2024 Becher Chase Trends

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The Becher Chase is run at Aintree racecourse over the historic Grand National-style fences and, therefore, provides punters with some early-season clues ahead of the world’s most famous steeplechase.

Run over the 3m2f the race has been won six times by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, while Silver Birch and Amberleigh House are recent winners of the Becher Chase then went on later in their careers to land the Grand National too.

In 2022, the Dan Skelton-trained Ashtown Lad won the race, while in 2023 Chambard won at 18/1 under jockey Lucy Turner as she became the first female winning rider in the race.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2024 renewal - on Saturday 7th December.

Recent Becher Chase Winners

2023 - CHAMBARD (18/1)
2022 – ASHTOWN LAD (5/1)
2021 – SNOW LEOPARDESS (4/1 fav)
2020 - VIEUX LION ROUGE (12/1)
2019 – WALK IN THE MILL (8/1)
2018 – WALK IN THE MILL (10/1)
2017 – BLAKLION (7/4 fav)
2016 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1 fav)
2015 – HIGHLAND LODGE (20/1)
2014 – OSCAR TIME (25/1)
2013 – CHANCE DU ROY (14/1)
2012 – HELLO BUD (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – HELLO BUD (15/2 fav)
2009 – VIC VENTURI (7/1)
2008 – BLACK APALACHI (15/2)
2007 – MR POINTMENT (15/2)
2006 – EUROTREK (25/1)
2005 – GARVIVONNIAN (33/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (4/1 fav)
2003 – CLAN ROYAL (11/2)
2002 – ARDENT SCOUT (14/1)

Becher Chase Betting Trends

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/22 - Trained by David Pipe (2 of the last 8)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

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2024 Tingle Creek Chase Trends

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Run over 2m the Betfair-sponsored Tingle Creek Chase will be staged this year at Sandown Park racecourse on 3rd December and is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season – with Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Sire de Grugy (2013), Dodging Bullets (2014) and Altior (2018) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season.

Paul Nicholls has won the Tingle Creek a massive 12 times, while in 2023 the Nicky Henderson-trained Jonbon won the prize.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2024 renewal - run on Saturday 7th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2023 - JONBON (30/100 fav)
2022 – EDWARDSTONE (5/1)
2021 – GREANETEEN (12/1)
2020 - POLITOLOGUE (11/8 fav)
2019 – DEFI DU SEUIL (2/1 fav)
2018 – ALTIOR (8/13 fav)
2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

21/22 – Aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/22 – Had won a Grade One chase before
18/22 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
17/22 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
16/22 – Placed favourites
16/22 – French bred
16/22 – Officially rated 165 or higher
15/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
14/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/22 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
14/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
13/22 – Won last time out
11/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
6/22 - Won by a past winner
6/22 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/4

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

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2024 Peterborough Chase Trends

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Staged at Huntingdon racecourse over 2m 4½f the Peterborough Chase is a Grade Two chase run in December each year. The contest often attracts some decent names from the jumping world, with horses like Edredon Bleu, Best Mate, Racing Demon and Monet’s Garden all recent previous winners of the valuable race.

The event has also been a fair guide for that season’s Ryanair Chase, run at the Cheltenham Festival, with seven winners going onto finish 7th or better in that contest – including the 2019 winner – Josses Hill, who ended up 5th in the Ryanair Chase.

Trainer Henrietta Knight, who is now retired, has dominated the race in recent times with a staggering 8 victories since 1998, while Nicky Henderson landed the spoils four times back in the nineties, and more recently in 2013 with Riverside Theatre, in 2016 with Josses Hill and in 2017 & 2019 with Top Notch.

However, Henderson added to those successes in 2020 too and equalled Knight’s haul of 8 Peterborough Chase wins, when the 6 year-old, Mister Fisher won the prize, with the race re-routed to Cheltenham.

In 2021, the Kim Bailey runner First Flow won the Peterborough Chase, while Paul Nicholls took the 2022 won the race with Pic D’Orhy. The 2023 was called off.

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton looks back at recent winners and highlights the key trends ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Sunday 8th December.

Recent Peterborough Chase Winners

2023 - No race
2022 – Pic D’Orhy (9/4)
2021 – First Flow (12/1)
2020 - Mister Fisher (9/2)
2019 – Top Notch (15/8 fav)
2018 – Charbel (13/8 fav)
2017 – Top Notch (4/9 fav)
2016 – Josses Hill (7/4 fav)
2015 – Al Ferof (9/4)
2014 – Wishfull Thinking (13/2)
2013 – Riverside Theatre (9/4 fav)
2012 – Menorah (7/2)
2011 – Gauvain (15/2)
2010 – Tartak (11/4)
2009 – Deep Purple (12/1)
2008 – Monet’s Garden (5/1)
2007 – Racing Demon (1/4 fav)
2006 – Racing Demon (13/8 jfav)
2005 – Impek (5/1)
2004 – Le Roi Miguel (15/8 fav)
2003 – Jair du Cochet (10/3)
2002 – Best Mate  (8/15 fav)

Peterborough Chase Betting Trends

19/21 – Had won a race at Grade 2 or higher before
18/21 – Came from the first three in the betting
18/21 – Had won (fences) over at least 2m4f before
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Officially rated 155 or higher
17/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Either Irish (9) or French (8) bred
15/21 – Placed fifth or better last time out
15/21 – Placed favourites
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
15/21 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/21 – Had between 1-2 previous runs already that season
11/21 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/21 – Former Grade 1 chase winners
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Went onto finish 7th or better (no winners) in that season’s Ryanair Chase
5/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 wins in total)
3/21 – Ran at Aintree in the Old Roan Chase last time out
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/21 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2002 Best Mate, Gold Cup)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/3

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Newbury, the 2020 running was staged at Cheltenham

 

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2025 Cotswold Chase Trends

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Run at Cheltenham racecourse – normally in the third week of January at their Trials Meeting – the Cotswold Chase is run over a trip of 3m 1 ½ furlongs. The race is deemed as another Cheltenham Gold Cup trial, but maybe only in name as the last horse to land both races in the same season was Looks Like Trouble in 2000, while Master Oats also landed both races back in 1995.

In 2023 we saw the Lucinda Russell-trained Ahoy Senor win the race and in 2024 Willie Mullins won the race for the first time - when his Capodanno landed the prize.

We take a look back at past winners of the Cotswold Chase and give you all the stats that mater ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 25th January.

Cotswold Chase Past Winners

 

2024 – Capodanno (7/2)
2023 – Ahoy Senor (13/2)
2022 – Chantry House (5/6 fav)
2021 - Native River (13/2)
2020 – Santini (13/8 fav)
2019 – Frodon (9/4)
2018 – Definitly Red (7/1)
2017 – Many Clouds (8/1)
2016 – Smad Place (9/2)
2015 – Many Clouds (4/1)
2014 – The Giant Bolster (6/1)
2013 - Cape Tribulation (7/1)
2012 – Midnight Chase (11/2)
2011 – Neptune Collonges (11/2)
2010 – Taranis (16/1)
2009 – Joe Lively (11/1)
2008 – Knowhere (16/1)
2007 – Exotic Dancer (6/1)
2006 – See You Sometime (18/1)
2005 – Grey Abbey (10/3)
2004 – Jair Du Cochet (11/4)

Cotswold Chase Betting Trends

21/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
20/21 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (10 had won)
19/21 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
19/21 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
17/21 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
16/21 – Priced 7/1 or less
14/21 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (6) last time
11/21 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
10/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
7/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/21 - Won by the Henderson yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 - Won by the Tizzard yard
2/21 – Favourites
1/21 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/21 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
10 of the last 17 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 7/1
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

 

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2025 Clarence House Betting Trends

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Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

**The 2024 Clarence House Chase was cancelled (20th Jan), but will now be staged on Saturday 27th Jan at Cheltenham**

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old. The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015, plus most recently Altior in 2019.

The Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux also made the race his own by landing three of the last 8 renewals.

The 2023 running was won by Editeur Du Gite and the Gary Moore yard - their second win in the contest since 2014 and was also staged at Cheltenham. While last year Elixir De Nutz won - beating the red hot favourite Jonbon.

Trainers Nicky Henderson (6) and Paul Nicholls (5) has also won the race 11 times between them and– as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken three of the last 9 runnings.

Here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year due to be run on Saturday 18th January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2024 – ELIXIR DE NUTZ (22/1)
2023 – EDITEUR DU GITE (14/1)
2022 – SHISHKIN (5/6 fav)
2021 - FIRST FLOW (14/1)
2020 – DEFI DU SEUIL (11/10 jfav)
2019 – ALTIOR (1/10 fav)
2018 – UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Trends

21/21 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
21/21 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
19/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
18/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
18/21 – Favourites placed
17/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/21 – Won their last race
15/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
14/21 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
13/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/21 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
12/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/21 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/21 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets)
4/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 6 times in all)
4/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 9)
2/21– Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by the Gary Moore stable
Since 1989 there have only been 4 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (32 runnings) there have been 13 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005, 2013, 2017, 2023 & 2024 – Renewals at Cheltenham

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2024 Coral Gold Cup Trends

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Run at Newbury racecourse over 3m 2 1/2f the Coral Gold Cup (formerly the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) is handicap race this gives National Hunt fans the chance to see some of the best longer distance chasers pit their wits against horses of varied abilities.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2024 renewal.

Did you know - 20 of the last 22 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger?

Recent Coral Gold Cup Chase Winners

2023 – DATSALRIGHTGINO (16/1)
2022 – LE MILOS (9/2 fav)
2021 – CLOUDY GLEN (33/1)
2020 - CLOTH CAP (9/1)
2019 – DE RASHER COUNTER (12/1)
2018 – SIZING TENNESSEE (12/1)
2017 – TOTAL RECALL (9/2 fav)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (7/2 fav)
2015 – SMAD PLACE (7/1)
2014 – MANY CLOUDS (8/1)
2013 – TRIOLO D’ALENE (20/1)
2012 – BOBS WORTH (4/1 fav)
2011 – CARRUTHERS (10/1)
2010 – DIAMOND HARRY (6/1)
2009 – DENMAN (11/4 fav)
2008 – MADISON du BERLAIS (25/1)
2007 – DENMAN (5/1)
2006 – STATE OF PLAY (10/1)
2005 – TRABOLGAN (13/2)
2004 – CELESTIAL GOLD (9/4 fav)
2003 – STRONG FLOW (5/1 jfav)
2002 - GINGEMBRE (16/1)

Coral Gold Cup Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/22 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
17/22 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
15/22 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
15/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 – Rated between 140 and 151
14/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/22 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/22 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/22 – Won last time out
11/22 – Ran at either Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (2018 Sizing Tennessee, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (33 runnings) there have been 16 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 30th Nov 2024

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Another massive horse racing Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup (former Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 23 of the last 25 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:54 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shaker’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
All of the last 8 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
6 of the last 8 winners carried 11st 1lb or more in weight
The last 4 winners returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7 of the last 8 winners aged 6 or 7
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Dan Skelton
2 of the last 8 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (both joint) in the last 7 years
4 of the last 5 winners aged 7 years-old

2.25 - Coral Racing Club Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
17/18 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
14/18 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
13/18 – Irish, French or German bred
12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/18 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Newbury before
9/18 – Aged 5 years-old
7/18 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 17 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

3.00 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

20/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/22 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
17/22 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
15/22 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
15/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 – Rated between 140 and 151
14/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/22 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/22 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/22 – Won last time out
11/22 – Ran at either Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (Sizing Tennessee 2018, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (33 runnings) there have been 16 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

3:35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The-Post’ And Win Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

20/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/22 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/22 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
12/22 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
12/22 – Placed in their last race
11/22 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 8 runnings – including the last two
11 of the last 18 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:10 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

23/23 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
20/23 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
19/ 23 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
19/23 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/23 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
7/23 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (7 of last 16) (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/24 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 10)
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 11/2

3:20 – BetMGM Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m ITV

19/19 – Didn’t win their last race
16/19 – Irish bred
16/19 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
14/19 – Unplaced last time out
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/19 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
5/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 7 runnings (3 in total)
9 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or older
L'Homme Presse (9/4 fav) won the race in 2022
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

 

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2024 Long Distance Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the Long Distance hurdle is often a fair guide ahead of the Stayers' Hurdle, run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season.

Run over 3m the race often attracts the best staying hurdlers around – The last horse to win both the Lond Distance and Stayers' Hurdle in the same season was Thistlecrack in 2016/17.

12 months ago, the race was won by Dashel Drasher, who is back for more in 2024. If he wins again, will become the oldest ever winner of this Newbury race.

We take a look back at past runnings of the Long Distance hurdle and also give you the main trends to apply to the race – use these stats to find the best recent winning profiles of winners. this year run on Friday 29th November 2024

Long Distance Hurdle Trends (ITV4)

17/22 – Grade One winner over hurdles
17/22 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
15/22 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
15/22 – Placed favourites
15/22 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
14/22 – Ran at either Aintree (8) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
14/22 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
12/22 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
12/22 – Winning favourites
12/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – French bred
8/22 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/22 – Went onto win that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
7/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/22 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 15 renewals)
7 of the last 10 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

Recent Long Distance Hurdle Winners

2023 – DASHEL DRASHER (2/1)
2022 – CHAMP (11/8 fav)
2021 – THOMAS DARBY (7/1)
2020 – THYME HILL (7/2)
2019 – PAISLEY PARK (8/15 fav)
2018 - UNOWWHATIMEANHARRY (11/4 fav)
2017 – BEER GOOGLES (40/1)
2016 – UNOWWHATIMEANHARRY (7/2)
2015 – THISTLECRACK (7/2)
2014 – MEDINAS (8/1)
2013 – CELESTIAL HALO (7/2)
2012 – BIG BUCK’S (1/12 fav)
2011 – BIG BUCK’S (1/8 fav)
2010 – BIG BUCK’S (2/7 fav)
2009 – BIG BUCK’S (2/5 fav)
2008 – DUC DE REGNIERE (9/1)
2007 – INGLIS DREVER (15/8 fav)
2006 – INGLIS DREVER (15/8 fav)

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 23rd Nov 2024

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More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – CopyBet 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

18/21 – Aged 8 or younger
18/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
16/21 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
15/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/21 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
13/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
13/21 – Ran at Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (8) last time out
11/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/21 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
10/21 - Won last time out
9/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/21 – Aged 5 years-old
3/21 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/21 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, Ryanair Chase 2009 & 2016)
Pic D’Orhy (5/2) won this in 2023

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

2.45 - Howden Ascot Hurdle Race (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

22/22 – Priced 4/1 or less
20/22 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
19/22 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
18/22 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (6) bred horse
16/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won their latest race
13/22 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
14/22 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
12/22 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/22 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/22 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/22 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/22 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
5/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 18 winners were Irish-trained
3/22 - Trained by Harry Fry (3 of the last 9)
2/22 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
Blueking d’Oroux won the race in 2023
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.20 – Lay & Wheeler Hurst Park Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

17/18 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
17/18 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
16/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Rated 142 or higher
11/18 – Carried 11-0 or more
11/18 – Had raced at Ascot before
10/18 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
10/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Aged 6 years-old
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke (3 of the last 7)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 6)
2/18 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/18 – Trained by Harry Fry (last 2)
Boothill (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2022

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/12 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/12 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Evan Williams
Park Annonciade (3/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

13/13 – 0-2 wins over fences
12/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
12/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/13 – Rated between 144-149
9/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 of the last 10)
9/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/13 – 0-2 runs over fences before
7/13 - Winning favourites
6/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (4 of the last 8)
3/13 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 10)

2.30 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

17/19– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
16/19 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
16/19 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/19 – Rated between 132 and 144
12/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
12/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – French bred
6/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/19 – Trained by David Pipe
4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)

3.05 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

19 Previous runnings
17/19 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
16/19 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (12) bred horse
15/19 - Won a Grade One chase previously
14/19 - Placed in the top three in their last race
14/19 - Raced at Haydock previously
13/19 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
12/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Aged 8 or older
9/19 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/19 – Won their latest race
4/19 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 19 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner yet
11 of the last 12 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

3.40 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

13/13 - Aged 9 or younger
12/13 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
12/13 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/13 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/13 - Irish (8) or French (3) bred
10/13 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Won a race over at least 3m before
8/13 - Had run at Haydock before
8/13 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
8/13 - Placed favourites
7/13 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/13 - Won last time out
4/13 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)

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2024 Betfair Chase Trends

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Staged at Haydock Park racecourse the Betfair Chase (Registered as the Lancashire Chase) is a Grade One race and is run over a slightly longer trip (3m1f). The contest is a fairly new one, being first run in 2005 and takes place in November each season.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has made the race his own, winning the decent prize 6 times in the last 16 years, including four times with Kauto Star, while the popular grey Bristol De Mai has landed the pot three times in the last 7 years and giving his trainer – Nigel Twiston-Davies – his fourth success in the contest. While the Tizzard yard is another to have on your radar - they’ve won four of the last 11.

In 2022 we saw the Dan Skelton-trained Protektorat win the race in easy fashion to give the Dan Skelton yard their first win in the race and last year in 2023 it was the Venetia Williams-trianed Royale Pagaille that won for popular owner Rich Ricci.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal - this year run on Saturday 23rd November.

Recent Betfair Chase Winners

2023 - ROYALE PAGAILLE (5/1)
2022 - PROTEKTORAT (15/2)
2021 – A PLUS TARD (11/10 fav)
2020 - BRISTOL DE MAI (9/4)
2019 - LOSTINTRANSLATION (5/4 fav)
2018 – BRISTOL DE MAI (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/10 fav)
2016 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2015 – CUE CARD (7/4)
2014 - SILVINIACO CONTI (10/3)
2013 – CUE CARD (9/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (7/4)
2011 – KAUTO STAR (6/1)
2010 – IMPERIAL COMMANDER (10/11 fav)
2009 – KAUTO STAR (4/6 fav)
2008 – SNOOPY LOOPY (33/1)
2007 – KAUTO STAR (4/5 fav)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (11/10 fav)
2005 – KINGSCLIFF (8/1)

Key Betfair Chase Betting Trends

19 Previous runnings
17/19 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
16/19 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (12) bred horse
15/19 - Won a Grade One chase previously
14/19 - Placed in the top three in their last race
14/19 - Raced at Haydock previously
13/19 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
12/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Aged 8 or older
9/19 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/19 – Won their latest race
4/19 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 19 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner yet
11 of the last 12 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 17th November 2024

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Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (17th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting - including the Unibet Greatwood Hurdle - a race trainer Dan Skelton has won twice since 2016. While 12 months ago we saw the Nicky Henderson runner Iberico Lord take the prize.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – mallardjewellers.com Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
9/9 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 - French or Irish-bred winners
8/9 - Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/9 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 - Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/9 - Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles)
5/9 - Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

2:20 - Three Counties Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 2m ITV

20/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Raced at Cheltenham before
18/21 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
17/21 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
17/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
12/21 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/21 – Favourites placed
12/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
11/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/21 - Having their first run of the season
8/21 – French-bred horse
5/21 – Favourites that won
4/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/21 – Won their most recent race
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
0/21 – Irish-trained winners
3 of the last 11 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The last 7 winners have carried 10-12 or more

2.55 – Holland Copper Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

20/22 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
20/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
19/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Aged 8 or younger
14/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/22 – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Irish bred
10/22 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
9/22 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/22 – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
8/22 – French bred
3/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/22 – Trained by Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8 years)
3/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10 years)
2/22 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 13 years)
The last 10 winners ALL carried 10-12 or more

3.30 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

20/22 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
18/22 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
16/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
15/22 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/22 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
12/22 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/22 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/22 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 7)
2/22 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
6 of the last 14 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

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2024 Greatwood Hurdle Trends

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The Greatwood Hurdle is stage each year in November at the Cheltenham Open Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

In 2023 we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Iberico Lord win the race for top owner JP McManus.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2024 renewal - this year run on Sunday 17th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2023 - IBERICO LORD (7/1)
2022 - I LIKE TO MOVE IT (17/2)
2021 - WEST CORK (11/1)
2020 - THE SHUNTER (13/2)
2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

20/22 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
18/22 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
16/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/22 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/22 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/22 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
12/22 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/22 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/22 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 7)
2/22 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
6 of the last 14 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 16th Nov 2024

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A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Newcastle.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 16th November 2024.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as the November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

12/13 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 - Finished first or second last time out
12/13 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
11/13 - Favourites placed in the first three
10/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
9/13 - Won last time out
8/13 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
6/13 - French bred
5/13 - Winning favourites
3/13 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
2/13 – Trained by Dan Skelton
The last 9 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2.20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

2.55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

20/22 – Aged 7 or younger
19/22 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
15/22 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
16/22 – Irish bred
14/22 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (3) last time out
14/22 – Officially rated 126 to 137
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/22 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 16 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3.30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV4

17/19 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/19 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Irish-bred winners
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/19 – Favourites unplaced
6/19 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – French bred winners
5/19 - Winning favourites
3/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 11 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 15 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkySports Racing/ITV)

3:15 – BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

16/18 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/18– Rated between 102 and 112
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/18 – Favourites placed in the top two
12/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/18 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/18 – Placed last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 9)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower
Note: Previous runs staged at Lingfield (from 2023)

3.48 – BetUK Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

16/17 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 4 or older
13/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Won 5 or more times before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
Willem Twee (3/1) won the race in 2023
Note: Previous runs staged at Lingfield (from 2023)

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 15th Nov 24)

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase and the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (15th Nov 2024).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 15th November 2024

1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 5-8
10/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
9/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
7/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by the Tizzard yard
Springwell Bay won at this meeting 12 months ago

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Officially rated 150+
13/15 – Won on seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/15 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
10/15 – Aged 7 or older
9/15 – Failed to win last time out
8/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – German bred
3/15 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023

2.55 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f ITV4

20/20 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
17/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
16/20 – Either Irish (10) or French (6) bred
14/20 – Unplaced in their last race
14/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
14/20 – Had a recent run that season
14/20 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
14/20 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (9 won)
14/20 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/20 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/20 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
7/20 – Favourites that won (5 of the last 11)
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-2 or less in weight
8 of the last 11 winners aged 8 or older
The last 8 winners carried between 10st – 10st 12lbs
4 of the last 11 runnings won by a previous winner
Martin Keighley and Sean Bowen have teamed up to win 2 of the last 3
The Philip Hobbs yard have won 2 of the last 11 runnings
Back On The Lash won the race in 2021 and 2023

3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

19/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
18/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
14/19 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
14/19 – Aged 5 years-old
13/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
13/19 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
13/19 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Won just once before (under rules)
6/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2023 we saw the Paul Nicholls-trained Stage Star win the race with jockey Harry Cobden surviving a last-fence blunder to give the yard their third Paddy Power.

We take a look at the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 16th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

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