Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 1.15 Fairyhouse
- 1.45 Fairyhouse
- 2.30 Ludlow
- 6.30 Kempton
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have generated the following runners for me to consider...
...and I think I'll see how the in-form yard gets on against the 1-year course specialist in the 7.00 Kempton, where Olympic Quest and Bernadine from my TS report are two of the nine runners tackling a Class 6, 3yo A/W handicap over a right handed mile on standard to slow polytrack...
An unusual race here in that females outnumber the males with runners 1, 5, 7 & 9 being the boys (only #5 Fully Deployed has been gelded) and it's a race lacking in experience. They've only raced 44 times between them so far and of that 44, numbers 1, 6 & 7 (Outrace, Bernadine & Greavsie) account for 24 with the other six runners out just three or four times. The three most experienced runners are the only previous winners too and all have won here at Kempton already.
Outrace & Bernadine both won over course and distance last time out, whilst Greavsie was a three-quarter length runner-up over track & trip. He did, however, win here over 7f two months ago and has won over a mile at Ffos Las back in September. I suspect that this might become a three-horse race, as the rest of the field haven't even made the frame in twenty combined starts. The three 'most likely' contenders all ran at this grade LTO, as did Fully Deployed but the other five all drop in class and it's a handicap debut for Olympic Quest and Paco's Pride, whilst Fully Deployed and Top of the Class tackle a handicap for just the second time.
The latter has been off the track the longest at 127 days, but aside from bottom-weight Double Down's 10-week absence, the rest have all been seen in the last 25 days with both Outrace and Greavsie running here a week ago. It's the second time in a hood for Olympic Quest and a second race since being gelded for Fully Deployed, whilst the bottom two on the card, Martini Lodge & Double Down will be sporting new headgear in the form of cheekpieces and a visor respectively.
We know that we're not going to get much from Instant Expert, but it's useful to see how many times the field has tackled similar conditions...
And at this point, Greavsie would look the weakest of the more experienced trio. Whilst of those with no data, Top of the Class has only raced at 6/7f in Class 3-5 contests and Paco's Pride has three 7f runs at Class 4/5 to her name as does Martini Lodge.
In past similar contests here at Kempton, stalls 4, 6 and 9 have an inexplicably poor record, but I'm not convinced that there's a huge draw bias here...
...which means that the actual pace of the race might be the aspect to focus on. All nine have had at least three runs to date, so we'll hopefully have enough data to see a pattern forming as to their running style(s)...
...where it looks like Outrace will attempt to set the fractions from stall 4, attempting to get across the likes of Fully Deployed and Double Down in boxes 3 & 1 respectively. Conversely Greavsie looks like he will dropped in at the back for a late surge, but the pace stats for those races above suggest he'd be better off stepping up a gear somewhat earlier...
Summary
I'd be surprised if this race didn't go to one of the three more experienced runners Outrace, Bernadine & Greavsie. Of the three Greavsie has looked weakest on form, Instant Expert and pace and I prefer Outrace over Bernadine on the very same grounds. If none of the less exposed runners break into the top three, then I'd expect an Outrace-Bernadine-Greavsie 1-2-3 but sadly the market agrees with Outrace installed as a 3/1 favourite with my other pair at 4's.