Tag Archive for: ascot horse racing trends

Ascot Champions Day Trends | Saturday 18th Oct 2025

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It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – one of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with five Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.

So as always - here at Geegeez - Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

12:55 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

20/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
18/23 – Won at least 5 times previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
16/23 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/23 – Raced at least 5 times that season
12/23 – Won their latest race
11/23 – Raced at Longchamp (5), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/23 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 14)
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10) (4 total)
2/23 – Trained by Dermot Weld
John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 8
All 139 runners in the race over the years trained in UK or Ireland
Trawlerman won the race in 2023
No 3 year-old winner since 2009
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

1:30 – Qipco British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 33% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 26% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer George Boughey is just 1 from 23 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 4 from 71 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot

2:05 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

21/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
21/23 – Won over 6f previously
21/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/23 – Raced at least 4 times that season
19/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
18/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (4 won)
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
15/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/23 – Raced at Haydock (9), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
13/23 – Favourites placed
5/23 – Won their latest race
5/23 – Favourites that won
3/23 - Trained by James Fanshawe (3 of the last 14)
2024 Winner: Kind Of Blue (10/1)
2023 Winner: Art Power (40/1)
All winners since 1960 aged 6 or younger
Last back-to-back winner 1958/59 (Jack and Jill)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners returned double-figures
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 17
The last 45 horses (since 2011) have worn headgear have all lost
Since 2011: 4 of the last 14 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 7 of the last 13 winners came from single-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

2:45 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
16/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
14/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Aged 3 years-old
12/17 – Won over 1m4f previously
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Returned between 10/3 and 6/1
8/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites that won
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 11)
William Buick has won 2 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
2024 Winner: Kalpana (100/30 fav)
Since 2011 – no winners from stalls 1, 3, 5 or 7
The last 10 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 8-12 (inc)
4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 11
No winners from stalls 1-5 in the last 10 runnings

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

3:25 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

 

22/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
21/23 – Finished in the top three in their last race
20/23 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
20/23 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
19/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
18/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Won their latest race
12/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (7 won)
10/23 – Won at least 7 times previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by the Roger Varian yard (2 of the last 3)
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding, 2016)
2024 Winner: Charyn (13/8 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
4 of the last 101 winners were French-trained
13 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
6 of the last 8 came between stalls 6-8
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

4:05 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

22/23 – Won at least 4 times previously
20/23 – Aged 5 or younger
20/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
20/23 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
19/23 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
17/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/23 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Raced at either Longchamp (7) or Goodwood (3) last time out
9/23 – Returned a double-figure price
8/23 – Favourites unplaced
7/23 – Favourites
5/23 – Won by a French-based trainer
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 8)
Just 3 Irish-trained winners since 1974
6 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 or lower
2024 Winner: Anmaat (40/1)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

4:40 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

9/11 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 - Aged 5 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/11 - Winning favourite
1/11 – Winning 3 year-old (32 have tried)
2023 Winner: Carrytheone
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Trainers Michael Bell, Charlie Johnston, William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners stall 4
Trainer John Gosden is yet to win the race – but had five seconds

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Oct 2025

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - as Inspiral looks to follow up her win in the race from last year.

Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 19 of the last 22 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

1.15 – McGee Group British EBF October Stakes (Listed Race) (C1) (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Between stalls 3-7
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 -Irish bred
4/10 – Had won at Ascot before
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
3/10 – Stall 7
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sunfall won the race in 2024

1.50 – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Won over 5f before
19/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20– Rated 101 or higher
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had won between 3-7 times before
12/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
9/20 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/20 – Irish bred
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
320 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Won last time out
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Rumstar won the race in 2024
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4+

2.25 – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/22 - Finished fourth or better last time out
19/22 – Placed favourites
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Had raced at the course before (8 won)
15/22 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/22 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/22 – Favourites to win
12/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (last 2)
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Al Qareem won the race in 2023 and 2024
Hamish won the race in 2022
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-7
14 of the last 16 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
16/16 – Officially rated 100 or higher
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Raced 6 or more times that season
6/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Favourites to win
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
2/16 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 & 8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Apollo One won the race in 2024
Annaf won the race in 2023
8 of the last 10 drawn between 3-8
6 of the last 10 from gates 5, 6 or 8 (2 each)
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 13 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 runnings

3.35 – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/22– Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/22 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/22 – Raced 7 or more times that season
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Won their previous race
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or younger
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 17
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

RELATED: 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/9 – Carried 9st or more
6/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Didn’t win last time out
4/9 – Won just once before
5/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian

2.05 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Foaled Feb or later
9/10 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
6/10 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Rated between 79-85
5/10 – Won just one before
4/10 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
2/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners foaled in March or April
4 of the last 9 winners went to a filly

2.40 – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/21 – Previous Group winners
15/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
14/21 – Won between 3-5 times before
14/21 – Rated between 113 and 119
14/21 – Previous Group One winners
11/21 – Aged 3 years-old
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9)
2/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
17 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 19 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 15
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings (3 in total)
Tamfana won the race in 2024

3.50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Cl2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

9/9 – Aged 3 or 5
8/9 – Between stalls 2-8
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/23 – Had won over 6f before
12/23 – Foaled in March or later
11/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Filly winners
6/23 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/23 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-8 (inc)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Aug 2025 – Ascot Shergar Cup, Haydock and Newmarket

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

14/16 – Failed to win their last race
14/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/16 – Had won over 5f previously
8/16 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 10 runnings)
3/16 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
7 of the last 9 winners aged 3-5
4/9 – Drawn in stall 7
Dream Composer was third in last 2 runnings

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Rated between 86-95
16/20 – Had raced at the track before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/20 – Won last time out
8 of the last 9 winners aged 5 or older
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
The last 8 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 16 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
17/20 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/20 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 1 (last 2)
4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Insanity (9/2) won the race last year

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
18/20 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/20 – Won over 6f previously
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/20 – Won between 2-3 times previously
14/20 – Officially rated between 86-95
14/20 – Came from the top three in the betting market
14/20 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/20 – Favourites placed
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
7/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Winning Favourites
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-5 or more
4 of the last 5 favourites won
4 of the last 5 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

14/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/15 – Officially rated between 84-92
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/15 – Favourites placed
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 5)
4/15 – Favourites that won
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 9 winners between stalls 6-9

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

19/20 – Won over at least a mile before
19/20 – Failed to win last time out
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Rated between 92-100
18/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
5/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 18 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 12
14 or the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 6 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times
9/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 94-100
7/14 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/14 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 7 winners aged 4
4 of the last 5 winners were drawn 1 or 2

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
20/22 – Officially rated 105 or higher
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/22 – Yet to run at Haydock
16/22 – Won 3 or more times during their career
16/22 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/22 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/22 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/22 – Finished unplaced in their last race
8/22 – Favourites that won (4 of the last ^)
3/22 – Won by Johnston yard
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6
The last 6 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 2 of the last 3
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 3 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022 and 2024

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

20/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
19/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
19/22 – Won just once previously
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/22 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/22 – Favourites placed
12/22 – Raced at Newmarket (8) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
11/22 – Won their last race
10/22 –  Favourites that won
8/22 – Yet to win over 7f
8/22 – Had just one previous run
5/22 – Won by Godolphin
3/22 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
7 of the last 18 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)

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Sat TV Trends: Ascot & York (12th July 2025)

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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a staggering ELEVEN LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One July Cup , plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2:22 – Cornish Orchards Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
Quddwah won the race last year (2024)
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

4:50 – Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

York Horse Racing Trends

2:00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

13/13 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
12/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 - Won over at least 1m before
12/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/13 - Irish bred
8/13 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/13 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/13 - Placed favourites
5/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 7/1
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023 and 2024

2:35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
10/14 – Won at York before
9/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/14 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/14 – Won by a neck or less
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Last 7 winners aged between 3-5 years-old
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
Starlust (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3:10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2 of the last 6 winner owned by King Power
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
50% of the last 14 winners trained by Varian (2), Haggas (3), Balding (2)
Only one 3 year-old winner since 2002 (2010, Wigmore Hall)
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 11/1
Enfijaar (15/2) won the race in 2024

3:45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/19 – Won from stall 10 or lower
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/19 – Winning favourites
Alsakib won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 10th May 2025

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This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfieldwe’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:35 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV

21/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
21/21 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/21 – Carried 11-5 or less
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
8/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/21 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
13/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/18 – Rated between 82-87
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
8 of the last 10 aged 4 or 5 years-old
Bellarchi won the race in 2024

2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21– Had won no more than 3 times
16/21 – Had won over 7f before
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 15 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

3:15 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/12 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
5/12 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/12 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 7)
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/12 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites (4 of last 7)
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 6
Kotari won the race in 2024

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.15– William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/21 – Had won no more than once before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
11/21 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
11/21 – Having first run of the season
10/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/21 – Winners from stall 5
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
4/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

1:50 William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f

Just 1 previous running (Ralph Beckett trained Esmeray)
Trainer James Evans is 2 from 3 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 23% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Leavy has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
1.50 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

2:25 Lingfield - William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3½f ITV

Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Jockey Jason Watson has a 25% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

22/22 – Had won no more than 3 times
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/22 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18– Irish-bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/18 – Non UK-trained winners
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 15 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th Feb 2021

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Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in seven races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)


1.50 - Bateaux Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

18/18 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
16/18 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
15/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
8/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 7)
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (last two winners)
Copperhead 6/1 won the race in 2020

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

2.25 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

Only 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 8 or older
8/10 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/10 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/10 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/10 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
6/10 – Aged in double-figures
4/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/10 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 8 winners carried 11-0 or more
Ballyoptic (8/1) won the race in 2020
Regal Encore won the race in 2018 and was third in 2019

 

3.00 – Betfair Cheltenham Free Bet Pot Builder Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/15 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
9/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/15 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/15 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/15 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Nordano (8/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

18/18 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
17/18– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
16/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
15/18 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
15/18 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
14/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/18 – Officially rated 157 or higher
13/18 – Favourites placed
12/18 – Winning favourites
11/18 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/18 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/18 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/18 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
7/18 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
7/18 – Won their last race
5/18 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
3/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Alan King
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
10 of the last 14 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Cyrname won the race in 2019
Riders On the Storm won the race in 2020

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV)

2.05 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

17/18 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/18 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/18 – Rated 145 or higher
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
11/18 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Aged 8 or younger
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/18 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
9/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
8/18 – Had run at Haydock before
6/18 – French-bred
5/18 – Placed favourites
3/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites
1/18 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Emitom (7/4 fav) won the race in 2020
Donna’s Diamond (7/1) won the race in 2018

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

2.40 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

18/18 – UK-based trained winners
18/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
16/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/18 – Aged 10 or younger
14/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/18 – Rated 135 or higher
12/18 – Aged 9 or younger
12/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/18 – Irish-bred winners
4/18 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/18 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/18 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/18 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
4 of the last 6 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV)

 

3.18 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
16/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/17 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
15/17 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/17 – Rated 155 or higher
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/17 – Trained by Alan King
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/17 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Jan 2021

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It’s off to Haydock, Ascot and Taunton this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action.

At Ascot, the Grade One Clarence House Chase (3.35) is their feature contest – a race the classy Defi Du Seuil landed 12 months ago.

Then at Haydock, the Peter Marsh Chase (2.40) is their showcase race – a prize that trainer Sue Smith has won five times in the last 17 years.

While, a big day at Taunton too with the ITV cameras heading there to show their Weatherbys Portman Cup (2.15) - a race the Paul Nicholls-trained Yala Enki won 12 months ago.

So, like all big race days, we’ve got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle – just these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles based on past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.15 – Matchbook Betting Podcast Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
10/11 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
10/11 – From the top 4 in the betting
10/11 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
8/11 – Later ran in that season’s OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Ran at either Haydock (4) or Newbury (4) in their last race
7/11 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Won their last race
6/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/11 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/11 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Magic Light won the race in 2019 and 2020


1.50 – Matchbook Better Way To Bet Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/13 – Officially rated 139 or higher
10/13 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – French bred
6/13 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
6/13 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
6/13 – Won their last race
6/13 – Aged 6 years-old
6/13 – Had raced at Ascot previously
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
3/13 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/13 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/13 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/13 – Favourites (1 co)
Thomas Darby (8/1) won the race in 2020
Ballymoy (4/1) won the race in 2019

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

 

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

13/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
12/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Either French (5) or Irish (7) bred
11/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
11/14 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
9/14 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
6/14 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 6 runnings)
3/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/14 – Winning Favourites
Domaine De L’Isle (5/1) won the race in 2020

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

3.35 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/17 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
15/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
15/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
11/17 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
10/17 – Favourites that won
9/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 5 times in all)
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (28 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old

The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
14/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
13/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Won their last race
8/14 – Aged 5 years-old
7/14 – Winning Favourites
6/14 – Had raced at Haydock previously
4/14 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – French bred
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14– Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
Stolen Silver (9/2) won the race in 2020

Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

17/17 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
16/17 – Aged 8 or older
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
15/17 – Had run within the last 36 days
12/17 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/17 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
12/17 – Won at Haydock previously
12/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Favourites unplaced
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
9/17 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/17 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/17 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
9/17 – Won over fences at Haydock before
7/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/17 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/17 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
6/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/17 – Trained by Sue Smith
4/17 – Ridden by Danny Cook
2/17 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

 

3.15 – The New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
15/15 – Favourites placed in the top 3
13/15 -  From the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Finished in the top three in their last race
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
12/15 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
12/15 – Officially Rated 150 or higher
11/15 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Either French (3) or Irish (8) bred
11/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (7) last time out
8/15 – Aged 7 or younger
8/15 – Winning Favourites
4/15 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/15 – Won their last race
1/15 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
Ballyandy (5/2) won this race in 2020

 

Taunton Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.10 – Weatherbys Portman Cup Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m4 1/2f ITV4

2 previous runnings
Yala Enki (11/10 fav) won the race in 2020
Trainers Paul Nicholls and Colin Tizzard have won the race before
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 20% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Bryony Frost has a 27% record riding over fences at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Dec 2020

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So, to help you narrow down the fields we’ve got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – ‘For The Love Of Racing’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
5/5 – Yet to run at the track
4/5 – Had won over 2m3f+
4/5 – Carried 10-10 or more
4/5 – Returned between 6/1 to 10/1
4/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/5 – Ran at Exeter last time out
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
Espoir De Guye won the race in 2019nly 5 previous runnings
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners


2.25 – Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (6 won, 4 runners-up)
16/18 – Placed in the top three in their last race
15/18 – Favourites placed
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
13/18 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/18 – French-bred horse
12/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/18 – Won their last race
10/18 – Favourites that won
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
The Worlds End won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Thistlecrack won this race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor


3.00 – Good Luck Hollie In SPOTY Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/15 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/15 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
8/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/15 – Won by a French bred horse
8/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/15 – Aged 7 years-old
3/15 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 3 runnings)
Regal Encore won the race in 2016 and 2019

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/17 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/17 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Winning favourites
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2019
Mohaayed won the race in 2018

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 7 or younger
9/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
6/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/13 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – French bred
2/13 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
4 of the last 9 runnings were won by a claiming jockey

 

2.40 – Betfair Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Failed to win their last race
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/13 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
4/13 – French bred
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/13 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
7 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or more
Lord Du Mesnil won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Nov 2020

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More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the Chaenelle 1965 Chase – As always here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
13/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/17 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
11/17 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
10/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/17 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
8/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
8/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Aged 5 years-old
3/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/17 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Cyrname won the race in 2019
Politologue won the race in 2018
Top Notch won the race in 2017
Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

18/18 – Priced 7/2 or less
16/18 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
15/18 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
15/18 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (3) bred horse
14/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Won their latest race
11/18 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/18 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/18 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
10/18 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
11/18 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/18 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/18 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
6/18 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/18 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 14 winners were Irish-trained
If The Cap Fits won the race in 2018 & 2019
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.17 – Coral Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

13/14 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
13/14 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/14 – Rated 142 or higher
8/14 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
8/14 – Had raced at Ascot before
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Aged 6 years-old
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
Capeland won the race in 2019
Caid du Lin won the race in 2018

 

3.50 – Coral Supporting Prostate Cancer UK Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race 1m7 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Had had a run before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his NH Flat runners at the track

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 Back And Lay On Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4 yo+) 2m 5 1/2f RTV

9/9 – 0-2 wins over fences
8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
8/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
7/9 – Rated between 144-148
6/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – 0-2 runs over fences before
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9- - Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/9 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Keeper Hill won the race 12 months ago

 

1.50 – Betfair Racing Only Bettor Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

8/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won between 1-2 times before
7/9 – Irish bred
7/9 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
7/9 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
7/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/9 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
3/9 – Winning favourites
Bold Plan won the race in 2019
Black Mischief won the race in 2018
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017

 

 

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

14/15– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
13/15 – Carried 10-9 or more
12/15 – Rated between 132 and 143
10/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
9/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – French bred
6/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Trained by David Pipe
2/15 – Trained by Nick Williams
Stoney Mountain won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017

 

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

15 Previous runnings
13/15 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
12/15 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (8) bred horse
12/15 - Placed in the top three in their last race
12/15 - Won a Grade One chase previously
11/15 - Raced at Haydock previously
10/15 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Aged 8 or older
8/15 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
7/15 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 - Raced at Aintree last time out
Lostintranslation won this in 2019
Bristol De Mai won this in 2017 and 2018
The average winning price in the last 15 runnings is 5/1
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017 and 2018 
The Colin Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

 

 

3.35 – My Odds Boost On Betair Stayers’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 3m 4 1/2f ITV

8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Aged between 7-8 years-old
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/9 – Rated between 129-135
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Carried 11st 9lbs or more
6/9 – Won between 1-2 times fences
2/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/9 – Winning favourites

 

 

Sat TV Trends: 31st Oct 2020

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We've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase (Wetherby), plus the Grade Three Sodexo Gold Cup (Ascot).

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

 

1.20 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 7 or younger
7/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Yet to win over fences
4/7 – Aged 6 year-old
2/7 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
2/7 – Winning favourites

 

1.55 – tote.co.uk Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

14/17 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
12/17 – Irish (5) or French (7) bred
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/17 – Having their first run of the new season
9/17 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/17 – Rated 130 or lower
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/17 – Won carrying 11-12
3/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race last year

 

3.05 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
14/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/16 – Having their first run of the season
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/16 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/16 – Won by a French bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/16 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 3 renewals
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 years-old
Gumball (11/2) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


3.40 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
12/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before (5 won)
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 8 or older
8/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Unplaced in their last race
9/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/15 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 9 or younger
Vinndication (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.35 bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just two previous runnings
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2019
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 45% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby has a 26% record with his chasers at the track

 

2.10 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/13 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
11/13 – Having their first run of the season
9/13 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
6/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn

 

2.45 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
17/18 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
15/18 – Failed to win their last race
13/18 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/18 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/18 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The Worlds End (7/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.20 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Rated 151 or higher
15/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/18 – Aged 8 or older
12/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/18 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/18 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/18  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Oct 2020

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It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – As normal Andy Newton’s covered all the LIVE ITV races from a trends & stats angle.

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

 

1.20 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Won at Listed or better class previously
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Won at least 5 times previously
12/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/18 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/18 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
8/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/18 – Won their latest race
6/18 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the last 10)
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
Stradivarius won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019
Since 2011: 6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 8
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.55 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Won over 6f previously
17/18 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
16/18 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Raced at least 4 times that season
15/18 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
13/18 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
13/18 – Won a Group race previously
11/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Raced at Haydock (6), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/18 – Won their latest race
4/18 – Favourites that won
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan (2 of the last 5)
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 9 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 5 of the last 9 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 9 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 9 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.30 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

12/12 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/12 – Won at Listed or better class previously
10/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
10/12 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/12 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
9/12 – Rated 110 or higher
8/12 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
8/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Aged 3 years-old
6/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Favourites that won
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Magical (5/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

3.05 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/18 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
16/18 – Finished in the top three in their last race
16/18 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
16/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/18 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
10/18 – Won their latest race
9/18 – Won at least 7 times previously
8/18 – Favourites that won
7/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Trained by Freddie Head
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 9 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.40 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Won at least 4 times previously
17/18 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
16/18 – Won over 1m2f previously
16/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/18 – Won their last race
8/18 – Raced at either Longchamp (5) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Favourites
4/18 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/18 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 3)
Magical (Evs fav) won the race in 2019
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 7 runnings

 

4.15 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
5/6 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 -  Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/6 - Previous winners were aged 5 years-old
2/6 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/6 - Winning favourite
Escobar (16/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/1
Trainers Roger Varian, David O’Meara (2), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 3 of the last 6 runnings

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2020

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in seven races across the three venues.

We’ve four competitive handicaps at Ascot, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

1:50 - ITV Home Of Terrestial Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 17 (0%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is only 1 from 30 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is only 1 from 35 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 - Thames Hospice Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 0 from 15 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Virginia Water Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:05 - BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 

9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Rated between 94-100
6/9 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
5/9 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/9 – Winning favourites
Miss O’Connor (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

2:40 - BetVictor Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/17 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
13/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/17 – Won over 1m2f or further
13/17 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/17 – Won 3 or more times during their career
11/17 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3:20 - Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/17 – Won just once previously
12/17 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/17 – Yet to win over 7f
8/17 –  Favourites that won
7/17 – Had just one previous run
5/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th July 2020

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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster NINE LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting, with the Group One Darly July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve four more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over 7f or further previously
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/18 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced in their last race
9/18 – Favourites unplaced
8/18 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Winning Favourites
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The Richard Hannon yard has won 3 of the last 7
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2019

2.25 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
7/10  - Had won over at least 7f before
7/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Drawn in stalls 10 or 13 (2 each)
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.00 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over at least 6f previously
16/18 – Placed in their last race
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
13/18 – Won their latest race
12/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/18 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/18 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
8/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Winning Favourites
4/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/18 – Winners from stall 3
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
Mystery Power (7/1) won the race in 2019

3.35 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
13/18 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
10/18 – Placed last time out
9/18 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained the last 2 winners)
2/18 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/18 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

4.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over 7f previously
17/18 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/18 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
11/18 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/18 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/18 – Placed in their last race
4/18 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Vale Of Kent (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 – Betfred “Ascot Official Bookmaker* Fillies Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over at least 7f before
7/7 – Never ran at the course before
7/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Aged 3 years-old
6/7 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Favourites placed
3/7 – Trained by William Haggas
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.40 – ‘Play Nifty Fifty Exclusively At Betfred’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

7/7 – Drawn in between stalls 3-7 (inc)
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-3 times
7/7 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Favourites placed in the first two
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 4 or 6
5/7 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/7 – Had run at Ascot before
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Godolphin-owned
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

3.15 – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Previous Group race winner
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 11 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

3.50 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-6 times
6/7 – Had won over 5f before
6/7 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/7 – Carried 8-10 or more
6/7 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Came from a double-figure stall
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

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