Sat TV Trends: 19th Aug 2023
We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.
Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 16 of the last 21 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.
Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 13 of the last 14 winners were all draw 6 or lower.
Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.
We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.
NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV
19/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
16/20 – Had won over 6f before
16/20 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Aged 5 or older
13/20 – Had 3 or more career wins
13/20 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
3/20 – Winning favouritess
2/20 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 6)
4 of the last 5 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Strike won the race in 2022
NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)
1:50 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV
21/21 – Had won at least twice in their career
18/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
17/21 – Aged 3-5 years-old
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
13/21 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/21 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
12/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Had already won a Group race
9/21 – Had won at Newbury before
Hukum won the race in 2020 and 2021
2:25 – Highclere Castle Gin Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rod Milman has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
3.00 – Heart Bingo Summer Sizzler Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV
11/12 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
11/12 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/12 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/12 - Had won over 7f or further before
9/12 - Finished 5th or better last time out
8/12 - Rated between 90-96 (inc)
7/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
7/12 - Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 - Irish bred
4/12 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 - Ridden by Adam Kirby
2/12 - Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 3)
2/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 4 winners came from stall 6
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV
19/21 – Didn’t win last time out
18/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/21 – Had won over this 7f trip before
17/21 – Officially rated 108 or more
17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/21 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
15/21 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
11/21 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/21 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
13 of the last 14 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
Jumby won the race in 2022
RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)
2:40 William Hill Silver Trophy Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgely has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Allen has a 20% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
3:15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
18/21 – Previous winners over 6f
16/21 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/21 - Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
8/21 – Ran at either Goodwood (5) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/21 – Aged 4 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 10)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/21 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 10)
1/21 – Aged 3 years-old
Intrinsic Bond won the race in 2022
Justanotherbottle won the race in 2021
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
8 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
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