As we head into day two of the 2025 Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday ^12th July 2025

1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
13/18 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/18 – Trained by the Johnston yard (including 7 of last 12 runnings)
8/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
2/18 – Winning favourites
The last 8 winners drawn 6 or lower
50% of the last 6 winners drawn in stall 6

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had raced at least twice before
19/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
19/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Foaled in Feb or March
17/21 – Won by a UK-based yard
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Drawn in stall 1 (3 of the last 6)
3/21 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 9)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 10 winners drawn in stall 7
8 of the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just 7 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021 and 2023
The Johnston yard won this race in 2019, 2020 and 2022
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Andrew Balding yard won this race in 2024
Godolphin have won 3 of the 7 past runnings
7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/7 – Aged 4 or 6
5/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/7 – Aged 4 years-old
3/7 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/7 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 4)
2/7 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 4)
1/7 – Just 1 winning 5 year-old

3.35 - Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

22/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
21/23 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
19/23 – Had 2+ runs that season
18/23– Won over at least 1m previously
18/23 – Won from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
17/23 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Favourites placed
9/23 – Previous Group One winners
8/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
7/23 – Won their last race
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 13 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 11 runnings)
2/23 – French-trained winners
Trainer Charlie Appleby has never won the race
Godolphin have never won the race
4 of the last 9 winners Irish-trained
Since 1979 all bar 2 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
The last horse to win aged 5 or older was Soviet Song (2005)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 4 (6)
8 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Porta Fortuna (10/11) won this race in 2024
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 winners (2016 Alice Springs & 2017 Roly Poly)

 

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