We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.
Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 23 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.
Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower.
Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.
We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.
NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV4
21/22 – Didn’t win last time out
19/22 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Had won over 6f before
18/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/22 – Unplaced favourites
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 8)
The last 10 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 4 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race last season
Silver Samurai won this race in 2023
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023
NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:50 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4
23/23 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/23 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/23 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
15/23 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/23 – Winning favourites
13/23 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/23 – Had already won a Group race
10/23 – Had won at Newbury before
9 of the last 10 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 2
Jim Crowley has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV4
Two previous running
Faustus (16/1) won the race in 2024
The Cook/Bridger and Channon yards have won this race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Andrew Balding have an 18% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has just a 6% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 23% riding 4+ year-olds at the track
3.00 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4
13/14 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
13/14 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 - Had won over 7f or further before
10/14 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/14 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
9/14 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/14 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 - Irish bred
5/14 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 5)
2/14 - Winning favourites
2/14 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022 and 3rd in 2024
3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4
21/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/23 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/23 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
17/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/23 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 10)
14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)
2:45 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV4
One two runnings
Trainers Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
Both winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-49 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
3:20 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4
20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/23 – Didn’t win last time out
16/23– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/23 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/23 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
10/23 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/23 – Aged 4 years-old
7/23 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/23 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the race the previous year
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
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