (published before Desert Crown has run in Derby)
4/21 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 7 times in all)
3/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/21 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 9 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
3/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 7)
1/21 – Had run at York before
1/21 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 16 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby

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York TV Trends: Weds 15th May 2024

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 15th May 24) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.15 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/19 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/19 – Rated between 80 and 94
13/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Unplaced last time out
7/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/19 – Winners from stall 1
2023 Winner: Scampi (16/1)
10 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.45 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV


19/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Had won over this trip before
16/21 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
14/21 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/21 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won their previous race
1/21 – Winning outright favourite
11 of the last 14 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
The last 3 winners were aged 8
2023 Winner: Bielsa (12/1)

3.15 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

20/21 – Came from stall 9 or lower
19/21 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
18/21 – Had won over 6f before
16/21 – Had run at York before
16/21 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
15/21 – Had a previous race that season
14/21 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
7/21 – Won by the favourite
7/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/21 – Won their last race
6/21 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 8)
2023 Winner: Azure Blue (12/1)

3.45 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/21 – Had won a race before
16/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had a previous run that season
15/21 – Finished 4th or better last time
15/21 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
13/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/21 – Won by the favourite
9/21 – Won their previous race
7/21 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 13)
6/21 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
3/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/21 – Had run at York before
12 of the last 17 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2021)
2023 Winner: Soul Sister (18/1)

4.15 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Won just once before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/12 – Rated between 79-86
7/12 – Winning favourites
7/12 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
7/12 – Ran 4 or less times
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/12 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
2023 Winner: Dark Thirty (10/1)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2024

This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in eight races across three tracks.

At Haydock, the Swinton Hurdle is the feature, while it's also Derby/Oaks Trial Day at Lingfield. Then at Ascot, we've three more live ITV races, with the Victoria Cup one of the highlights.

Here at Geegeez, we've got all the key trends for you to help whittle down the runners and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

20/20 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
20/20 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
19/20 – Carried 11-5 or less
19/20 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
13/20 – Carried 10-9 or less
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/20 – Ran at Aintree last time out
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/20 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 10 runnings)
3/20 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/20 – Irish-trained winners

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

11/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won 2 or 3 times before
9/11 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/11 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/11 – Aged 4 years-old
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/11 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/11 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 6)
5/11 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/11 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/11 – Winning favourites (3 of last 6)
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 5)

2.05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

16/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
15/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had won over a mile before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/17 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Rated between 82-87
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10)
Farhh To Shy won the race in 2023

2.40 – Lavazza & Ascot 10 Year Anniversary Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/20 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/20– Had won no more than 3 times
16/20 – Had won over 7f before
13/20 – Carried 8-10 or less
13/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/20 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
9/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 14 years
9 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.50 William Hill Epic Value Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Simon Crisford has a 23% strike-rate with his runners at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his runners at the track
Trainer Jamie Osborne is just 2 from 25 with his runners at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 1 from 16 riding at the track

2.25 – William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

18/20 – Had won no more than once before
17/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
12/20 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/20 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
10/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/20 – Having first run of the season
10/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/20 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/20 – Winners from stall 5
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Irish-trained winners

3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

21/21 – Had won no more than 3 times
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
16/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/21 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
13/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/17 – Placed favourites
9/17– Irish-bred
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/17 – Non UK-trained winners
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/17 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 14 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends and Tips: Fri 10th May 2024

Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 10th May 2024 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

Use these Chester horse racing trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race - putting history on your side.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.30 – Caa Stellar Sports Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

18/21 - Didn’t win their last race
18/21 - Had a previous run that season
16/21 - Finished unplaced last time out
16/21 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
16/21 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
16/21 - Carried 8-9 or more
15/21 - Had run before at Chester
13/21 - Favourites placed
10/21 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/21 - Won by a 4 year-old
5/21 - Won by the favourite
4/21 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 7)
2/21 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 3)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 9 winners were ridden by claimer
Revich won the race in 2023

2.05 Boodles Darley “Confined’ Maiden Stakes (For Horses That Have Not Run More Than Twice) Cl2 (3yo) 1m 4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 60% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.35 – tote.co.uk Free Bet Friday Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4

14/14 – Won at least twice before
13/14 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
13/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/14 – Rated between 90-95
9/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3.05 – Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

19/21 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
18/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
16/21 – Had a previous race that season
16/21 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
13/21 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
12/21 – Failed to win their previous race
11/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
8/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 7)
6/21 – Had raced at Chester before
6/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/21 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Trainers Sir Michael Stoute, Aidan O’Brien and Richard Fahey have won the last 7 runnings between them (2 each)

3.40 – Duke Of Westminster Supporting The Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

20/21 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
18/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/21 – Officially rated between 93-99
14/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/21 – Had raced within the last 2 months
12/21 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
12/21 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/21 – Favourites were unplaced
11/21 – Irish bred
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/21 – Had won at the track before
3/21 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/21 – Won their previous race
2/21 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/21– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/21 – Won by the favourite
2/21 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but last 6 carried 9st+)
4 of the last 13 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 11 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

 

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Chester Cup Trends 2024

The Chester Cup, run at Chester Racecourse over 2m2f, is the feature race of their three-day May Meeting (8th-10th) – Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key betting trends and stats ahead of the 2024 renewal – the race will be run on Friday 10th May 2024.

Did you know ? Since 1975 we've only had 4 winning Chester Cup favourites win the race

=====================================================

Recent Chester Cup Winners

2023 - Metier (5/1)
2022 - Cleveland (6/1)
2021 - Falcon Eight (15/2)
2020 – No Race
2019 – Making Miracles (16/1)
2018 – Magic Circle (8/1)
2017 - Montaly (16/1)
2016 – No Heretic (11/1)
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)

Chester Cup Betting Trends

20/21 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
18/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/21 – Officially rated between 93-99
14/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/21 – Had raced within the last 2 months
12/21 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
12/21 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/21 – Favourites were unplaced
11/21 – Irish bred
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/21 – Had won at the track before
3/21 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/21 – Won their previous race
2/21 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/21– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/21 – Won by the favourite
2/21 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but last 6 carried 9st+)
4 of the last 13 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 11 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Thursday 9th May 2024

Here at Geegeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on day two of the Chester May Meeting this Thursday 9th May 2024.

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

15/15 – Won from stall 7 or lower
15/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from stall 5 or lower
12/15 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Had raced at Chester before
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
7/15 – Officially rated between 87-90
7/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
13 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 1-4

2.05 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 29% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 24% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jason Hart has a 33% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey David Egan has a 29% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 29% record riding 2 year-olds at the track

 2.35 – Halliwell Jones Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

19/21 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
19/21 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had a previous run that season
16/21 – Came between stalls 2-7
13/21 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/21 – Finished third or better last time out
12/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Winning favourites (or joint)
6/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/21 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding

3.05 - Boodles Raindance Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

20/21 – Had not run at Chester before
18/21 – Yet to win over this trip (1m 2 1/2f) before
17/21 – Came from stall 3 or higher
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Favourites finished in the frame
13/21 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
12/21 – Had a previous run that season
11/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
10/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 of the last 10)
9/21 – Won by the favourite
7/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 6)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 19 years

3.40 - tote.co.uk Supporting Racing Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

19/21 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/21 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/21 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/21 – Had a previous run that season
10/21 – Won by the favourite
10/21 – Had run before at Chester
6/21 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
5/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Hamish has won the last 2 runnings (William Haggas)

4.10 – Precision Facades Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f SkyRacing

11/12 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
10/12 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
9/12 – Had won at the track before
9/12 – Won over at least 1m2f
9/12 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
9/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/12 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
8/12 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Won 4+ times in the past
5/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winners from stall 8
2/12 – Winning favourites
0/12 – Winners from stall 1

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Wed 8th May 2024

Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (8th May 2024)

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/12 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
8/12 – Had won over 6f before
6/12 – Rated between 78-80
6/12 – Had run at the track before
3/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Winners from stall 1

2.05 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4

21/21 – Had a recent run that season
20/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/21 - Had won over 5f before
16/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
15/21 – Won last time out
12/21 – Came from stalls 1-3
11/21 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
8/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Came from stall 1 (but just 2 in the last 16 years)
3/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 9 years)
2/21 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 16 runnings
The last 8 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2.35 – tote.co.uk Saddle-Up For More Than Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4

21/21 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
20/21 - Had won before over this trip
16/21 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
15/21 - Had run before that season
14/21 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/21 - Favourites that finished in the top three
8/21 - Returned a double-figure price
7/21 - Had won before at Chester
5/21 – Won their last race
5/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 - Trained by Tim Easterby
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The last 15 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

3.05 – Weatherbys E-Passport Cheshire Oaks (for the Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

18/21 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
18/21 – Had a previous run that season
18/21 - Favourites that finished in the top three
15/21 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
12/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won their last race
8/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (5 of the last 8)
6/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/21 – Winners from stall 4
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden
2/21 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
None of the last 21 winners had run at Chester before

3.40 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

20/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Finished third or better last time out
17/21 – Had a previous run that season
15/21 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
15/21 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
11/21 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/21 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
10/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 of last 10 winners)
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 9 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Just one winner in the last 21 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)

 

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Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 5th May 2024

It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (5th May 2024) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:40 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
9/13 – Won just once before
8/13 – Had between 1-3 runs before
8/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Trained by John Gosden (6 of last 10)
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/13 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

2.25 – Howden Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

18/19 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
18/19 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
18/19 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
16/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/19 – Aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Won this on first run of the season
11/19 – Had run at the course before
9/19 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 9)
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 10)
13 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

3.00 William Hill Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 2 previous runnings
HMS President won the race in 2023
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 35% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Shaun Lycett has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 29% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track


3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

20/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Had won a Group race before
16/22 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/22 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
14/22 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
14/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Won their previous race
13/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
10/22 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/22 – Favourites unplaced
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
9/22 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/22 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/22 – Previous Group One winners
4/22 – Won by a US bred horse
4/22 – Won by the favourite
4/22– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/22 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
11 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12.5/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2024

It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle to put history on your side.

Can top Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien land his 11th 2000 Guineas?

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – William Hill British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f RTV

10/10 – Aged between 3-5
10/10 – Won over 5f or 6f before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (2)
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 5)
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back

1.45 – William Hill Extra Place Races Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

10/11 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 - Won 3+ times before
10/11 - Had won over 6f before
9/11 - Didn’t win last time out
8/11 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
7/11 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/11 - Unplaced favourites
7/11 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/11 - Rated 100+
3/11 - Winning favourites
2/11 - Trained by Richard Fahey
0/11 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9.5/1

2.20 – Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

17/18 – Had won at least twice before
17/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/18 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
15/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
14/18 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Rated between 90 and 96
10/18 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Having their first run of the season
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish bred
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 - Winning favourites
2/18 - Trained by Andrew Balding
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 15 runnings

2.55 – William Hill Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

19/21 – Won 3 or more times before
18/21 – Had won over 5f before
18/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
18/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
16/21 – Had run at Newmarket before
15/21– Aged 5 or younger
15/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/21 – Rated between 108 and 114
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/21 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 3 runnings)
Just 4 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
5  of the last 7 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Vadream (7/1) won the race in 2023

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

21/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
20/22 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/22 – Had won a Group race before
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 times before
18/22 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
17/22 – Won last time out
17/22 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/22 – Having their first run of the season
14/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/22 – Irish bred
9/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/22 – Had won over a mile before
9/22 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/22 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/22 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 9.5/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/11 – Won 2 or more times before
8/11 – Yet to race at the track
8/11 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/11 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
6/11 – Won over a mile before
5/11 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/11 – Winners from stall 1
3/11 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Vickers.Bet Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won at least twice before
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/12 – Won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
10/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Won between 2-4 times
7/12 – Winners from a double-figure draw
6/12 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 7)
7 of the last 10 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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Goodwood & Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 3rd May 2024

A busy weekend for the ITV cameras gets going on Friday with action from Newmarket and Goodwood.

There are four races from Newmarket - flat racing's HQ - to take in on ITV, with the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes one of the highlights at 4:10pm.

While, we've also got three at Goodwood, what will see two winners from last season - Spanish Star and Dream Composer - back to defend their titles.

To help you try and find the winners, we've got the key trends and stats for each LIVE ITV race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:25 - William Hill Newmarket Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
5/10 – Winners from stall 1
4/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (including last 2)
4/10 – Ridden by William Buick (including last 2)
4/10 – Godolphin owned
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by David Egan
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

3:00 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Just two previous runnings
Both winners from stall 2
Charlie Johnston and Andrew Balding past winning trainers
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 35% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 42 (2%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 29% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:35 - William Hill King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f ITV

8/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
7/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Ridden by Sean Levey
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

4:10 - William Hill Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Won over 1m4f+ before
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/20 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Rated 112 or higher
10/20 – Winning favourites
10/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Aged 5 years-old
7/20 – Having their first run of the season
7/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/20 – Won by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:40 - British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

Just three past runnings
All three winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
All three winners drawn between 3-7
2 winning favourites
Trainers Rod Milman, George Scott and William Haggas have won the race before
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton is just 1-from-24 with her 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Diego Dias is 1-from-1 with his 2 year-olds at the track

3:15 - British Stallion Studs John Dunlop EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo) 1m ITV

Just three previous runnings
2 of the three winners from stalls 4
All three winners from stalls 4 or 5
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 9-6 or more
2 of 3 winners aged 6+
Spanish Star won the race in 2023
Trainers Patrick Chamings, Charles Hills and David Menuisier have won the race before
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Teal has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert is just 3 from 48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:50 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-7 in weight
7/10 – Between stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/10 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 8
Dream Composer won the race in 2023
Trainer James Evans has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 5 from 69 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is 0-from-28 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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2024 Punchestown Festival Trends

A huge week of Irish racing ahead with the 5-day Punchestown Festival (30th April-4th May 2024). Like all big race meetings, we've got all the main trends and stats for the key races through the week – hopefully, these to help narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners……………….

DAY ONE – Tuesday 30th April 2024

3.40 – KPMG Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f

10 of the last 18 runnings went to the favourite
11 of the last 17 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
15 of the last 18 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
10 of the last 18 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 24 years (18 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 4 times
16 of the last 17 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021 & 2023
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Jessie Harrington won the race in 2013 and 2016
17 of the last 22 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out
2023 Winner: Facile Vega (4/6 fav)

5.25 – William Hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 of the last 20 runnings went to the favourite
19 of the last 24 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 11 of the last 16 runnings
17 of the last 21 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12 of the last 21 had previously won at the track
All of the last 21 winners had won before over 2m
16 of the last 21 came 1st or 2nd last time out
15 of the last 21 were Irish-trained winners
15 of the last 21 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 18 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
15 of the last 20 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
7 of the last 20 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023
Paul Townend has ridden the last four winners
Energumene won the race in 2022 and 2023
2023 Winner: Energumene (2/7 fav)

DAY TWO – Wednesday 1st May 2024

5.25 – Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

17/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Aged 8 or younger
15/20 – Irish-trained winners
14/20 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/20 – Had run in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
10/20 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
10/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
5/20 - Trained by Willie Mullins (5 of the last 10)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 6/1
9 of the last 18 favourites have won
10 of the last 15 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
10 of the last 24 winners had run in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

DAY THREE – Thursday 2nd May 2024

 4.50 – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 17 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 24 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 17 carried 12-2 or more
14 of the last 17 winners were aged 9 or older
7 of the last 17 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
21 of the last 28 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
10 of the last 17 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
Singing Banjo won this race in 2021 and 2nd in 2022
2023 Winner: Vital Island (3/1 fav)

5.25 - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2023 - KLASSICAL DREAM (3/1 jfav)
2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

16/20 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
15/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Aged 8 or younger
13/20 – Placed in the top three last time out
13/20 – Irish trained winners
10/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins
9/20 – Won last time out
9/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/20 – Ran in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
Only one Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 23 runnings
The market leader has won 11 of the last 22 runnings
11 of the last 21 winners won their previous race
11 of the 26 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
8 of the last 19 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
13 of the last 20 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before

5.25 - Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 winning favourites in the last 12 runnings
16 of the last 17 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13 of the last 17 winners were aged 7 or older (only 6 of the last 26 aged 6 or younger)
11 of the last 17 were aged either 7 or 8 years-old
25 of the last 27 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
10 of the last 17 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 14 times they have had runners
15 of the last 19 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023 (won the last 8)
Paul Townend has ridden the last three winners
2023 Winner: El Fabiolo (1/4 fav)

DAY FOUR – Friday 3rd May 2024

5.25 – PADDY POWER CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

11 of the last 18 favourites (2 joint) have won
10 of the last 16 winners won last time out
15 of the last 16 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
16 of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or older
15 of the last 24 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
15 of the last 18 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017 & 2023
9 of the last 12 winners returned odds-on in the betting
16 of the last 18 winners were Irish-trained
2023 Winner: State Man (2/5 fav)

6.00 – ALANNA CHAMPION NOVICE HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m4f

12 of the last 18 favourites have won
12 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 years-old
16 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 12 of the last 21 runnings
16 of the last 22 winners won last time out
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Owner J Donnelly has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
2023 Winner: Impaire Et Passe (1/3 fav)

7.35 – Howden Insurance Brokers INH Flat Race (Grade 1) (4-7yo) 2m

4 winning favourites in the last 18 years (1 joint)
17 of the last 19 were aged 5 or older
The Cheltenham Champion Bumper has produced 16 winners since 1992
17 of the last 31 winners finished 6th or better in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Cheltenham)
30 of the last 31 winners had raced 2 or more times before
Not many mares have run in the race, but 5 have won it since 1994
Trainer Noel Meade won the race in 2004, 2006, 2007
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2021 & 2022
The Irish have won 17 of the last 19 runnings
2023 Winner: A Dream To Share (8/11 fav)

DAY FIVE – Saturday 4th May 2024

4.25 – BALLYMORE FOUR YEAR-OLD HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

8 winning favourites in the last 18 runnings
16 of the last 18 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022 & 2023
14 of the last 17 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
8 of the last 15 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
10 of the last 25 runnings went to a British-trained horse
Owner Rich Ricci has won 4 of the last 6 runnings
2023 Winner: Lossiemouth (1/2 fav)

 

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