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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Nov 2019

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.35 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 7 or younger
6/6 – Irish bred
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Yet to win over fences
3/6 – Aged 6 year-old
2/6 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

 

2.10 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

13/16 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
11/16 – Irish (5) or French (6) bred
11/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/16 – Having their first run of the new season
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/16 – Rated 130 or lower
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/16 – Won carrying 11-12
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


2.45 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
13/15 – Never raced at Ascot before
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/15 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
5/15 – Won by a French bred horse
3/15 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/15 – Won by trainer Alan King, including last two renewals
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/15 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
6 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 years-old.
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


3.20 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

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14/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
11/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/14 – Aged 8 or older
8/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/14 – Having their first run of the season
8/14 – Unplaced in their last race
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/14 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.20 bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just one previous running
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running
Trainer Philip Kirby has a 45% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 31% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 21% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 34% record riding over fences at the track

 

1.55 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/12 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
11/12 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
10/12 – Having their first run of the season
9/12 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
6/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/12 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by John Quinn
Lady Buttons (7/2) won this race in 2018 and was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

 

3.05 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
16/17 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
14/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
9/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/17 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/17 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.40 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/17 – Were having their first run of the season
15/17 – Rated 151 or higher
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/17 – Aged 8 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/17 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Had run at Wetherby before (3 won)
6/17  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (5 wins in total)
2/17 – Trained by Evan Williams
Definitly Red (3/1) won the race in 2018
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th July 2019

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

Saturday 27th July 2019

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won just once before
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/16 – Won over 6f before
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/16 – Winning favourite
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 13 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 1
Angel’s Hideaway (11/4) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Carried 8-8 or more
6/8 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/8 – Had won just once before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Winning favourite
Sunny Speed (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

3.00 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
13/16 – Favourites unplaced
12/16 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/16 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/16 – Winning favourites
Burnt Sugar (20/1) won the race in 2018
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 9 years
10 of the last 12 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
8 of the last 12 winners finished in the top 5 last time out

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.40 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/17 – aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run Ascot before
10/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won at Ascot before
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 5 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 7/2

 

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Skybet 'Get Knotted' Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-3 or more
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Had won at York before
5/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
4/11 – Rated between 73 and 80
3/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/11 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race in 2016, 2017 & 2018

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 2-6 times before
13/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had run at York before
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 or more
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/13 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/13 – Rated between 112 and 117
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Aged 6 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Thundering Blue (5/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2019

With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.35 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.10 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won this race in 2018

2.45 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

3.55 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.25 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

1.45 Betway Heedyourhunch Handicap Chase 2m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 8 or younger
2/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 1 from 14 with his chasers at the track

3.00 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS (ITV4)

2.30 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
10/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Rated 150 or lower
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Jan 2019

It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
8/9 – From the top 4 in the betting
8/9 – Later ran in that season’s OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/9 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
7/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/9 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
6/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Won their last race
5/9 – Winning Favourites
4/9 – French bred
3/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/9 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/9 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.25 – Matchbook Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

9/11 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/11 – Officially rated 139 or higher
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/11 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/11 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/11 – Had raced at Ascot previously
5/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
3/11 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/11 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/11 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/11 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/12 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
8/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged 8 or younger
6/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
6/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/12 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/12 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

3.35 – Matchbook Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

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16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Favourites that won
8/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (28 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
12/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won their last race
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/12 – French bred
2/12 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/12 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/4
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – The New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
13/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/13 – Finished in the top three in their last race
11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
11/13 -  From the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
10/13 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (5) last time out
7/13 – Aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 2/1

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/15 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
14/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
13/15 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/15 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/15 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/15 – Won at Haydock previously
10/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/15 – Favourites unplaced
9/15 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/15 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/15 – Won over fences at Haydock before
6/15 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/15 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/15 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/15 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th October 2016

It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – As normal Andy Newton’s covered all the LIVE C4 races from a trends & stats angle.

 

tvtrends-300x73

 

 


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4)


1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m CH4

12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Won at Listed or better class previously
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Aged 5 or older
9/14 – Raced at least 5 times that season
9/14 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
9/14 – Won at least 5 times previously
7/14 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (2) last time out
6/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/14 – Won their latest race
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
Forgotten Rules won the race in 2014
Since 2011: 4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 3 of the last 4
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

 

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2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

13/14 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/14 – Won over 6f previously
13/14 – Raced at least 4 times that season
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
13/14 – Won at least 3 times previously
12/14 – Won at Listed or better class previously
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/14 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
10/14 – Won a Group race previously
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
9/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Raced at Haydock (4), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Won their latest race
4/14 – Favourites that won
Since 2011: 4 of the last 5 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 5 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 4 of the last 5 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6.3/1

Note:
The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket


2.35 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/8 – Won over 1m4f previously
7/8 – Won at Listed or better class previously
6/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
6/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
6/8 – Won at least 3 times previously
6/8 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
5/8 – Rated 110 or higher
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Aged 3 years-old
4/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/8 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/8 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1
Simple Verse won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket


3.10 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

14/14 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
14/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
14/14 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/14 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
12/14 – Finished in the top three in their last race
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Raced at Ascot previously (5 won)
8/14 – Won their latest race
7/14 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/14 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
6/14 – Favourites that won
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stall 4 have finished second 3 times

Note:
The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket


3.45 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f CH4

14/14 – Won at least 4 times previously
13/14 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
13/14 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
12/14 – Won over 1m2f previously
12/14 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
10/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/14 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Raced at either Longchamp (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/14 – Favourites unplaced
6/14 – Returned a double-figure price
3/14 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/14 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/14 – Favourites
Fascinating Rock won the race 12 months ago
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stall 8 have been second the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 8/1


4.25 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both previous winners aged 5 years-old
No winning favourite
Horses from stalls 12 and 13 have both been placed in the last 2 runnings
GM Hopkins was 2nd in the race 12 months ago
Master The World was 3rd in the race 12 months ago
Bronze Angel (Marcus Tregoning) won the race in 2014

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Cascading Stars ran her best race for a while last time out & this looks a similar type of race. We have never tried her on ground quite this soft but think she will handle it, so if she gets a good position from her draw then we believe she can get involved again & is a decent each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

06/10/16 2nd 11/1

"Amathyst - Got slightly hampered on her last run, down a furlong and a grade and has place chances."
Mick Appleby

06/10/16 1st 4/1

Sat TV Trends: 3rd Sept 2016

Plenty going on this Saturday – As always horse racing stats man, Andy Newton’s, got all the TV trends – this week from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton….....

 

tvtrends-300x73


 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)


3.00 - Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Won over 1m or further before
11/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/12 – Had won a Listed or better race before
9/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Had won at Haydock before
3/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1


3.30 - 32 Red Casino (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f CH4

12/13 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/13 – Had won at least twice before
11/13 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/13 – Had run 4 or more times that season
11/13 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Rated 90 to 101
9/13 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
8/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/13 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
6/13 – Ran at Haydock before
6/13 – Had run over 1m6f before
5/13 – Ran at York last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1


4.00 - 32 Red Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

10/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/13 – Rated 90+
10/13 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
10/13 – Previous winners over 5f
9/13 – Had 9 or more previous runs that season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
8/13 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Carried 8-11 or less
2/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Dandy Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/1
Kickboxer won the race in 2014
Confessional won the race in 2013

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4.30 - 32 Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

12/14 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
12/14 - Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Rated 111 or higher
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/14 –Had 4 or more runs that season
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/14 – Had run at Haydock before (2 had won)
4/14 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)


2.40 – Albert Bartlett Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Had run at the course before
5/5 – Had won over 7f before
5/5 – Irish bred
5/5 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
5/5 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/5 – Rated between 95-97
4/5 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/5 – Unplaced last time out
3/5 – Aged 5 years-old
2/5 – Winners from stall 12
0/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 12/1


3.10 - Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/6 – Rated between 85-95
5/6 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
4/6 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/6 – Had won just once before
4/6 – Horses placed from stall 10
4/6 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
3/6 – Returned a double-figure price
3/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Won by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/6 – Winning favourites (1 co)
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat


Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

3.45 - totescoop6 September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Had won between 4-7 times before
7/10 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
7/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
5/10 – Had run at Kempton before
4/10 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/10 – Ran at York (2) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winners from stall 2
3/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Winning favourites
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

4.15 - totepool London Mile Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m CH4

10/10 – Had run at Kempton before
9/10 – Had won over a mile before
9/10 – Won between 3-7 times before
8/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/10 – Rated between 77-85
5/10 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Roger Teal
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 19.5/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"GUNS OF LEROS is an honest horse who has improved with the step up in trip. Has gone up for his recent win which I expected and this is reduced by Hector claiming off him so theoretically well-handicapped today. I hope GUNS OF LEROS can take this race today but there are several who are returning after a break with decent form so I shall be hoping they may need the run!"
Gary Moore

27/08/16 1st 5/2

"Princess Tansy - This horse is working very well at home at the moment and is a past CD winner here at the track. Was a nice second last time out and only a pound higher. But we also take off 7lbs with the jockey's claim here so I feel we've got a solid each-way chance today at a nice price."
Gay Kelleway

27/08/16 1st 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Dec 2015

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So to help you narrow down the fields Andy Newton returns with all the big-race trends, plus key jockey and trainer stats ahead of each race.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

7/7 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/7 – Aged 7 or older
6/7 – Officially Rated between 130-137
6/7 – Won at least twice over fences previously
6/7 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
5/7 – French bred
5/7 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – Won their last race
2/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/7 – Favourites

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is only 2 from 27 over fences here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

13/13 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/13 – Went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (4 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
12/13 – French-bred horse
11/13 – Placed in the top three in their last race
11/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/13 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
8/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/13 – Favourites that won
6/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 9/2

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Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running –Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Alan King has a +£60 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track
Gordon Elliott is 2 from 3 with his hurdles runners at the track
Nick Williams has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Willie Mullins has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 1-from-36 riding over hurdles at the track

3.00 – Sodexo Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

10/10 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/10 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/10 – Won by a French bred horse
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/10 – Ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/10 – Aged 7 years-old
4/10 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/10 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/10 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by Henry Daly
The Young Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Neil Mulholland has a 33% record with his chasers here
Nicky Henderson has a 28% record over fences here
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record over fences here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here
Barry Geraghty has a 30% record riding over fences here

3.35 – The Ladbroke (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/11 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Had raced within the last 2 months
8/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
7/11 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/11 – Carried 10-11 or more
6/11– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 15/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Harry Fry is 8 from 12 (67%) with his hurdlers at the track
Gordon Elliott is 2 from 3 with his hurdles runners at the track
Nick Williams has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 1 from 23 with his hurdlers here
Wayne Hutchinson has a 31% record riding over hurdlers here


Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – nationwidevehiclecontracts.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y CH4

8/8 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Had won 1-2 times over hurdles before
6/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/8 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
4/8 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Favourites
2/8 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Jonjo O’Neill is only 2 from 38 with his hurdlers at the track
Sue Smith is just 2 from 39 with his hurdlers at the track
Tom O’Brien has a 24% record riding over hurdles at the track

2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

8/8 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
7/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/8 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
5/8 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
3/8 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/8 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/8 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 13/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Tom George has a 20% record with his chasers at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is only 2 from 40 over fences here
Venetia Williams is just 4 from 48 over fences here
Note: All jockey and trainer stats correct as 18th Dec 15

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Oct 2015

It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot racecourse this Saturday – Like every weekend we've all the LIVE C4 races covered from a trends & stats angle.

Find those TV winners!

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4)

12.45 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/13 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
10/13 – Won at Listed or better class
9/13 – Aged 5 or older
9/13– Ran at least 5 times that season
8/13 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat
8/13 – Won at least 5 times before
7/13 – Ran at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (2) last time out
6/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Irish-trained winners
Forgotten Rules won the race 12 months ago
The average winning odds in the last 10 renewals is 13/2
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

1.20 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 –  Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won at least 3 times before
12/13 – Ran at least 4 times that season
11/13 – Won at Listed or better class previously
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 in their latest race
9/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (2 won)
9/13 – Won a Group race previously
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Ran at Haydock (4), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
Gordon Lord Byron won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

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1.55 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Ran 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Won over 1m4f before
6/7 – Won at Listed or better before
5/7 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
5/7 – Won at least 3 times before
5/7 – Ran within the last 9 weeks
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Rated 110 or higher
4/7 – Aged 3 years-old
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1
Madame Chiang won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

2.30 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Sponsored By Qipco (British Champions Mile) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Ran at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
13/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season
13/13 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
13/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/13 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (4 won)
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won at least 7 times before
6/13 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

3.05 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f CH4

13/13 – Won at least 4 times before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
12/13 – Won between 4 and 8 times before
11/13 – Won over 1m2f before
9/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Longchamp (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
3/13 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/13 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 8/1
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

3.45 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m CH4

Just 1 previous running
Bronze Angel (Marcus Tregoning) won the race 12 months ago
Peter Chapple-Hyam is 2 from 8 with his older horses here
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 4 from 76 with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 42 with his older horses here
Hughie Morrison is just 2 from 50 with his older horses here
David Simcock is just 2 from 53 with his older horses here

 

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