It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – one of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with five Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.
So as always - here at Geegeez - Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)
12:55 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV
20/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
18/23 – Won at least 5 times previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
16/23 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/23 – Raced at least 5 times that season
12/23 – Won their latest race
11/23 – Raced at Longchamp (5), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/23 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 14)
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10) (4 total)
2/23 – Trained by Dermot Weld
John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 8
All 139 runners in the race over the years trained in UK or Ireland
Trawlerman won the race in 2023
No 3 year-old winner since 2009
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
1:30 – Qipco British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 33% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 26% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer George Boughey is just 1 from 23 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 4 from 71 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
2:05 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
21/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
21/23 – Won over 6f previously
21/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/23 – Raced at least 4 times that season
19/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
18/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (4 won)
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
15/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/23 – Raced at Haydock (9), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
13/23 – Favourites placed
5/23 – Won their latest race
5/23 – Favourites that won
3/23 - Trained by James Fanshawe (3 of the last 14)
2024 Winner: Kind Of Blue (10/1)
2023 Winner: Art Power (40/1)
All winners since 1960 aged 6 or younger
Last back-to-back winner 1958/59 (Jack and Jill)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners returned double-figures
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 17
The last 45 horses (since 2011) have worn headgear have all lost
Since 2011: 4 of the last 14 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 7 of the last 13 winners came from single-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
2:45 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV
17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
16/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
14/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Aged 3 years-old
12/17 – Won over 1m4f previously
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Returned between 10/3 and 6/1
8/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites that won
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 11)
William Buick has won 2 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
2024 Winner: Kalpana (100/30 fav)
Since 2011 – no winners from stalls 1, 3, 5 or 7
The last 10 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 8-12 (inc)
4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 11
No winners from stalls 1-5 in the last 10 runnings
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket
3:25 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV
22/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
21/23 – Finished in the top three in their last race
20/23 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
20/23 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
19/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
18/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Won their latest race
12/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (7 won)
10/23 – Won at least 7 times previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by the Roger Varian yard (2 of the last 3)
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding, 2016)
2024 Winner: Charyn (13/8 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
4 of the last 101 winners were French-trained
13 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
6 of the last 8 came between stalls 6-8
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
4:05 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV
22/23 – Won at least 4 times previously
20/23 – Aged 5 or younger
20/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
20/23 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
19/23 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
17/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/23 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Raced at either Longchamp (7) or Goodwood (3) last time out
9/23 – Returned a double-figure price
8/23 – Favourites unplaced
7/23 – Favourites
5/23 – Won by a French-based trainer
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 8)
Just 3 Irish-trained winners since 1974
6 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 or lower
2024 Winner: Anmaat (40/1)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
4:40 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV
9/11 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 - Aged 5 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/11 - Winning favourite
1/11 – Winning 3 year-old (32 have tried)
2023 Winner: Carrytheone
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Trainers Michael Bell, Charlie Johnston, William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners stall 4
Trainer John Gosden is yet to win the race – but had five seconds
================================================
FROMTHESTABLES.com
GET THE BEST DAILY TRAINER INFO FROM 18 TOP STABLES - Sent direct to your in-box!
**SPECIAL OFFER** TRY US FOR JUST £1 (for first month)!!
==================================================