Sat TV Trends: 17th May 2025

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
15/21 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/21 – Irish bred
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
3 of the last 16 winners were Godolphin-owned

1.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Drawn in stall 3
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 10)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated 90 or lower
15/21 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
15/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/21 – Irish bred
7/21 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won here)
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 10)
5/21 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston

2.35 - Boylesports Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.05 – Read Megan Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

8/8 - Won over at least 7f before
8/8 - Won 2+ times before
8/8 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
7/8 - Placed favourites
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
6/8 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/8 - Didn’t win last time out
5/8 - Rated between 85-91
4/8 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/8 - Ridden by William Buick
2/8 - Winning favourites

1.40 – JCB Handicap Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-85) 7f ITV

Just two previous runs
Trainers John Gosden and Clive Cox have won the race before
Both winners between stalls 4-5
The Charlie Johnston yard are 0-29 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-32 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ray Dawson is just 1-20 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 0-16 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.15 – Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85) ITV

11/11 – Won over 1m (or further) before
10/11 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/11 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 80-89
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
3/11– Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11– Favourites

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2025 Lockinge Stakes Trends

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The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 14 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 21 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 17 of the last 21 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year on Saturday 17th May 2025.

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2024 - AUDIENCE (18/1)
2023 - MODERN GAMES (3/1 fav)
2022 – BAAEED (4/9 fav)
2021 – PALACE PIER (1/2 fav)
2020 – No race
2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

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York TV Trends: Fri 16th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri, 16th May 2025) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Clipper EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

18/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
15/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Winners from stall 9
6/19 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 13 winners
Karl Burke has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
Jason Watson has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 16 winners
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 2-9
2024 Winner: Betty Clover (12/1)

2.42 – Knights Solicitors Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

22/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Had run over 1m2f before
18/22 – Didn’t win their last race
16/22 – Won over at least 1m2f before
16/22 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
15/22 – Came from stall 5 or higher
13/22 – Had a previous run that season
13/22 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 10 of the last 16 years)
10/22 – Finished third or better last time out
7/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won by the favourite
3/21 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden
14 of the last 18 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2024 Winner: Botanical (5/2 fav)

3.13 – Sky Bet Fillies´ Stakes (The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
17/18 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
16/18 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
14/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/18 – Placed 5th or better last time out
11/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Horses from stall 1 placed
9/18 – Raced at either Newmarket (6) or Newbury (3) last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2024 Winners: Devoted Queen (3/1 fav)

3.45 – Boodles Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

20/20 – Came from stall 7 or lower
19/20 – Didn’t win last time out
19/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Aged 5 or older
16/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/20 – Had run at York before
9/20 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/20 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Marco Botti has won the last 2 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
2024 Winner: Giavellotto (7/2)

4.15 – Irish Throughbred Marketing Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Drawn between stalls 7-10
5/10 – Had run at York before
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Ripon last time out
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Clifford Lee (2 of the last 5)
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 7
The winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
2024 Winner: Jubilee Walk (4/1 fav)

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York TV Trends: Thurs 15th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 15th May 2025) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest on the day.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

15/16 – Had raced at York before
15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Came from a single-figure draw
13/16 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
11/16 – Aged 6 or older
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
8/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/16 – Rated between 86-92
3/16 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 5 runnings)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Fine Wine won the race in 2022
2024 Winner: Clarendon House (8/1)

2.42 – Oakmere Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Rated between 96-105
18/19 – Had won over a mile before
17/19 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
17/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
14/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
13/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/19 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/19 – Placed last time out
8/19 – Aged 4 years-old
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/19 – Won last time out
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Cruyff Turn won the race in 2022
Northern Express was 2nd in 2024
2024 Winner: Point Lynas (6/1)

3.13 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/20– Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
17/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Won over 1m2f before
15/20 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Having first run of the season
11/20 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 15)
10/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/20 – Had raced at York before
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Winners from stall 4
4/20 – Had won at York before
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/20 – Irish trained winners
1/20– French trained winners
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 10
2024 Winner: Bluestocking (5/2)

3.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

18/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had a previous race that season
14/22 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/22 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 8)
1/22 – Had run at York before
1/22 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby
2024 Winner: Economics (6/1)

4.18 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

13/13 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
10/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Ran no more than 6 times
9/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 1-5
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Rated between 98-103
8/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/13 – Trained by David O’Meara
6 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-4
2024 Winner: Big Evs (4/7 fav)

 

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Dante Stakes Trends 2025

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Run at York racecourse, the Dante Stakes is a Group Two contest for 3 year-olds that is run over a trip of 1m2f.

Staged in the middle of May each season the middle-distance contest is seen as a key Epsom Derby Trial, with four of the last 21 Dante Stakes winners going onto land the fourth English Classic - Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Hornin 2015, being the most-recent horses to complete the Dante/Derby double - 11 in total have won both races (see them all below).

Trainer John Gosden has won three of the last 10 runnings and the Johnston has been responsible for two of the last 8 winning horses. While leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has also won the race four times, should be noted.

Finally, it's a race jockey Oisin Murphy is making his own, with three wins since 2018.

We take a look back at past winners of the Dante Stakes, plus give you the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Thursday 15th May

Past Dante Stakes Winners

2024 - ECONOMICS (6/1)
2023 - THE FOXES (6/1)
2022 - DESERT CROWN (7/2 jfav)
2021 - HURRICANE LANE (5/1)
2020 – THUNDEROUS (13/2)
2019 – TELECASTER (7/1)
2018 – ROARING LION (3/1 fav)
2017 – PERMIAN (10/1)
2016 – WINGS OF DESIRE (9/1)
2015 – GOLDEN HORN (4/1)
2014 – THE GREY GATSBY (9/1)
2013 – LIBERTARIAN (33/1)
2012 – BONFIRE (3/1)
2011 – CARLTON HOUSE (11/4)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (9/2)
2009 – BLACK BEAR ISLAND (12/1)
2008 – TARTAN BEARER (10/1)
2007 – AUTHORIZED (10/11 fav)

Dante Stakes Trends

18/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had a previous race that season
14/22 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/22 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 8)
1/22 – Had run at York before
1/22 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby

Dante/Derby Winners

  • 1960 – St Paddy
  • 1978 – Shirley Heights
  • 1986 – Shahrastani
  • 1987 – Reference Point
  • 1994 – Erhaab
  • 1997 – Benny The Dip
  • 2004 – North Light
  • 2005 – Motivator
  • 2007 – Authorized
  • 2015 – Golden Horn
  • 2022 – Desert Crown

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York TV Trends: Weds 14th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 14th May 25) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Rated between 80 and 94
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/20– Had won over 1m4f before
13/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/20 – Had run at York before
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/20 – Winners from stall 1
2024 Winner: Crystal Delight (18/5 fav)
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.42 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
18/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Had won over this trip before
17/22 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
15/22 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/22 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/22 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Won their previous race
1/22 – Winning outright favourite
12 of the last 15 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won the last two runnings
6 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2024 Winner: Aleezdancer (14/1)

3.13 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

21/22 – Came from stall 9 or lower
20/22 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
19/22 – Had won over 6f before
17/22 – Had run at York before
17/22 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Won by the favourite
8/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/22 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 9)
2024 Winner: Mill Stream (4/1 jfav)

3.45 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

21/22 – Had won a race before
17/22 – Had a previous run that season
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time
16/22 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
14/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/22 – Won by the favourite
9/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 14)
6/22 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/212 – Had run at York before
12 of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (Snowfall, 2021)
2024 Winner: Secret Satire (22/1)

4.18 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

13/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won just once before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Ran 4 or less times
7/13 – Rated between 79-86
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/13 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-9
The last 2 winners from stall 8
2024 Winner: Diligent Resdev (40/1)

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Sat TV Trends: 10th May 2025

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This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfieldwe’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:35 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV

21/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
21/21 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/21 – Carried 11-5 or less
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
8/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/21 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
13/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/18 – Rated between 82-87
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
8 of the last 10 aged 4 or 5 years-old
Bellarchi won the race in 2024

2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21– Had won no more than 3 times
16/21 – Had won over 7f before
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 15 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

3:15 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/12 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
5/12 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/12 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 7)
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/12 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites (4 of last 7)
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 6
Kotari won the race in 2024

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.15– William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/21 – Had won no more than once before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
11/21 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
11/21 – Having first run of the season
10/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/21 – Winners from stall 5
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
4/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

1:50 William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f

Just 1 previous running (Ralph Beckett trained Esmeray)
Trainer James Evans is 2 from 3 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 23% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Leavy has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
1.50 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

2:25 Lingfield - William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3½f ITV

Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Jockey Jason Watson has a 25% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

22/22 – Had won no more than 3 times
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/22 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18– Irish-bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/18 – Non UK-trained winners
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 15 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Fri 9th May 2025

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Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 9th May 2025 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

Use these Chester horse racing trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race - putting history on your side.

Chester May Festival Trends 2025

1:30 – Caa Stellar Sports Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

19/22 - Didn’t win their last race
19/22 - Had a previous run that season
17/22 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
17/22 - Carried 8-9 or more
16/22 - Finished unplaced last time out
16/22 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
16/22 - Had run before at Chester
14/22 - Favourites placed
10/22 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/22 - Won by a 4 year-old
5/22 - Won by the favourite (none in last 9)
4/22 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 4)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claimer
Jockey Richard Kingscote has won 2 of the last 8

2:05 Boodles Darley EBF Maiden Stakes (Cl2 (3yo) 1m 4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 55% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 1-21 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2:35 – Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

20/22 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
19/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
17/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
14/22 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
12/22 – Failed to win their previous race
11/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Returned 7/4 or shorter in the betting
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 8)
6/22 – Had raced at Chester before
5/22 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have won 3 of the last 7
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6

3:05 – Ladbrokes Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

20/22 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/22 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
13/22 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Favourites were unplaced
11/22 – Irish bred
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/22 – Had won at the track before
3/22 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/22 – Won their previous race
2/22 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/22– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/22 – Won by the favourite
2/22 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
13 of the last 17 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1890 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 7 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 14 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

3:40 – Precision Facades Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
14/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/15 – Rated between 90-95
9/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 9
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Chester Cup Trends 2025

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The Chester Cup, run at Chester Racecourse over 2m2f, is the feature race of their three-day May Meeting (7th-9th) – Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key betting trends and stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – the race will be run on Friday 9th May 2025.

Did you know ? Since 1975 we've only had 4 winning Chester Cup favourites win the race

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Recent Chester Cup Winners

2024 - Zoffee (9/1)
2023 - Metier (5/1)
2022 - Cleveland (6/1)
2021 - Falcon Eight (15/2)
2020 – No Race
2019 – Making Miracles (16/1)
2018 – Magic Circle (8/1)
2017 - Montaly (16/1)
2016 – No Heretic (11/1)
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)

Chester Cup Betting Trends

20/22 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/22 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
13/22 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Favourites were unplaced
11/22 – Irish bred
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/22 – Had won at the track before
3/22 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/22 – Won their previous race
2/22 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/22– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/22 – Won by the favourite
2/22 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
13 of the last 17 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 7 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 14 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008
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Chester May Meeting Trends: Thursday 8th May 2025

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Here at Geegeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on day two of the Chester May Meeting this Thursday 8th May 2025.

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

16/16 – Won from stall 7 or lower
16/16 – Had won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from stall 5 or lower
13/16 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Had raced at Chester before
9/16 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
7/16 – Officially rated between 87-90
7/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 7 winners
14 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 1-4

2.05 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just one past running
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jason Hart has a 25% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 22% record riding 2 year-olds at the track

2:35 - Boodles Raindance Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

21/22 – Had not run at Chester before
19/22 – Yet to win over this trip (1m 2 1/2f) before
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from stall 3 or higher
17/22 – Favourites finished in the frame
14/22 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
13/22 – Had a previous run that season
11/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/22 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
11/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (8 of the last 11)
9/22 – Won by the favourite
7/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of the last 7)
1/22 – Winners from stall 1
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 6 of the last 7
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 20 years

3:05 – Ladbrokes Big-Value You Cn Bet On Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

20/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/22 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/22 – Had a previous run that season
11/22 – Won by the favourite
11/22 – Had run before at Chester
6/22 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
6/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Hamish (William Haggas) has won the race in 2022 and 2023

3:40 – Louise Keegan Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

20/22 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
20/22 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had a previous run that season
17/22 – Came between stalls 2-7
14/22 – Finished third or better last time out
13/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Winning favourites (or joint)
6/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more
5 of the last 7 runnings went to the favourite
5 of the last 6 winners between stalls 1-3
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 3 of the last 10
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has won 2 of the last 6

4.10 – Halliwell Jones Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f SkyRacing

11/13 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
11/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
10/13 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
10/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/13 – Won over at least 1m2f
9/13 – Had won at the track before
9/13 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Won 4+ times in the past
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Winning favourites
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The last 5 winners aged 4 or 5

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Wed 7th May 2025

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Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (7th May 2025)

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4

22/22 – Had a recent run already that season
20/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 - Had won over 5f before
17/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
15/22 – Won last time out
12/22 – Came from stalls 1-3
11/22 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
8/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 - Came from stall 1 (but just 2 in the last 17 years)
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 10 years)
2/22 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 17 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners were fillies (mares)
5 of the last 10 winners were March foaled fillies
8 of the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2.05– Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4

22/22 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
20/22 - Had won before over this trip
16/22 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
15/22 - Had run before that season
15/22 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
9/22 - Returned a double-figure price
7/22 - Had won before at Chester
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Tim Easterby
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The last 16 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

2:35 – Weatherbys e-Passport Cheshire Oaks (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

18/22 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
19/22 – Had a previous run that season
18/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
16/22 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
13/22 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (5 of the last 9)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 9)
5/22 – Winners from stall 4
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls (1) or (3)
None of the last 22 winners had run at Chester before

3.05 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

21/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Finished third or better last time out
18/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
11/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/22 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
10/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 of last 11 winners)
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 10 winners)
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3 or lower
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 10
Just one winner in the last 22 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)

3:40 – Love Federal Capital Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/13 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
8/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/13 – Had won over 6f before
6/13 – Rated between 78-80
6/13 – Had run at the track before
3/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer David Evans has won 2 of the last 5
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6 (including in 2024)

 

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Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 4th May 2025

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It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (4th May 2025) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:40 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past. But we've also not seen a winning favourite since Minding in 2016.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 - Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
10/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Had between 1-3 runs before
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of last 11 and last 2)
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/14 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
7 of the last 8 winners drawn between 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

2.20 – Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

19/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
18/20 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/20 – Won this on first run of the season
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Had run at the course before
9/20 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 10)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
2/20 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 4)
2/20– French-trained winners (2 of the last 11)
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Running Lion was runner-up in the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2.55 - Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or less
2/3 – Carried 8-9 or less
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 1-24 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.40 – Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/23 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/23 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
11/23 – Favourites unplaced
10/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/23 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/23 – Previous Group One winners
4/23 – Won by a US bred horse
4/23 – Won by the favourite
4/23– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
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Sat TV Trends: 3rd May 2025

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It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle to put history on your side.

Can top Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien land his 11th 2000 Guineas?

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – Oddschecker British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f RTV

11/11 – Aged between 3-5
11/11 – Won over 5f or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (3)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
Unequal Love won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back

1.45 – Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 - Had won over 6f before
10/12 - Won 3+ times before
10/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
8/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Unplaced favourites
7/12 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/12 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/12 - Rated 100+
3/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
0/12 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

2.20 – Betfred Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/19 – Had won at least twice before
18/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/19 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
16/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/19 – Rated between 90 and 96
11/19 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Having their first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Irish bred
2/19 - Winning favourites
2/19 – Won by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 6)
2/19 - Trained by Andrew Balding
William Buick has won 3 of the last 7
6 of the last 7 winners drawn between 2-7
Just 2 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 16 runnings

2.55 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

20/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Had run at Newmarket before
16/22– Aged 5 or younger
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Rated between 108 and 114
13/22 – Placed favourites
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4 runnings)
Just 5 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 8 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Vadream won the race in 2023 and second in 2024

 

3.35 – Betfred 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/23 – Had won a Group race before
21/23 – Had won between 2-5 times before
19/23 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/23 – Having their first run of the season
15/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/23 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
4/23 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Churchill, Gleneagles, Dawn Approach, George Washington and Refuse To Bend)
3/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Won 2 or more times before
8/12 – Yet to race at the track
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won over a mile before
6/12 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.35 – Ladbrokes Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won at least twice before
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Unplaced last time out
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times
7/13 – Winners from a double-figure draw
7/13 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
Northern Express won the race in 2023

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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2000 Guineas Trends 2025

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The now Betfred-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day. Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2024 running of the 2000 Guineas was won by the Charlie Appleby-trained Notable Speech with William Buick riding.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 3rd May 2025.

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 14 of the last 23 winners of the 2,000 Guineas came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2024 - Notable Speech (16/1)
2023 - Chaldean (7/2)
2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
21/23 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/23 – Having their first run of the season
15/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
5/23 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes
3/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016
- Trainer John Gosden has never won the 2000 Guineas

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1000 Guineas Trends 2025

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First run back in 1814, the Betfred 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

The 2023 running of the 1000 Guineas was won by Godolphin's Mawj and trained by Saeed Bin Suroor. A win that provided the 'boys in blue' with their fourth win in the fillies' classic.

While last year the race was won by the Roger Varian-trained Elmalka - which gave the yard and jockey Silvestre de Sousa their first wins in the race.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2025 renewal – run on Sunday 4th May

1000 Guineas Key Stat - 21 of the last 23 winners of the 1,000 Guineas finished in the top three last time out?

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2024 - Elmalka (28/1)
2023 - Mawj (9/1)
2022 - Cachet (16/1)
2021 - Mother Earth (10/1)
2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/23 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/23 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
11/23 – Favourites unplaced
10/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/23 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/23 – Previous Group One winners
4/23 – Won by a US bred horse
4/23 – Won by the favourite
4/23– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

 

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